Oregon State Beavers at California Golden Bears
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
California -13.0 (51.0) (-400) Open: -10.5 | 49.0
California 44 - Oregon State: 7
Beavers (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Trent Bray (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (17 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Coach Trent Bray (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (17 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
CAL 2nd straight Home Game
CAL is playing their 4th straight game
ORST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: California -17.5 (SP+ CAL -11)
Projected Score: ORST: 17 - CAL: 34 (51)
CAL Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
ORST Travel: 465 miles
CAL is playing their 4th straight game
ORST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: California -17.5 (SP+ CAL -11)
Projected Score: ORST: 17 - CAL: 34 (51)
CAL Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
ORST Travel: 465 miles
Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (36 - 43)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Coach Justin Wilcox (36 - 43)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
| Oregon State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Oregon State vs Idaho State | -29.5 | 57.5 | W 38 - 15 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Oregon State at San Diego State | -5.5 | 54.5 | W 21 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Oregon State vs Oregon | +16.0 | 50.0 | L 14 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Oregon State vs Purdue | -1.5 | 51.0 | W 38 - 21 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Oregon State vs Colorado State | -10.0 | 47.0 | W 39 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Oregon State at Nevada | -3.0 | 47.0 | L 37 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Oregon State vs UNLV | +6.5 | 61.0 | L 25 - 33 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Oregon State at California | +13.0 | 51.0 | L 7 - 44 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Oregon State vs San José State | -3.0 | 58.5 | L 13 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Oregon State at Air Force | -3.0 | 44.5 | L 0 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Oregon State vs Washington State | +11.0 | 57.0 | W 41 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Fri 11/29 | Oregon State at Boise State | +17.5 | 58.5 | L 18 - 34 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
| California's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | California vs UC Davis | -20.5 | 56.5 | W 31 - 13 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | California at Auburn | +11.5 | 52.5 | W 21 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | California vs San Diego State | -18.5 | 48.5 | W 31 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | California at Florida State | +3.0 | 44.0 | L 9 - 14 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | California vs Miami | +10.0 | 54.0 | L 38 - 39 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | California at Pittsburgh | +3.5 | 57.5 | L 15 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | California vs NC State | -9.5 | 46.0 | L 23 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | California vs Oregon State | -13.0 | 51.0 | W 44 - 7 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/8 | California at Wake Forest | -7.5 | 54.5 | W 46 - 36 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | California vs Syracuse | -10.5 | 58.0 | L 25 - 33 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | California vs Stanford | -15.0 | 53.5 | W 24 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | California at SMU | +11.5 | 54.5 | L 6 - 38 | U | N | |
| Wed 12/18 | California vs UNLV | +3.0 | 45.0 | L 13 - 24 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for California's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST | #87 (.16) | 44% (59) | 24.3 | 47% (25) | 3.34 (20) | 189 | 39% (100) | 201 | 3.87 (75) | #117 (.27) | 48% (125) | 29.9 | 50% (126) | 45% (112) | 4.35 (117) | 45.7 | 1.3 | 1 |
| CAL | #79 (.17) | 42% (88) | 25.1 | 40% (104) | 2.68 (120) | 122 | 43% (57) | 259 | 3.07 (125) | #48 (.14) | 40% (52) | 22.3 | 41% (53) | 40% (67) | 3.23 (20) | 59.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST | #87 (.16) | 44% (59) | 47% (25) | 3.34 (20) | 189 | 39% (100) | 201 | 3.87 (75) | #117 (.27) | 48% (125) | 50% (126) | 45% (112) | 4.35 (117) | 45.7 | 1.3 | 1 | ||
| CAL | #79 (.17) | 42% (88) | 40% (104) | 2.68 (120) | 122 | 43% (57) | 259 | 3.07 (125) | #48 (.14) | 40% (52) | 41% (53) | 40% (67) | 3.23 (20) | 59.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST Offense | 12 | 24.3 | 16.6 | 43.6% | 3.87 | 1.3 | 22 | 391 | 189 | 201 | 4.7 | 55% | 45% | 47% | 39% | 15% | .16 |
| CAL Defense | 13 | 22.3 | 21 | 40.4% | 3.23 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 41% | 40% | 18% | .14 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST Defense | 12 | 29.9 | 29.6 | 48% | 4.35 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 44% | 50% | 45% | 13% | .27 |
| CAL Offense | 13 | 25.1 | 30.9 | 41.5% | 3.07 | 0.8 | 21 | 381 | 122 | 259 | 3.6 | 41% | 58% | 40% | 43% | 18% | .17 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon State | 12 | 33:09 | 22.3 | 44% | 52% | 5.1 | 45.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 1 | 24.9 |
| California | 13 | 30:36 | 20.7 | 37% | 44% | 7.4 | 59.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 2 | 29.6 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST Offense | 12 | 55% (33) | 47% (25) | 40.3 | 189.2 | 4.7 | 29 (18) | .22 (25) | 3.34 (20) | 76% (46) | 9% (50) | 0.97 (65) |
| CAL Defense | 13 | 47% (28) | 41% (53) | - | - | - | - | .08 (44) | 2.99 (65) | 86% (129) | 10% (72) | 0.91 (37) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST Defense | 12 | 56% (125) | 50% (126) | - | - | - | - | .23 (120) | 3.39 (123) | 81% (114) | 8% (122) | 0.96 (55) |
| CAL Offense | 13 | 41% (121) | 40% (104) | 33.7 | 122.2 | 3.6 | 17 (84) | .07 (99) | 2.68 (120) | 69% (98) | 13% (126) | 1.1 (22) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST Offense | 12 | 45% (101) | 39% (100) | 18 | 30 | 201.4 | 6.7 | 11.2 | 7 (130) | 11 (72) | .09 (125) | 1.4 (123) | 28% (20) | 31% (78) | .16 (123) | 6% (84) | 1.8 (124) |
| CAL Defense | 13 | 53% (103) | 40% (67) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 17 (5) | .21 (52) | 1.7 (92) | 33% (44) | 30% (59) | .39 (102) | 8% (12) | 2.2 (111) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORST Defense | 12 | 44% (13) | 45% (112) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (117) | .31 (104) | 1.5 (41) | 27% (126) | 33% (102) | .46 (121) | 6% (75) | 2.1 (70) |
| CAL Offense | 13 | 58% (14) | 43% (57) | 23.2 | 35.7 | 258.6 | 7.3 | 11.1 | 16 (87) | 7 (26) | .25 (72) | 1.4 (126) | 36% (128) | 30% (85) | .36 (58) | 5% (23) | 2.2 (23) |
Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -14.99 #113
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 18.65 #79
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 20.78 #129
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Oregon State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Oregon State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #97
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #107
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Oregon State's Power Rating: -14.99 #113
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 18.65 #79
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 20.78 #129
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Oregon State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Oregon State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #97
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #107
Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -14.99 California: 6.885
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -6.7 California: 4.0
Oregon State: -14.99 California: 6.885
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -6.7 California: 4.0
California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 6.885 #44
California's Offense Rating: 18.12 #85
California's Defense Rating: 6.35 #39
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
California's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
California's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #55
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #65
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
California's Power Rating: 6.885 #44
California's Offense Rating: 18.12 #85
California's Defense Rating: 6.35 #39
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
California's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
California's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #55
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #65
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6
Oregon State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6
Oregon State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
California 34
Oregon State 17
Total Points: 51
California 34
Oregon State 17
Total Points: 51
California Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
California's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
California's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 08/30 | Oregon State | 15 | California | 34 | California | Oregon State -3 | California | 51.5 | Under |
| 2024 | 10/26 | California | 44 | Oregon State | 7 | California | California -13.0 | California | 51.0 | Push |
| 2023 | 10/07 | California | 40 | Oregon State | 52 | Oregon State | Oregon State -7.5 | Oregon State | 51.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/12 | Oregon State | 38 | California | 10 | Oregon State | Oregon State -11.5 | Oregon State | 47.0 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/30 | California | 39 | Oregon State | 25 | California | Oregon State -2.5 | California | 56.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 11/21 | Oregon State | 31 | California | 27 | Oregon State | California -1.0 | Oregon State | 46.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/19 | California | 17 | Oregon State | 21 | Oregon State | California -10 | Oregon State | 51.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/20 | Oregon State | 7 | California | 49 | California | California -8.5 | California | 58.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/04 | California | 37 | Oregon State | 23 | California | California -7 | California | 54.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 10/08 | Oregon State | 47 | California | 44 | Oregon State | California -10 | Oregon State | 70.0 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/14 | California | 54 | Oregon State | 24 | California | California -17.5 | California | 64.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/01 | Oregon State | 31 | California | 45 | California | Oregon State -4.5 | California | 0 | |
| 2013 | 10/19 | California | 17 | Oregon State | 49 | Oregon State | Oregon State -7.5 | Oregon State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/17 | Oregon State | 62 | California | 14 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2011 | 11/12 | California | 23 | Oregon State | 6 | California | ||||
| 2010 | 10/30 | Oregon State | 35 | California | 7 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2009 | 11/07 | California | 14 | Oregon State | 31 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2008 | 11/15 | Oregon State | 34 | California | 21 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2007 | 10/13 | California | 28 | Oregon State | 31 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2006 | 09/30 | Oregon State | 13 | California | 41 | California | ||||
| 2005 | 10/15 | California | 20 | Oregon State | 23 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2004 | 10/02 | Oregon State | 7 | California | 49 | California | ||||
| 2003 | 10/04 | California | 21 | Oregon State | 35 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2002 | 10/26 | Oregon State | 24 | California | 13 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2001 | 10/27 | Oregon State | 19 | California | 10 | Oregon State | ||||
| 2000 | 11/03 | California | 32 | Oregon State | 38 | Oregon State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| California | 10 | 7 | 7 Overs |
| Oregon State | 16 | 6 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 13 - 13 | 7 - 6 | 4 - 3 | 3 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 13 - 13 | 6 - 7 | 3 - 3 | 3 - 4 |
(#113) Oregon State Info
Power Rating: -14.99 #113
Offense Rating: 18.65 #79
Defense Rating: 20.78 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #97
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #107
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.35 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Oregon State has lost 2 straight
Oregon State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Oregon State Notes
(11/29) Def torched by Boise, Off meh, 3-13 on 3rd
(11/29) 1-6 finish in '24 to miss bowl. 25 goal is ?
(11/18) QB Johnson awful, Rgame worse, shutout by AFA?
(11/18) Complete identity crisis. No idea what they want
(10/31) QB McCoy may have lost job to Gulbranson
(10/27) Pass Def abused by Cal. 3 straight L's, going down
(10/12) Run Def abused by Nevada 353 yds, 8.4ypc in L
(10/11) RB Griffin likely out vs Nevada
(10/10) Rgame good vs CSU, 251yds (5.3 ypc), McCoy meh
(9/23) Killed Purdue, rushed for 341 (6 ypc), pass D good
Oregon State Highlights
Oregon State has a top Offensive Line (#123)
Oregon State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#107)
Oregon State commits very few Penalties (#67)
Oregon State Deficiencies
Oregon State offense is not Explosive (#100)
Oregon State pass game is really bad (#32)
Oregon State does not Sack the QB (#130)
Oregon State has a bad defense (#54)
Oregon State Does Not Stuff Runs (#26)
Oregon State has a bad defensive line (#18)
Oregon State has a bad red zone defense (#89)
Power Rating: -14.99 #113
Offense Rating: 18.65 #79
Defense Rating: 20.78 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #97
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #107
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.35 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Oregon State has lost 2 straight
Oregon State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Oregon State Notes
(11/29) Def torched by Boise, Off meh, 3-13 on 3rd
(11/29) 1-6 finish in '24 to miss bowl. 25 goal is ?
(11/18) QB Johnson awful, Rgame worse, shutout by AFA?
(11/18) Complete identity crisis. No idea what they want
(10/31) QB McCoy may have lost job to Gulbranson
(10/27) Pass Def abused by Cal. 3 straight L's, going down
(10/12) Run Def abused by Nevada 353 yds, 8.4ypc in L
(10/11) RB Griffin likely out vs Nevada
(10/10) Rgame good vs CSU, 251yds (5.3 ypc), McCoy meh
(9/23) Killed Purdue, rushed for 341 (6 ypc), pass D good
Oregon State Highlights
Oregon State has a top Offensive Line (#123)
Oregon State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#107)
Oregon State commits very few Penalties (#67)
Oregon State Deficiencies
Oregon State offense is not Explosive (#100)
Oregon State pass game is really bad (#32)
Oregon State does not Sack the QB (#130)
Oregon State has a bad defense (#54)
Oregon State Does Not Stuff Runs (#26)
Oregon State has a bad defensive line (#18)
Oregon State has a bad red zone defense (#89)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | CAL | ORST |
| OverallOver | #49 | #70 |
| OffenseOff | #75 | #46 |
| DefenseDef | #25 | #110 |
| Special TeamsST | #12 | #24 |
| PassingPass | #46 | #62 |
| RushingRush | #77 | #35 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #92 | #32 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #77 | #28 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #36 | #68 |
| TacklingTkl | #25 | #73 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #35 | #105 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #40 | #86 |
| Coverage DefCov | #36 | #101 |
Rematch from Week 9
California -13.0 (51.0)
California won vs Oregon State this year (44-7)
Previous Matchups
California beat Oregon State last year (44-7)
Oregon State beat California in 2023 (52-40)
Oregon State beat California in 2022 (38-10)
Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: ORST | CAL
Depth Chart: ORST | CAL
Rosters: ORST | CAL
(#44) California Info
Power Rating: 6.885 #44
Offense Rating: 18.12 #85
Defense Rating: 6.35 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.07 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Great in Scoring Position 3.23 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
California has lost 4 straight
California has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
California Notes
(12/19) QB Caminong cannot play. Period.
(12/11) Hired OC Bryan Harsin (Aub/Boise HC)
(11/25) 5 L's by avg of 3.4 ppg, lowest in CFB
(11/23) Mendoza 299, 3 TDs/Rgame awful in W vs Stan
(11/18) Def bad, 2 TOs cost vs Cuse. Rgame OK, QB bad
(11/13) QB Mend. torched Wake, Rgame bad, WTF Ott?
(10/27) QB Mend. torched Oreg St, Run D outstanding TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) OG'd Pitt & D held 1-12 3rd down, 12 flags killer
(10/12) Cal has lost 3 straight heart wrenching games
California Highlights
California Defense Sacks the QB a lot
California defense is really good in red zone (#41)
California Secondary is very good (#17)
California has a great TO Margin (#28)
California defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
California Deficiencies
California Commits a Lot of Penalties (#95)
California Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#76)
California offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#90)
California run game is really bad (#93)
Power Rating: 6.885 #44
Offense Rating: 18.12 #85
Defense Rating: 6.35 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.07 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Great in Scoring Position 3.23 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
California has lost 4 straight
California has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
California Notes
(12/19) QB Caminong cannot play. Period.
(12/11) Hired OC Bryan Harsin (Aub/Boise HC)
(11/25) 5 L's by avg of 3.4 ppg, lowest in CFB
(11/23) Mendoza 299, 3 TDs/Rgame awful in W vs Stan
(11/18) Def bad, 2 TOs cost vs Cuse. Rgame OK, QB bad
(11/13) QB Mend. torched Wake, Rgame bad, WTF Ott?
(10/27) QB Mend. torched Oreg St, Run D outstanding TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) OG'd Pitt & D held 1-12 3rd down, 12 flags killer
(10/12) Cal has lost 3 straight heart wrenching games
California Highlights
California Defense Sacks the QB a lot
California defense is really good in red zone (#41)
California Secondary is very good (#17)
California has a great TO Margin (#28)
California defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
California Deficiencies
California Commits a Lot of Penalties (#95)
California Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#76)
California offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#90)
California run game is really bad (#93)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gevani McCoy (Tr) | 123 | 202 | 61% | 1300 | 3 | 6 | 6.4 |
| Ben Gulbranson | 78 | 128 | 61% | 943 | 4 | 4 | 7.4 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Hankerson (Tr) | 232 | 1082 | 15 | 4.7 | 83 |
| Jamious Griffin | 73 | 450 | 4 | 6.2 | 33 |
| Gevani McCoy (Tr) | 59 | 328 | 5 | 5.6 | 71 |
| Salahadin Allah | 55 | 258 | 1 | 4.7 | 21 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Walker | 81 | 901 | 2 | 11.1 | 43 |
| Jermaine Terry II | 23 | 375 | 1 | 16.3 | 43 |
| Darrius Clemons (Tr) | 25 | 292 | 2 | 11.7 | 44 |
| Jeremiah Noga | 23 | 266 | 0 | 11.6 | 30 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skyler Thomas | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Isaiah Chisom | 75 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Nikko Taylor | 46 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| Melvin Jordan IV | 45 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikko Taylor | 46 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| Zakaih Saez | 24 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Dexter Foster | 43 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Semisi Saluni | 34 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skyler Thomas | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Andre Jordan | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Sailasa Vadrawale | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Mendoza | 265 | 386 | 69% | 3004 | 16 | 6 | 7.8 |
| CJ Harris (Tr) | 19 | 31 | 61% | 184 | 0 | 1 | 5.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaivian Thomas | 100 | 626 | 7 | 6.3 | 75 |
| Jadyn Ott | 116 | 385 | 4 | 3.3 | 53 |
| Kadarius Calloway (Tr) | 26 | 124 | 1 | 4.8 | 60 |
| Fernando Mendoza | 87 | 105 | 2 | 1.2 | 50 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Endries | 56 | 623 | 2 | 11.1 | 57 |
| Nyziah Hunter | 40 | 578 | 5 | 14.5 | 60 |
| Trond Grizzell | 27 | 401 | 1 | 14.9 | 51 |
| Jonathan Brady (Tr) | 34 | 366 | 3 | 10.8 | 30 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddye Buchanan (Tr) | 108 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| Craig Woodson | 70 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Cade Uluave | 68 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Nohl Williams | 51 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Carlton | 47 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 1 |
| Teddye Buchanan (Tr) | 108 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| David Reese | 22 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Ryan McCulloch | 18 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nohl Williams | 51 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| Craig Woodson | 70 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Lu-Magia Hearns III | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |