Oregon State at California - 2024 Matchup Preview
Oregon State logo Oregon State Beavers at California Golden BearsCalifornia logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (4:00 PM EDT)
California -13.0 (51.0) (-400)  Open: -10.5 | 49.0
California 44 - Oregon State: 7

 
Beavers (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Trent Bray (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (17 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
CAL 2nd straight Home Game
CAL is playing their 4th straight game
ORST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: California -17.5   (SP+ CAL -11)
Projected Score: ORST: 17 - CAL: 34 (51)
CAL Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
ORST Travel: 465 miles
Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (36 - 43)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Oregon State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Oregon State vs Idaho State-29.557.5W 38 - 15UN
Sat 9/7 Oregon State at San Diego State-5.554.5W 21 - 0UY
Sat 9/14 Oregon State vs Oregon+16.050.0L 14 - 49ON
Sat 9/21 Oregon State vs Purdue-1.551.0W 38 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Oregon State vs Colorado State-10.047.0W 39 - 31ON
Sat 10/12 Oregon State at Nevada-3.047.0L 37 - 42ON
Sat 10/19 Oregon State vs UNLV+6.561.0L 25 - 33UN
Sat 10/26 Oregon State at California+13.051.0L 7 - 44UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Oregon State vs San José State-3.058.5L 13 - 24UN
Sat 11/16 Oregon State at Air Force-3.044.5L 0 - 28UN
Sat 11/23 Oregon State vs Washington State+11.057.0W 41 - 38OY
Fri 11/29 Oregon State at Boise State+17.558.5L 18 - 34UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
California's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 California vs UC Davis-20.556.5W 31 - 13UN
Sat 9/7 California at Auburn+11.552.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 9/14 California vs San Diego State-18.548.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/21 California at Florida State+3.044.0L 9 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 California vs Miami+10.054.0L 38 - 39OY
Sat 10/12 California at Pittsburgh+3.557.5L 15 - 17UY
Sat 10/19 California vs NC State-9.546.0L 23 - 24ON
Sat 10/26 California vs Oregon State-13.051.0W 44 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/8 California at Wake Forest-7.554.5W 46 - 36OY
Sat 11/16 California vs Syracuse-10.558.0L 25 - 33UN
Sat 11/23 California vs Stanford-15.053.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 11/30 California at SMU+11.554.5L 6 - 38UN
Wed 12/18 California vs UNLV+3.045.0L 13 - 24UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for California's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST#13 (.32)48% (14)24.352% (6)3.24 (43)16745% (39)2424.78 (11)#39 (.14)44% (91)29.946% (102)43% (81)3.42 (37)50.111.5
CAL#61 (.21)41% (88)25.144% (59)3.39 (13)17338% (103)2184.12 (46)#87 (.21)45% (112)22.347% (103)44% (108)4.4 (118)44.82.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Offense1324.316.648.1%4.781214091672424.952%47%52%45%14%.32
CAL Defense1322.32145%4.42.2 - - - - - 47%52%47%44%16%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Defense1329.929.643.8%3.421.5 - - - - - 46%53%46%43%18%.14
CAL Offense1325.130.940.5%4.122.2213911732184.550%49%44%38%18%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon State1330:3921.439%57%5.550.111.55.52.7229.7
California1328:4021.439%52%5.544.82.22.24.51.9131.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Offense1352% (51)52% (6)34.2167.14.926 (30).23 (26)3.24 (43)73% (79)9% (43)0.97 (85)
CAL Defense1347% (32)47% (103) - - - - .14 (67)3.1 (67)73% (66)9% (98)0.98 (55)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Defense1346% (20)46% (102) - - - - .09 (35)2.9 (36)84% (122)10% (61)0.84 (10)
CAL Offense1350% (68)44% (59)38.2173.14.526 (30).24 (23)3.39 (13)75% (60)11% (86)1.11 (20)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Offense1347% (82)45% (39)17.129.2242.28.314.226 (31)8 (30).44 (21)1.8 (17)32% (77)37% (17).56 (9)6% (48)2.2 (24)
CAL Defense1352% (103)44% (108) - - - - - - 12 (37).3 (88)1.5 (34)27% (129)35% (121).36 (91)7% (40)1.8 (10)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Defense1353% (114)43% (81) - - - - - - 12 (37).26 (60)1.6 (61)33% (54)33% (111).3 (59)7% (22)2 (46)
CAL Offense1349% (64)38% (103)19.833.4218.26.51122 (61)16 (121).21 (92)1.6 (49)33% (84)27% (96).33 (70)7% (97)2 (67)

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -14.99 #113
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 18.65 #79
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 20.78 #129
2024 Talent Rating: 558.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Oregon State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Oregon State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #97
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #107

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 519
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -14.99   California: 6.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -6.7   California: 4.0




California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 6.885 #44
California's Offense Rating: 18.12 #85
California's Defense Rating: 6.35 #39
2024 Talent Rating: 756.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
California's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
California's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #55
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #65
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

Oregon State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
California 34
Oregon State 17

Projected Total Points: 51
California Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

California's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26California44Oregon State7CaliforniaCalifornia -13.0California51.0Push
202310/07California40Oregon State52Oregon StateOregon State -7.5Oregon State51.0Over
202211/12Oregon State38California10Oregon StateOregon State -11.5Oregon State47.0Over
202110/30California39Oregon State25CaliforniaOregon State -2.5California56.5Over
202011/21Oregon State31California27Oregon StateCalifornia -1.0Oregon State46.5Over
201910/19California17Oregon State21Oregon StateCalifornia -10Oregon State51.0Under
201810/20Oregon State7California49CaliforniaCalifornia -8.5California58.0Under
201711/04California37Oregon State23CaliforniaCalifornia -7California54.0Over
201610/08Oregon State47California44Oregon StateCalifornia -10Oregon State70.0Over
201511/14California54Oregon State24CaliforniaCalifornia -17.5California64.0Over
201411/01Oregon State31California45CaliforniaOregon State -4.5California0
201310/19California17Oregon State49Oregon StateOregon State -7.5Oregon State0
201211/17Oregon State62California14Oregon State
201111/12California23Oregon State6California
201010/30Oregon State35California7Oregon State
200911/07California14Oregon State31Oregon State
200811/15Oregon State34California21Oregon State
200710/13California28Oregon State31Oregon State
200609/30Oregon State13California41California
200510/15California20Oregon State23Oregon State
200410/02Oregon State7California49California
200310/04California21Oregon State35Oregon State
200210/26Oregon State24California13Oregon State
200110/27Oregon State19California10Oregon State
200011/03California32Oregon State38Oregon State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
California967 Overs
Oregon State1662 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 127 - 54 - 23 - 3
Road Teams12 - 135 - 73 - 32 - 4

(#113) Oregon State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.99 #113
Offense Rating: 18.65 #79
Defense Rating: 20.78 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 #97
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #73
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #107
Talent Rating: 558.00 #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #74
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.35 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Oregon State Notes
(11/29) Def torched by Boise, Off meh, 3-13 on 3rd
(11/29) 1-6 finish in '24 to miss bowl. 25 goal is ?
(11/18) QB Johnson awful, Rgame worse, shutout by AFA?
(11/18) Complete identity crisis. No idea what they want
(10/31) QB McCoy may have lost job to Gulbranson
(10/27) Pass Def abused by Cal. 3 straight L's, going down
(10/12) Run Def abused by Nevada 353 yds, 8.4ypc in L
(10/11) RB Griffin likely out vs Nevada
(10/10) Rgame good vs CSU, 251yds (5.3 ypc), McCoy meh
(9/23) Killed Purdue, rushed for 341 (6 ypc), pass D good
Oregon State     Ratings Matchup     California
Power #113
#44
Off #79
#85
Def #129
#39
Talent #83
#40
SP+ #97
#55
SP+ Off #73
#65
SP+ Def #107
#40

Rematch from Week 9
California -13.0 (51.0)
California won vs Oregon State this year (44-7)

Previous Matchups
California beat Oregon State last year (44-7)
Oregon State beat California in 2023 (52-40)
Oregon State beat California in 2022 (38-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 66°

Team Information
Injuries: ORST | CAL
Depth Chart: ORST | CAL
Rosters: ORST | CAL
(#44) California Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.885 #44
Offense Rating: 18.12 #85
Defense Rating: 6.35 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 756.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.07 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Great in Scoring Position 3.23 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


California Notes
(12/19) QB Caminong cannot play. Period.
(12/11) Hired OC Bryan Harsin (Aub/Boise HC)
(11/25) 5 L's by avg of 3.4 ppg, lowest in CFB
(11/23) Mendoza 299, 3 TDs/Rgame awful in W vs Stan
(11/18) Def bad, 2 TOs cost vs Cuse. Rgame OK, QB bad
(11/13) QB Mend. torched Wake, Rgame bad, WTF Ott?
(10/27) QB Mend. torched Oreg St, Run D outstanding TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) OG'd Pitt & D held 1-12 3rd down, 12 flags killer
(10/12) Cal has lost 3 straight heart wrenching games


  
Oregon State's OC Ryan Gunderson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gevani McCoy (Tr)12320261%1300366.4
Gabarri Johnson (Tr)152952%174016.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Hankerson (Tr)2321082154.783
Jamious Griffin7345046.233
Gevani McCoy (Tr)5932855.671
Salahadin Allah5525814.721
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trent Walker81901211.143
Jermaine Terry II23375116.343
Darrius Clemons (Tr)25292211.744
Jeremiah Noga23266011.630

View Oregon State's Full Roster
Oregon State's DC Keith Heyward
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Skyler Thomas810009
Isaiah Chisom755020
Nikko Taylor468373
Melvin Jordan IV453001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nikko Taylor468373
Dexter Foster432120
Semisi Saluni345132
Oluwaseyi Omotosho141160
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Skyler Thomas810009
Sailasa Vadrawale301004
Andre Jordan272004

California's OC Mike Bloesch
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza26538669%30041667.8
CJ Harris (Tr)193161%184015.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaivian Thomas10062676.375
Jadyn Ott11638543.353
Kadarius Calloway (Tr)2612414.860
Fernando Mendoza8710521.250
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jack Endries56623211.157
Nyziah Hunter40578514.560
Trond Grizzell27401114.951
Jonathan Brady (Tr)34366310.830

View California's Full Roster
California's DC Peter Sirmon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teddye Buchanan (Tr)10812564
Cade Uluave683152
Marcus Harris (Tr)443005
Aidan Keanaaina (Tr)433111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teddye Buchanan (Tr)10812564
David Reese228512
Ryan McCulloch185381
Nathan Burrell295311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Harris (Tr)443005
Teddye Buchanan (Tr)10812564
Cameron Sidney293113