UC Davis at California - 2024 Matchup Preview
UC Davis logo   UC Davis Aggies at California Golden Bears  California logo
Saturday, August 31st 2024 (5:00 PM EDT)
California -20.5 (56.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
California 31 - UC Davis: 13

 
Aggies (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 10 - 70 (10 - 70 on Road)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: California -7  (SP+ CAL -4)
CAL Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (36 - 43)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (27 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UC Davis's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UC Davis at California+20.556.5L 13 - 31UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UC Davis's Schedule
California's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 California vs UC Davis-20.556.5W 31 - 13UN
Sat 9/7 California at Auburn+11.552.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 9/14 California vs San Diego State-18.548.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/21 California at Florida State+3.044.0L 9 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 California vs Miami+10.054.0L 38 - 39OY
Sat 10/12 California at Pittsburgh+3.557.5L 15 - 17UY
Sat 10/19 California vs NC State-9.546.0L 23 - 24ON
Sat 10/26 California vs Oregon State-13.051.0W 44 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/8 California at Wake Forest-7.554.5W 46 - 36OY
Sat 11/16 California vs Syracuse-10.558.0L 25 - 33UN
Sat 11/23 California vs Stanford-15.053.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 11/30 California at SMU+11.554.5L 6 - 38UN
Wed 12/18 California vs UNLV+3.045.0L 13 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCD0%100%000%000%700%0%0000
CAL#61 (.21)41% (88)25.344% (59)3.39 (13)17338% (103)2184.12 (46)#87 (.21)45% (112)27.247% (103)44% (108)4.4 (118)44.82.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCD0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCD Offense110100%00000000%0%0%0%0%
CAL Defense1327.224.345%4.42.2 - - - - - 47%52%47%44%16%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCD Defense170700%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
CAL Offense1325.327.240.5%4.122.2213911732184.550%49%44%38%18%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UC Davis10:000NAN%0%0000000100
California1328:4021.439%52%5.544.82.22.24.51.9131.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCD Offense10%0%000000%0%0
CAL Defense1347% (32)47% (103) - - - - .14 (67)3.1 (67)73% (66)9% (98)0.98 (55)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCD Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
CAL Offense1350% (68)44% (59)38.2173.14.526 (30).24 (23)3.39 (13)75% (60)11% (86)1.11 (20)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCD Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
CAL Defense1352% (103)44% (108) - - - - - - 12 (37).3 (88)1.5 (34)27% (129)35% (121).36 (91)7% (40)1.8 (10)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCD Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
CAL Offense1349% (64)38% (103)19.833.4218.26.51122 (61)16 (121).21 (92)1.6 (49)33% (84)27% (96).33 (70)7% (97)2 (67)

UC Davis's Power Ratings
UC Davis's Power Rating: NR
UC Davis's Offense Rating: NR
UC Davis's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UC Davis's 2024 Expected Record: -
UC Davis's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UC Davis's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UC Davis's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
UC Davis:    California: 6.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UC Davis:    California: 4.0




California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 6.885  #44
California's Offense Rating: 18.12  #85
California's Defense Rating: 6.35  #39
2024 Talent Rating: 386.00  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 11  #38
California's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
California's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0  #55
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #65
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9  #40

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


UC Davis Scoring
Offense: 10 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 70 PPG
Defense on Road: 70

UC Davis's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
California 34
UC Davis 27

Projected Total Points: 61
California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

California's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/31California31UC Davis13California -20.5UC Davis56.5Under
202209/03California34UC Davis13California -14California44.0Over
201908/31California27UC Davis13California -15.5UC Davis48.0Under
201009/04California52UC Davis3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
California411 Overs
UC Davis022 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 01 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 42 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#) UCD at (#44) CAL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCDCAL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #44
SP+SP+NR #55
Perf GradeGradeNR #72
OffenseOffNR #93
DefenseDefNR #32
Spec TeamsSTNR #13
TalentTalNR #41
Blue ChipsBC%NR #38
California Notes
(12/24) Signed QB D Brown (Ohio St)
(12/19) QB Caminong cannot play. Period.
(12/11) Hired OC Bryan Harsin (Aub/Boise HC)
(11/25) 5 L's by avg of 3.4 ppg, lowest in CFB
(11/23) Mendoza 299, 3 TDs/Rgame awful in W vs Stan
(11/18) Def bad, 2 TOs cost vs Cuse. Rgame OK, QB bad
(11/13) QB Mend. torched Wake, Rgame bad, WTF Ott?
(10/27) QB Mend. torched Oreg St, Run D outstanding TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) OG'd Pitt & D held 1-12 3rd down, 12 flags killer
(10/12) Cal has lost 3 straight heart wrenching games
(9/8) Huge W @ Aub. Def held to 286yds & 5 TOs
California Injury Report
UC Davis on Offense
CategoryCat
UCD OffCAL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #32
SuccessSucNR #112
ExplosiveExpNR #47
PPAPPANR #87
PowerPwrNR #39
SP+SP+NR #40
Pts POPPONR #118
HavocHavNR #75
UC Davis Run Game
CategoryCat
UCD OffCAL Def
Run GameRunNR #43
Run SuccessRSucNR #103
Run ExplRExpNR #55
PPAExpNR #67
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #67
Stuff RateStuffNR #93
TackleTak -  #28
UC Davis Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCD OffCAL Def
Pass GamePassNR #47
Pass SuccessPSucNR #108
Pass ExplPExlNR #34
PPAExpNR #88
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #45
F7 HavocF7NR #98
DB HavocDBNR #40
California on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
CategoryCatCAL OffUCD Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #93NR
SuccessSuc #88NR
ExplosiveExp #34NR
PPAPPA #61NR
PowerPwr #85NR
SP+SP+ #65NR
Pts POPPO #46NR
HavocHav #93NR
California Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat
CAL OffUCD Def
Run GameRun #107NR
Run SuccessRSuc #59NR
Run ExplRExp #20NR
PPAExp #23NR
Run BlockR Blk #118 -
OL YdsOLY #13NR
Stuff RateStuff #31NR
TackleTak - NR
California Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
CategoryCatCAL OffUCD Def
Pass GamePass #57NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #103NR
Pass ExplPExl #49NR
PPAExp #92NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #90NR
F7 HavocF7 #86NR
DB HavocDB #97NR
Program Comparison
CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

UCD 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
California -20.5 (56.5)
California won vs UC Davis this year (31-13)

Previous Matchups
California beat UC Davis in 2024 (31-13)

  
UCD's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UC Davis's Full Roster

UCD's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Porter Connors131100
David Meyer121010
Rex Connors110001
Kavir Bains81001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Porter Connors131100
Jayden Stanley20001
Gavin Cooke11000
Luke Roncevich10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rex Connors110001
Kavir Bains81001
Lamont Shamburger62001

CAL's OC Mike Bloesch (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza26538669%30041667.8
CJ Harris (Tr)193161%184015.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaivian Thomas10062676.375
Jadyn Ott11638543.353
Kadarius Calloway (Tr)2612414.860
Fernando Mendoza8710521.250
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jack Endries56623211.157
Nyziah Hunter40578514.560
Trond Grizzell27401114.951
Jonathan Brady (Tr)34366310.830

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Peter Sirmon (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teddye Buchanan (Tr)10812564
Craig Woodson703017
Cade Uluave683152
Nohl Williams511018
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Carlton4711981
Teddye Buchanan (Tr)10812564
David Reese228512
Ryan McCulloch185381
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nohl Williams511018
Craig Woodson703017
Lu-Magia Hearns III120005