UC Davis at California - 2024 Matchup Preview
UC Davis logo UC Davis Aggies at California Golden BearsCalifornia logo
Saturday, August 31st 2024 (5:00 PM EDT)
California -20.5 (56.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
California 31 - UC Davis: 13

 
Aggies (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 13 - 31 (13 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: California -7  (SP+ CAL -4)
CAL Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (36 - 43)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UC Davis's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 UC Davis at California+20.556.5L 13 - 31UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UC Davis's Schedule
California's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 California vs UC Davis-20.556.5W 31 - 13UN
Sat 9/7 California at Auburn+11.552.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 9/14 California vs San Diego State-18.548.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/21 California at Florida State+3.044.0L 9 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 California vs Miami+10.054.0L 38 - 39OY
Sat 10/12 California at Pittsburgh+3.557.5L 15 - 17UY
Sat 10/19 California vs NC State-9.546.0L 23 - 24ON
Sat 10/26 California vs Oregon State-13.051.0W 44 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/8 California at Wake Forest-7.554.5W 46 - 36OY
Sat 11/16 California vs Syracuse-10.558.0L 25 - 33UN
Sat 11/23 California vs Stanford-15.053.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 11/30 California at SMU+11.554.5L 6 - 38UN
Wed 12/18 California vs UNLV+3.045.0L 13 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCD0%130%000%000%310%0%0000
CAL#79 (.17)42% (88)25.140% (104)2.68 (120)12243% (57)2593.07 (125)#48 (.14)40% (52)22.341% (53)40% (67)3.23 (20)59.70.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCD0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CAL#79 (.17)42% (88)40% (104)2.68 (120)12243% (57)2593.07 (125)#48 (.14)40% (52)41% (53)40% (67)3.23 (20)59.70.81.7



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCD Offense113130%00000000%0%0%0%0%
CAL Defense1322.32140.4%3.231.7 - - - - - 47%53%41%40%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCD Defense131310%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
CAL Offense1325.130.941.5%3.070.8213811222593.641%58%40%43%18%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UC Davis10:000NAN%0%0000000100
California1330:3620.737%44%7.459.70.81.75.42.5229.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCD Offense10%0%000000%0%0
CAL Defense1347% (28)41% (53) - - - - .08 (44)2.99 (65)86% (129)10% (72)0.91 (37)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCD Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
CAL Offense1341% (121)40% (104)33.7122.23.617 (84).07 (99)2.68 (120)69% (98)13% (126)1.1 (22)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCD Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
CAL Defense1353% (103)40% (67) - - - - - - 17 (5).21 (52)1.7 (92)33% (44)30% (59).39 (102)8% (12)2.2 (111)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCD Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
CAL Offense1358% (14)43% (57)23.235.7258.67.311.116 (87)7 (26).25 (72)1.4 (126)36% (128)30% (85).36 (58)5% (23)2.2 (23)

UC Davis's Power Ratings
UC Davis's Power Rating: NR
UC Davis's Offense Rating: NR
UC Davis's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UC Davis's 2024 Expected Record: -
UC Davis's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UC Davis's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UC Davis's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UC Davis:    California: 6.885

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UC Davis:    California: 4.0




California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 6.885  #44
California's Offense Rating: 18.12  #85
California's Defense Rating: 6.35  #39
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11  #38
California's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
California's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0  #55
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #65
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9  #40

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


UC Davis Scoring
Offense: 13 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 31 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

UC Davis's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
California 31
UC Davis 24

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
California 35
UC Davis 24

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
California 30
UC Davis 18

Total Points: 48
California Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

California's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/31California31UC Davis13California -20.5UC Davis56.5Under
202209/03California34UC Davis13California -14California44.0Over
201908/31California27UC Davis13California -15.5UC Davis48.0Under
201009/04California52UC Davis3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
California411 Overs
UC Davis022 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 01 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 42 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#NR) UCD at (#44) CAL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCDCAL
Power RatePwrNR #44
SP+SP+NR #55
Perf GradeGradeNR #72
OffenseOffNR #93
DefenseDefNR #32
Spec TeamsSTNR #13
TalentTalNR #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #38
California Notes
(12/24) Signed QB D Brown (Ohio St)
(12/19) QB Caminong cannot play. Period.
(12/11) Hired OC Bryan Harsin (Aub/Boise HC)
(11/25) 5 L's by avg of 3.4 ppg, lowest in CFB
(11/23) Mendoza 299, 3 TDs/Rgame awful in W vs Stan
(11/18) Def bad, 2 TOs cost vs Cuse. Rgame OK, QB bad
(11/13) QB Mend. torched Wake, Rgame bad, WTF Ott?
(10/27) QB Mend. torched Oreg St, Run D outstanding TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) OG'd Pitt & D held 1-12 3rd down, 12 flags killer
(10/12) Cal has lost 3 straight heart wrenching games
(9/8) Huge W @ Aub. Def held to 286yds & 5 TOs
California Injury Report
UC Davis on Offense
CategoryCat
UCD OffCAL Def
Perf GradePerfNR #32
SuccessSucNR #52
ExplosiveExpNR #88
PPAPPANR #48
PowerPwrNR #39
SP+SP+NR #40
Pts POPPONR #20
HavocHavNR #42
UC Davis Run Game
CategoryCat
UCD OffCAL Def
Run GameRunNR #43
Run SuccessRSucNR #53
Run ExplRExpNR #37
PPAExpNR #44
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #65
Stuff RateStuffNR #71
TackleTak -  #28
UC Davis Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCD OffCAL Def
Pass GamePassNR #47
Pass SuccessPSucNR #67
Pass ExplPExlNR #92
PPAExpNR #52
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #45
F7 HavocF7NR #72
DB HavocDBNR #12
California on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
CategoryCatCAL OffUCD Def
Perf GradePerf #93NR
SuccessSuc #88NR
ExplosiveExp #52NR
PPAPPA #79NR
PowerPwr #85NR
SP+SP+ #65NR
Pts POPPO #125NR
HavocHav #102NR
California Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
CategoryCat
CAL OffUCD Def
Run GameRun #107NR
Run SuccessRSuc #104NR
Run ExplRExp #22NR
PPAExp #99NR
Run BlockR Blk #118 -
OL YdsOLY #120NR
Stuff RateStuff #114NR
TackleTak - NR
California Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
CategoryCatCAL OffUCD Def
Pass GamePass #57NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #57NR
Pass ExplPExl #126NR
PPAExp #72NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #90NR
F7 HavocF7 #126NR
DB HavocDB #23NR
Program Comparison
CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

UCD 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 85° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 1
California -20.5 (56.5)
California won vs UC Davis this year (31-13)

Previous Matchups
California beat UC Davis last year (31-13)
California beat UC Davis in 2022 (34-13)

  
UCD's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UC Davis's Full Roster

UCD's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Porter Connors131100
David Meyer121010
Rex Connors110001
Kavir Bains81001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Porter Connors131100
Jayden Stanley20001
Gavin Cooke11000
Luke Roncevich10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rex Connors110001
Kavir Bains81001
Lamont Shamburger62001

CAL's OC Mike Bloesch (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza26538669%30041667.8
CJ Harris (Tr)193161%184015.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaivian Thomas10062676.375
Jadyn Ott11638543.353
Kadarius Calloway (Tr)2612414.860
Fernando Mendoza8710521.250
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jack Endries56623211.157
Nyziah Hunter40578514.560
Trond Grizzell27401114.951
Jonathan Brady (Tr)34366310.830

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Peter Sirmon (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Teddye Buchanan (Tr)10812564
Craig Woodson703017
Cade Uluave683152
Nohl Williams511018
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Carlton4711981
Teddye Buchanan (Tr)10812564
David Reese228512
Ryan McCulloch185381
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nohl Williams511018
Craig Woodson703017
Lu-Magia Hearns III120005