Wyoming at North Texas - 2024 Matchup Preview
Wyoming logo Wyoming Cowboys at North Texas Mean GreenNorth Texas logo
Saturday, September 21st 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
North Texas -7 (55.0) (-250)  Open: 0.0
North Texas 44 - Wyoming: 17

 
Cowboys (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 28 (19 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNT is playing their 4th straight game
WYO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: North Texas -11.5   (SP+ UNT -9)

Projected Score: WYO: 22 - UNT: 34 (56)
UNT Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
WYO Travel: 726 miles, 1 hrs behind
Mean Green (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 34 - 34 (33 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Wyoming's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Wyoming at Arizona State+6.547.0L 7 - 48ON
Sat 9/7 Wyoming vs Idaho-6.539.5L 13 - 17UN
Sat 9/14 Wyoming vs BYU+9.540.5L 14 - 34ON
Sat 9/21 Wyoming at North Texas+7.055.0L 17 - 44ON
Sat 9/28 Wyoming vs Air Force+4.033.5W 31 - 19OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Wyoming vs San Diego State-1.543.0L 24 - 27ON
Sat 10/19 Wyoming at San José State+13.053.0L 14 - 24UY
Sat 10/26 Wyoming vs Utah State+2.557.0L 25 - 27UY
Sat 11/2 Wyoming at New Mexico+7.560.5W 49 - 45OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 Wyoming at Colorado State+8.547.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/23 Wyoming vs Boise State+22.054.0L 13 - 17UY
Sat 11/30 Wyoming at Washington State+18.555.5W 15 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule
North Texas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 North Texas at South Alabama+6.061.5W 52 - 38OY
Sat 9/7 North Texas vs Stephen F. Austin-21.572.5W 35 - 20UN
Sat 9/14 North Texas at Texas Tech+10.570.5L 21 - 66ON
Sat 9/21 North Texas vs Wyoming-7.055.0W 44 - 17OY
Sat 9/28 North Texas vs Tulsa-7.065.5W 52 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 North Texas at Florida Atlantic-5.558.5W 41 - 37ON
Sat 10/19 North Texas at Memphis+10.567.5L 44 - 52OY
Sat 10/26 North Texas vs Tulane+7.570.5L 37 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 North Texas vs Army+6.568.0L 3 - 14UN
Fri 11/15 North Texas at UTSA+1.073.0L 27 - 48ON
Sat 11/23 North Texas vs East Carolina-2.573.5L 28 - 40UN
Sat 11/30 North Texas at Temple-10.563.5W 24 - 17UN
Fri 1/3 North Texas vs Texas State+15.567.5L 28 - 30UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#127 (.05)36% (126)19.339% (111)2.64 (122)13834% (125)1893.07 (126)#102 (.23)44% (96)28.343% (70)45% (113)3.97 (86)49.61.30.9
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)33.540% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)34.247% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WYO#127 (.05)36% (126)39% (111)2.64 (122)13834% (125)1893.07 (126)#102 (.23)44% (96)43% (70)45% (113)3.97 (86)49.61.30.9
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)40% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)47% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Offense1219.318.736.4%3.071.3173271381893.654%46%39%34%17%.05
UNT Defense1334.22644.3%4.031.1 - - - - - 54%46%47%42%11%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WYO Defense1228.333.244%3.970.9 - - - - - 52%48%43%45%15%.23
UNT Offense1333.533.242.5%3.911.5224511532985.638%62%40%44%15%.23

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wyoming1230:5217.336%60%5.549.61.30.951.3228
North Texas1325:0522.136%48%6.352.51.51.14.51.7128.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Offense1254% (40)39% (111)38.2138.13.614 (98).02 (117)2.64 (122)62% (121)11% (92)0.94 (83)
UNT Defense1354% (105)47% (106) - - - - .19 (102)3.29 (111)75% (74)7% (128)0.96 (54)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WYO Defense1252% (82)43% (70) - - - - .21 (112)3.09 (85)62% (12)9% (87)1.19 (128)
UNT Offense1338% (129)40% (109)27.6153.25.622 (55).17 (44)2.75 (111)58% (128)9% (51)1.25 (4)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Offense1246% (93)34% (125)15.128.9188.66.512.511 (122)11 (72).08 (126)1.8 (19)34% (110)25% (118).15 (126)6% (72)2.1 (62)
UNT Defense1346% (26)42% (79) - - - - - - 10 (66).29 (98)1.7 (94)31% (90)30% (72).31 (69)4% (128)2.1 (93)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WYO Defense1248% (55)45% (113) - - - - - - 6 (109).25 (78)1.4 (10)31% (81)32% (85).32 (73)5% (102)1.8 (16)
UNT Offense1362% (6)44% (39)25.239.82987.511.931 (6)12 (85).26 (64)1.6 (60)33% (88)34% (35).35 (64)6% (71)2 (93)

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -17.71 #117
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 11.64 #122
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 11.59 #84
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Wyoming's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Wyoming's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.6 #115
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #127
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -17.71   North Texas: -4.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -13.6   North Texas: -4.5




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -4.3 #98
North Texas's Offense Rating: 19.35 #70
North Texas's Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
North Texas's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Texas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5 #89
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #121

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.7
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Wyoming's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 34
Wyoming 22


Total Points: 56

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.2
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Texas's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21North Texas44Wyoming17North TexasNorth Texas -7North Texas55.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas111 Overs
Wyoming000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#117) Wyoming Info
Power Rating: -17.71 #117
Offense Rating: 11.64 #122
Defense Rating: 11.59 #84
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.6 #115
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #127
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.07 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 34%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Wyoming has lost 3 straight
Wyoming has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Wyoming Notes
(11/18) Off abysmal vs CSU, WR drops all over. Awful TY
(11/15) HC Sawvel is a f'ing idiot, punts down 14 late
(11/3) Off much better, QB Anderson lit up N. Mex in W
(10/20) 310 yds & 3 TOs vs SJSU. Forced 4 TOs in L
(10/17) Running more tempo in '24, Overs are 5-1
(10/13) QB Svoboda awful, Rgame better in L SDSU
(9/20) Off is near worst in CFB. WR awful, QB bad
(9/8) Lost @ home to Idaho? QB awful, penalties
(9/1) Mauled @ ASU, DL 241 yds rushing, run game awful
(8/11) DL may be best in MWC, OL exp'd and rising

Wyoming Highlights

Wyoming Deficiencies
Wyoming has a really bad Offense
Wyoming offense is really bad (#60)
Wyoming Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#104)
Wyoming offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#119)
Wyoming run game is really bad (#49)
Wyoming pass game is really bad (#82)
Wyoming does not Sack the QB (#64)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUNTWYO
OverallOver#75#75
OffenseOff#79#95
DefenseDef#81#52
Special TeamsST#53#79
PassingPass#29#99
RushingRush#20#93
Run BlockRBLK#105#48
Pass BlockPBLK#73#96
Route RunningWR Rt#63#90
TacklingTkl#49#83
Run DefenseR Def#46#37
Pass Rush DefPRush#103#66
Coverage DefCov#89#69

Rematch from Week 4
North Texas -7.0 (55.0)
North Texas won vs Wyoming this year (44-17)

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Wyoming last year (44-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WYO | UNT
Depth Chart: WYO | UNT
Rosters: WYO | UNT
(#98) North Texas Info
Power Rating: -4.3 #98
Offense Rating: 19.35 #70
Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5 #89
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #121
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

North Texas has lost 1 straight
North Texas has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

North Texas Notes
(11/25) 5 str L's, Def awful, R Def mauled. Bad vibes
(11/18) Def just abysmal (UTSA). Morris INTs, Rgame great
(11/17) DC Caponi after UTSA blowout
(10/20) Morris great, Rgame great, Def awful (Tulane L)
(10/12) QB Morris great, Rgame Ok in shootout W (F Atl)
(10/4) QB Morris been great, Rgame awful. Over Team
(9/1) Great W @ S Al, Morris 415, run game bad, Def bad
(8/21) Starting DB/S I. Young out for the season.
(8/13) Brutal def LY esp. vs run, Off has much to find
(7/30) QB Morris (TCU) out spring, 20 portals in 2 deep

North Texas Highlights
North Texas offense is explosive (#20)

North Texas Deficiencies
North Texas Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#72)
North Texas run game is really bad (#40)
North Texas Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
North Texas Does Not Stuff Runs (#82)
North Texas has a bad defensive line (#38)


  
Wyoming's OC Jay Johnson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Evan Svoboda11122649%1308585.8
Kaden Anderson7012058%955638.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Scott9243534.743
Harrison Waylee6332315.136
Jamari Ferrell8031814.062
Evan Svoboda10923752.251
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylen Sargent23480220.970
Johnmichael Gyllenborg30425314.263
Chris Durr Jr.31348111.240
Tyler King (Tr)17236013.936

View Wyoming's Full Roster
Wyoming's DC Aaron Bohl
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shae Suiaunoa8710132
Connor Shay768223
Isaac White572002
Wrook Brown481006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyce Westland416300
Sabastian Harsh419310
Braden Siders204200
DeVonne Harris215200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyrecus Davis421008
Keany Parks411007
Wrook Brown481006

North Texas's OC Jordan Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Morris (Tr)32250963%377431127.4
Drew Mestemaker304665%4622210.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Shane Porter9764856.779
Makenzie McGill78470106.075
Chandler Morris (Tr)6024244.049
Kiefer Sibley4420604.719
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
DT Sheffield (Tr)668221112.575
Damon Ward Jr.41755418.457
Blair Conwright40542713.696
Miles Coleman36378210.549

View North Texas's Full Roster
North Texas's DC Matt Caponi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Smith10680122
Jayden Hill (Tr)863123
Jordan Brown794120
Evan Jackson591012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Breylon Charles296531
Roderick Brown296530
Chavez Brown498410
Ethan Wesloski575321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ridge Texada442007
Taylor Starling202004
Brian Nelson II532013