North Texas at Memphis - 2024 Matchup Preview
North Texas logo North Texas Mean Green at Memphis TigersMemphis logo
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Memphis -10.5 (67.5) (-395)  Open: -12.5
Memphis 52 - North Texas: 44  (American Athletic)

 
Mean Green (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 34 - 34 (35 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
UNT 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Memphis -18   (SP+ MEM -14)

Projected Score: UNT: 24 - MEM: 42 (67)
MEM Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
UNT Travel: 431 miles
Tigers (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (31 - 19)
Avg Score : 36 - 24 (38 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
 
North Texas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 North Texas at South Alabama+6.061.5W 52 - 38OY
Sat 9/7 North Texas vs Stephen F. Austin-21.572.5W 35 - 20UN
Sat 9/14 North Texas at Texas Tech+10.570.5L 21 - 66ON
Sat 9/21 North Texas vs Wyoming-7.055.0W 44 - 17OY
Sat 9/28 North Texas vs Tulsa-7.065.5W 52 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 North Texas at Florida Atlantic-5.558.5W 41 - 37ON
Sat 10/19 North Texas at Memphis+10.567.5L 44 - 52OY
Sat 10/26 North Texas vs Tulane+7.570.5L 37 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 North Texas vs Army+6.568.0L 3 - 14UN
Fri 11/15 North Texas at UTSA+1.073.0L 27 - 48ON
Sat 11/23 North Texas vs East Carolina-2.573.5L 28 - 40UN
Sat 11/30 North Texas at Temple-10.563.5W 24 - 17UN
Fri 1/3 North Texas vs Texas State+15.567.5L 28 - 30UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Memphis's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Memphis vs North Alabama-38.562.5W 40 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Memphis vs Troy-18.557.5W 38 - 17UY
Sat 9/14 Memphis at Florida State+7.052.0W 20 - 12UY
Sat 9/21 Memphis at Navy-9.547.0L 44 - 56ON
Sat 9/28 Memphis vs Middle Tennessee-27.062.0W 24 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Memphis vs South Florida-10.061.0W 21 - 3UY
Sat 10/19 Memphis vs North Texas-10.567.5W 52 - 44ON
Sat 10/26 Memphis vs Charlotte-17.056.5W 33 - 28ON
Sat 11/2 Memphis at UTSA-7.062.0L 36 - 44ON
Fri 11/8 Memphis vs Rice-7.550.5W 27 - 20UN
Sat 11/16 Memphis vs UAB-16.062.0W 53 - 18OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/28 Memphis at Tulane+12.554.5W 34 - 24OY
Tue 12/17 Memphis vs West Virginia-5.060.0W 42 - 37ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)33.540% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)34.247% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)35.746% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)23.840% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)40% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)47% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Offense1333.534.842.5%3.911.5224511532985.638%62%40%44%15%.23
MEM Defense1323.819.140%4.051.9 - - - - - 43%56%40%40%20%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Defense1334.24344.3%4.031.1 - - - - - 54%46%47%42%11%.22
MEM Offense1335.738.143.7%4.660.6234461752705.146%54%46%41%12%.27

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Texas1325:0522.136%48%6.352.51.51.14.51.7128.4
Memphis1333:1423.146%52%5.3480.61.95.81.9032.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Offense1338% (129)40% (109)27.6153.25.622 (55).17 (44)2.75 (111)58% (128)9% (51)1.25 (4)
MEM Defense1343% (5)40% (45) - - - - .09 (50)2.64 (20)64% (22)12% (20)1.13 (120)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Defense1354% (105)47% (106) - - - - .19 (102)3.29 (111)75% (74)7% (128)0.96 (54)
MEM Offense1346% (99)46% (40)34.2175.15.133 (12).22 (26)3.27 (31)69% (93)7% (17)1.06 (38)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Offense1362% (6)44% (39)25.239.82987.511.931 (6)12 (85).26 (64)1.6 (60)33% (88)34% (35).35 (64)6% (71)2 (93)
MEM Defense1356% (130)40% (62) - - - - - - 11 (52).28 (90)1.7 (93)34% (40)30% (70).43 (112)8% (13)2.4 (134)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Defense1346% (26)42% (79) - - - - - - 10 (66).29 (98)1.7 (94)31% (90)30% (72).31 (69)4% (128)2.1 (93)
MEM Offense1354% (33)41% (71)23.836.8270.57.311.325 (31)6 (10).31 (42)1.6 (47)30% (44)34% (40).47 (16)5% (32)2.1 (61)

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -9.10 #98
North Texas's Offense Rating: 19.35 #70
North Texas's Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
North Texas's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Texas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5 #89
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #121

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -9.10   Memphis: 11.26

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -4.5   Memphis: 9.6




Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 11.26 #36
Memphis's Offense Rating: 23.90 #29
Memphis's Defense Rating: 8.77 #61
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Memphis's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
Memphis's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #12
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


North Texas Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.8
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 43

North Texas's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 42
North Texas 24


Total Points: 67

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.1
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.1

Memphis's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Memphis52North Texas44MemphisMemphis -10.5North Texas67.5Over
202310/28North Texas42Memphis45MemphisMemphis -6.5North Texas70.0Over
202209/24Memphis44North Texas34MemphisMemphis -13North Texas68.5Over
200312/16North Texas17Memphis27Memphis
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Memphis403 Overs
North Texas030 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 21 - 20 - 21 - 0
Road Teams2 - 22 - 10 - 12 - 0

(#98) North Texas Info
Power Rating: -9.10 #98
Offense Rating: 19.35 #70
Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5 #89
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #121
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

North Texas has won 3 straight
North Texas has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

North Texas Notes
(11/25) 5 str L's, Def awful, R Def mauled. Bad vibes
(11/18) Def just abysmal (UTSA). Morris INTs, Rgame great
(11/17) DC Caponi after UTSA blowout
(10/20) Morris great, Rgame great, Def awful (Tulane L)
(10/12) QB Morris great, Rgame Ok in shootout W (F Atl)
(10/4) QB Morris been great, Rgame awful. Over Team
(9/1) Great W @ S Al, Morris 415, run game bad, Def bad
(8/21) Starting DB/S I. Young out for the season.
(8/13) Brutal def LY esp. vs run, Off has much to find
(7/30) QB Morris (TCU) out spring, 20 portals in 2 deep

North Texas Highlights
North Texas offense is explosive (#20)

North Texas Deficiencies
North Texas Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#72)
North Texas run game is really bad (#40)
North Texas Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
North Texas Does Not Stuff Runs (#82)
North Texas has a bad defensive line (#38)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMEMUNT
OverallOver#28#75
OffenseOff#21#79
DefenseDef#50#81
Special TeamsST#55#53
PassingPass#26#29
RushingRush#19#20
Run BlockRBLK#10#105
Pass BlockPBLK#9#73
Route RunningWR Rt#56#63
TacklingTkl#86#49
Run DefenseR Def#24#46
Pass Rush DefPRush#101#103
Coverage DefCov#62#89

Rematch from Week 8
Memphis -10.5 (67.5)
Memphis won vs North Texas this year (52-44)

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat North Texas last year (52-44)
Memphis beat North Texas in 2023 (45-42)
Memphis beat North Texas in 2022 (44-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNT | MEM
Depth Chart: UNT | MEM
Rosters: UNT | MEM
(#36) Memphis Info
Power Rating: 11.26 #36
Offense Rating: 23.90 #29
Defense Rating: 8.77 #61
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #12
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #80
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Memphis has won 2 straight
Memphis has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 7 - 0 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Memphis Notes
(12/17) DC Jordon Hankins makes zero adjustments
(11/28) Buried Tulane. Hennigan/Rgame good, R D great
(11/18) Off balanced and torched UAB. Still alive in AAC
(11/3) Def torched by UTSA, Henigan great/Rgame awful
(10/20) Def torched by N. Tex, Off was great esp Rgame
(10/13) Def stuff S Fla, 24 rush yds, 1.3 ypc. Off enough
(9/23) Huge L @ Navy. Had 660 yds in L, All. 361 Ryds
(9/15) Big W @ FSU. Henigan good, Run Def great
(8/13) Def should improve w/ P5 portals in (starters in P5)
(8/13) QB Henigan (10K yds), WR's are G5 best & freaks

Memphis Highlights
Memphis is Undefeated at Home

Memphis offense is explosive (#67)
Memphis offense is good in red zone (#27)
Memphis offense is good on 3rd downs
Memphis Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#11)
Memphis Defensive Line is very good (#22)
Memphis Front 7 is disruptive (#7)
Memphis Secondary is very good (#38)
Memphis has a great TO Margin (#28)

Memphis Deficiencies
Memphis gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#94)


  
North Texas's OC Jordan Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Morris (Tr)32250963%377431127.4
Drew Mestemaker304665%4622210.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Shane Porter9764856.779
Makenzie McGill78470106.075
Chandler Morris (Tr)6024244.049
Kiefer Sibley4420604.719
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
DT Sheffield (Tr)668221112.575
Damon Ward Jr.41755418.457
Blair Conwright40542713.696
Miles Coleman36378210.549

View North Texas's Full Roster
North Texas's DC Matt Caponi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Smith10680122
Jayden Hill (Tr)863123
Jordan Brown794120
Evan Jackson591012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Breylon Charles296531
Roderick Brown296530
Chavez Brown498410
Ethan Wesloski575321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ridge Texada442007
Taylor Starling202004
Brian Nelson II532013

Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Seth Henigan30947765%35022567.3
Harris Boyd11100%140014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Anderson (Tr)2361362185.853
Brandon Thomas5733595.957
Gregory DeRosiers3122837.446
Seth Henigan8019012.423
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Roc Taylor66950214.448
DeMeer Blankumsee45677615.089
Kobe Drake39484112.429
Anthony Landphere33379411.531

View Memphis's Full Roster
Memphis's DC Jordon Hankins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Martin110167104
Gregory Rubin746038
Matt Hudson (Tr)604110
Elijah Herring (Tr)598434
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chandler Martin110167104
William Whitlow Jr.248531
Elijah Herring (Tr)598434
Kobee Minor (Tr)377206
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davion Ross5120211
Gregory Rubin746038
Kobee Minor (Tr)377206