North Texas at Temple - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 30th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
North Texas -10.5 (63.5) (-450) Open: -11.5 | 64.5
North Texas 24 - Temple: 17 (American Athletic)

Mean Green (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (44 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TEM is playing their 4th straight game
UNT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: North Texas -13 (SP+ UNT -16)
Projected Score: UNT: 38 - TEM: 25 (64)
UNT Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
UNT Travel: 1301 miles, 1 hrs behind

Owls (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Stan Drayton (6 - 18)
Avg Score : 28 - 30 (24 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNT Players
TEM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Texas's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	North Texas at South Alabama	+6.0	61.5	W 52 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/7	North Texas vs Stephen F. Austin	-21.5	72.5	W 35 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/14	North Texas at Texas Tech	+10.5	70.5	L 21 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/21	North Texas vs Wyoming	-7.0	55.0	W 44 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/28	North Texas vs Tulsa	-7.0	65.5	W 52 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	North Texas at Florida Atlantic	-5.5	58.5	W 41 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/19	North Texas at Memphis	+10.5	67.5	L 44 - 52	O	Y
Sat 10/26	North Texas vs Tulane	+7.5	70.5	L 37 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	North Texas vs Army	+6.5	68.0	L 3 - 14	U	N
Fri 11/15	North Texas at UTSA	+1.0	73.0	L 27 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/23	North Texas vs East Carolina	-2.5	73.5	L 28 - 40	U	N
Sat 11/30	North Texas at Temple	-10.5	63.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Fri 1/3	North Texas vs Texas State	+15.5	67.5	L 28 - 30	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Temple's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Temple at Oklahoma	+42.5	59.5	L 3 - 51	U	N
Sat 9/7	Temple at Navy	+11.5	43.5	L 11 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/14	Temple vs Coastal Carolina	+17.5	51.5	L 20 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Temple vs Utah State	+6.5	53.5	W 45 - 29	O	Y
Thu 9/26	Temple vs Army	+11.0	46.5	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/5	Temple at UConn	+17.5	49.0	L 20 - 29	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Temple vs Tulsa	-3.5	51.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Temple at East Carolina	+8.5	48.5	L 34 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Temple at Tulane	+25.5	50.5	L 6 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/16	Temple vs Florida Atlantic	-2.0	50.0	W 18 - 15	U	Y
Fri 11/22	Temple at UTSA	+16.5	56.0	L 27 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/30	Temple vs North Texas	+10.5	63.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT	#28 (.28)	45% (42)	45.1	46% (37)	3.4 (12)	191	44% (42)	305	4.42 (28)	#132 (.34)	48% (131)	26.5	51% (129)	46% (120)	4.77 (130)	46.6	1.6	1.2
TEM	#98 (.14)	40% (94)	27.8	39% (114)	2.82 (116)	96	41% (71)	277	3.04 (123)	#121 (.29)	45% (109)	29.7	46% (100)	44% (98)	4.83 (131)	36.7	2.1	0.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Offense	12	45.1	43.7	44.7%	4.42	1.6	25	496	191	305	5.1	45%	54%	46%	44%	17%	.28
TEM Defense	12	29.7	30.7	45%	4.83	0.4	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	46%	44%	13%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Defense	12	26.5	28.3	48.5%	4.77	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	51%	46%	11%	.34
TEM Offense	12	27.8	23.8	39.9%	3.04	2.1	21	373	96	277	3.5	39%	60%	39%	41%	18%	.14

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Texas	12	29:12	24.8	42%	60%	4.8	46.6	1.6	1.2	4	1.4	0	27.6
Temple	12	28:21	20.6	38%	51%	4.5	36.7	2.1	0.4	5.6	1.8	1	26.4

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Offense	12	45% (105)	46% (37)	37.4	191.2	5.1	19 (69)	.3 (7)	3.4 (12)	78% (28)	10% (71)	1.22 (1)
TEM Defense	12	56% (125)	46% (100)	-	-	-	-	.17 (89)	3.18 (88)	93% (133)	10% (78)	0.88 (21)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Defense	12	60% (133)	51% (129)	-	-	-	-	.36 (132)	3.49 (129)	74% (77)	7% (133)	1.15 (120)
TEM Offense	12	39% (127)	39% (114)	27.6	96.3	3.5	9 (128)	.08 (106)	2.82 (116)	66% (116)	8% (32)	1.01 (61)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Offense	12	54% (29)	44% (42)	23.7	38.6	304.8	7.9	12.9	33 (11)	9 (40)	.3 (63)	1.7 (43)	33% (89)	35% (26)	.49 (20)	7% (96)	2.3 (11)
TEM Defense	12	44% (15)	44% (98)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (132)	.45 (129)	1.8 (127)	29% (117)	31% (84)	.38 (103)	3% (132)	2.1 (95)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Defense	12	39% (1)	46% (120)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.38 (115)	1.6 (62)	25% (132)	34% (116)	.44 (120)	5% (118)	2.1 (68)
TEM Offense	12	60% (7)	41% (71)	23.6	42.3	276.7	6.5	11.7	23 (51)	16 (121)	.24 (82)	1.6 (61)	33% (93)	35% (28)	.38 (57)	10% (132)	2.1 (44)

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -9.10 #98
North Texas's Offense Rating: 19.35 #70
North Texas's Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
2024 Talent Rating: 285.00 #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
North Texas's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Texas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5 #89
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #121

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -9.10 Temple: -19.615

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -4.5 Temple: -20.3

Temple's Power Ratings
Temple's Power Rating: -19.615 #128
Temple's Offense Rating: 8.70 #131
Temple's Defense Rating: 15.86 #114
2024 Talent Rating: 189.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Temple's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Temple's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.3 #127
Temple's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.3 #125
Temple's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #125

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 238.57
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 43.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

North Texas's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
North Texas 38
Temple 25

Projected Total Points: 64

Temple Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.8
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.7

Temple's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/28	North Texas	52	Temple	25	North Texas -20.0	North Texas	65.5	Over
2024	11/30	Temple	17	North Texas	24	North Texas -10.5	Temple	63.5	Under
2023	10/14	North Texas	45	Temple	14	North Texas -8	North Texas	65.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Temple	0	1	1 Overs
North Texas	3	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	3 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	0 - 3	0 - 1	0 - 2

(#98) UNT at (#128) TEM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNT	TEM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#98	#128
SP+SP+	#89	#127
Perf GradeGrade	#105	#113
OffenseOff	#99	#123
DefenseDef	#101	#83
Spec TeamsST	#64	#77
TalentTal	#81	#120
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#102

North Texas Notes(11/25) Now have to W @ Temple just to bowl
(11/25) 5 str L's, Def awful, R Def mauled. Bad vibes
(11/18) Def just abysmal (UTSA). Morris INTs, Rgame great
(11/17) DC Caponi after UTSA blowout
(10/20) Morris great, Rgame great, Def awful (Tulane L)
(10/12) QB Morris great, Rgame Ok in shootout W (F Atl)
(10/4) QB Morris been great, Rgame awful. Over Team
(9/1) Great W @ S Al, Morris 415, run game bad, Def bad
(8/21) Starting DB/S I. Young out for the season.
(8/13) Brutal def LY esp. vs run, Off has much to find
(7/30) QB Morris (TCU) out spring, 20 portals in 2 deep
(7/30) RB/WR mostly new, portal adds look good
North Texas Injury Report

Temple Notes(12/1) Hired HC Keeler (SHSU), was 97-39 in 12 years
(11/18) Off awful, Def OK in FAU W. HC Drayton fired.
(11/17) HC Drayton fired, DC Withers interim
(10/28) -8.5 ppg via TOs, last in CFB thru 8 games
(10/27) Run D all. 231 (6.4 ypc), Off 3 TOs in ECU L
(10/20) QB Simon torched Tulsa in upset W, Run D great
(9/26) Run D gave up 700+ yds to Army/Navy. Awful team
(9/23) QB Simon a huge upgrade over Brock. Good find
(9/8) Torched by Navy? Rgame worst, Run D torched
(8/25) QB battle - Simon over Brock. JAG on paper
(8/13) Could be worst Def in CFB & new QB. Bad times
(8/13) Best bet for team to go winless in '24
Temple Injury Report

North Texas on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat	UNT Off	TEM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#99	#83
SuccessSuc	#42	#109
ExplosiveExp	#5	#68
PPAPPA	#28	#121
PowerPwr	#70	#114
SP+SP+	#27	#125
Pts POPPO	#28	#131
HavocHav	#86	#124

North Texas Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat	UNT Off	TEM Def
Run GameRun	#30	#110
Run SuccessRSuc	#37	#100
Run ExplRExp	#1	#21
PPAExp	#7	#89
Run BlockR Blk	#133	-
OL YdsOLY	#12	#88
Stuff RateStuff	#60	#88
TackleTak	-	#46

North Texas Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
CategoryCat	UNT Off	TEM Def
Pass GamePass	#35	#60
Pass SuccessPSuc	#42	#98
Pass ExplPExl	#43	#127
PPAExp	#63	#129
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#85	#60
F7 HavocF7	#71	#78
DB HavocDB	#96	#132

Temple on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	TEM Off	UNT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#123	#101
SuccessSuc	#94	#131
ExplosiveExp	#19	#81
PPAPPA	#98	#132
PowerPwr	#131	#105
SP+SP+	#125	#121
Pts POPPO	#123	#130
HavocHav	#107	#132

Temple Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	TEM Off	UNT Def
Run GameRun	#136	#57
Run SuccessRSuc	#114	#129
Run ExplRExp	#61	#120
PPAExp	#106	#132
Run BlockR Blk	#128	-
OL YdsOLY	#116	#129
Stuff RateStuff	#96	#107
TackleTak	-	#54

Temple Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	TEM Off	UNT Def
Pass GamePass	#50	#110
Pass SuccessPSuc	#71	#120
Pass ExplPExl	#61	#62
PPAExp	#82	#115
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#122	#123
F7 HavocF7	#32	#133
DB HavocDB	#132	#118

Program Comparison
TEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UNT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'24 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lincoln Financial Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 14
North Texas 10.5 (63.5)
North Texas won at Temple this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Temple last year (52-25)
North Texas beat Temple in 2024 (24-17)
North Texas beat Temple in 2023 (45-14)

UNT's OC Jordan Davis (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chandler Morris (Tr)	322	509	63%	3774	31	12	7.4
Drew Mestemaker	30	46	65%	462	2	2	10.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Shane Porter	97	648	5	6.7	79
Makenzie McGill	78	470	10	6.0	75
Chandler Morris (Tr)	60	242	4	4.0	49
Kiefer Sibley	44	206	0	4.7	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
DT Sheffield (Tr)	66	822	11	12.5	75
Damon Ward Jr.	41	755	4	18.4	57
Blair Conwright	40	542	7	13.6	96
Miles Coleman	36	378	2	10.5	49

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Matt Caponi (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylen Smith	106	8	0	12	2
Jayden Hill (Tr)	86	3	1	2	3
Jordan Brown	79	4	1	2	0
Evan Jackson	59	1	0	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Breylon Charles	29	6	5	3	1
Roderick Brown	29	6	5	3	0
Chavez Brown	49	8	4	1	0
Ethan Wesloski	57	5	3	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ridge Texada	44	2	0	7
Taylor Starling	20	2	0	4
Brian Nelson II	53	2	1	3

TEM's OC Danny Langsdorf (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Evan Simon (Tr)	181	308	59%	2032	15	9	6.6
Forrest Brock	60	103	58%	541	1	5	5.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Terrez Worthy	79	425	4	5.4	75
Antwain Littleton II (Tr)	93	305	1	3.3	37
Jocquez Smith	36	132	1	3.7	22
EJ Wilson Jr.	16	59	0	3.7	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dante Wright	61	792	6	13.0	91
Ashton Allen	24	324	2	13.5	60
Landon Morris	16	251	1	15.7	58
John Adams	16	194	1	12.1	35

View Temple's Full Roster

TEM's DC Everett Withers (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyquan King (Tr)	111	6	3	6	0
D.J. Woodbury	93	5	2	1	0
Andreas Keaton (Tr)	67	0	0	0	3
Javier Morton (Tr)	48	0	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Diwun Black	23	6	3	8	3
Tyquan King (Tr)	111	6	3	6	0
Tra Thomas	28	5	2	1	0
D.J. Woodbury	93	5	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jamel Johnson (Tr)	47	3	9
Jaylen Lewis (Tr)	43	2	5
Ben Osueke	26	0	4