North Texas Mean Green at Florida Atlantic Owls
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (7:00 PM EDT)
North Texas -5.5 (58.5) (-205) Open: -6.0
North Texas 41 - Florida Atlantic: 37 (American Athletic)
Mean Green (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 34 - 34 (35 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
Coach Eric Morris (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 34 - 34 (35 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
UNT coming off BYE
FAU coming off BYE
Our Line: North Texas -5 (SP+ UNT -8)
Projected Score: UNT: 33 - FAU: 28 (62)
UNT Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
UNT Travel: 1124 miles, 1 hrs behind
FAU coming off BYE
Our Line: North Texas -5 (SP+ UNT -8)
Projected Score: UNT: 33 - FAU: 28 (62)
UNT Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
UNT Travel: 1124 miles, 1 hrs behind
Owls (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Chad Lunsford (Int) (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 30 (29 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
Coach Chad Lunsford (Int) (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 26 - 30 (29 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
| North Texas's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | North Texas at South Alabama | +6.0 | 61.5 | W 52 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | North Texas vs Stephen F. Austin | -21.5 | 72.5 | W 35 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | North Texas at Texas Tech | +10.5 | 70.5 | L 21 - 66 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | North Texas vs Wyoming | -7.0 | 55.0 | W 44 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | North Texas vs Tulsa | -7.0 | 65.5 | W 52 - 20 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | North Texas at Florida Atlantic | -5.5 | 58.5 | W 41 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | North Texas at Memphis | +10.5 | 67.5 | L 44 - 52 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | North Texas vs Tulane | +7.5 | 70.5 | L 37 - 45 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | North Texas vs Army | +6.5 | 68.0 | L 3 - 14 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/15 | North Texas at UTSA | +1.0 | 73.0 | L 27 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | North Texas vs East Carolina | -2.5 | 73.5 | L 28 - 40 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | North Texas at Temple | -10.5 | 63.5 | W 24 - 17 | U | N | |
| Fri 1/3 | North Texas vs Texas State | +15.5 | 67.5 | L 28 - 30 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Florida Atlantic's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/30 | Florida Atlantic at Michigan State | +12.0 | 45.0 | L 10 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Florida Atlantic vs Army | -1.5 | 42.5 | L 7 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Florida Atlantic vs Florida International | -3.5 | 44.5 | W 38 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Florida Atlantic at UConn | +1.0 | 46.0 | L 14 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Florida Atlantic vs Wagner | -34.5 | 52.5 | W 41 - 10 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Florida Atlantic vs North Texas | +5.5 | 58.5 | L 37 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Florida Atlantic at UTSA | +4.0 | 52.5 | L 24 - 38 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/1 | Florida Atlantic vs South Florida | +1.5 | 48.0 | L 21 - 44 | O | N | |
| Thu 11/7 | Florida Atlantic at East Carolina | +5.5 | 58.5 | L 14 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Florida Atlantic at Temple | +2.0 | 50.0 | L 15 - 18 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Florida Atlantic vs Charlotte | +3.0 | 49.5 | L 27 - 39 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Florida Atlantic at Tulsa | -2.5 | 57.5 | W 63 - 16 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT | #45 (.23) | 42% (70) | 33.5 | 40% (109) | 2.75 (111) | 153 | 44% (39) | 298 | 3.91 (69) | #98 (.22) | 44% (98) | 34.2 | 47% (106) | 42% (79) | 4.03 (93) | 52.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| FAU | #80 (.17) | 39% (108) | 25.9 | 40% (107) | 3.15 (48) | 189 | 39% (99) | 209 | 3.19 (122) | #90 (.21) | 41% (54) | 30.3 | 43% (72) | 38% (39) | 3.72 (62) | 51.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT | #45 (.23) | 42% (70) | 40% (109) | 2.75 (111) | 153 | 44% (39) | 298 | 3.91 (69) | #98 (.22) | 44% (98) | 47% (106) | 42% (79) | 4.03 (93) | 52.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | ||
| FAU | #80 (.17) | 39% (108) | 40% (107) | 3.15 (48) | 189 | 39% (99) | 209 | 3.19 (122) | #90 (.21) | 41% (54) | 43% (72) | 38% (39) | 3.72 (62) | 51.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT Offense | 13 | 33.5 | 34.8 | 42.5% | 3.91 | 1.5 | 22 | 451 | 153 | 298 | 5.6 | 38% | 62% | 40% | 44% | 15% | .23 |
| FAU Defense | 12 | 30.3 | 29.7 | 40.6% | 3.72 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 47% | 43% | 38% | 16% | .21 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT Defense | 13 | 34.2 | 43 | 44.3% | 4.03 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 47% | 42% | 11% | .22 |
| FAU Offense | 12 | 25.9 | 28.5 | 39.2% | 3.19 | 1.5 | 20 | 398 | 189 | 209 | 5 | 54% | 45% | 40% | 39% | 17% | .17 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas | 13 | 25:05 | 22.1 | 36% | 48% | 6.3 | 52.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 28.4 |
| Florida Atlantic | 12 | 30:22 | 19.5 | 35% | 47% | 6.6 | 51.6 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 5.7 | 1.4 | 1 | 28.5 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT Offense | 13 | 38% (129) | 40% (109) | 27.6 | 153.2 | 5.6 | 22 (55) | .17 (44) | 2.75 (111) | 58% (128) | 9% (51) | 1.25 (4) |
| FAU Defense | 12 | 52% (86) | 43% (72) | - | - | - | - | .16 (87) | 3.09 (86) | 83% (124) | 10% (65) | 1.05 (97) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT Defense | 13 | 54% (105) | 47% (106) | - | - | - | - | .19 (102) | 3.29 (111) | 75% (74) | 7% (128) | 0.96 (54) |
| FAU Offense | 12 | 54% (41) | 40% (107) | 38 | 189.2 | 5 | 24 (45) | .2 (34) | 3.15 (48) | 64% (118) | 12% (113) | 1.28 (2) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT Offense | 13 | 62% (6) | 44% (39) | 25.2 | 39.8 | 298 | 7.5 | 11.9 | 31 (6) | 12 (85) | .26 (64) | 1.6 (60) | 33% (88) | 34% (35) | .35 (64) | 6% (71) | 2 (93) |
| FAU Defense | 12 | 47% (45) | 38% (39) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (52) | .28 (94) | 1.8 (129) | 34% (33) | 32% (88) | .35 (91) | 6% (52) | 2.2 (108) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNT Defense | 13 | 46% (26) | 42% (79) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 (66) | .29 (98) | 1.7 (94) | 31% (90) | 30% (72) | .31 (69) | 4% (128) | 2.1 (93) |
| FAU Offense | 12 | 45% (98) | 39% (99) | 17.1 | 29.2 | 208.6 | 7.2 | 12.2 | 14 (108) | 11 (72) | .19 (96) | 1.6 (51) | 33% (105) | 32% (65) | .39 (46) | 5% (37) | 2.1 (43) |
North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -9.10 #98
North Texas's Offense Rating: 19.35 #70
North Texas's Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
North Texas's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Texas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5 #89
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #121
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
North Texas's Power Rating: -9.10 #98
North Texas's Offense Rating: 19.35 #70
North Texas's Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
North Texas's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Texas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5 #89
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #121
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -9.10 Florida Atlantic: -11.865
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -4.5 Florida Atlantic: -12.7
North Texas: -9.10 Florida Atlantic: -11.865
SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -4.5 Florida Atlantic: -12.7
Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -11.865 #114
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 14.76 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 11.20 #82
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #113
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -11.865 #114
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 14.76 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 11.20 #82
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #113
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.8
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 43
North Texas's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.8
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 43
North Texas's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 33
Florida Atlantic 28
Total Points: 62
North Texas 33
Florida Atlantic 28
Total Points: 62
Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7
Florida Atlantic's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/12 | Florida Atlantic | 37 | North Texas | 41 | North Texas | North Texas -5.5 | Florida Atlantic | 58.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/01 | North Texas | 45 | Florida Atlantic | 28 | North Texas | Florida Atlantic -3 | North Texas | 67.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/15 | North Texas | 41 | Florida Atlantic | 38 | North Texas | North Texas -4.5 | Florida Atlantic | 63.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 12/02 | Florida Atlantic | 41 | North Texas | 17 | Florida Atlantic | Florida Atlantic -12 | Florida Atlantic | 71.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/21 | Florida Atlantic | 69 | North Texas | 31 | Florida Atlantic | Florida Atlantic -3.5 | Florida Atlantic | 66.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/08 | North Texas | 31 | Florida Atlantic | 10 | North Texas | Florida Atlantic -3.5 | North Texas | 0 | |
| 2012 | 09/29 | Florida Atlantic | 14 | North Texas | 20 | North Texas | ||||
| 2011 | 10/08 | North Texas | 31 | Florida Atlantic | 17 | North Texas | ||||
| 2010 | 09/25 | Florida Atlantic | 17 | North Texas | 21 | North Texas | ||||
| 2009 | 10/17 | North Texas | 40 | Florida Atlantic | 44 | Florida Atlantic | ||||
| 2008 | 11/08 | Florida Atlantic | 46 | North Texas | 13 | Florida Atlantic | ||||
| 2007 | 09/22 | North Texas | 20 | Florida Atlantic | 30 | Florida Atlantic | ||||
| 2006 | 11/18 | North Texas | 16 | Florida Atlantic | 17 | Florida Atlantic | ||||
| 2005 | 11/12 | Florida Atlantic | 26 | North Texas | 23 | Florida Atlantic | ||||
| 2004 | 09/11 | North Texas | 13 | Florida Atlantic | 20 | Florida Atlantic |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Atlantic | 8 | 4 | 4 Overs |
| North Texas | 7 | 2 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 8 - 7 | 5 - 1 | 2 - 1 | 3 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 7 - 8 | 1 - 5 | 0 - 3 | 1 - 2 |
(#98) North Texas Info
Power Rating: -9.10 #98
Offense Rating: 19.35 #70
Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5 #89
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #121
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
North Texas has won 2 straight
North Texas has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
North Texas Notes
(11/25) 5 str L's, Def awful, R Def mauled. Bad vibes
(11/18) Def just abysmal (UTSA). Morris INTs, Rgame great
(11/17) DC Caponi after UTSA blowout
(10/20) Morris great, Rgame great, Def awful (Tulane L)
(10/12) QB Morris great, Rgame Ok in shootout W (F Atl)
(10/4) QB Morris been great, Rgame awful. Over Team
(9/1) Great W @ S Al, Morris 415, run game bad, Def bad
(8/21) Starting DB/S I. Young out for the season.
(8/13) Brutal def LY esp. vs run, Off has much to find
(7/30) QB Morris (TCU) out spring, 20 portals in 2 deep
North Texas Highlights
North Texas offense is explosive (#20)
North Texas Deficiencies
North Texas Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#72)
North Texas run game is really bad (#40)
North Texas Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
North Texas Does Not Stuff Runs (#82)
North Texas has a bad defensive line (#38)
Power Rating: -9.10 #98
Offense Rating: 19.35 #70
Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5 #89
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #121
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
North Texas has won 2 straight
North Texas has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
North Texas Notes
(11/25) 5 str L's, Def awful, R Def mauled. Bad vibes
(11/18) Def just abysmal (UTSA). Morris INTs, Rgame great
(11/17) DC Caponi after UTSA blowout
(10/20) Morris great, Rgame great, Def awful (Tulane L)
(10/12) QB Morris great, Rgame Ok in shootout W (F Atl)
(10/4) QB Morris been great, Rgame awful. Over Team
(9/1) Great W @ S Al, Morris 415, run game bad, Def bad
(8/21) Starting DB/S I. Young out for the season.
(8/13) Brutal def LY esp. vs run, Off has much to find
(7/30) QB Morris (TCU) out spring, 20 portals in 2 deep
North Texas Highlights
North Texas offense is explosive (#20)
North Texas Deficiencies
North Texas Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#72)
North Texas run game is really bad (#40)
North Texas Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
North Texas Does Not Stuff Runs (#82)
North Texas has a bad defensive line (#38)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | FAU | UNT |
| OverallOver | #56 | #75 |
| OffenseOff | #68 | #79 |
| DefenseDef | #47 | #81 |
| Special TeamsST | #67 | #53 |
| PassingPass | #99 | #29 |
| RushingRush | #49 | #20 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #28 | #105 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #65 | #73 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #66 | #63 |
| TacklingTkl | #95 | #49 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #93 | #46 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #33 | #103 |
| Coverage DefCov | #16 | #89 |
Rematch from Week 7
North Texas 5.5 (58.5)
North Texas won at Florida Atlantic this year (41-37)
Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Florida Atlantic last year (41-37)
North Texas beat Florida Atlantic in 2022 (45-28)
Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: UNT | FAU
Depth Chart: UNT | FAU
Rosters: UNT | FAU
(#114) Florida Atlantic Info
Power Rating: -11.865 #114
Offense Rating: 14.76 #109
Defense Rating: 11.20 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #109
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Florida Atlantic has won 1 straight
Florida Atlantic has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Florida Atlantic Notes
(12/5) Hired new HC Tex Tech OC Zach Kittley
(11/18) HC Herman fired, ST's Lunsford taking over
(11/18) Off is lost. Herman fired after Temple L. DC back?
(11/18) DC Bellantoni back after Herman fired?
(11/10) Fired DC Bellantoni and OL Warinner
(11/8) Killed by ECU, Def mauled, QB Weisman good find?
(11/8) QB Fancher inj (ECU). BU Weisman looks good
(11/4) Def mauled by USF, 300+ rush, 7.4 ypc, Off OK, flags
(10/20) Def bad vs UTSA, 480+ yds. Run heavy but 3 ypc?
(10/12) Fancher/Rgame good, Def torched shootout L N.T.
Florida Atlantic Highlights
Florida Atlantic offense is explosive (#65)
Florida Atlantic Deficiencies
Florida Atlantic offense is really bad (#62)
Florida Atlantic offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#69)
Florida Atlantic run game is really bad (#56)
Florida Atlantic offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Florida Atlantic does not Sack the QB (#112)
Florida Atlantic gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#104)
Power Rating: -11.865 #114
Offense Rating: 14.76 #109
Defense Rating: 11.20 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7 #113
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #109
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #104
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #74
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Florida Atlantic has won 1 straight
Florida Atlantic has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Florida Atlantic Notes
(12/5) Hired new HC Tex Tech OC Zach Kittley
(11/18) HC Herman fired, ST's Lunsford taking over
(11/18) Off is lost. Herman fired after Temple L. DC back?
(11/18) DC Bellantoni back after Herman fired?
(11/10) Fired DC Bellantoni and OL Warinner
(11/8) Killed by ECU, Def mauled, QB Weisman good find?
(11/8) QB Fancher inj (ECU). BU Weisman looks good
(11/4) Def mauled by USF, 300+ rush, 7.4 ypc, Off OK, flags
(10/20) Def bad vs UTSA, 480+ yds. Run heavy but 3 ypc?
(10/12) Fancher/Rgame good, Def torched shootout L N.T.
Florida Atlantic Highlights
Florida Atlantic offense is explosive (#65)
Florida Atlantic Deficiencies
Florida Atlantic offense is really bad (#62)
Florida Atlantic offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#69)
Florida Atlantic run game is really bad (#56)
Florida Atlantic offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Florida Atlantic does not Sack the QB (#112)
Florida Atlantic gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#104)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 322 | 509 | 63% | 3774 | 31 | 12 | 7.4 |
| Drew Mestemaker | 30 | 46 | 65% | 462 | 2 | 2 | 10.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Porter | 97 | 648 | 5 | 6.7 | 79 |
| Makenzie McGill | 78 | 470 | 10 | 6.0 | 75 |
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 60 | 242 | 4 | 4.0 | 49 |
| Kiefer Sibley | 44 | 206 | 0 | 4.7 | 19 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DT Sheffield (Tr) | 66 | 822 | 11 | 12.5 | 75 |
| Damon Ward Jr. | 41 | 755 | 4 | 18.4 | 57 |
| Blair Conwright | 40 | 542 | 7 | 13.6 | 96 |
| Miles Coleman | 36 | 378 | 2 | 10.5 | 49 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Smith | 106 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 2 |
| Jayden Hill (Tr) | 86 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Jordan Brown | 79 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Evan Jackson | 59 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breylon Charles | 29 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Roderick Brown | 29 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Chavez Brown | 49 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Ethan Wesloski | 57 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridge Texada | 44 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Taylor Starling | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Brian Nelson II | 53 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Fancher (Tr) | 126 | 212 | 59% | 1528 | 6 | 6 | 7.2 |
| Kasen Weisman (Tr) | 39 | 73 | 53% | 416 | 2 | 3 | 5.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Campbell | 165 | 860 | 11 | 5.2 | 58 |
| Zuberi Mobley | 91 | 471 | 4 | 5.2 | 72 |
| Cam Fancher (Tr) | 99 | 365 | 3 | 3.7 | 76 |
| Xavier Terrell | 14 | 261 | 3 | 18.6 | 93 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omari Hayes | 39 | 590 | 3 | 15.1 | 71 |
| CJ Campbell | 40 | 466 | 3 | 11.7 | 78 |
| Jabari Smith | 17 | 296 | 3 | 17.4 | 76 |
| Marlyn Johnson (Tr) | 17 | 169 | 0 | 9.9 | 22 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Heard | 74 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jackson Ambush | 68 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Eddie Williams | 51 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Phillip Dunnam (Tr) | 48 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Merrifield | 15 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Marlon Bradley | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Chisom Ifeanyi (Tr) | 21 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Jackson Ambush | 68 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahzir Brown (Tr) | 42 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Daedae Hill | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Phillip Dunnam (Tr) | 48 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 |