Tulane at North Texas - 2024 Matchup Preview
Tulane logo Tulane Green Wave at North Texas Mean GreenNorth Texas logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Tulane -7.5 (70.5) (-300)  Open: -7.5 | 65.5
Tulane 45 - North Texas: 37  (American Athletic)

 
Green Wave (9 - 5) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jon Sumrall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (37 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 5 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Our Line: Tulane -10.5   (SP+ TULN -10)
Projected Score: TULN: 38 - UNT: 28 (66)
TULN Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
TULN Travel: 472 miles
Mean Green (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Eric Morris (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 34 - 34 (33 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
 
Tulane's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Tulane vs SE Louisiana-28.555.5W 52 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Tulane vs Kansas State+8.547.5L 27 - 34OY
Sat 9/14 Tulane at Oklahoma+13.548.5L 19 - 34ON
Sat 9/21 Tulane at Louisiana-1.553.5W 41 - 33OY
Sat 9/28 Tulane vs South Florida-4.060.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 10/5 Tulane at UAB-19.552.0W 71 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Tulane vs Rice-21.553.5W 24 - 10UN
Sat 10/26 Tulane at North Texas-7.570.5W 45 - 37OY
Thu 10/31 Tulane at Charlotte-14.555.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 11/9 Tulane vs Temple-25.550.5W 52 - 6OY
Sat 11/16 Tulane at Navy-7.549.0W 35 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/28 Tulane vs Memphis-12.554.5L 24 - 34ON
Fri 12/6 Tulane at Army-4.546.5L 14 - 35ON
Fri 12/20 Tulane vs Florida+10.050.5L 8 - 33UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule
North Texas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 North Texas at South Alabama+6.061.5W 52 - 38OY
Sat 9/7 North Texas vs Stephen F. Austin-21.572.5W 35 - 20UN
Sat 9/14 North Texas at Texas Tech+10.570.5L 21 - 66ON
Sat 9/21 North Texas vs Wyoming-7.055.0W 44 - 17OY
Sat 9/28 North Texas vs Tulsa-7.065.5W 52 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 North Texas at Florida Atlantic-5.558.5W 41 - 37ON
Sat 10/19 North Texas at Memphis+10.567.5L 44 - 52OY
Sat 10/26 North Texas vs Tulane+7.570.5L 37 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 North Texas vs Army+6.568.0L 3 - 14UN
Fri 11/15 North Texas at UTSA+1.073.0L 27 - 48ON
Sat 11/23 North Texas vs East Carolina-2.573.5L 28 - 40UN
Sat 11/30 North Texas at Temple-10.563.5W 24 - 17UN
Fri 1/3 North Texas vs Texas State+15.567.5L 28 - 30UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)35.145% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)20.638% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)33.540% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)34.247% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)45% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)38% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)40% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)47% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Offense1435.13745.5%4.51.1214061972094.960%40%45%47%11%.27
UNT Defense1334.22644.3%4.031.1 - - - - - 54%46%47%42%11%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Defense1420.623.138.3%3.531.6 - - - - - 50%50%38%39%16%.07
UNT Offense1333.533.242.5%3.911.5224511532985.638%62%40%44%15%.23

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulane1432:1320.850%45%6.150.11.11.65.42.4734.5
North Texas1325:0522.136%48%6.352.51.51.14.51.7128.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Offense1460% (10)45% (61)40.1196.64.932 (14).14 (65)3.15 (47)75% (57)7% (14)0.94 (80)
UNT Defense1354% (105)47% (106) - - - - .19 (102)3.29 (111)75% (74)7% (128)0.96 (54)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Defense1450% (62)38% (14) - - - - .07 (41)2.97 (59)76% (80)11% (47)1.05 (99)
UNT Offense1338% (129)40% (109)27.6153.25.622 (55).17 (44)2.75 (111)58% (128)9% (51)1.25 (4)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Offense1440% (125)47% (23)14.823.5209.48.914.225 (31)9 (48).48 (4)1.8 (12)32% (76)36% (22).49 (12)4% (11)2.1 (34)
UNT Defense1346% (26)42% (79) - - - - - - 10 (66).29 (98)1.7 (94)31% (90)30% (72).31 (69)4% (128)2.1 (93)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Defense1450% (75)39% (45) - - - - - - 14 (23).07 (9)1.5 (21)32% (62)28% (31).18 (20)6% (85)1.9 (28)
UNT Offense1362% (6)44% (39)25.239.82987.511.931 (6)12 (85).26 (64)1.6 (60)33% (88)34% (35).35 (64)6% (71)2 (93)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 6.32 #40
Tulane's Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Tulane's Defense Rating: 5.16 #28
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Tulane's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0
Tulane's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7 #43
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 6.32   North Texas: -4.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 5.7   North Texas: -4.5




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -4.3 #98
North Texas's Offense Rating: 19.35 #70
North Texas's Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
North Texas's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
North Texas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5 #89
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #121

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Tulane Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.1

Tulane's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Tulane 38
North Texas 28


Total Points: 66

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.2
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Texas's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26North Texas37Tulane45TulaneTulane -7.5Tulane70.5Over
202310/21Tulane35North Texas28TulaneTulane -20North Texas63.5Under
201310/05Tulane24North Texas21TulaneNorth Texas -2Tulane0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas011 Overs
Tulane321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 20 - 11 - 1
Road Teams1 - 22 - 11 - 11 - 0

(#40) Tulane Info
Power Rating: 6.32 #40
Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Defense Rating: 5.16 #28
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7 #43
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #30
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 9.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.5 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.53 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Tulane has won 4 straight
Tulane has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 2 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Tulane Notes
(12/16) QB Mensah left via portal (Duke)
(12/16) Signed QB TJ Finley (WKU/T St/Aub/LSU)
(12/6) Mauled by Army in AACC, Run D mauled 335 yds
(11/28) Mauled by Memphis on Sr day, Outrushed 236-57.
(11/25) AAC title game vs Army
(11/16) 200+ rush yds in Navy W, Clinched AAC title game
(10/31) Very slow paced and methodical. Too conservative
(10/28) Scored 40+ pts in last 4 of 5, Navy/Memphis finish
(10/28) Most pts off TOs in CFB, 8+ PPG thru 8 weeks
(10/20) Even w/ Rice into 4th? Mensah/Rgame bad TW

Tulane Highlights
Tulane has Really Good Running Game (#19)
Tulane offense is good in red zone (#57)
Tulane offense is good on 3rd downs
Tulane Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Tulane has a really good defense (#96)
Tulane has a good run defense (#109)
Tulane defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Tulane Deficiencies
Tulane Commits a Lot of Penalties (#118)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUNTTULN
OverallOver#75#6
OffenseOff#79#4
DefenseDef#81#17
Special TeamsST#53#51
PassingPass#29#12
RushingRush#20#8
Run BlockRBLK#105#9
Pass BlockPBLK#73#30
Route RunningWR Rt#63#9
TacklingTkl#49#76
Run DefenseR Def#46#48
Pass Rush DefPRush#103#2
Coverage DefCov#89#52

Rematch from Week 9
Tulane 7.5 (70.5)
Tulane won at North Texas this year (45-37)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat North Texas last year (45-37)
Tulane beat North Texas in 2023 (35-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TULN | UNT
Depth Chart: TULN | UNT
Rosters: TULN | UNT
(#98) North Texas Info
Power Rating: -4.3 #98
Offense Rating: 19.35 #70
Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5 #89
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #121
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 38%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

North Texas has lost 1 straight
North Texas has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

North Texas Notes
(11/25) 5 str L's, Def awful, R Def mauled. Bad vibes
(11/18) Def just abysmal (UTSA). Morris INTs, Rgame great
(11/17) DC Caponi after UTSA blowout
(10/20) Morris great, Rgame great, Def awful (Tulane L)
(10/12) QB Morris great, Rgame Ok in shootout W (F Atl)
(10/4) QB Morris been great, Rgame awful. Over Team
(9/1) Great W @ S Al, Morris 415, run game bad, Def bad
(8/21) Starting DB/S I. Young out for the season.
(8/13) Brutal def LY esp. vs run, Off has much to find
(7/30) QB Morris (TCU) out spring, 20 portals in 2 deep

North Texas Highlights
North Texas offense is explosive (#20)

North Texas Deficiencies
North Texas Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#72)
North Texas run game is really bad (#40)
North Texas Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
North Texas Does Not Stuff Runs (#82)
North Texas has a bad defensive line (#38)


  
Tulane's OC Joe Craddock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Darian Mensah17226266%25142059.6
Ty Thompson (Tr)61155%74206.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makhi Hughes2431306155.451
Arnold Barnes8339664.827
Ty Thompson (Tr)4024366.150
Ashaad Clayton2719817.328
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Williams (Tr)48831417.368
Dontae Fleming29577119.953
Yulkeith Brown31440414.242
Alex Bauman15171611.436

View Tulane's Full Roster
Tulane's DC Greg Gasparato
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Grubbs585211
Sam Howard (Tr)564201
Bailey Despanie493001
Jack Tchienchou (Tr)471000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameron Hamilton216540
Patrick Jenkins307512
Matthew Fobbs-White218401
Adin Huntington (Tr)285401
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Micah Robinson (Tr)291006
Javion White92003
Rayshawn Pleasant351003

North Texas's OC Jordan Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Morris (Tr)32250963%377431127.4
Drew Mestemaker304665%4622210.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Shane Porter9764856.779
Makenzie McGill78470106.075
Chandler Morris (Tr)6024244.049
Kiefer Sibley4420604.719
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
DT Sheffield (Tr)668221112.575
Damon Ward Jr.41755418.457
Blair Conwright40542713.696
Miles Coleman36378210.549

View North Texas's Full Roster
North Texas's DC Matt Caponi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Smith10680122
Jayden Hill (Tr)863123
Jordan Brown794120
Evan Jackson591012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Breylon Charles296531
Roderick Brown296530
Chavez Brown498410
Ethan Wesloski575321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ridge Texada442007
Taylor Starling202004
Brian Nelson II532013