Purdue at Indiana - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 30th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Indiana -28.5 (56.5) (-6000) Open: -29.0 | 56.5
Indiana 66 - Purdue: 0 (Big Ten)

Boilermakers (1 - 11) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (16 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#132)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

PUR 2nd straight Road Game
PUR is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Indiana -38.5 (SP+ IND -36)
Projected Score: PUR: 8 - IND: 47 (55)
IND Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
PUR Travel: 89 miles

Hoosiers (11 - 2) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 42 - 12 (49 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PUR Players
IND Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Purdue's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Purdue vs Indiana State	-35.5	52.5	W 49 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Purdue vs Notre Dame	+11.5	45.5	L 7 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/21	Purdue at Oregon State	+1.5	51.0	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/28	Purdue vs Nebraska	+10.0	47.5	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/5	Purdue at Wisconsin	+12.0	44.5	L 6 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/12	Purdue at Illinois	+22.5	47.5	L 49 - 50	O	Y
Fri 10/18	Purdue vs Oregon	+30.0	61.0	L 0 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Purdue vs Northwestern	-3.0	44.5	L 20 - 26	O	N
Sat 11/9	Purdue at Ohio State	+37.5	55.5	L 0 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/16	Purdue vs Penn State	+30.0	51.5	L 10 - 49	O	N
Fri 11/22	Purdue at Michigan State	+14.0	49.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Purdue at Indiana	+28.5	56.5	L 0 - 66	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule

Indiana's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Indiana vs Florida International	-20.5	50.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Fri 9/6	Indiana vs Western Illinois	-44.5	52.5	W 77 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Indiana at UCLA	-3.5	46.5	W 42 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Indiana vs Charlotte	-28.5	50.0	W 52 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Indiana vs Maryland	-7.5	50.0	W 42 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Indiana vs Northwestern	-12.5	40.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Indiana vs Nebraska	-6.5	48.0	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Indiana vs Washington	-5.5	54.0	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Indiana at Michigan State	-7.5	53.5	W 47 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Indiana vs Michigan	-14.5	47.5	W 20 - 15	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Indiana at Ohio State	+10.5	52.5	L 15 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/30	Indiana vs Purdue	-28.5	56.5	W 66 - 0	O	Y
Fri 12/20	Indiana at Notre Dame	+7.0	50.0	L 17 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR	#86 (.16)	42% (60)	18.8	45% (51)	3.16 (60)	169	41% (78)	211	3.21 (112)	#74 (.19)	40% (44)	31.8	41% (45)	40% (52)	4.28 (112)	57.6	1.5	1.5
IND	#106 (.12)	41% (85)	41.6	39% (117)	3.26 (38)	121	44% (48)	212	3.11 (119)	#103 (.24)	46% (120)	11.7	47% (109)	45% (118)	4.08 (95)	51	1.5	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
IND		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Offense	12	18.8	15.8	42.5%	3.21	1.5	20	380	169	211	4.4	51%	48%	45%	41%	18%	.16
IND Defense	12	11.7	8.4	45.8%	4.08	1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	47%	45%	17%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Defense	12	31.8	34.4	40.2%	4.28	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	41%	40%	17%	.19
IND Offense	12	41.6	49.1	40.9%	3.11	1.5	20	334	121	212	3.4	50%	49%	39%	44%	17%	.12

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Purdue	12	30:25	20.4	36%	39%	6	57.6	1.5	1.5	5.8	2.8	1	29.4
Indiana	12	29:25	19.7	37%	35%	5.5	51	1.5	1	6.1	1.8	2	26.5

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Offense	12	51% (55)	45% (51)	38.5	168.8	4.4	20 (61)	.15 (69)	3.16 (60)	54% (133)	12% (118)	0.98 (76)
IND Defense	12	52% (96)	47% (109)	-	-	-	-	.14 (65)	3.24 (100)	75% (80)	10% (58)	0.85 (14)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Defense	12	51% (80)	41% (45)	-	-	-	-	.08 (31)	3 (48)	68% (41)	11% (38)	0.97 (53)
IND Offense	12	50% (68)	39% (117)	36.2	121.3	3.4	13 (108)	.07 (112)	3.26 (38)	69% (105)	11% (83)	0.91 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Offense	12	48% (81)	41% (78)	19.5	32.7	211.2	6.5	10.8	15 (96)	10 (56)	.22 (89)	1.5 (111)	31% (56)	30% (75)	.31 (75)	6% (71)	2.1 (58)
IND Defense	12	47% (36)	45% (118)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.39 (117)	1.6 (77)	29% (115)	33% (104)	.41 (110)	6% (69)	2.2 (103)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Defense	12	49% (56)	40% (52)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.33 (102)	1.8 (121)	33% (50)	32% (93)	.38 (101)	6% (73)	2.2 (96)
IND Offense	12	49% (70)	44% (48)	17.9	30.5	212.3	7	11.9	18 (81)	10 (56)	.26 (76)	1.5 (119)	30% (43)	28% (91)	.16 (118)	6% (82)	1.9 (107)

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -18.22 #120
Purdue's Offense Rating: 16.91 #94
Purdue's Defense Rating: 22.82 #134
2024 Talent Rating: 382.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #35
Purdue's 2024 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Purdue's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2 #121
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #116
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -18.22 Indiana: 21.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -16.2 Indiana: 20.1

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 21.3 #10
Indiana's Offense Rating: 28.20 #6
Indiana's Defense Rating: 4.35 #24
2024 Talent Rating: 361.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Indiana's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
Indiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.1 #11
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.4 #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Purdue's 2024 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Indiana 47
Purdue 8

Projected Total Points: 55

Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 49.1
Defense: 11.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.4

Indiana's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/28	Purdue	3	Indiana	56	Indiana -28.5	Indiana	53.5	Over
2024	11/30	Indiana	66	Purdue	0	Indiana -28.5	Indiana	56.5	Over
2023	11/25	Purdue	35	Indiana	31	Purdue -2.5	Purdue	55.5	Over
2022	11/26	Indiana	16	Purdue	30	Purdue -10	Purdue	52.5	Under
2021	11/27	Purdue	44	Indiana	7	Purdue -18	Purdue	50.5	Over
2019	11/30	Purdue	41	Indiana	44	Indiana -7	Purdue	56.5	Over
2018	11/24	Indiana	21	Purdue	28	Purdue -3.5	Purdue	65.0	Under
2017	11/25	Purdue	31	Indiana	24	Purdue -1.5	Purdue	51.0	Over
2016	11/26	Indiana	26	Purdue	24	Indiana -16	Purdue	66.5	Under
2015	11/28	Purdue	36	Indiana	54	Indiana -5	Indiana	68.5	Over
2014	11/29	Indiana	23	Purdue	16	Indiana -2.5	Indiana	0
2013	11/30	Indiana	56	Purdue	36	Indiana -20.5	Purdue	0
2012	11/24	Purdue	56	Indiana	35
2011	11/26	Indiana	25	Purdue	33
2010	11/27	Purdue	31	Indiana	34
2009	11/21	Indiana	21	Purdue	38
2008	11/22	Purdue	62	Indiana	10
2007	11/17	Indiana	27	Purdue	24
2006	11/18	Purdue	28	Indiana	19
2005	11/19	Indiana	14	Purdue	41
2004	11/20	Purdue	63	Indiana	24
2003	11/22	Indiana	16	Purdue	24
2001	11/24	Indiana	13	Purdue	7
2000	11/17	Purdue	41	Indiana	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Indiana	10	4	7 Overs
Purdue	14	8	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	6 - 6	5 - 2	1 - 4
Road Teams	10 - 14	6 - 6	4 - 1	2 - 5

(#120) PUR at (#10) IND

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PUR	IND
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#120	#10
SP+SP+	#121	#11
Perf GradeGrade	#123	#1
OffenseOff	#91	#2
DefenseDef	#132	#4
Spec TeamsST	#66	#4
TalentTal	#44	#57
Blue ChipsBC%	#35	#38

Purdue Notes(12/8) Hired HC Barry Odom (UNLV)
(12/1) HC Walters fired, 5-19 in 2 years
(11/24) Card torched MSU. Rgame P4 worst? Fought hard
(10/19) Never ever ever bet this dogshit team again
(10/19) QB Brown sucks, Rgame good vs Oregon, shutout
(10/18) QB Brown likely over Card from here out
(10/12) QB Browne/Rgame torched Ill. Def awful
(10/7) P4's worst team. Does Walters survive after this?
(10/3) Fired OC Harrell after 4 games
(9/28) Run D better vs Neb. Off was awful, esp run
(9/23) Run Def all 341 (6.0 ypc) @ Oreg St, Card awful
(9/15) Run Def awful, 364 (8.5 ypc), Off 25/38 (1.5) vs ND
Purdue Injury Report

Indiana Notes(12/24) Signed QB Mendoza (Cal)/RB Hemby (MD)
(12/5) Co-OC Sunseri hired as UCLA OC after '24
(11/24) Off awful vs OSU, 153 total yards. Def wilted
(11/13) Off human vs Mich, Rgame awful (40 yds, 1.4 ypc)
(11/2) Run Def killed MSU. Off 47 pts but #'s bad
(11/1) 3-0, avg 27 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/28) QB Rourke (inj) could play vs Michigan St
(10/19) 500 yds, owned Nebraska. Def was good, fun team
(9/28) 500+ yds vs MD. Overcame 5 TOs, still won
(9/19) V good WR's. Cooper top 5 M2M, 4 good options.
(9/1) Grounded FIU, 234 yds rushing (6 ypc). Def was good
(8/4) Cignetti is cocky/confident & wins everywhere.
Indiana Injury Report

Purdue on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	PUR Off	IND Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#91	#4
SuccessSuc	#60	#120
ExplosiveExp	#109	#26
PPAPPA	#86	#103
PowerPwr	#94	#24
SP+SP+	#116	#15
Pts POPPO	#112	#95
HavocHav	#106	#59

Purdue Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	PUR Off	IND Def
Run GameRun	#84	#6
Run SuccessRSuc	#51	#109
Run ExplRExp	#76	#14
PPAExp	#69	#65
Run BlockR Blk	#77	-
OL YdsOLY	#60	#100
Stuff RateStuff	#107	#81
TackleTak	-	#94

Purdue Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	PUR Off	IND Def
Pass GamePass	#72	#17
Pass SuccessPSuc	#78	#118
Pass ExplPExl	#111	#77
PPAExp	#89	#117
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#99	#11
F7 HavocF7	#118	#58
DB HavocDB	#71	#69

Indiana on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	IND Off	PUR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#2	#132
SuccessSuc	#85	#44
ExplosiveExp	#114	#103
PPAPPA	#106	#74
PowerPwr	#6	#134
SP+SP+	#18	#110
Pts POPPO	#119	#112
HavocHav	#88	#48

Indiana Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	IND Off	PUR Def
Run GameRun	#33	#112
Run SuccessRSuc	#117	#45
Run ExplRExp	#108	#53
PPAExp	#112	#31
Run BlockR Blk	#19	-
OL YdsOLY	#38	#48
Stuff RateStuff	#9	#50
TackleTak	-	#111

Indiana Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	IND Off	PUR Def
Pass GamePass	#5	#134
Pass SuccessPSuc	#48	#52
Pass ExplPExl	#119	#121
PPAExp	#76	#102
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#36	#97
F7 HavocF7	#83	#38
DB HavocDB	#82	#73

Program Comparison
IND 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

PUR 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 14
Indiana -28.5 (56.5)
Indiana won vs Purdue this year (66-0)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Purdue last year (56-3)
Indiana beat Purdue in 2024 (66-0)
Purdue beat Indiana in 2023 (35-31)

PUR's OC Graham Harrell (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hudson Card	144	248	58%	1641	9	7	6.6
Ryan Browne	43	76	57%	532	4	2	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Mockobee	138	687	4	5.0	63
Reggie Love III (Tr)	83	372	2	4.5	22
Ryan Browne	50	155	0	3.1	23
Elijah Jackson	6	97	1	16.2	69

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Max Klare	51	685	4	13.4	62
Jahmal Edrine	23	365	2	15.9	53
Jaron Tibbs	25	305	2	12.2	38
Devin Mockobee	17	170	1	10.0	21

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Kevin Kane (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dillon Thieneman	104	5	1	0	6
Kydran Jenkins	83	13	7	5	1
Yanni Karlaftis	57	2	1	2	1
Will Heldt	56	10	5	5	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kydran Jenkins	83	13	7	5	1
Will Heldt	56	10	5	5	0
Nyland Green (Tr)	23	2	2	0	5
Cole Brevard	19	6	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dillon Thieneman	104	5	1	0	6
Nyland Green (Tr)	23	2	2	0	5
Kyndrich Breedlove (Tr)	40	2	0	1	4

IND's OC Mike Shanahan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kurtis Rourke (Tr)	222	320	69%	3042	29	5	9.5
Tayven Jackson	23	37	62%	349	4	1	9.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Justice Ellison (Tr)	159	848	10	5.3	47
Ty Son Lawton	141	668	12	4.7	29
Kaelon Black (Tr)	46	251	2	5.5	21
Elijah Green (Tr)	29	201	5	6.9	51

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijah Sarratt (Tr)	53	957	8	18.1	84
Omar Cooper Jr.	28	594	7	21.2	69
Myles Price (Tr)	38	466	3	12.3	41
Ke'Shawn Williams (Tr)	39	448	5	11.5	52

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Bryant Haines (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aiden Fisher (Tr)	118	6	2	3	4
Jailin Walker (Tr)	82	10	2	5	8
Shawn Asbury II (Tr)	69	5	2	1	4
D'Angelo Ponds	55	5	0	0	9

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mikail Kamara (Tr)	46	14	9	6	1
James Carpenter (Tr)	37	11	5	5	2
Tyrique Tucker (Tr)	24	5	3	4	1
Lanell Carr	39	5	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Angelo Ponds	55	5	0	0	9
Jailin Walker (Tr)	82	10	2	5	8
Jamari Sharpe	13	1	1	0	6