Purdue at Indiana - 2024 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo Purdue Boilermakers at Indiana HoosiersIndiana logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Indiana -28.5 (56.5) (-6000)  Open: -29.0 | 56.5
Indiana 66 - Purdue: 0  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (1 - 11) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 46 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#132)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 29.3°
Snowfall Predicted
PUR 2nd straight Road Game
PUR is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Indiana -38.5   (SP+ IND -36)

Projected Score: PUR: 10 - IND: 48 (57)
IND Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
PUR Travel: 89 miles
Hoosiers (11 - 2) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 41 - 16 (47 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Purdue vs Indiana State-35.552.5W 49 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Purdue vs Notre Dame+11.545.5L 7 - 66ON
Sat 9/21 Purdue at Oregon State+1.551.0L 21 - 38ON
Sat 9/28 Purdue vs Nebraska+10.047.5L 10 - 28UN
Sat 10/5 Purdue at Wisconsin+12.044.5L 6 - 52ON
Sat 10/12 Purdue at Illinois+22.547.5L 49 - 50OY
Fri 10/18 Purdue vs Oregon+30.061.0L 0 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Purdue vs Northwestern-3.044.5L 20 - 26ON
Sat 11/9 Purdue at Ohio State+37.555.5L 0 - 45UN
Sat 11/16 Purdue vs Penn State+30.051.5L 10 - 49ON
Fri 11/22 Purdue at Michigan State+14.049.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 11/30 Purdue at Indiana+28.556.5L 0 - 66ON

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 5, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Indiana's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Indiana vs Florida International-20.550.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 9/6 Indiana vs Western Illinois-44.552.5W 77 - 3OY
Sat 9/14 Indiana at UCLA-3.546.5W 42 - 13OY
Sat 9/21 Indiana vs Charlotte-28.550.0W 52 - 14OY
Sat 9/28 Indiana vs Maryland-7.550.0W 42 - 28OY
Sat 10/5 Indiana vs Northwestern-12.540.5W 41 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Indiana vs Nebraska-6.548.0W 56 - 7OY
Sat 10/26 Indiana vs Washington-5.554.0W 31 - 17UY
Sat 11/2 Indiana at Michigan State-7.553.5W 47 - 10OY
Sat 11/9 Indiana vs Michigan-14.547.5W 20 - 15UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Indiana at Ohio State+10.552.5L 15 - 38ON
Sat 11/30 Indiana vs Purdue-28.556.5W 66 - 0OY
Fri 12/20 Indiana at Notre Dame+7.050.0L 17 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 5, Bad: 1, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR#86 (.16)42% (60)15.845% (51)3.16 (60)16941% (78)2113.21 (112)#74 (.19)40% (44)39.941% (45)40% (52)4.28 (112)57.61.51.5
IND#106 (.12)41% (85)41.339% (117)3.26 (38)12144% (48)2123.11 (119)#103 (.24)46% (120)15.647% (109)45% (118)4.08 (95)511.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
IND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1215.815.542.5%3.211.5203801692114.451%48%45%41%18%.16
IND Defense1215.611.445.8%4.081 - - - - - 52%47%47%45%17%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense1239.945.840.2%4.281.5 - - - - - 51%49%41%40%17%.19
IND Offense1241.346.940.9%3.111.5203341212123.450%49%39%44%17%.12

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1230:2520.436%39%657.61.51.55.82.8129.4
Indiana1229:2519.737%35%5.5511.516.11.8226.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1251% (55)45% (51)38.5168.84.420 (61).15 (69)3.16 (60)54% (133)12% (118)0.98 (76)
IND Defense1252% (96)47% (109) - - - - .14 (65)3.24 (100)75% (80)10% (58)0.85 (14)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1251% (80)41% (45) - - - - .08 (31)3 (48)68% (41)11% (38)0.97 (53)
IND Offense1250% (68)39% (117)36.2121.33.413 (108).07 (112)3.26 (38)69% (105)11% (83)0.91 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1248% (81)41% (78)19.532.7211.26.510.815 (96)10 (56).22 (89)1.5 (111)31% (56)30% (75).31 (75)6% (71)2.1 (58)
IND Defense1247% (36)45% (118) - - - - - - 10 (67).39 (117)1.6 (77)29% (115)33% (104).41 (110)6% (69)2.2 (103)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1249% (56)40% (52) - - - - - - 10 (67).33 (102)1.8 (121)33% (50)32% (93).38 (101)6% (73)2.2 (96)
IND Offense1249% (70)44% (48)17.930.5212.3711.918 (81)10 (56).26 (76)1.5 (119)30% (43)28% (91).16 (118)6% (82)1.9 (107)

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -18.22 #120
Purdue's Offense Rating: 16.91 #94
Purdue's Defense Rating: 22.82 #134
2024 Talent Rating: 740.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #35
Purdue's 2024 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Purdue's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2 #121
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #116
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -18.22   Indiana: 21.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -16.2   Indiana: 20.1




Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 21.3 #10
Indiana's Offense Rating: 28.20 #6
Indiana's Defense Rating: 4.35 #24
2024 Talent Rating: 706.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Indiana's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
Indiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.1 #11
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.4 #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.8

Purdue's 2024 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Indiana 48
Purdue 10


Projected Total Points: 57
Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 46.9
Defense: 15.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Indiana's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Indiana66Purdue0IndianaIndiana -28.5Indiana56.5Over
202311/25Purdue35Indiana31PurduePurdue -2.5Purdue55.5Over
202211/26Indiana16Purdue30PurduePurdue -10Purdue52.5Under
202111/27Purdue44Indiana7PurduePurdue -18Purdue50.5Over
201911/30Purdue41Indiana44IndianaIndiana -7Purdue56.5Over
201811/24Indiana21Purdue28PurduePurdue -3.5Purdue65.0Under
201711/25Purdue31Indiana24PurduePurdue -1.5Purdue51.0Over
201611/26Indiana26Purdue24IndianaIndiana -16Purdue66.5Under
201511/28Purdue36Indiana54IndianaIndiana -5Indiana68.5Over
201411/29Indiana23Purdue16IndianaIndiana -2.5Indiana0
201311/30Indiana56Purdue36IndianaIndiana -20.5Purdue0
201211/24Purdue56Indiana35Purdue
201111/26Indiana25Purdue33Purdue
201011/27Purdue31Indiana34Indiana
200911/21Indiana21Purdue38Purdue
200811/22Purdue62Indiana10Purdue
200711/17Indiana27Purdue24Indiana
200611/18Purdue28Indiana19Purdue
200511/19Indiana14Purdue41Purdue
200411/20Purdue63Indiana24Purdue
200311/22Indiana16Purdue24Purdue
200111/24Indiana13Purdue7Indiana
200011/17Purdue41Indiana13Purdue
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Indiana936 Overs
Purdue1483 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 96 - 55 - 21 - 3
Road Teams9 - 145 - 63 - 12 - 5

(#120) Purdue Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.22 #120
Offense Rating: 16.91 #94
Defense Rating: 22.82 #134
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2 #121
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Talent Rating: 740.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #35
Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.34 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.82 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Purdue Notes
(12/1) HC Walters fired, 5-19 in 2 years
(11/24) Card torched MSU. Rgame P4 worst? Fought hard
(10/19) Never ever ever bet this dogshit team again
(10/19) QB Brown sucks, Rgame good vs Oregon, shutout
(10/18) QB Brown likely over Card from here out
(10/12) QB Browne/Rgame torched Ill. Def awful
(10/7) P4's worst team. Does Walters survive after this?
(10/3) Fired OC Harrell after 4 games
(9/28) Run D better vs Neb. Off was awful, esp run
(9/23) Run Def all 341 (6.0 ypc) @ Oreg St, Card awful
Purdue     Ratings Matchup     Indiana
Power #120
#10
Off #94
#6
Def #134
#24
Talent #45
#58
SP+ #121
#11
SP+ Off #116
#18
SP+ Def #110
#15

Rematch from Week 14
Indiana -28.5 (56.5)
Indiana won vs Purdue this year (66-0)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Purdue last year (66-0)
Purdue beat Indiana in 2023 (35-31)
Purdue beat Indiana in 2022 (30-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Snowfall
Temp: 29° - Wind: 7 mph
Rain: 0.012


Team Information
Injuries: PUR | IND
Depth Chart: PUR | IND
Rosters: PUR | IND
(#10) Indiana Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 21.3 #10
Offense Rating: 28.20 #6
Defense Rating: 4.35 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 20.1 #11
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.4 #15
Talent Rating: 706.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 52%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.03 PPO
Great Run Success 50%
Great Pass Success 56%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Great Run Def Success 35%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Indiana Notes
(12/5) Co-OC Sunseri hired as UCLA OC after '24
(11/24) Off awful vs OSU, 153 total yards. Def wilted
(11/13) Off human vs Mich, Rgame awful (40 yds, 1.4 ypc)
(11/2) Run Def killed MSU. Off 47 pts but #'s bad
(11/1) 3-0, avg 27 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/28) QB Rourke (inj) could play vs Michigan St
(10/19) 500 yds, owned Nebraska. Def was good, fun team
(9/28) 500+ yds vs MD. Overcame 5 TOs, still won
(9/19) V good WR's. Cooper top 5 M2M, 4 good options.
(9/1) Grounded FIU, 234 yds rushing (6 ypc). Def was good


  
Purdue's OC (Int)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryan Browne437657%532427.0
Shamar Rigby11100%8008.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mockobee13868745.063
Reggie Love III (Tr)8337224.522
Ryan Browne5015503.123
Elijah Jackson697116.269
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Max Klare51685413.462
Jahmal Edrine23365215.953
Jaron Tibbs25305212.238
Devin Mockobee17170110.021

View Purdue's Full Roster
Purdue's DC Kevin Kane
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Thieneman1045106
Yanni Karlaftis572121
Will Heldt5610550
Antonio Stevens463101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Will Heldt5610550
Nyland Green (Tr)232205
Cole Brevard196200
Dillon Thieneman1045106
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Thieneman1045106
Nyland Green (Tr)232205
Kyndrich Breedlove (Tr)402014

Indiana's OC Mike Shanahan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kurtis Rourke (Tr)22232069%30422959.5
Tayven Jackson233762%349419.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Justice Ellison (Tr)159848105.347
Ty Son Lawton141668124.729
Kaelon Black (Tr)4625125.521
Elijah Green (Tr)2920156.951
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Sarratt (Tr)53957818.184
Omar Cooper Jr.28594721.269
Myles Price (Tr)38466312.341
Ke'Shawn Williams (Tr)39448511.552

View Indiana's Full Roster
Indiana's DC Bryant Haines
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aiden Fisher (Tr)1186234
Jailin Walker (Tr)8210258
Shawn Asbury II (Tr)695214
D'Angelo Ponds555009
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mikail Kamara (Tr)4614961
James Carpenter (Tr)3711552
Tyrique Tucker (Tr)245341
CJ West (Tr)428201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Angelo Ponds555009
Jailin Walker (Tr)8210258
Jamari Sharpe131106