Purdue at Ohio State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Purdue Boilermakers at Ohio State Buckeyes(#1)

Saturday, November 9th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Ohio State -37.5 (55.5) (0) Open: -38.5 | 53.5
Ohio State 45 - Purdue: 0 (Big Ten)

Boilermakers (1 - 11) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 46 on Road)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#132)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.4 MPH
Our Line: Ohio State -51.5 (SP+ OSU -47)
Projected Score: PUR: 2 - OSU: 53 (55)
OSU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 35%
PUR Travel: 208 miles

Buckeyes (14 - 2) (10 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ryan Day (56 - 8)
Avg Score : 36 - 13 (39 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 14 - 2 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PUR Players
OSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Purdue's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Purdue vs Indiana State	-35.5	52.5	W 49 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Purdue vs Notre Dame	+11.5	45.5	L 7 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/21	Purdue at Oregon State	+1.5	51.0	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/28	Purdue vs Nebraska	+10.0	47.5	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/5	Purdue at Wisconsin	+12.0	44.5	L 6 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/12	Purdue at Illinois	+22.5	47.5	L 49 - 50	O	Y
Fri 10/18	Purdue vs Oregon	+30.0	61.0	L 0 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Purdue vs Northwestern	-3.0	44.5	L 20 - 26	O	N
Sat 11/9	Purdue at Ohio State	+37.5	55.5	L 0 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/16	Purdue vs Penn State	+30.0	51.5	L 10 - 49	O	N
Fri 11/22	Purdue at Michigan State	+14.0	49.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Purdue at Indiana	+28.5	56.5	L 0 - 66	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule

Ohio State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Ohio State vs Akron	-50.5	58.5	W 52 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/7	Ohio State vs Western Michigan	-37.5	54.5	W 56 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Ohio State vs Marshall	-40.0	57.0	W 49 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/28	Ohio State at Michigan State	-23.5	48.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Ohio State vs Iowa	-17.0	46.0	W 35 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Ohio State at Oregon	-3.5	54.5	L 31 - 32	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Ohio State vs Nebraska	-25.0	48.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/2	Ohio State at Penn State	-3.0	47.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Ohio State vs Purdue	-37.5	55.5	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Ohio State vs Northwestern	-28.0	43.5	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/23	Ohio State vs Indiana	-10.5	52.5	W 38 - 15	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Ohio State vs Michigan	-20.5	41.5	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 12/21	Ohio State vs Tennessee	-7.5	47.0	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Wed 1/1	Ohio State vs Oregon	-2.5	55.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Fri 1/10	Ohio State vs Texas	-6.5	51.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Mon 1/20	Ohio State vs Notre Dame	-8.5	45.5	W 34 - 23	O	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR	#112 (.11)	41% (96)	15.8	42% (90)	3.04 (65)	116	40% (93)	184	3.34 (115)	#134 (.39)	49% (129)	39.9	49% (120)	50% (129)	4.82 (134)	51.8	1.6	0.4
OSU	#1 (.43)	52% (3)	35.7	48% (19)	3.37 (15)	137	56% (1)	211	4.6 (15)	#2 (-.01)	36% (7)	12.9	39% (26)	34% (8)	2.05 (1)	31.6	0.8	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR	#112 (.11)	41% (96)		42% (90)	3.04 (65)	116	40% (93)	184	3.34 (115)	#134 (.39)	49% (129)		49% (120)	50% (129)	4.82 (134)	51.8	1.6	0.4
OSU	#1 (.43)	52% (3)		48% (19)	3.37 (15)	137	56% (1)	211	4.6 (15)	#2 (-.01)	36% (7)		39% (26)	34% (8)	2.05 (1)	31.6	0.8	1.1

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Offense	12	15.8	15.5	40.8%	3.34	1.6	15	299	116	184	4	46%	53%	42%	40%	22%	.11
OSU Defense	16	12.9	9.9	36.3%	2.05	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	39%	34%	19%	-.01

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Defense	12	39.9	45.8	49.3%	4.82	0.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	49%	50%	12%	.39
OSU Offense	16	35.7	38.7	51.8%	4.6	0.8	17	347	137	211	5	49%	50%	48%	56%	12%	.43

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Purdue	12	26:50	14.6	31%	28%	5.5	51.8	1.6	0.4	5.2	1.8	0	26.8
Ohio State	16	24:27	16.9	42%	70%	3.4	31.6	0.8	1.1	5.1	2.4	2	28.8

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Offense	12	46% (94)	42% (90)	28.8	115.5	4	9 (125)	.04 (108)	3.04 (65)	59% (126)	14% (128)	0.8 (130)
OSU Defense	16	53% (90)	39% (26)	-	-	-	-	.01 (15)	2.9 (48)	67% (33)	13% (16)	0.87 (20)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Defense	12	53% (96)	49% (120)	-	-	-	-	.32 (134)	3.39 (120)	76% (79)	8% (109)	1.15 (124)
OSU Offense	16	49% (77)	48% (19)	27.3	136.8	5	28 (25)	.31 (8)	3.37 (15)	76% (48)	7% (7)	1.11 (16)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Offense	12	53% (40)	40% (93)	15.8	27.4	183.9	6.7	11.7	13 (116)	9 (48)	.16 (103)	1.5 (92)	32% (78)	31% (72)	.49 (14)	8% (118)	2.1 (29)
OSU Defense	16	46% (35)	34% (8)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.02 (2)	1.5 (28)	32% (74)	30% (66)	.16 (13)	6% (61)	1.7 (6)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Defense	12	47% (40)	50% (129)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (125)	.48 (130)	1.6 (88)	28% (115)	41% (134)	.63 (134)	4% (125)	2.1 (90)
OSU Offense	16	50% (60)	56% (1)	16.7	23.4	210.6	9	12.6	31 (6)	9 (48)	.58 (1)	1.6 (70)	27% (7)	37% (12)	.55 (6)	5% (42)	2.1 (41)

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -18.22 #120
Purdue's Offense Rating: 16.91 #94
Purdue's Defense Rating: 22.82 #134
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #35
Purdue's 2024 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Purdue's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2 #121
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #116
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -18.22 Ohio State: 34.17

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -16.2 Ohio State: 31.2

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 34.17 #1
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 29.14 #5
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -3.55 #1
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 75 #2
Ohio State's 2024 Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0
Ohio State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.2 #1
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #3
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.2 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.8

Purdue's 2024 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio State 53
Purdue 2

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio State 37
Purdue 19

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Ohio State 40
Purdue 13

Total Points: 53

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 12.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 9.9

Ohio State's 2024 Record
Record: 14 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 9
Record at home: 8 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	Purdue	10	Ohio State	34	Ohio State -29.5	Purdue	49.5	Under
2024	11/09	Ohio State	45	Purdue	0	Ohio State -37.5	Ohio State	55.5	Under
2023	10/14	Purdue	7	Ohio State	41	Ohio State -17.5	Ohio State	53.0	Under
2021	11/13	Ohio State	59	Purdue	31	Ohio State -19	Ohio State	65.5	Over
2018	10/20	Purdue	49	Ohio State	20	Ohio State -12	Purdue	66.0	Over
2013	11/02	Purdue	0	Ohio State	56	Ohio State -31	Ohio State	0
2012	10/20	Ohio State	29	Purdue	22
2011	11/12	Purdue	26	Ohio State	23
2010	10/23	Ohio State	49	Purdue	0
2009	10/17	Purdue	26	Ohio State	18
2008	10/11	Ohio State	16	Purdue	3
2007	10/06	Purdue	7	Ohio State	23
2004	11/13	Purdue	24	Ohio State	17
2003	11/15	Ohio State	16	Purdue	13
2002	11/09	Purdue	6	Ohio State	10
2001	11/10	Ohio State	35	Purdue	9
2000	10/27	Purdue	31	Ohio State	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ohio State	12	4	2 Overs
Purdue	5	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 5	4 - 2	2 - 0	2 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 12	2 - 4	2 - 2	0 - 2

(#120) PUR at (#1) OSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PUR	OSU
Power RatePwr	#120	#1
SP+SP+	#121	#1
Perf GradeGrade	#123	#2
OffenseOff	#91	#5
DefenseDef	#132	#2
Spec TeamsST	#66	#11
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#35	#2

Purdue Notes(12/8) Hired HC Barry Odom (UNLV)
(12/1) HC Walters fired, 5-19 in 2 years
(11/24) Card torched MSU. Rgame P4 worst? Fought hard
(10/19) Never ever ever bet this dogshit team again
(10/19) QB Brown sucks, Rgame good vs Oregon, shutout
(10/18) QB Brown likely over Card from here out
(10/12) QB Browne/Rgame torched Ill. Def awful
(10/7) P4's worst team. Does Walters survive after this?
(10/3) Fired OC Harrell after 4 games
(9/28) Run D better vs Neb. Off was awful, esp run
(9/23) Run Def all 341 (6.0 ypc) @ Oreg St, Card awful
(9/15) Run Def awful, 364 (8.5 ypc), Off 25/38 (1.5) vs ND
Purdue Injury Report

Ohio State Notes(12/17) QB's Noland (Fr) & Brown (Jr) left via portal
(12/1) Off awful, Rgame abysmal, Howard 2 Int in UM L
(12/1) 20 mil roster, still can't beat U. Coaching fail
(11/24) Mauled IU, D held to 153 yds. Off was OK
(11/19) Starting C McLaughlin out for season (ACL)
(11/18) Flat start vs NW, Howard OK, Rgame just OK
(11/3) OL was great considering injuries. Rgame beat PSU
(11/2) Def owned Penn St. Howard tough, Rgame alive
(10/26) Backup LT went down in Nebraska game
(10/22) Starting LT Simmons out for season
(10/12) Def torched by Oregon. Judkins/Downs vanished
(10/6) B2B drubbings (MSU/Iowa). Top #s, Rzone esp
Ohio State Injury Report

Purdue on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	PUR Off	OSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#91	#2
SuccessSuc	#96	#7
ExplosiveExp	#117	#15
PPAPPA	#112	#2
PowerPwr	#94	#1
SP+SP+	#116	#1
Pts POPPO	#115	#1
HavocHav	#131	#22

Purdue Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	PUR Off	OSU Def
Run GameRun	#84	#3
Run SuccessRSuc	#90	#26
Run ExplRExp	#130	#20
PPAExp	#108	#15
Run BlockR Blk	#77	-
OL YdsOLY	#65	#48
Stuff RateStuff	#97	#97
TackleTak	-	#12

Purdue Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	PUR Off	OSU Def
Pass GamePass	#72	#7
Pass SuccessPSuc	#93	#8
Pass ExplPExl	#92	#28
PPAExp	#103	#2
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#99	#18
F7 HavocF7	#128	#16
DB HavocDB	#118	#61

Ohio State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	OSU Off	PUR Def
Perf GradePerf	#5	#132
SuccessSuc	#3	#129
ExplosiveExp	#17	#112
PPAPPA	#1	#134
PowerPwr	#5	#134
SP+SP+	#3	#110
Pts POPPO	#15	#134
HavocHav	#14	#125

Ohio State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	OSU Off	PUR Def
Run GameRun	#19	#112
Run SuccessRSuc	#19	#120
Run ExplRExp	#16	#124
PPAExp	#8	#134
Run BlockR Blk	#29	-
OL YdsOLY	#15	#120
Stuff RateStuff	#48	#106
TackleTak	-	#111

Ohio State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	OSU Off	PUR Def
Pass GamePass	#18	#134
Pass SuccessPSuc	#1	#129
Pass ExplPExl	#70	#88
PPAExp	#1	#130
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#97	#97
F7 HavocF7	#7	#109
DB HavocDB	#42	#125

Program Comparison
OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

PUR 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ohio Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 60° - Wind: 12 mph

Rematch from Week 11
Ohio State -37.5 (55.5)
Ohio State won vs Purdue this year (45-0)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Purdue last year (45-0)
Ohio State beat Purdue in 2023 (41-7)

PUR's OC (Int) (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hudson Card	144	248	58%	1641	9	7	6.6
Ryan Browne	43	76	57%	532	4	2	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Mockobee	138	687	4	5.0	63
Reggie Love III (Tr)	83	372	2	4.5	22
Ryan Browne	50	155	0	3.1	23
Elijah Jackson	6	97	1	16.2	69

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Max Klare	51	685	4	13.4	62
Jahmal Edrine	23	365	2	15.9	53
Jaron Tibbs	25	305	2	12.2	38
Devin Mockobee	17	170	1	10.0	21

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Kevin Kane (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dillon Thieneman	104	5	1	0	6
Kydran Jenkins	83	13	7	5	1
Yanni Karlaftis	57	2	1	2	1
Will Heldt	56	10	5	5	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kydran Jenkins	83	13	7	5	1
Will Heldt	56	10	5	5	0
Nyland Green (Tr)	23	2	2	0	5
Cole Brevard	19	6	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dillon Thieneman	104	5	1	0	6
Nyland Green (Tr)	23	2	2	0	5
Kyndrich Breedlove (Tr)	40	2	0	1	4

OSU's OC Chip Kelly (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Will Howard (Tr)	309	423	73%	4010	35	10	9.5
Devin Brown	11	20	55%	114	1	0	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinshon Judkins (Tr)	194	1060	14	5.5	86
TreVeyon Henderson	144	1016	10	7.1	66
Will Howard (Tr)	105	226	7	2.2	19
James Peoples	49	197	2	4.0	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeremiah Smith	76	1315	15	17.3	70
Emeka Egbuka	81	1011	10	12.5	68
Carnell Tate	52	733	4	14.1	40
TreVeyon Henderson	27	284	1	10.5	75

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Jim Knowles (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cody Simon	112	13	7	0	7
Sonny Styles	100	11	6	0	5
Caleb Downs (Tr)	81	8	1	1	6
Lathan Ransom	75	9	1	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J.T. Tuimoloau	61	22	13	5	3
Jack Sawyer	59	9	9	8	6
Cody Simon	112	13	7	0	7
Sonny Styles	100	11	6	0	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davison Igbinosun	45	2	0	0	9
Jordan Hancock	48	2	1	1	8
Cody Simon	112	13	7	0	7