Nebraska at Purdue - 2024 Matchup Preview

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Purdue Boilermakers

Saturday, September 28th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Nebraska -10 (47.5) (-380) Open: -10.0
Nebraska 28 - Purdue: 10 (Big Ten)

Cornhuskers (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Matt Rhule (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (20 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NEB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Nebraska -22 (SP+ NEB -21.5)
Projected Score: NEB: 35 - PUR: 13 (49)
NEB Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
NEB Travel: 514 miles, 1 hrs behind

Boilermakers (1 - 11) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (21 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#132)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NEB Players
PUR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Nebraska's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Nebraska vs UTEP	-27.5	49.0	W 40 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Nebraska vs Colorado	-6.5	55.0	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Nebraska vs Northern Iowa	-30.5	49.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Fri 9/20	Nebraska vs Illinois	-9.5	41.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/28	Nebraska at Purdue	-10.0	47.5	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Nebraska vs Rutgers	-7.0	39.5	W 14 - 7	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Nebraska at Indiana	+6.5	48.0	L 7 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/26	Nebraska at Ohio State	+25.0	48.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Nebraska vs UCLA	-7.5	38.5	L 20 - 27	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Nebraska at USC	+6.5	51.0	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/23	Nebraska vs Wisconsin	-1.5	40.5	W 44 - 25	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Nebraska at Iowa	+3.5	41.5	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 12/28	Nebraska vs Boston College	-3.0	47.5	W 20 - 15	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule

Purdue's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Purdue vs Indiana State	-35.5	52.5	W 49 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Purdue vs Notre Dame	+11.5	45.5	L 7 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/21	Purdue at Oregon State	+1.5	51.0	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/28	Purdue vs Nebraska	+10.0	47.5	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/5	Purdue at Wisconsin	+12.0	44.5	L 6 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/12	Purdue at Illinois	+22.5	47.5	L 49 - 50	O	Y
Fri 10/18	Purdue vs Oregon	+30.0	61.0	L 0 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Purdue vs Northwestern	-3.0	44.5	L 20 - 26	O	N
Sat 11/9	Purdue at Ohio State	+37.5	55.5	L 0 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/16	Purdue vs Penn State	+30.0	51.5	L 10 - 49	O	N
Fri 11/22	Purdue at Michigan State	+14.0	49.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Purdue at Indiana	+28.5	56.5	L 0 - 66	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEB	#105 (.13)	38% (111)	28.7	42% (84)	3.31 (33)	177	34% (125)	136	3.33 (104)	#18 (.1)	38% (22)	24.6	37% (18)	39% (31)	3.09 (16)	42.3	2.6	1.2
PUR	#86 (.16)	42% (60)	18.8	45% (51)	3.16 (60)	169	41% (78)	211	3.21 (112)	#74 (.19)	40% (44)	31.8	41% (45)	40% (52)	4.28 (112)	57.6	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PUR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEB Offense	12	28.7	19.5	38.1%	3.33	2.6	16	313	177	136	4.4	62%	36%	42%	34%	22%	.13
PUR Defense	12	31.8	30	40.2%	4.28	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	41%	40%	17%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEB Defense	12	24.6	28.3	37.6%	3.09	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	37%	39%	20%	.1
PUR Offense	12	18.8	20.9	42.5%	3.21	1.5	20	380	169	211	4.4	51%	48%	45%	41%	18%	.16

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Nebraska	12	30:53	16.4	38%	50%	5	42.3	2.6	1.2	6.3	2.7	0	29
Purdue	12	30:25	20.4	36%	39%	6	57.6	1.5	1.5	5.8	2.8	1	29.4

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEB Offense	12	62% (5)	42% (84)	39.8	176.8	4.4	16 (89)	.12 (84)	3.31 (33)	76% (51)	14% (129)	0.99 (72)
PUR Defense	12	51% (80)	41% (45)	-	-	-	-	.08 (31)	3 (48)	68% (41)	11% (38)	0.97 (53)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEB Defense	12	43% (8)	37% (18)	-	-	-	-	.03 (16)	3.15 (81)	73% (70)	12% (22)	0.77 (3)
PUR Offense	12	51% (55)	45% (51)	38.5	168.8	4.4	20 (61)	.15 (69)	3.16 (60)	54% (133)	12% (118)	0.98 (76)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEB Offense	12	36% (129)	34% (125)	11.3	21.8	135.9	6.3	12	10 (120)	16 (121)	.24 (85)	1.9 (7)	34% (100)	25% (118)	.28 (84)	7% (110)	2.4 (5)
PUR Defense	12	49% (56)	40% (52)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.33 (102)	1.8 (121)	33% (50)	32% (93)	.38 (101)	6% (73)	2.2 (96)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEB Defense	12	56% (126)	39% (31)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.2 (31)	1.5 (35)	35% (25)	26% (20)	.27 (44)	8% (17)	2.1 (83)
PUR Offense	12	48% (81)	41% (78)	19.5	32.7	211.2	6.5	10.8	15 (96)	10 (56)	.22 (89)	1.5 (111)	31% (56)	30% (75)	.31 (75)	6% (71)	2.1 (58)

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 8.73 #34
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 4.63 #26
2024 Talent Rating: 495.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #29
Nebraska's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Nebraska's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 8.73 Purdue: -14.71

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 5.5 Purdue: -16.2

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -14.71 #120
Purdue's Offense Rating: 16.91 #94
Purdue's Defense Rating: 22.82 #134
2024 Talent Rating: 382.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #35
Purdue's 2024 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Purdue's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2 #121
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #116
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.5
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

Nebraska's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Nebraska 35
Purdue 13

Projected Total Points: 49

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.9
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Purdue's 2024 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	Purdue	10	Nebraska	28	Nebraska -10	Nebraska	47.5	Under
2023	10/28	Nebraska	31	Purdue	14	Purdue -1	Nebraska	39.5	Over
2022	10/15	Purdue	43	Nebraska	37	Purdue -14	Nebraska	56.0	Over
2021	10/30	Nebraska	23	Purdue	28	Nebraska -7.5	Purdue	54.0	Under
2020	12/05	Purdue	27	Nebraska	37	Purdue -1.0	Nebraska	64.0	Push
2019	11/02	Purdue	31	Nebraska	27	Nebraska -4	Purdue	57.0	Over
2018	09/29	Nebraska	28	Purdue	42	Purdue -3.5	Purdue	58.5	Over
2017	10/28	Purdue	24	Nebraska	25	Purdue -4	Nebraska	53.0	Under
2016	10/22	Nebraska	27	Purdue	14	Nebraska -23.5	Purdue	59.0	Under
2015	10/31	Purdue	55	Nebraska	45	Nebraska -10	Purdue	54.5	Over
2014	11/01	Nebraska	35	Purdue	14	Nebraska -24.5	Purdue	0
2013	10/12	Purdue	7	Nebraska	44	Nebraska -14	Nebraska	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Purdue	5	6	5 Overs
Nebraska	7	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	3 - 9	0 - 6	3 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 6	9 - 3	3 - 3	6 - 0

(#34) NEB at (#120) PUR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NEB	PUR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#34	#120
SP+SP+	#45	#121
Perf GradeGrade	#75	#123
OffenseOff	#65	#91
DefenseDef	#78	#132
Spec TeamsST	#99	#66
TalentTal	#16	#44
Blue ChipsBC%	#29	#35

Nebraska Notes(12/11) Elevated DB's coach Butler to DC? (NFL 14-23)
(12/2) DC White left for FSU? Strange move
(12/2) OC Holgorsen signed to a two year deal
(11/30) Held Iowa to 5 1st downs, 0-10 on 3rd, still lost
(11/30) 1-5 in 1 score games in '24, 4-22 since '21
(11/29) Raiola is not good. Do not let hype fool in 25
(11/23) Great W vs Wisky. Raiola 293 yds, Rgame 180
(11/18) Raiola bad vs USC, Rgame meh, Def poor in L
(11/11) Recent hire Dana Holgorsen now OC, call plays
(11/2) Abysmal L to UCLA. Rgame bad, bowl in ?
(10/19) Kicker hurt, backup is 1-5 TY. Kick returner dumb
(10/19) Unserious team. Def sucked/Rgame sucked
Nebraska Injury Report

Purdue Notes(12/8) Hired HC Barry Odom (UNLV)
(12/1) HC Walters fired, 5-19 in 2 years
(11/24) Card torched MSU. Rgame P4 worst? Fought hard
(10/19) Never ever ever bet this dogshit team again
(10/19) QB Brown sucks, Rgame good vs Oregon, shutout
(10/18) QB Brown likely over Card from here out
(10/12) QB Browne/Rgame torched Ill. Def awful
(10/7) P4's worst team. Does Walters survive after this?
(10/3) Fired OC Harrell after 4 games
(9/28) Run D better vs Neb. Off was awful, esp run
(9/23) Run Def all 341 (6.0 ypc) @ Oreg St, Card awful
(9/15) Run Def awful, 364 (8.5 ypc), Off 25/38 (1.5) vs ND
Purdue Injury Report

Nebraska on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	NEB Off	PUR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#65	#132
SuccessSuc	#111	#44
ExplosiveExp	#70	#103
PPAPPA	#105	#74
PowerPwr	#53	#134
SP+SP+	#99	#110
Pts POPPO	#104	#112
HavocHav	#130	#48

Nebraska Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	NEB Off	PUR Def
Run GameRun	#63	#112
Run SuccessRSuc	#84	#45
Run ExplRExp	#72	#53
PPAExp	#84	#31
Run BlockR Blk	#45	-
OL YdsOLY	#33	#48
Stuff RateStuff	#15	#50
TackleTak	-	#111

Nebraska Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	NEB Off	PUR Def
Pass GamePass	#74	#134
Pass SuccessPSuc	#125	#52
Pass ExplPExl	#7	#121
PPAExp	#85	#102
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#54	#97
F7 HavocF7	#129	#38
DB HavocDB	#110	#73

Purdue on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	PUR Off	NEB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#91	#78
SuccessSuc	#60	#22
ExplosiveExp	#109	#17
PPAPPA	#86	#18
PowerPwr	#94	#26
SP+SP+	#116	#12
Pts POPPO	#112	#16
HavocHav	#106	#12

Purdue Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	PUR Off	NEB Def
Run GameRun	#84	#77
Run SuccessRSuc	#51	#18
Run ExplRExp	#76	#3
PPAExp	#69	#16
Run BlockR Blk	#77	-
OL YdsOLY	#60	#81
Stuff RateStuff	#107	#122
TackleTak	-	#49

Purdue Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	PUR Off	NEB Def
Pass GamePass	#72	#87
Pass SuccessPSuc	#78	#31
Pass ExplPExl	#111	#35
PPAExp	#89	#31
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#99	#31
F7 HavocF7	#118	#22
DB HavocDB	#71	#17

Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Poor G5

NEB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Nebraska 10.0 (47.5)
Nebraska won at Purdue this year (28-10)

Previous Matchups
Nebraska beat Purdue in 2024 (28-10)
Nebraska beat Purdue in 2023 (31-14)

NEB's OC Marcus Satterfield (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dylan Raiola	274	409	67%	2806	13	11	6.9
Heinrich Haarberg	10	18	56%	101	0	1	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dante Dowdell (Tr)	143	614	12	4.3	38
Emmett Johnson	117	598	1	5.1	42
Rahmir Johnson	54	260	1	4.8	22
Jacory Barney Jr.	10	130	3	13.0	31

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahmal Banks (Tr)	44	587	3	13.3	31
Isaiah Neyor (Tr)	34	455	5	13.4	59
Jacory Barney Jr.	55	447	0	8.1	40
Thomas Fidone Jr.	36	373	0	10.4	33

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC Tony White (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Gifford	73	4	0	1	1
DeShon Singleton	71	1	0	0	3
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
Mikai Gbayor	49	6	1	3	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Robinson	37	13	6	7	4
James Williams	14	6	5	4	0
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
MJ Sherman	29	5	4	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ceyair Wright (Tr)	39	1	1	1	6
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
Marques Buford	35	1	0	0	5

PUR's OC Graham Harrell (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hudson Card	144	248	58%	1641	9	7	6.6
Ryan Browne	43	76	57%	532	4	2	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Mockobee	138	687	4	5.0	63
Reggie Love III (Tr)	83	372	2	4.5	22
Ryan Browne	50	155	0	3.1	23
Elijah Jackson	6	97	1	16.2	69

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Max Klare	51	685	4	13.4	62
Jahmal Edrine	23	365	2	15.9	53
Jaron Tibbs	25	305	2	12.2	38
Devin Mockobee	17	170	1	10.0	21

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Kevin Kane (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dillon Thieneman	104	5	1	0	6
Kydran Jenkins	83	13	7	5	1
Yanni Karlaftis	57	2	1	2	1
Will Heldt	56	10	5	5	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kydran Jenkins	83	13	7	5	1
Will Heldt	56	10	5	5	0
Nyland Green (Tr)	23	2	2	0	5
Cole Brevard	19	6	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dillon Thieneman	104	5	1	0	6
Nyland Green (Tr)	23	2	2	0	5
Kyndrich Breedlove (Tr)	40	2	0	1	4