Nebraska at Purdue - 2024 Matchup Preview

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Purdue Boilermakers

Saturday, September 28th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Nebraska -10 (47.5) (-380) Open: -10.0
Nebraska 28 - Purdue: 10 (Big Ten)

Cornhuskers (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Matt Rhule (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 24 - 20 (16 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NEB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Nebraska -22 (SP+ NEB -21.5)
Projected Score: NEB: 35 - PUR: 13 (50)
NEB Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
NEB Travel: 514 miles, 1 hrs behind

Boilermakers (1 - 11) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (4 - 8)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1 - 11 (#132)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NEB Players
PUR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Nebraska's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Nebraska vs UTEP	-27.5	49.0	W 40 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Nebraska vs Colorado	-6.5	55.0	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Nebraska vs Northern Iowa	-30.5	49.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Fri 9/20	Nebraska vs Illinois	-9.5	41.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/28	Nebraska at Purdue	-10.0	47.5	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Nebraska vs Rutgers	-7.0	39.5	W 14 - 7	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Nebraska at Indiana	+6.5	48.0	L 7 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/26	Nebraska at Ohio State	+25.0	48.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Nebraska vs UCLA	-7.5	38.5	L 20 - 27	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Nebraska at USC	+6.5	51.0	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/23	Nebraska vs Wisconsin	-1.5	40.5	W 44 - 25	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Nebraska at Iowa	+3.5	41.5	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 12/28	Nebraska vs Boston College	-3.0	47.5	W 20 - 15	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule

Purdue's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Purdue vs Indiana State	-35.5	52.5	W 49 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14	Purdue vs Notre Dame	+11.5	45.5	L 7 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/21	Purdue at Oregon State	+1.5	51.0	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/28	Purdue vs Nebraska	+10.0	47.5	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/5	Purdue at Wisconsin	+12.0	44.5	L 6 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/12	Purdue at Illinois	+22.5	47.5	L 49 - 50	O	Y
Fri 10/18	Purdue vs Oregon	+30.0	61.0	L 0 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Purdue vs Northwestern	-3.0	44.5	L 20 - 26	O	N
Sat 11/9	Purdue at Ohio State	+37.5	55.5	L 0 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/16	Purdue vs Penn State	+30.0	51.5	L 10 - 49	O	N
Fri 11/22	Purdue at Michigan State	+14.0	49.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Purdue at Indiana	+28.5	56.5	L 0 - 66	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEB	#105 (.13)	38% (111)	23.5	42% (84)	3.31 (33)	177	34% (125)	136	3.33 (104)	#18 (.1)	38% (22)	19.5	37% (18)	39% (31)	3.09 (16)	42.3	2.6	1.2
PUR	#86 (.16)	42% (60)	15.8	45% (51)	3.16 (60)	169	41% (78)	211	3.21 (112)	#74 (.19)	40% (44)	39.9	41% (45)	40% (52)	4.28 (112)	57.6	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PUR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEB Offense	12	23.5	16.4	38.1%	3.33	2.6	16	313	177	136	4.4	62%	36%	42%	34%	22%	.13
PUR Defense	12	39.9	34	40.2%	4.28	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	41%	40%	17%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEB Defense	12	19.5	25.6	37.6%	3.09	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	37%	39%	20%	.1
PUR Offense	12	15.8	16	42.5%	3.21	1.5	20	380	169	211	4.4	51%	48%	45%	41%	18%	.16

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Nebraska	12	30:53	16.4	38%	50%	5	42.3	2.6	1.2	6.3	2.7	0	29
Purdue	12	30:25	20.4	36%	39%	6	57.6	1.5	1.5	5.8	2.8	1	29.4

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEB Offense	12	62% (5)	42% (84)	39.8	176.8	4.4	16 (89)	.12 (84)	3.31 (33)	76% (51)	14% (129)	0.99 (72)
PUR Defense	12	51% (80)	41% (45)	-	-	-	-	.08 (31)	3 (48)	68% (41)	11% (38)	0.97 (53)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEB Defense	12	43% (8)	37% (18)	-	-	-	-	.03 (16)	3.15 (81)	73% (70)	12% (22)	0.77 (3)
PUR Offense	12	51% (55)	45% (51)	38.5	168.8	4.4	20 (61)	.15 (69)	3.16 (60)	54% (133)	12% (118)	0.98 (76)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEB Offense	12	36% (129)	34% (125)	11.3	21.8	135.9	6.3	12	10 (120)	16 (121)	.24 (85)	1.9 (7)	34% (100)	25% (118)	.28 (84)	7% (110)	2.4 (5)
PUR Defense	12	49% (56)	40% (52)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.33 (102)	1.8 (121)	33% (50)	32% (93)	.38 (101)	6% (73)	2.2 (96)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEB Defense	12	56% (126)	39% (31)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.2 (31)	1.5 (35)	35% (25)	26% (20)	.27 (44)	8% (17)	2.1 (83)
PUR Offense	12	48% (81)	41% (78)	19.5	32.7	211.2	6.5	10.8	15 (96)	10 (56)	.22 (89)	1.5 (111)	31% (56)	30% (75)	.31 (75)	6% (71)	2.1 (58)

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 8.73 #34
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 4.63 #26
2024 Talent Rating: 932.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #29
Nebraska's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Nebraska's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 8.73 Purdue: -14.71

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 5.5 Purdue: -16.2

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -14.71 #120
Purdue's Offense Rating: 16.91 #94
Purdue's Defense Rating: 22.82 #134
2024 Talent Rating: 740.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #35
Purdue's 2024 Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0
Purdue's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2 #121
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #116
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.4
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.6

Nebraska's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Nebraska 35
Purdue 13

Projected Total Points: 50

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 16
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 34

Purdue's 2024 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	Purdue	10	Nebraska	28	Nebraska	Nebraska -10	Nebraska	47.5	Under
2023	10/28	Nebraska	31	Purdue	14	Nebraska	Purdue -1	Nebraska	39.5	Over
2022	10/15	Purdue	43	Nebraska	37	Purdue	Purdue -14	Nebraska	56.0	Over
2021	10/30	Nebraska	23	Purdue	28	Purdue	Nebraska -7.5	Purdue	54.0	Under
2020	12/05	Purdue	27	Nebraska	37	Nebraska	Purdue -1.0	Nebraska	64.0	Push
2019	11/02	Purdue	31	Nebraska	27	Purdue	Nebraska -4	Purdue	57.0	Over
2018	09/29	Nebraska	28	Purdue	42	Purdue	Purdue -3.5	Purdue	58.5	Over
2017	10/28	Purdue	24	Nebraska	25	Nebraska	Purdue -4	Nebraska	53.0	Under
2016	10/22	Nebraska	27	Purdue	14	Nebraska	Nebraska -23.5	Purdue	59.0	Under
2015	10/31	Purdue	55	Nebraska	45	Purdue	Nebraska -10	Purdue	54.5	Over
2014	11/01	Nebraska	35	Purdue	14	Nebraska	Nebraska -24.5	Purdue	0
2013	10/12	Purdue	7	Nebraska	44	Nebraska	Nebraska -14	Nebraska	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Purdue	5	6	5 Overs
Nebraska	7	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	3 - 9	0 - 6	3 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 6	9 - 3	3 - 3	6 - 0

(#34) Nebraska Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.73 #34
Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Defense Rating: 4.63 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #12
Talent Rating: 932.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #29
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.38 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Great in Scoring Position 3.06 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Nebraska Notes
(12/2) DC White left for FSU? Strange move
(12/2) OC Holgorsen signed to a two year deal
(11/30) Held Iowa to 5 1st downs, 0-10 on 3rd, still lost
(11/30) 1-5 in 1 score games in '24, 4-22 since '21
(11/29) Raiola is not good. Do not let hype fool in 25
(11/23) Great W vs Wisky. Raiola 293 yds, Rgame 180
(11/18) Raiola bad vs USC, Rgame meh, Def poor in L
(11/11) Recent hire Dana Holgorsen now OC, call plays
(11/2) Abysmal L to UCLA. Rgame bad, bowl in ?
(10/19) Kicker hurt, backup is 1-5 TY. Kick returner dumb

Nebraska Ratings Matchup Purdue

Power #34

#120

Off #53

#94

Def #26

#134

Talent #12

#45

SP+ #45

#121

SP+ Off #99

#116

SP+ Def #12

#110

Rematch from Week 5
Nebraska 10.0 (47.5)
Nebraska won at Purdue this year (28-10)

Previous Matchups
Nebraska beat Purdue last year (28-10)
Nebraska beat Purdue in 2023 (31-14)
Purdue beat Nebraska in 2022 (43-37)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 74° - Wind: 11 mph

Team Information
Injuries: NEB | PUR
Depth Chart: NEB | PUR
Rosters: NEB | PUR

(#120) Purdue Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -14.71 #120
Offense Rating: 16.91 #94
Defense Rating: 22.82 #134
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.2 #121
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #110
Talent Rating: 740.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #35
Expected Record: 1.0 - 11.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.34 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.82 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 50%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Purdue Notes
(12/1) HC Walters fired, 5-19 in 2 years
(11/24) Card torched MSU. Rgame P4 worst? Fought hard
(10/19) Never ever ever bet this dogshit team again
(10/19) QB Brown sucks, Rgame good vs Oregon, shutout
(10/18) QB Brown likely over Card from here out
(10/12) QB Browne/Rgame torched Ill. Def awful
(10/7) P4's worst team. Does Walters survive after this?
(10/3) Fired OC Harrell after 4 games
(9/28) Run D better vs Neb. Off was awful, esp run
(9/23) Run Def all 341 (6.0 ypc) @ Oreg St, Card awful

Nebraska's OC Marcus Satterfield

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dylan Raiola	274	409	67%	2806	13	11	6.9
Heinrich Haarberg	10	18	56%	101	0	1	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dante Dowdell (Tr)	143	614	12	4.3	38
Emmett Johnson	117	598	1	5.1	42
Jacory Barney Jr.	10	130	3	13.0	31
Heinrich Haarberg	25	102	1	4.1	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahmal Banks (Tr)	44	587	3	13.3	31
Isaiah Neyor (Tr)	34	455	5	13.4	59
Jacory Barney Jr.	55	447	0	8.1	40
Emmett Johnson	38	273	2	7.2	29

View Nebraska's Full Roster

Nebraska's DC Tony White

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
DeShon Singleton	71	1	0	0	3
Mikai Gbayor	49	6	1	3	3
Malcolm Hartzog	45	2	0	0	4
Ceyair Wright (Tr)	39	1	1	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Williams	14	6	5	4	0
Jimari Butler	22	7	2	5	0
Princewill Umanmielen	12	2	1	2	1
Ceyair Wright (Tr)	39	1	1	1	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ceyair Wright (Tr)	39	1	1	1	6
Marques Buford	35	1	0	0	5
Malcolm Hartzog	45	2	0	0	4

Purdue's OC (Int)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ryan Browne	43	76	57%	532	4	2	7.0
Shamar Rigby	1	1	100%	8	0	0	8.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Mockobee	138	687	4	5.0	63
Reggie Love III (Tr)	83	372	2	4.5	22
Ryan Browne	50	155	0	3.1	23
Elijah Jackson	6	97	1	16.2	69

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Max Klare	51	685	4	13.4	62
Jahmal Edrine	23	365	2	15.9	53
Jaron Tibbs	25	305	2	12.2	38
Devin Mockobee	17	170	1	10.0	21

View Purdue's Full Roster

Purdue's DC Kevin Kane

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dillon Thieneman	104	5	1	0	6
Yanni Karlaftis	57	2	1	2	1
Will Heldt	56	10	5	5	0
Antonio Stevens	46	3	1	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Will Heldt	56	10	5	5	0
Nyland Green (Tr)	23	2	2	0	5
Cole Brevard	19	6	2	0	0
Dillon Thieneman	104	5	1	0	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dillon Thieneman	104	5	1	0	6
Nyland Green (Tr)	23	2	2	0	5
Kyndrich Breedlove (Tr)	40	2	0	1	4