Nebraska at Ohio State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Nebraska logo Nebraska Cornhuskers at Ohio State Buckeyes(#1)Ohio State logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ohio State -25 (48.5) (-3200)  Open: -25.5
Ohio State 21 - Nebraska: 17  (Big Ten)

 
Cornhuskers (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Matt Rhule (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 24 - 20 (16 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
NEB 2nd straight Road Game
OSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Ohio State -27   (SP+ OSU -26)

Projected Score: NEB: 10 - OSU: 37 (47)
OSU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
NEB Travel: 722 miles, 1 hrs behind
Buckeyes (14 - 2) (10 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ryan Day (56 - 8)
Avg Score : 36 - 13 (39 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 14 - 2 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Nebraska's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Nebraska vs UTEP-27.549.0W 40 - 7UY
Sat 9/7 Nebraska vs Colorado-6.555.0W 28 - 10UY
Sat 9/14 Nebraska vs Northern Iowa-30.549.5W 34 - 3UY
Fri 9/20 Nebraska vs Illinois-9.541.5L 24 - 31ON
Sat 9/28 Nebraska at Purdue-10.047.5W 28 - 10UY
Sat 10/5 Nebraska vs Rutgers-7.039.5W 14 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Nebraska at Indiana+6.548.0L 7 - 56ON
Sat 10/26 Nebraska at Ohio State+25.048.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 11/2 Nebraska vs UCLA-7.538.5L 20 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Nebraska at USC+6.551.0L 20 - 28UN
Sat 11/23 Nebraska vs Wisconsin-1.540.5W 44 - 25OY
Fri 11/29 Nebraska at Iowa+3.541.5L 10 - 13UY
Sat 12/28 Nebraska vs Boston College-3.047.5W 20 - 15UY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule
Ohio State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Ohio State vs Akron-50.558.5W 52 - 6UN
Sat 9/7 Ohio State vs Western Michigan-37.554.5W 56 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Ohio State vs Marshall-40.057.0W 49 - 14ON
Sat 9/28 Ohio State at Michigan State-23.548.5W 38 - 7UY
Sat 10/5 Ohio State vs Iowa-17.046.0W 35 - 7UY
Sat 10/12 Ohio State at Oregon-3.554.5L 31 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Ohio State vs Nebraska-25.048.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 11/2 Ohio State at Penn State-3.047.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 11/9 Ohio State vs Purdue-37.555.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 11/16 Ohio State vs Northwestern-28.043.5W 31 - 7UN
Sat 11/23 Ohio State vs Indiana-10.552.5W 38 - 15OY
Sat 11/30 Ohio State vs Michigan-20.541.5L 10 - 13UN
Sat 12/21 Ohio State vs Tennessee-7.547.0W 42 - 17OY
Wed 1/1 Ohio State vs Oregon-2.555.5W 41 - 21OY
Fri 1/10 Ohio State vs Texas-6.551.5W 28 - 14UY
Mon 1/20 Ohio State vs Notre Dame-8.545.5W 34 - 23OY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEB#74 (.18)45% (37)23.548% (22)3.21 (40)12143% (55)2103.38 (114)#44 (.13)40% (50)19.539% (24)42% (82)3.06 (11)48.91.31.2
OSU#1 (.43)52% (3)35.748% (19)3.37 (15)13756% (1)2114.6 (15)#2 (-.01)36% (7)12.939% (26)34% (8)2.05 (1)31.60.81.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEB#74 (.18)45% (37)48% (22)3.21 (40)12143% (55)2103.38 (114)#44 (.13)40% (50)39% (24)42% (82)3.06 (11)48.91.31.2
OSU#1 (.43)52% (3)48% (19)3.37 (15)13756% (1)2114.6 (15)#2 (-.01)36% (7)39% (26)34% (8)2.05 (1)31.60.81.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEB Offense1323.516.445%3.381.3203311212103.848%51%48%43%16%.18
OSU Defense1612.99.936.3%2.051.1 - - - - - 53%46%39%34%19%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEB Defense1319.525.640.3%3.061.2 - - - - - 47%52%39%42%18%.13
OSU Offense1635.738.751.8%4.60.817347137211549%50%48%56%12%.43

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nebraska1329:4320.143%32%5.748.91.31.25.72327.2
Ohio State1624:2716.942%70%3.431.60.81.15.12.4228.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEB Offense1348% (80)48% (22)31.7121.13.820 (67).18 (38)3.21 (40)83% (8)10% (71)0.89 (105)
OSU Defense1653% (90)39% (26) - - - - .01 (15)2.9 (48)67% (33)13% (16)0.87 (20)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEB Defense1347% (29)39% (24) - - - - -.01 (9)2.72 (26)69% (40)12% (33)0.9 (32)
OSU Offense1649% (77)48% (19)27.3136.8528 (25).31 (8)3.37 (15)76% (48)7% (7)1.11 (16)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEB Offense1351% (57)43% (55)20.331209.56.810.312 (118)11 (72).21 (91)1.4 (132)28% (18)34% (45).31 (79)6% (67)1.8 (125)
OSU Defense1646% (35)34% (8) - - - - - - 9 (76).02 (2)1.5 (28)32% (74)30% (66).16 (13)6% (61)1.7 (6)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEB Defense1352% (101)42% (82) - - - - - - 11 (52).28 (88)1.6 (89)33% (52)31% (80).37 (96)6% (55)2.2 (98)
OSU Offense1650% (60)56% (1)16.723.4210.6912.631 (6)9 (48).58 (1)1.6 (70)27% (7)37% (12).55 (6)5% (42)2.1 (41)

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 8.73 #34
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 4.63 #26
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #29
Nebraska's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Nebraska's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 8.73   Ohio State: 34.17

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 5.5   Ohio State: 31.2




Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 34.17 #1
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 29.14 #5
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -3.55 #1
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 75 #2
Ohio State's 2024 Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0
Ohio State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.2 #1
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #3
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.2 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.4
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.6

Nebraska's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 37
Nebraska 10


Total Points: 47

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 12.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 9.9

Ohio State's 2024 Record
Record: 14 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 8 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Ohio State21Nebraska17Ohio StateOhio State -25Nebraska48.5Under
202111/06Nebraska17Ohio State26Ohio StateOhio State -14Nebraska68.5Under
202010/24Ohio State52Nebraska17Ohio StateOhio State -28Ohio State69.5Under
201909/28Nebraska7Ohio State48Ohio StateOhio State -17Ohio State66.0Under
201811/03Ohio State36Nebraska31Ohio StateOhio State -17Nebraska75.5Under
201710/14Nebraska14Ohio State56Ohio StateOhio State -24Ohio State58.0Over
201611/05Ohio State62Nebraska3Ohio StateOhio State -15.5Ohio State53.5Over
201210/06Ohio State63Nebraska38Ohio State
201110/08Nebraska34Ohio State27Nebraska
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio State842 Overs
Nebraska135 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 33 - 42 - 21 - 2
Road Teams3 - 64 - 32 - 12 - 2

(#34) Nebraska Info
Power Rating: 8.73 #34
Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Defense Rating: 4.63 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #12
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #29
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.38 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Great in Scoring Position 3.06 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Nebraska has lost 1 straight
Nebraska has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Nebraska Notes
(12/2) DC White left for FSU? Strange move
(12/2) OC Holgorsen signed to a two year deal
(11/30) Held Iowa to 5 1st downs, 0-10 on 3rd, still lost
(11/30) 1-5 in 1 score games in '24, 4-22 since '21
(11/29) Raiola is not good. Do not let hype fool in 25
(11/23) Great W vs Wisky. Raiola 293 yds, Rgame 180
(11/18) Raiola bad vs USC, Rgame meh, Def poor in L
(11/11) Recent hire Dana Holgorsen now OC, call plays
(11/2) Abysmal L to UCLA. Rgame bad, bowl in ?
(10/19) Kicker hurt, backup is 1-5 TY. Kick returner dumb

Nebraska Highlights
Nebraska does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#87)

Nebraska defense is really good in red zone (#8)
Nebraska has a good run defense (#135)
Nebraska Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#88)
Nebraska Defensive Line is very good (#135)

Nebraska Deficiencies
Nebraska offense is not Explosive (#131)
Nebraska offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#111)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatOSUNEB
OverallOver#2#52
OffenseOff#5#55
DefenseDef#2#59
Special TeamsST#10#82
PassingPass#16#59
RushingRush#14#44
Run BlockRBLK#24#35
Pass BlockPBLK#82#51
Route RunningWR Rt#4#57
TacklingTkl#11#44
Run DefenseR Def#3#61
Pass Rush DefPRush#17#28
Coverage DefCov#7#71

Rematch from Week 9
Ohio State -25.0 (48.5)
Ohio State won vs Nebraska this year (21-17)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Nebraska last year (21-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ohio Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NEB | OSU
Depth Chart: NEB | OSU
Rosters: NEB | OSU
(#1) Ohio State Info
Power Rating: 34.17 #1
Offense Rating: 29.14 #5
Defense Rating: -3.55 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 31.2 #1
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 9.2 #1
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 75 #2
Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Great Offense Success Rate of 52%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.6 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Great Pass Success 56%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 2.05 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Ohio State has lost 1 straight
Ohio State has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 8 - 1 (5 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Ohio State Notes
(12/1) Off awful, Rgame abysmal, Howard 2 Int in UM L
(12/1) 20 mil roster, still can't beat U. Coaching fail
(11/24) Mauled IU, D held to 153 yds. Off was OK
(11/19) Starting C McLaughlin out for season (ACL)
(11/18) Flat start vs NW, Howard OK, Rgame just OK
(11/3) OL was great considering injuries. Rgame beat PSU
(11/2) Def owned Penn St. Howard tough, Rgame alive
(10/26) Backup LT went down in Nebraska game
(10/22) Starting LT Simmons out for season
(10/12) Def torched by Oregon. Judkins/Downs vanished

Ohio State Highlights
Ohio State offense is efficent (#19)
Ohio State offense is explosive (#91)
Ohio State has a top Offensive Line (#69)
Ohio State offense is good in red zone (#18)
Ohio State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Ohio State has a really good defense (#24)
Ohio State defense does not give up big plays (#9)
Ohio State defense is really good in red zone (#8)
Ohio State has a good run defense (#41)
Ohio State has a good pass defense (#25)
Ohio State Front 7 is disruptive (#48)
Ohio State has a great TO Margin (#54)
Ohio State commits very few Penalties (#16)

Ohio State Deficiencies


  
Nebraska's OC Marcus Satterfield
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Raiola27440967%280613116.9
Heinrich Haarberg101856%101015.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dante Dowdell (Tr)143614124.338
Emmett Johnson11759815.142
Rahmir Johnson5426014.822
Jacory Barney Jr.10130313.031
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahmal Banks (Tr)44587313.331
Isaiah Neyor (Tr)34455513.459
Jacory Barney Jr.5544708.140
Thomas Fidone Jr.36373010.433

View Nebraska's Full Roster
Nebraska's DC Tony White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Gifford734011
DeShon Singleton711003
John Bullock7010435
Mikai Gbayor496133
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Robinson3713674
James Williams146540
John Bullock7010435
MJ Sherman295440
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ceyair Wright (Tr)391116
John Bullock7010435
Marques Buford351005

Ohio State's OC Chip Kelly
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Howard (Tr)30942373%401035109.5
Devin Brown112055%114105.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinshon Judkins (Tr)1941060145.586
TreVeyon Henderson1441016107.166
Will Howard (Tr)10522672.219
James Peoples4919724.018
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Smith7613151517.370
Emeka Egbuka8110111012.568
Carnell Tate52733414.140
TreVeyon Henderson27284110.575

View Ohio State's Full Roster
Ohio State's DC Jim Knowles
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cody Simon11213707
Sonny Styles10011605
Caleb Downs (Tr)818116
Lathan Ransom759112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.T. Tuimoloau61221353
Jack Sawyer599986
Cody Simon11213707
Sonny Styles10011605
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davison Igbinosun452009
Jordan Hancock482118
Cody Simon11213707