Nebraska at Ohio State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Ohio State Buckeyes

Saturday, October 26th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ohio State -25 (48.5) (-3200) Open: -25.5
Ohio State 21 - Nebraska: 17 (Big Ten)

Cornhuskers (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Matt Rhule (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (20 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NEB 2nd straight Road Game
OSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Ohio State -27 (SP+ OSU -26)
Projected Score: NEB: 11 - OSU: 38 (48)
OSU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
NEB Travel: 722 miles, 1 hrs behind

Buckeyes (14 - 2) (10 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ryan Day (56 - 8)
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (42 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 14 - 2 (#1)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NEB Players
OSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Nebraska's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Nebraska vs UTEP	-27.5	49.0	W 40 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Nebraska vs Colorado	-6.5	55.0	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Nebraska vs Northern Iowa	-30.5	49.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Fri 9/20	Nebraska vs Illinois	-9.5	41.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/28	Nebraska at Purdue	-10.0	47.5	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Nebraska vs Rutgers	-7.0	39.5	W 14 - 7	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Nebraska at Indiana	+6.5	48.0	L 7 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/26	Nebraska at Ohio State	+25.0	48.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Nebraska vs UCLA	-7.5	38.5	L 20 - 27	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Nebraska at USC	+6.5	51.0	L 20 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/23	Nebraska vs Wisconsin	-1.5	40.5	W 44 - 25	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Nebraska at Iowa	+3.5	41.5	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 12/28	Nebraska vs Boston College	-3.0	47.5	W 20 - 15	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule

Ohio State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Ohio State vs Akron	-50.5	58.5	W 52 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/7	Ohio State vs Western Michigan	-37.5	54.5	W 56 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Ohio State vs Marshall	-40.0	57.0	W 49 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/28	Ohio State at Michigan State	-23.5	48.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Ohio State vs Iowa	-17.0	46.0	W 35 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Ohio State at Oregon	-3.5	54.5	L 31 - 32	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Ohio State vs Nebraska	-25.0	48.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/2	Ohio State at Penn State	-3.0	47.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Ohio State vs Purdue	-37.5	55.5	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Ohio State vs Northwestern	-28.0	43.5	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/23	Ohio State vs Indiana	-10.5	52.5	W 38 - 15	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Ohio State vs Michigan	-20.5	41.5	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 12/21	Ohio State vs Tennessee	-7.5	47.0	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Wed 1/1	Ohio State vs Oregon	-2.5	55.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Fri 1/10	Ohio State vs Texas	-6.5	51.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Mon 1/20	Ohio State vs Notre Dame	-8.5	45.5	W 34 - 23	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEB	#105 (.13)	38% (111)	28.7	42% (84)	3.31 (33)	177	34% (125)	136	3.33 (104)	#18 (.1)	38% (22)	24.6	37% (18)	39% (31)	3.09 (16)	42.3	2.6	1.2
OSU	#14 (.31)	47% (22)	33.4	45% (49)	3.18 (57)	139	49% (12)	269	4.21 (36)	#5 (.03)	36% (11)	9.3	35% (12)	37% (17)	2.69 (5)	44.5	1	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEB Offense	12	28.7	19.5	38.1%	3.33	2.6	16	313	177	136	4.4	62%	36%	42%	34%	22%	.13
OSU Defense	13	9.3	7.4	35.8%	2.69	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	35%	37%	15%	.03

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEB Defense	12	24.6	28.3	37.6%	3.09	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	37%	39%	20%	.1
OSU Offense	13	33.4	41.6	46.6%	4.21	1	21	408	139	269	4.2	48%	51%	45%	49%	14%	.31

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Nebraska	12	30:53	16.4	38%	50%	5	42.3	2.6	1.2	6.3	2.7	0	29
Ohio State	13	29:25	20.9	43%	56%	5.7	44.5	1	0.8	4.8	1.7	3	28.8

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEB Offense	12	62% (5)	42% (84)	39.8	176.8	4.4	16 (89)	.12 (84)	3.31 (33)	76% (51)	14% (129)	0.99 (72)
OSU Defense	13	51% (85)	35% (12)	-	-	-	-	.04 (18)	3.02 (52)	58% (7)	9% (103)	0.98 (56)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEB Defense	12	43% (8)	37% (18)	-	-	-	-	.03 (16)	3.15 (81)	73% (70)	12% (22)	0.77 (3)
OSU Offense	13	48% (83)	45% (49)	33.2	138.8	4.2	20 (61)	.15 (72)	3.18 (57)	78% (34)	7% (14)	0.84 (126)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEB Offense	12	36% (129)	34% (125)	11.3	21.8	135.9	6.3	12	10 (120)	16 (121)	.24 (85)	1.9 (7)	34% (100)	25% (118)	.28 (84)	7% (110)	2.4 (5)
OSU Defense	13	49% (62)	37% (17)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.04 (1)	1.4 (2)	33% (51)	26% (21)	.15 (6)	7% (47)	1.8 (13)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEB Defense	12	56% (126)	39% (31)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.2 (31)	1.5 (35)	35% (25)	26% (20)	.27 (44)	8% (17)	2.1 (83)
OSU Offense	13	51% (49)	49% (12)	19.6	30.8	269.1	8.8	13.7	26 (31)	7 (21)	.5 (10)	1.7 (44)	28% (12)	34% (33)	.48 (23)	7% (95)	2 (99)

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 8.73 #34
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 21.32 #53
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 4.63 #26
2024 Talent Rating: 495.00 #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #29
Nebraska's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Nebraska's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #99
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 8.73 Ohio State: 34.17

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 5.5 Ohio State: 31.2

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 34.17 #1
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 29.14 #5
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -3.55 #1
2024 Talent Rating: 656.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 75 #2
Ohio State's 2024 Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0
Ohio State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.2 #1
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #3
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.2 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.5
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

Nebraska's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio State 38
Nebraska 11

Projected Total Points: 48

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.4

Ohio State's 2024 Record
Record: 14 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 9
Record at home: 8 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/26	Ohio State	21	Nebraska	17	Ohio State -25	Nebraska	48.5	Under
2021	11/06	Nebraska	17	Ohio State	26	Ohio State -14	Nebraska	68.5	Under
2020	10/24	Ohio State	52	Nebraska	17	Ohio State -28	Ohio State	69.5	Under
2019	09/28	Nebraska	7	Ohio State	48	Ohio State -17	Ohio State	66.0	Under
2018	11/03	Ohio State	36	Nebraska	31	Ohio State -17	Nebraska	75.5	Under
2017	10/14	Nebraska	14	Ohio State	56	Ohio State -24	Ohio State	58.0	Over
2016	11/05	Ohio State	62	Nebraska	3	Ohio State -15.5	Ohio State	53.5	Over
2012	10/06	Ohio State	63	Nebraska	38
2011	10/08	Nebraska	34	Ohio State	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ohio State	8	4	2 Overs
Nebraska	1	3	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 3	3 - 4	2 - 2	1 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 6	4 - 3	2 - 1	2 - 2

(#34) NEB at (#1) OSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NEB	OSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#34	#1
SP+SP+	#45	#1
Perf GradeGrade	#75	#2
OffenseOff	#65	#5
DefenseDef	#78	#2
Spec TeamsST	#99	#11
TalentTal	#16	#3
Blue ChipsBC%	#29	#2

Nebraska Notes(12/11) Elevated DB's coach Butler to DC? (NFL 14-23)
(12/2) DC White left for FSU? Strange move
(12/2) OC Holgorsen signed to a two year deal
(11/30) Held Iowa to 5 1st downs, 0-10 on 3rd, still lost
(11/30) 1-5 in 1 score games in '24, 4-22 since '21
(11/29) Raiola is not good. Do not let hype fool in 25
(11/23) Great W vs Wisky. Raiola 293 yds, Rgame 180
(11/18) Raiola bad vs USC, Rgame meh, Def poor in L
(11/11) Recent hire Dana Holgorsen now OC, call plays
(11/2) Abysmal L to UCLA. Rgame bad, bowl in ?
(10/19) Kicker hurt, backup is 1-5 TY. Kick returner dumb
(10/19) Unserious team. Def sucked/Rgame sucked
Nebraska Injury Report

Ohio State Notes(12/17) QB's Noland (Fr) & Brown (Jr) left via portal
(12/1) Off awful, Rgame abysmal, Howard 2 Int in UM L
(12/1) 20 mil roster, still can't beat U. Coaching fail
(11/24) Mauled IU, D held to 153 yds. Off was OK
(11/19) Starting C McLaughlin out for season (ACL)
(11/18) Flat start vs NW, Howard OK, Rgame just OK
(11/3) OL was great considering injuries. Rgame beat PSU
(11/2) Def owned Penn St. Howard tough, Rgame alive
(10/26) Backup LT went down in Nebraska game
(10/22) Starting LT Simmons out for season
(10/12) Def torched by Oregon. Judkins/Downs vanished
(10/6) B2B drubbings (MSU/Iowa). Top #s, Rzone esp
Ohio State Injury Report

Nebraska on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	NEB Off	OSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#65	#2
SuccessSuc	#111	#11
ExplosiveExp	#70	#11
PPAPPA	#105	#5
PowerPwr	#53	#1
SP+SP+	#99	#1
Pts POPPO	#104	#5
HavocHav	#130	#85

Nebraska Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	NEB Off	OSU Def
Run GameRun	#63	#3
Run SuccessRSuc	#84	#12
Run ExplRExp	#72	#56
PPAExp	#84	#18
Run BlockR Blk	#45	-
OL YdsOLY	#33	#52
Stuff RateStuff	#15	#86
TackleTak	-	#12

Nebraska Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	NEB Off	OSU Def
Pass GamePass	#74	#7
Pass SuccessPSuc	#125	#17
Pass ExplPExl	#7	#2
PPAExp	#85	#1
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#54	#18
F7 HavocF7	#129	#103
DB HavocDB	#110	#47

Ohio State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	OSU Off	NEB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#5	#78
SuccessSuc	#22	#22
ExplosiveExp	#78	#17
PPAPPA	#14	#18
PowerPwr	#5	#26
SP+SP+	#3	#12
Pts POPPO	#36	#16
HavocHav	#29	#12

Ohio State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	OSU Off	NEB Def
Run GameRun	#19	#77
Run SuccessRSuc	#49	#18
Run ExplRExp	#126	#3
PPAExp	#72	#16
Run BlockR Blk	#29	-
OL YdsOLY	#57	#81
Stuff RateStuff	#52	#122
TackleTak	-	#49

Ohio State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	OSU Off	NEB Def
Pass GamePass	#18	#87
Pass SuccessPSuc	#12	#31
Pass ExplPExl	#44	#35
PPAExp	#10	#31
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#97	#31
F7 HavocF7	#14	#22
DB HavocDB	#95	#17

Program Comparison
OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'24 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

NEB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ohio Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Ohio State -25.0 (48.5)
Ohio State won vs Nebraska this year (21-17)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Nebraska in 2024 (21-17)

NEB's OC Marcus Satterfield (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dylan Raiola	274	409	67%	2806	13	11	6.9
Heinrich Haarberg	10	18	56%	101	0	1	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dante Dowdell (Tr)	143	614	12	4.3	38
Emmett Johnson	117	598	1	5.1	42
Rahmir Johnson	54	260	1	4.8	22
Jacory Barney Jr.	10	130	3	13.0	31

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahmal Banks (Tr)	44	587	3	13.3	31
Isaiah Neyor (Tr)	34	455	5	13.4	59
Jacory Barney Jr.	55	447	0	8.1	40
Thomas Fidone Jr.	36	373	0	10.4	33

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC Tony White (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Gifford	73	4	0	1	1
DeShon Singleton	71	1	0	0	3
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
Mikai Gbayor	49	6	1	3	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Robinson	37	13	6	7	4
James Williams	14	6	5	4	0
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
MJ Sherman	29	5	4	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ceyair Wright (Tr)	39	1	1	1	6
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
Marques Buford	35	1	0	0	5

OSU's OC Chip Kelly (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Will Howard (Tr)	309	423	73%	4010	35	10	9.5
Devin Brown	11	20	55%	114	1	0	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinshon Judkins (Tr)	194	1060	14	5.5	86
TreVeyon Henderson	144	1016	10	7.1	66
Will Howard (Tr)	105	226	7	2.2	19
James Peoples	49	197	2	4.0	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeremiah Smith	76	1315	15	17.3	70
Emeka Egbuka	81	1011	10	12.5	68
Carnell Tate	52	733	4	14.1	40
TreVeyon Henderson	27	284	1	10.5	75

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Jim Knowles (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cody Simon	112	13	7	0	7
Sonny Styles	100	11	6	0	5
Caleb Downs (Tr)	81	8	1	1	6
Lathan Ransom	75	9	1	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J.T. Tuimoloau	61	22	13	5	3
Jack Sawyer	59	9	9	8	6
Cody Simon	112	13	7	0	7
Sonny Styles	100	11	6	0	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davison Igbinosun	45	2	0	0	9
Jordan Hancock	48	2	1	1	8
Cody Simon	112	13	7	0	7