South Carolina at Kentucky - 2024 Matchup Preview

(#10)South Carolina Gamecocks at Kentucky Wildcats

Saturday, September 7th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Kentucky -9.5 (41.5) (-340) Open: -10.0 | 42.5
South Carolina 31 - Kentucky: 6 (SEC)

Gamecocks (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (20 - 18)
Avg Score : 31 - 18 (27 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UK 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: South Carolina -10.5 (SP+ SC -11.5)
Projected Score: SC: 25 - UK: 15 (40)
UK Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
SC Travel: 341 miles

Wildcats (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (73 - 65)
Avg Score : 21 - 22 (22 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SC Players
UK Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Carolina's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	South Carolina vs Old Dominion	-20.5	49.5	W 23 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/7	South Carolina at Kentucky	+9.5	41.5	W 31 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/14	South Carolina vs LSU	+7.0	50.0	L 33 - 36	O	Y
Sat 9/21	South Carolina vs Akron	-25.0	42.0	W 50 - 7	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	South Carolina vs Ole Miss	+10.0	53.0	L 3 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/12	South Carolina at Alabama	+21.0	50.0	L 25 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/19	South Carolina at Oklahoma	-1.0	40.5	W 35 - 9	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	South Carolina vs Texas A&M	+3.0	43.5	W 44 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/9	South Carolina at Vanderbilt	-6.0	44.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/16	South Carolina vs Missouri	-10.5	42.5	W 34 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/23	South Carolina vs Wofford	-42.5	49.5	W 56 - 12	O	Y
Sat 11/30	South Carolina at Clemson	+2.5	48.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Tue 12/31	South Carolina vs Illinois	-9.5	50.0	L 17 - 21	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule

Kentucky's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Kentucky vs Southern Miss	-25.5	50.5	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Kentucky vs South Carolina	-9.5	41.5	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/14	Kentucky vs Georgia	+24.0	45.0	L 12 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Kentucky vs Ohio	-19.0	42.0	W 41 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Kentucky at Ole Miss	+15.0	51.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	-12.5	44.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/19	Kentucky at Florida	-2.5	42.5	L 20 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/26	Kentucky vs Auburn	-2.0	43.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/2	Kentucky at Tennessee	+17.5	45.5	L 18 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Kentucky vs Murray State	-41.5	54.5	W 48 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Kentucky at Texas	+18.5	47.0	L 14 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Kentucky vs Louisville	+3.5	48.5	L 14 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SC	#48 (.22)	44% (58)	30.5	44% (74)	3.01 (73)	175	44% (42)	203	3.97 (62)	#15 (.08)	42% (73)	18.1	45% (93)	40% (61)	3.19 (16)	53.8	1.5	1.7
UK	#118 (.09)	41% (89)	20.6	47% (31)	3.02 (71)	146	35% (123)	185	3.49 (104)	#62 (.16)	46% (111)	22.1	49% (122)	42% (75)	3.44 (31)	52.1	1.9	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SC	#48 (.22)	44% (58)		44% (74)	3.01 (73)	175	44% (42)	203	3.97 (62)	#15 (.08)	42% (73)		45% (93)	40% (61)	3.19 (16)	53.8	1.5	1.7
UK	#118 (.09)	41% (89)		47% (31)	3.02 (71)	146	35% (123)	185	3.49 (104)	#62 (.16)	46% (111)		49% (122)	42% (75)	3.44 (31)	52.1	1.9	1.3

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SC Offense	13	30.5	27.2	43.7%	3.97	1.5	20	378	175	203	4.4	58%	41%	44%	44%	17%	.22
UK Defense	12	22.1	17.6	46%	3.44	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	49%	42%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SC Defense	13	18.1	12.6	42.1%	3.19	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	40%	19%	.08
UK Offense	12	20.6	21.9	41.5%	3.49	1.9	19	331	146	185	4	54%	46%	47%	35%	19%	.09

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Carolina	13	28:44	20	42%	50%	6.2	53.8	1.5	1.7	6.5	3.1	2	30.3
Kentucky	12	29:32	19.4	34%	44%	6.3	52.1	1.9	1.3	5.6	1.8	2	27

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SC Offense	13	58% (15)	44% (74)	39.5	175.2	4.4	25 (41)	.13 (70)	3.01 (73)	79% (29)	13% (121)	0.95 (79)
UK Defense	12	58% (129)	49% (122)	-	-	-	-	.14 (75)	3 (67)	78% (101)	12% (32)	0.88 (24)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SC Defense	13	49% (52)	45% (93)	-	-	-	-	.03 (23)	2.87 (46)	69% (43)	13% (10)	0.73 (4)
UK Offense	12	54% (37)	47% (31)	36.7	146.4	4	11 (116)	.05 (107)	3.02 (71)	73% (71)	13% (120)	0.73 (133)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SC Offense	13	41% (118)	44% (42)	15.5	23.6	202.8	8.6	13.1	20 (58)	7 (26)	.37 (23)	1.8 (14)	30% (45)	32% (61)	.35 (63)	4% (17)	2.1 (47)
UK Defense	12	42% (7)	42% (75)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (66)	.19 (46)	1.5 (27)	29% (109)	31% (83)	.3 (68)	5% (95)	2 (61)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SC Defense	13	50% (74)	40% (61)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (31)	.15 (31)	1.5 (35)	30% (104)	29% (49)	.26 (45)	6% (76)	2.1 (76)
UK Offense	12	46% (97)	35% (123)	13.9	26	184.8	7.1	13.3	15 (98)	17 (127)	.13 (117)	1.9 (10)	33% (92)	28% (104)	.18 (114)	7% (103)	2.1 (46)

South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 16.96 #11
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 20.17 #65
South Carolina's Defense Rating: 3.17 #13
2024 Talent Rating: 856.00 #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 32% #20
South Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
South Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.9 #14
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #35
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #13

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 16.96 Kentucky: 6.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 16.9 Kentucky: 5.5

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 6.32 #54
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 16.88 #96
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 8.88 #62
2024 Talent Rating: 830.00 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 28 #21
Kentucky's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Kentucky's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.5 #45
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #88
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.2
Defense: 18.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 12.6

South Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
South Carolina 25
Kentucky 15

Total Points: 40

Based on Last 4 Games
Kentucky 17
South Carolina 16

Total Points: 34

Based on Entire Season
South Carolina 24
Kentucky 18

Total Points: 42

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.9
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Kentucky's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	South Carolina	35	Kentucky	13	South Carolina -5.5	South Carolina	46.5	Over
2024	09/07	Kentucky	6	South Carolina	31	Kentucky -9.5	South Carolina	41.5	Under
2023	11/18	South Carolina	17	Kentucky	14	South Carolina -2.5	South Carolina	52.5	Under
2022	10/08	Kentucky	14	South Carolina	24	Kentucky -4	South Carolina	45.0	Under
2021	09/25	South Carolina	10	Kentucky	16	Kentucky -4.5	Kentucky	49.0	Under
2020	12/05	Kentucky	41	South Carolina	18	Kentucky -12	Kentucky	46.0	Over
2019	09/28	South Carolina	24	Kentucky	7	South Carolina -3.5	South Carolina	54.0	Under
2018	09/29	Kentucky	24	South Carolina	10	South Carolina -1	Kentucky	52.0	Under
2017	09/16	South Carolina	13	Kentucky	23	South Carolina -6	Kentucky	48.5	Under
2016	09/24	Kentucky	17	South Carolina	10	Kentucky -1.5	Kentucky	57.5	Under
2015	09/12	South Carolina	22	Kentucky	26	South Carolina -7.5	Kentucky	56.0	Under
2014	10/04	Kentucky	45	South Carolina	38	South Carolina -7.5	Kentucky	0
2013	10/05	South Carolina	35	Kentucky	28	South Carolina -21	Kentucky	0
2012	09/29	Kentucky	17	South Carolina	38
2011	10/08	South Carolina	54	Kentucky	3
2010	10/16	Kentucky	31	South Carolina	28
2009	10/10	South Carolina	28	Kentucky	26
2008	10/11	Kentucky	17	South Carolina	24
2007	10/04	South Carolina	38	Kentucky	23
2006	10/07	Kentucky	17	South Carolina	24
2005	10/08	South Carolina	44	Kentucky	16
2004	10/16	Kentucky	7	South Carolina	12
2003	10/09	South Carolina	27	Kentucky	21
2002	10/12	Kentucky	12	South Carolina	16
2001	10/06	South Carolina	42	Kentucky	6
2000	10/06	Kentucky	17	South Carolina	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kentucky	8	8	2 Overs
South Carolina	18	5	9 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 11	7 - 6	5 - 5	2 - 1
Road Teams	11 - 15	6 - 7	1 - 2	5 - 5

(#11) SC at (#54) UK

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SC	UK
Power RatePwr	#11	#54
SP+SP+	#14	#45
Perf GradeGrade	#21	#83
OffenseOff	#78	#95
DefenseDef	#10	#75
Spec TeamsST	#26	#32
TalentTal	#19	#26
Blue ChipsBC%	#20	#21

South Carolina Notes
(12/11) OC Loggains left for App St HC job
(12/11) Hired Mike Shula as OC? Was OA, NLF, Bama HC
(12/1) Sellers future, how much DL can they keep/get?
(12/1) Even w/ Clem, Sellers legs the diff. Run D good
(11/18) Hot team, Sellers 353 yds (Mizzu) Rgame bad
(11/13) Killed Vandy, Sellers improving, Def best in SEC?
(10/18) Allowed most sacks in FBS, also 8 QB fumbles
(10/12) Run Def great vs Bama, Sellers better. Tough team
(10/6) QB Sellers does not look healthy
(9/15) DL top unit in CFB. Rgame good vs LSU, QB bad
(9/8) Huge W @ UK, Def great, Off still awful.

Kentucky Notes
(11/23) 30 car, 21 yds vs Tex. QB Boley bad, Def fought
(10/30) UK on quit watch, bad body language past 2 L's
(10/27) Off broken, Haven't scored 21 pts in any SEC game
(10/16) Into UF wk, Stoops 5-8 in last 13 games
(10/13) Bad L (Vandy). Def good, QB v bad, Rgame Ok.
(9/28) Great W over Ole Miss. Rgame stopped, Pass good
(9/28) Run Def is great. Held Ole Miss 92 yds (3.2 ypc)
(9/15) OL/DL great vs UGA. Def good, Off bad, QB bad
(9/9) W/O OC Coen UKs Off has regressed badly twice
(9/8) 44 yds pass, 2 Int in bad L vs S Car. Rgame bad
(9/1) Def perfect vs S Miss. Eff off, QB Brock good start

South Carolina on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	SC Off	UK Def
Perf GradePerf	#78	#75
SuccessSuc	#58	#111
ExplosiveExp	#56	#9
PPAPPA	#48	#62
PowerPwr	#65	#62
SP+SP+	#35	#26
Pts POPPO	#62	#31
HavocHav	#93	#56

South Carolina Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	SC Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	#35	#113
Run SuccessRSuc	#74	#122
Run ExplRExp	#79	#24
PPAExp	#70	#75
Run BlockR Blk	#103	-
OL YdsOLY	#73	#67
Stuff RateStuff	#41	#48
TackleTak	-	#104

South Carolina Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	SC Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	#69	#55
Pass SuccessPSuc	#42	#75
Pass ExplPExl	#14	#27
PPAExp	#23	#46
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#107	#23
F7 HavocF7	#121	#32
DB HavocDB	#17	#95

Kentucky on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	UK Off	SC Def
Perf GradePerf	#95	#10
SuccessSuc	#89	#73
ExplosiveExp	#123	#5
PPAPPA	#118	#15
PowerPwr	#96	#13
SP+SP+	#88	#13
Pts POPPO	#104	#16
HavocHav	#121	#21

Kentucky Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	UK Off	SC Def
Run GameRun	#31	#28
Run SuccessRSuc	#31	#93
Run ExplRExp	#133	#4
PPAExp	#107	#23
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	#71	#46
Stuff RateStuff	#78	#74
TackleTak	-	#42

Kentucky Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	UK Off	SC Def
Pass GamePass	#113	#12
Pass SuccessPSuc	#123	#61
Pass ExplPExl	#10	#35
PPAExp	#117	#31
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#116	#3
F7 HavocF7	#120	#10
DB HavocDB	#103	#76

Program Comparison
UK 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

SC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 71° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 2
Kentucky -9.5 (41.5)
South Carolina won at Kentucky this year (31-6)

Previous Matchups
South Carolina beat Kentucky last year (31-6)
South Carolina beat Kentucky in 2023 (17-14)
South Carolina beat Kentucky in 2022 (24-14)

SC's OC Dowell Loggains (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Lanorris Sellers	197	300	66%	2527	18	7	8.4
Robby Ashford (Tr)	23	32	72%	324	2	0	10.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Raheim Sanders (Tr)	183	881	11	4.8	66
Lanorris Sellers	165	681	7	4.1	75
Oscar Adaway III (Tr)	77	295	3	3.8	36
Robby Ashford (Tr)	41	227	2	5.5	38

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joshua Simon	41	512	7	12.5	57
Nyck Harbor	26	376	3	14.5	43
Mazeo Bennett	30	337	3	11.2	36
Raheim Sanders (Tr)	27	316	2	11.7	43

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nick Emmanwori	88	3	0	0	2
Demetrius Knight II	82	8	2	0	1
Bam Martin-Scott	66	8	3	0	2
Debo Williams	63	5	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Kennard (Tr)	29	17	12	9	1
Dylan Stewart	23	11	7	3	1
Bryan Thomas Jr.	23	7	5	2	0
Tonka Hemingway	25	4	4	6	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Judge Collier	28	3	0	8
Jalon Kilgore	48	3	3	5
O'Donnell Fortune	47	2	0	3

UK's OC Bush Hamdan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brock Vandagriff (Tr)	125	218	57%	1593	10	8	7.3
Cutter Boley	26	53	49%	338	2	4	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamarion Wilcox	92	590	2	6.4	50
Demie Sumo	129	586	5	4.5	22
Gavin Wimsatt (Tr)	49	183	2	3.7	24
Brock Vandagriff (Tr)	90	131	0	1.5	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dane Key	47	715	2	15.2	42
Barion Brown	29	361	3	12.4	63
Jay Maclin	13	313	4	24.1	83
Demie Sumo	20	154	0	7.7	18

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC Brad White (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamon Dumas-Johnson (Tr)	67	7	4	1	0
Jordan Lovett	63	1	0	0	1
Alex Afari Jr.	62	11	2	1	1
Zion Childress	55	6	1	6	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J.J. Weaver	31	7	4	4	1
Jamon Dumas-Johnson (Tr)	67	7	4	1	0
Tre'Vonn Rybka	34	5	3	2	1
Octavious Oxendine	20	5	3	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Terhyon Nichols	10	0	0	5
Maxwell Hairston	19	1	1	4
J.Q. Hardaway	47	0	0	3