South Alabama at Eastern Michigan - 2023 Matchup Preview
South Alabama logo South Alabama Jaguars at Eastern Michigan EaglesEastern Michigan logo
Saturday, December 23rd 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
South Alabama -18.0 (43.0) (-750)  Open: -15.0 | 48.0
South Alabama 59 - Eastern Michigan: 10  (68 Ventures Bowl)

 
Jaguars (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kane Wommack (17 - 11)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (34 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.3 - 3.7 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: South Alabama -9.5   (SP+ USA -12.5)

Projected Score: USA: 29 - EMU: 19 (48)
USA Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
USA Travel: 835 miles, 1 hrs behind
Eagles (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (48 - 62)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (24 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 6.2 (#62)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Alabama's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 South Alabama at Tulane+6.051.0L 17 - 37ON
Sat 9/9 South Alabama vs SE Louisiana-24.059.5W 35 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 South Alabama at Oklahoma State+7.049.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 9/23 South Alabama vs Central Michigan-16.546.5L 30 - 34ON
Sat 9/30 South Alabama at James Madison+1.048.5L 23 - 31ON
Sat 10/7 South Alabama at UL Monroe-11.051.5W 55 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17 South Alabama vs Southern Miss-18.551.0W 55 - 3OY
Sat 10/28 South Alabama vs Louisiana-11.555.0L 20 - 33UN
Thu 11/2 South Alabama at Troy+5.544.5L 10 - 28UN
Sat 11/11 South Alabama vs Arkansas State-14.554.5W 21 - 14UN
Sat 11/18 South Alabama vs Marshall-10.544.5W 28 - 0UY
Sat 11/25 South Alabama at Texas State-6.557.0L 44 - 52ON
Sat 12/23 South Alabama at Eastern Michigan-18.043.0W 59 - 10OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Eastern Michigan vs Howard-20.055.5W 33 - 23ON
Sat 9/9 Eastern Michigan at Minnesota+19.548.0L 6 - 25UY
Sat 9/16 Eastern Michigan vs Massachusetts-7.050.0W 19 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 Eastern Michigan at Jacksonville State+6.551.0L 0 - 21UN
Sat 9/30 Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan+9.545.0L 23 - 26OY
Sat 10/7 Eastern Michigan vs Ball State-2.543.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/14 Eastern Michigan vs Kent State-7.040.0W 28 - 14OY
Sat 10/21 Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois+11.543.5L 13 - 20UY
Sat 10/28 Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan+3.050.0L 21 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8 Eastern Michigan at Toledo+19.545.5L 23 - 49ON
Tue 11/14 Eastern Michigan vs Akron-3.539.5W 30 - 27ON
Tue 11/21 Eastern Michigan at Buffalo+6.538.5W 24 - 11UY
Sat 12/23 Eastern Michigan vs South Alabama+18.043.0L 10 - 59ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA#31 (.28)43% (57)33.142% (80)3.24 (44)17245% (35)2684.67 (15)#34 (.14)37% (17)2135% (8)40% (44)3.32 (21)57.71.51.7
EMU#123 (.07)36% (127)19.539% (115)2.94 (101)11234% (122)1523.85 (74)#73 (.19)42% (74)26.747% (106)38% (24)3.68 (58)58.61.41.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USA#5 (.34)50% (9)53% (4)3.57 (6)19947% (18)2434.66 (13)#58 (.15)41% (58)39% (28)43% (96)3.66 (56)70.80.91.5
EMU#117 (.09)42% (74)43% (87)2.98 (82)14242% (66)2353.47 (105)#83 (.19)45% (105)45% (84)46% (116)3.49 (38)62.41.41.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Offense1333.134.443%4.671.5234401722684.848%51%42%45%15%.28
EMU Defense1326.727.942.4%3.681.4 - - - - - 54%45%47%38%15%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USA Defense132124.636.6%3.321.7 - - - - - 54%45%35%40%16%.14
EMU Offense1319.523.635.8%3.851.4162641121523.450%48%39%34%19%.07

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Alabama1330:3022.643%63%6.757.71.51.75.82031.4
Eastern Michigan1328:5915.935%53%6.258.61.41.44.51.6328.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Offense1348% (81)42% (80)36171.94.828 (25).18 (49)3.24 (44)74% (71)10% (76)1.18 (6)
EMU Defense1354% (117)47% (106) - - - - .16 (82)3.43 (121)64% (22)9% (102)0.93 (33)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USA Defense1354% (116)35% (8) - - - - -.01 (12)2.69 (14)74% (74)11% (33)0.9 (27)
EMU Offense1350% (67)39% (115)32.9112.13.418 (77).07 (109)2.94 (101)76% (48)11% (97)0.92 (104)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Offense1351% (55)45% (35)22.432.9268.28.11228 (23)11 (68).41 (26)1.7 (34)34% (104)39% (8).59 (7)5% (27)2.2 (34)
EMU Defense1345% (18)38% (24) - - - - - - 7 (111).26 (62)1.7 (108)31% (92)32% (101).43 (118)6% (76)2.2 (117)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USA Defense1345% (19)40% (44) - - - - - - 13 (26).36 (109)1.8 (124)36% (12)27% (29).28 (47)5% (106)2.2 (104)
EMU Offense1348% (78)34% (122)15.227.51525.51010 (120)12 (85).1 (122)1.4 (129)34% (108)21% (130).09 (130)8% (115)1.8 (124)

South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: 3.95 #41
South Alabama's Offense Rating: 19.51 #39
South Alabama's Defense Rating: 6.19 #32
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
South Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.30 - 3.70
South Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #68

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: 3.95   Eastern Michigan: -6.06

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Alabama: 3.0   Eastern Michigan: -9.6




Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -6.06 #105
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.4
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.6

South Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Alabama 29
Eastern Michigan 19


Total Points: 48

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.6
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202312/23Eastern Michigan10South Alabama59South AlabamaSouth Alabama -18.0South Alabama43.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Eastern Michigan001 Overs
South Alabama110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

South Alabama Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2023Ventures Bowl South Alabama vs Eastern Michigan-18.043.0W 59 - 10
2022Orleans Bowl South Alabama vs Western Kentucky-4.058.0L 23 - 44
Eastern Michigan Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2023Ventures Bowl Eastern Michigan vs South Alabama+18.043.0L 10 - 59
2022Potato Bowl Eastern Michigan vs San José State+3.554.0W 41 - 27
2021Lendingtree Bowl Eastern Michigan vs Liberty+9.558.5L 20 - 56
2019Lane Bowl Eastern Michigan vs Pittsburgh+12.551.0L 30 - 34
2018Camellia Bowl Eastern Michigan vs Georgia Southern+3.045.5L 21 - 23
  
(#41) South Alabama Info
Power Rating: 3.95 #41
Offense Rating: 19.51 #39
Defense Rating: 6.19 #32
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #55
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #68
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 9.30 - 3.70


South Alabama has played in 3 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 1)
South Alabama has played in 5 Bowls since 2000 (2 - 3)

South Alabama Highlights
South Alabama offense is explosive (#86)
South Alabama offense is good in red zone (#52)
South Alabama does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#26)

South Alabama has a really good defense (#117)
South Alabama defense is really good in red zone (#130)
South Alabama has a good run defense (#122)
South Alabama Defensive Line is very good (#105)
South Alabama defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

South Alabama Deficiencies
South Alabama Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatEMUUSA
OverallOver#79#28
OffenseOff#100#36
DefenseDef#40#26
Special TeamsST#23#68
PassingPass#111#69
RushingRush#86#5
Run BlockRBLK#31#45
Pass BlockPBLK#70#94
Route RunningWR Rt#104#21
TacklingTkl#48#92
Run DefenseR Def#27#22
Pass Rush DefPRush#49#53
Coverage DefCov#68#52

Rematch from Week 1
South Alabama 18.0 (43.0)
South Alabama won at Eastern Michigan this year (59-10)

Previous Matchups
South Alabama beat Eastern Michigan in 2023 (59-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hancock Whitney Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USA | EMU
Depth Chart: USA | EMU
Rosters: USA | EMU
(#105) Eastern Michigan Info
Power Rating: -6.06 #105
Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20


Eastern Michigan has played in 5 Bowls in the last 5 years (1 - 4)
Eastern Michigan has played in 6 Bowls since 2000 (1 - 5)

Eastern Michigan Highlights
Eastern Michigan has a good pass defense (#126)

Eastern Michigan Deficiencies
Eastern Michigan has a really bad Offense
Eastern Michigan Can Not Run the Ball (#90)
Eastern Michigan offense is really bad (#94)
Eastern Michigan offense is not Explosive (#48)
Eastern Michigan run game is really bad (#96)
Eastern Michigan pass game is really bad (#87)
Eastern Michigan Does Not Stuff Runs (#52)
Eastern Michigan has a bad defensive line (#114)


  
South Alabama's OC Major Applewhite
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carter Bradley22132668%26601978.2
Giovanni Lopez416167%475427.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
La'Damian Webb1861007165.465
Kentrel Bullock (Tr)8344845.434
Braylon McReynolds4623205.035
Marco Lee5322024.213
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caullin Lacy911316714.584
Jamaal Pritchett57883815.551
Damarcus Thomas2723558.733
Javon Ivory (Tr)20234111.739

View South Alabama's Full Roster
South Alabama's DC Corey Batoon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quentin Wilfawn8316651
Trey Kiser6710412
James Miller674010
Jaden Voisin662006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quentin Wilfawn8316651
Trey Kiser6710412
Jamie Sheriff4593120
Brock Higdon184351
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rickey Fletcher3810111
Jaden Voisin662006
Yamarus Banks456133

Eastern Michigan's OC Chris Creighton
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Austin Smith17129857%1775976.0
Ike Udengwu III133142%100023.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Samson Evans142635124.561
Jaylon Jackson13657624.255
Austin Smith10113421.341
Cam'Ron McCoy156314.216
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tanner Knue5047939.639
J.B. Mitchell35398111.450
Hamze Elzayat27360213.350
Jaylon Jackson2423429.868

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster
Eastern Michigan's DC Taver Johnson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Sparacio1399353
Chase Kline1244293
Quentavius Scandrett580001
Kempton Shine573008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mikah Coleman397481
Peyton Price485470
Joseph Sparacio1399353
Justin Jefferson487391
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daiquan White1910012
Kempton Shine573008
Bennett Walker250004