Ball State at Eastern Michigan - 2023 Matchup Preview
Ball State logo Ball State Cardinals at Eastern Michigan EaglesEastern Michigan logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Eastern Michigan -2.5 (43.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Eastern Michigan 24 - Ball State: 10  (Mid-American)

 
Cardinals (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mike Neu (34 - 50)
Avg Score : 18 - 24 (15 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BALL 2nd straight Road Game
EMU is playing their 6th straight game
BALL is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Eastern Michigan -5.5   (SP+ EMU -5)

Projected Score: BALL: 20 - EMU: 25 (45)
EMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BALL Travel: 168 miles
Eagles (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (48 - 62)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (24 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 6.2 (#62)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ball State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Ball State at Kentucky+25.049.0L 14 - 44ON
Sat 9/9 Ball State at Georgia+42.052.5L 3 - 45UY
Sat 9/16 Ball State vs Indiana State-26.045.0W 45 - 7OY
Sat 9/23 Ball State vs Georgia Southern+6.060.0L 3 - 40UN
Sat 9/30 Ball State at Western Michigan+1.550.0L 24 - 42ON
Sat 10/7 Ball State at Eastern Michigan+2.543.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 10/14 Ball State vs Toledo+17.548.5L 6 - 13UY
Sat 10/21 Ball State vs Central Michigan+5.042.0W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Ball State at Bowling Green+4.539.5L 21 - 24OY
Tue 11/7 Ball State at Northern Illinois+9.543.5W 20 - 17UY
Sat 11/18 Ball State vs Kent State-10.541.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 11/25 Ball State vs Miami (OH)+3.534.5L 15 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Eastern Michigan vs Howard-20.055.5W 33 - 23ON
Sat 9/9 Eastern Michigan at Minnesota+19.548.0L 6 - 25UY
Sat 9/16 Eastern Michigan vs Massachusetts-7.050.0W 19 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 Eastern Michigan at Jacksonville State+6.551.0L 0 - 21UN
Sat 9/30 Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan+9.545.0L 23 - 26OY
Sat 10/7 Eastern Michigan vs Ball State-2.543.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/14 Eastern Michigan vs Kent State-7.040.0W 28 - 14OY
Sat 10/21 Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois+11.543.5L 13 - 20UY
Sat 10/28 Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan+3.050.0L 21 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8 Eastern Michigan at Toledo+19.545.5L 23 - 49ON
Tue 11/14 Eastern Michigan vs Akron-3.539.5W 30 - 27ON
Tue 11/21 Eastern Michigan at Buffalo+6.538.5W 24 - 11UY
Sat 12/23 Eastern Michigan vs South Alabama+18.043.0L 10 - 59ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL#97 (.14)40% (95)18.345% (50)3.35 (22)17133% (127)1373.31 (105)#70 (.18)42% (66)24.443% (65)42% (70)3.81 (70)45.21.30.9
EMU#123 (.07)36% (127)19.539% (115)2.94 (101)11234% (122)1523.85 (74)#73 (.19)42% (74)26.747% (106)38% (24)3.68 (58)58.61.41.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL#98 (.14)42% (78)44% (70)3.06 (61)10341% (72)2453.94 (65)#128 (.32)46% (118)46% (103)47% (121)4.81 (133)45.31.21.3
EMU#117 (.09)42% (74)43% (87)2.98 (82)14242% (66)2353.47 (105)#83 (.19)45% (105)45% (84)46% (116)3.49 (38)62.41.41.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Offense1218.315.339.8%3.311.3183081711374.458%41%45%33%17%.14
EMU Defense1326.727.942.4%3.681.4 - - - - - 54%45%47%38%15%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Defense1224.432.741.8%3.810.9 - - - - - 48%51%43%42%17%.18
EMU Offense1319.523.635.8%3.851.4162641121523.450%48%39%34%19%.07

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ball State1232:4418.138%56%5.245.21.30.95.72.1028.8
Eastern Michigan1328:5915.935%53%6.258.61.41.44.51.6328.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Offense1258% (14)45% (50)39.3171.44.415 (100).21 (38)3.35 (22)83% (8)12% (112)0.99 (70)
EMU Defense1354% (117)47% (106) - - - - .16 (82)3.43 (121)64% (22)9% (102)0.93 (33)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Defense1248% (44)43% (65) - - - - .11 (45)3.08 (62)79% (102)11% (35)0.89 (23)
EMU Offense1350% (67)39% (115)32.9112.13.418 (77).07 (109)2.94 (101)76% (48)11% (97)0.92 (104)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Offense1241% (119)33% (127)15.125.3136.75.49.19 (126)8 (30).05 (128)1.4 (130)33% (92)24% (123).18 (110)5% (25)2 (104)
EMU Defense1345% (18)38% (24) - - - - - - 7 (111).26 (62)1.7 (108)31% (92)32% (101).43 (118)6% (76)2.2 (117)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Defense1251% (93)42% (70) - - - - - - 5 (126).27 (70)1.5 (29)32% (61)28% (30).21 (20)5% (97)2 (39)
EMU Offense1348% (78)34% (122)15.227.51525.51010 (120)12 (85).1 (122)1.4 (129)34% (108)21% (130).09 (130)8% (115)1.8 (124)

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -8.44 #112
Ball State's Offense Rating: 13.25 #98
Ball State's Defense Rating: 11.12 #87
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Ball State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Ball State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -8.44   Eastern Michigan: -6.06

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -14.9   Eastern Michigan: -9.6




Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -6.06 #105
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Ball State Scoring
Offense: 18.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.3
Defense: 24.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.7

Ball State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Eastern Michigan 25
Ball State 20


Total Points: 45

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.6
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07Eastern Michigan24Ball State10Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan -2.5Eastern Michigan43.5Under
202210/22Ball State16Eastern Michigan20Eastern MichiganBall State -2.5Eastern Michigan57.5Under
202110/16Eastern Michigan31Ball State38Ball StateBall State -1.5Ball State54.5Over
202011/11Ball State38Eastern Michigan31Ball StateBall State -8Eastern Michigan61.0Over
201910/12Eastern Michigan23Ball State29Ball StateEastern Michigan -2Ball State57.0Under
201810/20Ball State20Eastern Michigan42Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan -2.5Eastern Michigan45.0Over
201711/02Eastern Michigan56Ball State14Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan -24.5Eastern Michigan47.0Over
201611/08Ball State41Eastern Michigan48Eastern MichiganBall State -3.5Eastern Michigan59.5Over
201509/19Eastern Michigan17Ball State28Ball StateBall State -6Ball State61.5Under
201411/22Ball State45Eastern Michigan30Ball StateBall State -17Eastern Michigan0
201309/21Eastern Michigan20Ball State51Ball StateBall State -8Ball State0
201208/30Ball State37Eastern Michigan26Ball State
201111/05Eastern Michigan31Ball State33Ball State
201010/16Ball State38Eastern Michigan41Eastern Michigan
200910/24Eastern Michigan27Ball State29Ball State
200810/25Ball State38Eastern Michigan16Ball State
200709/08Eastern Michigan16Ball State38Ball State
200608/31Ball State38Eastern Michigan20Ball State
200511/12Eastern Michigan25Ball State26Ball State
200410/09Ball State24Eastern Michigan31Eastern Michigan
200311/15Eastern Michigan38Ball State14Eastern Michigan
200210/19Ball State42Eastern Michigan17Ball State
200110/13Eastern Michigan14Ball State35Ball State
200010/13Ball State33Eastern Michigan14Ball State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Eastern Michigan875 Overs
Ball State1644 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 142 - 92 - 50 - 4
Road Teams14 - 109 - 24 - 05 - 2

(#112) Ball State Info
Power Rating: -8.44 #112
Offense Rating: 13.25 #98
Defense Rating: 11.12 #87
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60


Ball State has lost 2 straight
Ball State has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (2 - 3 - 1 vs Spread )

Ball State Highlights
Ball State has a top Offensive Line (#110)
Ball State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#120)

Ball State defense does not give up big plays (#77)
Ball State commits very few Penalties (#59)

Ball State Deficiencies
Ball State has a really bad Offense
Ball State offense is not Explosive (#56)
Ball State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#116)
Ball State pass game is really bad (#111)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatEMUBALL
OverallOver#79#98
OffenseOff#100#85
DefenseDef#40#92
Special TeamsST#23#108
PassingPass#111#100
RushingRush#86#37
Run BlockRBLK#31#53
Pass BlockPBLK#70#21
Route RunningWR Rt#104#106
TacklingTkl#48#90
Run DefenseR Def#27#83
Pass Rush DefPRush#49#80
Coverage DefCov#68#96

Rematch from Week 6
Eastern Michigan -2.5 (43.5)
Eastern Michigan won vs Ball State this year (24-10)

Previous Matchups
Eastern Michigan beat Ball State in 2023 (24-10)
Eastern Michigan beat Ball State in 2022 (20-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rynearson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BALL | EMU
Depth Chart: BALL | EMU
Rosters: BALL | EMU
(#105) Eastern Michigan Info
Power Rating: -6.06 #105
Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20


Eastern Michigan has lost 2 straight
Eastern Michigan has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 2 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Eastern Michigan Highlights
Eastern Michigan has a good pass defense (#126)

Eastern Michigan Deficiencies
Eastern Michigan has a really bad Offense
Eastern Michigan Can Not Run the Ball (#90)
Eastern Michigan offense is really bad (#94)
Eastern Michigan offense is not Explosive (#48)
Eastern Michigan run game is really bad (#96)
Eastern Michigan pass game is really bad (#87)
Eastern Michigan Does Not Stuff Runs (#52)
Eastern Michigan has a bad defensive line (#114)


  
Ball State's OC Jared Elliott
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kiael Kelly6612453%577234.7
Layne Hatcher (Tr)659866%583405.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marquez Cooper (Tr)227104344.639
Kiael Kelly13472375.455
Vaughn Pemberton2313916.045
Rico Barfield259613.824
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Qian Magwood4135818.732
Ahmad Edwards31354111.457
Tanner Koziol3429538.726
Marquez Cooper (Tr)1916408.626

View Ball State's Full Roster
Ball State's DC Tyler Stockton
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keionte Newson807332
Cole Pearce7810362
Jordan Riley-Scott613008
Sidney Houston Jr.5917841
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sidney Houston Jr.5917841
Mikhari Sibblis (Tr)376410
Cole Pearce7810362
Keionte Newson807332
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Riley-Scott613008
Tyler Potts273106
Thailand Baldwin300015

Eastern Michigan's OC Chris Creighton
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Austin Smith17129857%1775976.0
Ike Udengwu III133142%100023.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Samson Evans142635124.561
Jaylon Jackson13657624.255
Austin Smith10113421.341
Cam'Ron McCoy156314.216
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tanner Knue5047939.639
J.B. Mitchell35398111.450
Hamze Elzayat27360213.350
Jaylon Jackson2423429.868

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster
Eastern Michigan's DC Taver Johnson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Sparacio1399353
Chase Kline1244293
Quentavius Scandrett580001
Kempton Shine573008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mikah Coleman397481
Peyton Price485470
Joseph Sparacio1399353
Justin Jefferson487391
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daiquan White1910012
Kempton Shine573008
Bennett Walker250004