Ball State at Eastern Michigan - 2023 Matchup Preview

Ball State Cardinals at Eastern Michigan Eagles

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Eastern Michigan -2.5 (43.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Eastern Michigan 24 - Ball State: 10 (Mid-American)

Cardinals (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mike Neu (34 - 50)
Avg Score : 18 - 24 (15 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Shower Predicted
Wind: 16.3 MPH
BALL 2nd straight Road Game
EMU is playing their 6th straight game
BALL is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Eastern Michigan -5.5 (SP+ EMU -5)
Projected Score: BALL: 20 - EMU: 25 (45)
EMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
BALL Travel: 168 miles

Eagles (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (48 - 62)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (24 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 6.2 (#62)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BALL Players
EMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ball State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Ball State at Kentucky	+25.0	49.0	L 14 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/9	Ball State at Georgia	+42.0	52.5	L 3 - 45	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Ball State vs Indiana State	-26.0	45.0	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Ball State vs Georgia Southern	+6.0	60.0	L 3 - 40	U	N
Sat 9/30	Ball State at Western Michigan	+1.5	50.0	L 24 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/7	Ball State at Eastern Michigan	+2.5	43.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/14	Ball State vs Toledo	+17.5	48.5	L 6 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Ball State vs Central Michigan	+5.0	42.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Ball State at Bowling Green	+4.5	39.5	L 21 - 24	O	Y
Tue 11/7	Ball State at Northern Illinois	+9.5	43.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Ball State vs Kent State	-10.5	41.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Ball State vs Miami (OH)	+3.5	34.5	L 15 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Eastern Michigan vs Howard	-20.0	55.5	W 33 - 23	O	N
Sat 9/9	Eastern Michigan at Minnesota	+19.5	48.0	L 6 - 25	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Eastern Michigan vs Massachusetts	-7.0	50.0	W 19 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/23	Eastern Michigan at Jacksonville State	+6.5	51.0	L 0 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/30	Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan	+9.5	45.0	L 23 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Eastern Michigan vs Ball State	-2.5	43.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Eastern Michigan vs Kent State	-7.0	40.0	W 28 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois	+11.5	43.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan	+3.0	50.0	L 21 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8	Eastern Michigan at Toledo	+19.5	45.5	L 23 - 49	O	N
Tue 11/14	Eastern Michigan vs Akron	-3.5	39.5	W 30 - 27	O	N
Tue 11/21	Eastern Michigan at Buffalo	+6.5	38.5	W 24 - 11	U	Y
Sat 12/23	Eastern Michigan vs South Alabama	+18.0	43.0	L 10 - 59	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	#97 (.14)	40% (95)	18.3	45% (50)	3.35 (22)	171	33% (127)	137	3.31 (105)	#70 (.18)	42% (66)	24.4	43% (65)	42% (70)	3.81 (70)	45.2	1.3	0.9
EMU	#123 (.07)	36% (127)	19.5	39% (115)	2.94 (101)	112	34% (122)	152	3.85 (74)	#73 (.19)	42% (74)	26.7	47% (106)	38% (24)	3.68 (58)	58.6	1.4	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	#98 (.14)	42% (78)		44% (70)	3.06 (61)	103	41% (72)	245	3.94 (65)	#128 (.32)	46% (118)		46% (103)	47% (121)	4.81 (133)	45.3	1.2	1.3
EMU	#117 (.09)	42% (74)		43% (87)	2.98 (82)	142	42% (66)	235	3.47 (105)	#83 (.19)	45% (105)		45% (84)	46% (116)	3.49 (38)	62.4	1.4	1.3

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Offense	12	18.3	15.3	39.8%	3.31	1.3	18	308	171	137	4.4	58%	41%	45%	33%	17%	.14
EMU Defense	13	26.7	27.9	42.4%	3.68	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	38%	15%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Defense	12	24.4	32.7	41.8%	3.81	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	43%	42%	17%	.18
EMU Offense	13	19.5	23.6	35.8%	3.85	1.4	16	264	112	152	3.4	50%	48%	39%	34%	19%	.07

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ball State	12	32:44	18.1	38%	56%	5.2	45.2	1.3	0.9	5.7	2.1	0	28.8
Eastern Michigan	13	28:59	15.9	35%	53%	6.2	58.6	1.4	1.4	4.5	1.6	3	28.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Offense	12	58% (14)	45% (50)	39.3	171.4	4.4	15 (100)	.21 (38)	3.35 (22)	83% (8)	12% (112)	0.99 (70)
EMU Defense	13	54% (117)	47% (106)	-	-	-	-	.16 (82)	3.43 (121)	64% (22)	9% (102)	0.93 (33)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Defense	12	48% (44)	43% (65)	-	-	-	-	.11 (45)	3.08 (62)	79% (102)	11% (35)	0.89 (23)
EMU Offense	13	50% (67)	39% (115)	32.9	112.1	3.4	18 (77)	.07 (109)	2.94 (101)	76% (48)	11% (97)	0.92 (104)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Offense	12	41% (119)	33% (127)	15.1	25.3	136.7	5.4	9.1	9 (126)	8 (30)	.05 (128)	1.4 (130)	33% (92)	24% (123)	.18 (110)	5% (25)	2 (104)
EMU Defense	13	45% (18)	38% (24)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.26 (62)	1.7 (108)	31% (92)	32% (101)	.43 (118)	6% (76)	2.2 (117)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Defense	12	51% (93)	42% (70)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.27 (70)	1.5 (29)	32% (61)	28% (30)	.21 (20)	5% (97)	2 (39)
EMU Offense	13	48% (78)	34% (122)	15.2	27.5	152	5.5	10	10 (120)	12 (85)	.1 (122)	1.4 (129)	34% (108)	21% (130)	.09 (130)	8% (115)	1.8 (124)

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -8.44 #112
Ball State's Offense Rating: 13.25 #98
Ball State's Defense Rating: 11.12 #87
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Ball State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
Ball State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 #116
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #131
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #61

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -8.44 Eastern Michigan: -6.06

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -14.9 Eastern Michigan: -9.6

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -6.06 #105
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 18.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.3
Defense: 24.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.7

Ball State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Eastern Michigan 25
Ball State 20

Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
Eastern Michigan 27
Ball State 18

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Eastern Michigan 25
Ball State 22

Total Points: 47

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.6
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	Ball State	9	Eastern Michigan	24	Eastern Michigan -2.5	Eastern Michigan	48.5	Under
2023	10/07	Eastern Michigan	24	Ball State	10	Eastern Michigan -2.5	Eastern Michigan	43.5	Under
2022	10/22	Ball State	16	Eastern Michigan	20	Ball State -2.5	Eastern Michigan	57.5	Under
2021	10/16	Eastern Michigan	31	Ball State	38	Ball State -1.5	Ball State	54.5	Over
2020	11/11	Ball State	38	Eastern Michigan	31	Ball State -8	Eastern Michigan	61.0	Over
2019	10/12	Eastern Michigan	23	Ball State	29	Eastern Michigan -2	Ball State	57.0	Under
2018	10/20	Ball State	20	Eastern Michigan	42	Eastern Michigan -2.5	Eastern Michigan	45.0	Over
2017	11/02	Eastern Michigan	56	Ball State	14	Eastern Michigan -24.5	Eastern Michigan	47.0	Over
2016	11/08	Ball State	41	Eastern Michigan	48	Ball State -3.5	Eastern Michigan	59.5	Over
2015	09/19	Eastern Michigan	17	Ball State	28	Ball State -6	Ball State	61.5	Under
2014	11/22	Ball State	45	Eastern Michigan	30	Ball State -17	Eastern Michigan	0
2013	09/21	Eastern Michigan	20	Ball State	51	Ball State -8	Ball State	0
2012	08/30	Ball State	37	Eastern Michigan	26
2011	11/05	Eastern Michigan	31	Ball State	33
2010	10/16	Ball State	38	Eastern Michigan	41
2009	10/24	Eastern Michigan	27	Ball State	29
2008	10/25	Ball State	38	Eastern Michigan	16
2007	09/08	Eastern Michigan	16	Ball State	38
2006	08/31	Ball State	38	Eastern Michigan	20
2005	11/12	Eastern Michigan	25	Ball State	26
2004	10/09	Ball State	24	Eastern Michigan	31
2003	11/15	Eastern Michigan	38	Ball State	14
2002	10/19	Ball State	42	Eastern Michigan	17
2001	10/13	Eastern Michigan	14	Ball State	35
2000	10/13	Ball State	33	Eastern Michigan	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Eastern Michigan	9	8	5 Overs
Ball State	16	4	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 15	2 - 10	2 - 5	0 - 5
Road Teams	15 - 10	10 - 2	5 - 0	5 - 2

(#112) BALL at (#105) EMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BALL	EMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#112	#105
SP+SP+	#116	#103
Perf GradeGrade	#117	#95
OffenseOff	#101	#117
DefenseDef	#119	#48
Spec TeamsST	#132	#23
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Ball State Injury Report

Eastern Michigan Injury Report

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	EMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#101	#48
SuccessSuc	#95	#74
ExplosiveExp	#126	#48
PPAPPA	#97	#73
PowerPwr	#98	#53
SP+SP+	#131	#53
Pts POPPO	#105	#58
HavocHav	#85	#99

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	EMU Def
Run GameRun	#52	#31
Run SuccessRSuc	#50	#106
Run ExplRExp	#70	#33
PPAExp	#38	#82
Run BlockR Blk	#68	-
OL YdsOLY	#22	#121
Stuff RateStuff	#3	#116
TackleTak	-	#55

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	EMU Def
Pass GamePass	#119	#84
Pass SuccessPSuc	#127	#24
Pass ExplPExl	#130	#108
PPAExp	#128	#62
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#23	#61
F7 HavocF7	#112	#102
DB HavocDB	#25	#76

Eastern Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	EMU Off	BALL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#117	#119
SuccessSuc	#127	#66
ExplosiveExp	#127	#16
PPAPPA	#123	#70
PowerPwr	#110	#87
SP+SP+	#130	#61
Pts POPPO	#74	#70
HavocHav	#112	#60

Eastern Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	#120	#98
Run SuccessRSuc	#115	#65
Run ExplRExp	#104	#23
PPAExp	#109	#45
Run BlockR Blk	#38	-
OL YdsOLY	#101	#62
Stuff RateStuff	#49	#99
TackleTak	-	#106

Eastern Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	#131	#117
Pass SuccessPSuc	#122	#70
Pass ExplPExl	#129	#29
PPAExp	#122	#70
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#82	#103
F7 HavocF7	#97	#35
DB HavocDB	#115	#97

Program Comparison
EMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rynearson Stadium
Conditions: Rain Shower
Temp: 56° - Wind: 16 mph
Rain: 0.004

Rematch from Week 6
Eastern Michigan -2.5 (43.5)
Eastern Michigan won vs Ball State this year (24-10)

Previous Matchups
Eastern Michigan beat Ball State in 2023 (24-10)
Eastern Michigan beat Ball State in 2022 (20-16)

BALL's OC Jared Elliott (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kiael Kelly	66	124	53%	577	2	3	4.7
Layne Hatcher (Tr)	65	98	66%	583	4	0	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marquez Cooper (Tr)	227	1043	4	4.6	39
Kiael Kelly	134	723	7	5.4	55
Vaughn Pemberton	23	139	1	6.0	45
Rico Barfield	25	96	1	3.8	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Qian Magwood	41	358	1	8.7	32
Ahmad Edwards	31	354	1	11.4	57
Tanner Koziol	34	295	3	8.7	26
Marquez Cooper (Tr)	19	164	0	8.6	26

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Tyler Stockton (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keionte Newson	80	7	3	3	2
Cole Pearce	78	10	3	6	2
Jordan Riley-Scott	61	3	0	0	8
Sidney Houston Jr.	59	17	8	4	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sidney Houston Jr.	59	17	8	4	1
Mikhari Sibblis (Tr)	37	6	4	1	0
Cole Pearce	78	10	3	6	2
Keionte Newson	80	7	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Riley-Scott	61	3	0	0	8
Tyler Potts	27	3	1	0	6
Thailand Baldwin	30	0	0	1	5

EMU's OC Chris Creighton (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Austin Smith	171	298	57%	1775	9	7	6.0
Ike Udengwu III	13	31	42%	100	0	2	3.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Samson Evans	142	635	12	4.5	61
Jaylon Jackson	136	576	2	4.2	55
Austin Smith	101	134	2	1.3	41
Cam'Ron McCoy	15	63	1	4.2	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tanner Knue	50	479	3	9.6	39
J.B. Mitchell	35	398	1	11.4	50
Hamze Elzayat	27	360	2	13.3	50
Jaylon Jackson	24	234	2	9.8	68

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

EMU's DC Taver Johnson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joseph Sparacio	139	9	3	5	3
Chase Kline	124	4	2	9	3
Quentavius Scandrett	58	0	0	0	1
Kempton Shine	57	3	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mikah Coleman	39	7	4	8	1
Peyton Price	48	5	4	7	0
Joseph Sparacio	139	9	3	5	3
Justin Jefferson	48	7	3	9	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Daiquan White	19	1	12
Kempton Shine	57	3	8
Bennett Walker	25	0	4