Akron at Eastern Michigan - 2023 Matchup Preview

Tuesday, November 14th 2023 (7:00 PM EST)
Eastern Michigan -3.5 (39.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Eastern Michigan 30 - Akron: 27 (Mid-American)

Zips (2 - 10) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Joe Moorhead (3 - 12)
Avg Score : 16 - 28 (15 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#113)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AKR 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Eastern Michigan -11.5 (SP+ EMU -12)
Projected Score: AKR: 16 - EMU: 27 (43)
EMU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
AKR Travel: 137 miles

Eagles (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (48 - 62)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (24 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 6.2 (#62)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
AKR Players
EMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Akron's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Akron at Temple	+9.5	55.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Akron vs Morgan State	-25.0	46.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/16	Akron at Kentucky	+25.0	48.5	L 3 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/23	Akron at Indiana	+16.5	45.5	L 27 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Akron vs Buffalo	-3.0	53.0	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/7	Akron vs Northern Illinois	+4.0	42.5	L 14 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/14	Akron at Central Michigan	+10.5	44.0	L 10 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Akron at Bowling Green	+7.0	37.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Akron vs Kent State	-4.0	39.0	W 31 - 27	O	N
Wed 11/8	Akron at Miami (OH)	+17.5	37.5	L 0 - 19	U	N
Tue 11/14	Akron at Eastern Michigan	+3.5	39.5	L 27 - 30	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Akron vs Ohio	+13.5	41.5	L 14 - 25	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Akron's Schedule

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Eastern Michigan vs Howard	-20.0	55.5	W 33 - 23	O	N
Sat 9/9	Eastern Michigan at Minnesota	+19.5	48.0	L 6 - 25	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Eastern Michigan vs Massachusetts	-7.0	50.0	W 19 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/23	Eastern Michigan at Jacksonville State	+6.5	51.0	L 0 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/30	Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan	+9.5	45.0	L 23 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Eastern Michigan vs Ball State	-2.5	43.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Eastern Michigan vs Kent State	-7.0	40.0	W 28 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois	+11.5	43.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan	+3.0	50.0	L 21 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8	Eastern Michigan at Toledo	+19.5	45.5	L 23 - 49	O	N
Tue 11/14	Eastern Michigan vs Akron	-3.5	39.5	W 30 - 27	O	N
Tue 11/21	Eastern Michigan at Buffalo	+6.5	38.5	W 24 - 11	U	Y
Sat 12/23	Eastern Michigan vs South Alabama	+18.0	43.0	L 10 - 59	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR	#129 (.04)	36% (124)	16.3	41% (86)	2.74 (123)	81	34% (121)	198	2.59 (131)	#29 (.12)	39% (37)	28	41% (53)	38% (22)	3.78 (68)	60.2	1.8	0.9
EMU	#123 (.07)	36% (127)	19.5	39% (115)	2.94 (101)	112	34% (122)	152	3.85 (74)	#73 (.19)	42% (74)	26.7	47% (106)	38% (24)	3.68 (58)	58.6	1.4	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
AKR	#122 (.07)	39% (114)		44% (64)	2.82 (103)	101	36% (118)	233	3.26 (120)	#91 (.21)	45% (101)		41% (55)	49% (126)	4.19 (108)	48.7	1.7	0.8
EMU	#117 (.09)	42% (74)		43% (87)	2.98 (82)	142	42% (66)	235	3.47 (105)	#83 (.19)	45% (105)		45% (84)	46% (116)	3.49 (38)	62.4	1.4	1.3

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Offense	12	16.3	14.6	36.4%	2.59	1.8	17	279	81	198	2.8	40%	58%	41%	34%	18%	.04
EMU Defense	13	26.7	27.9	42.4%	3.68	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	38%	15%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
AKR Defense	12	28	27.9	39.2%	3.78	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	41%	38%	14%	.12
EMU Offense	13	19.5	23.6	35.8%	3.85	1.4	16	264	112	152	3.4	50%	48%	39%	34%	19%	.07

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Akron	12	29:33	16.7	33%	35%	6.9	60.2	1.8	0.9	5.2	1.6	1	27.6
Eastern Michigan	13	28:59	15.9	35%	53%	6.2	58.6	1.4	1.4	4.5	1.6	3	28.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Offense	12	40% (124)	41% (86)	28.8	81	2.8	12 (116)	.09 (97)	2.74 (123)	81% (16)	10% (72)	0.9 (110)
EMU Defense	13	54% (117)	47% (106)	-	-	-	-	.16 (82)	3.43 (121)	64% (22)	9% (102)	0.93 (33)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
AKR Defense	12	52% (100)	41% (53)	-	-	-	-	.11 (49)	2.91 (38)	72% (62)	10% (77)	1.09 (110)
EMU Offense	13	50% (67)	39% (115)	32.9	112.1	3.4	18 (77)	.07 (109)	2.94 (101)	76% (48)	11% (97)	0.92 (104)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Offense	12	58% (14)	34% (121)	21.5	35.4	197.6	5.6	9.2	10 (120)	15 (116)	.07 (127)	1.4 (128)	35% (118)	24% (120)	.13 (122)	8% (121)	2.1 (54)
EMU Defense	13	45% (18)	38% (24)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.26 (62)	1.7 (108)	31% (92)	32% (101)	.43 (118)	6% (76)	2.2 (117)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
AKR Defense	12	47% (34)	38% (22)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.18 (19)	1.7 (102)	35% (23)	30% (63)	.31 (67)	5% (112)	2.2 (115)
EMU Offense	13	48% (78)	34% (122)	15.2	27.5	152	5.5	10	10 (120)	12 (85)	.1 (122)	1.4 (129)	34% (108)	21% (130)	.09 (130)	8% (115)	1.8 (124)

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -13.90 #130
Akron's Offense Rating: 7.28 #129
Akron's Defense Rating: 9.21 #63
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Akron's 2023 Expected Record: 4.20 - 7.80
Akron's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #128
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 10.5 #132
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #90

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -13.90 Eastern Michigan: -6.06

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -21.6 Eastern Michigan: -9.6

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -6.06 #105
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Akron Scoring
Offense: 16.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.6
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.9

Akron's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Eastern Michigan 27
Akron 16

Total Points: 43

Based on Last 4 Games
Eastern Michigan 24
Akron 21

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Eastern Michigan 25
Akron 22

Total Points: 47

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.6
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/26	Akron	25	Eastern Michigan	21	Eastern Michigan -2.5	Akron	50.5	Under
2023	11/14	Eastern Michigan	30	Akron	27	Eastern Michigan -3.5	Akron	39.5	Over
2022	11/08	Akron	28	Eastern Michigan	34	Eastern Michigan -6.5	Akron	57.0	Over
2019	11/12	Akron	14	Eastern Michigan	42	Eastern Michigan -17	Eastern Michigan	45.0	Over
2018	11/10	Eastern Michigan	27	Akron	7	Eastern Michigan -11	Eastern Michigan	41.5	Under
2015	10/10	Eastern Michigan	21	Akron	47	Akron -9	Akron	53.0	Over
2014	10/04	Akron	31	Eastern Michigan	6	Akron -21	Akron	0
2011	10/01	Eastern Michigan	31	Akron	23
2009	11/27	Akron	28	Eastern Michigan	21
2008	10/18	Eastern Michigan	35	Akron	42
2003	09/13	Akron	24	Eastern Michigan	17
2002	10/05	Eastern Michigan	42	Akron	34
2001	11/24	Akron	65	Eastern Michigan	62

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Eastern Michigan	6	2	4 Overs
Akron	7	5	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 4	4 - 3	2 - 1	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 9	3 - 4	2 - 2	1 - 2

(#130) AKR at (#105) EMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	AKR	EMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#130	#105
SP+SP+	#128	#103
Perf GradeGrade	#134	#95
OffenseOff	#136	#117
DefenseDef	#92	#48
Spec TeamsST	#110	#23
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Akron Injury Report

Eastern Michigan Injury Report

Akron on Offense


CategoryCat	AKR Off	EMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#136	#48
SuccessSuc	#124	#74
ExplosiveExp	#122	#48
PPAPPA	#129	#73
PowerPwr	#129	#53
SP+SP+	#132	#53
Pts POPPO	#131	#58
HavocHav	#104	#99

Akron Run Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	EMU Def
Run GameRun	#98	#31
Run SuccessRSuc	#86	#106
Run ExplRExp	#110	#33
PPAExp	#97	#82
Run BlockR Blk	#125	-
OL YdsOLY	#123	#121
Stuff RateStuff	#39	#116
TackleTak	-	#55

Akron Pass Game


CategoryCat	AKR Off	EMU Def
Pass GamePass	#132	#84
Pass SuccessPSuc	#121	#24
Pass ExplPExl	#128	#108
PPAExp	#127	#62
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#119	#61
F7 HavocF7	#72	#102
DB HavocDB	#121	#76

Eastern Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	EMU Off	AKR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#117	#92
SuccessSuc	#127	#37
ExplosiveExp	#127	#107
PPAPPA	#123	#29
PowerPwr	#110	#63
SP+SP+	#130	#90
Pts POPPO	#74	#68
HavocHav	#112	#110

Eastern Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	AKR Def
Run GameRun	#120	#79
Run SuccessRSuc	#115	#53
Run ExplRExp	#104	#110
PPAExp	#109	#49
Run BlockR Blk	#38	-
OL YdsOLY	#101	#38
Stuff RateStuff	#49	#64
TackleTak	-	#37

Eastern Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	AKR Def
Pass GamePass	#131	#82
Pass SuccessPSuc	#122	#22
Pass ExplPExl	#129	#102
PPAExp	#122	#19
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#82	#111
F7 HavocF7	#97	#77
DB HavocDB	#115	#112

Program Comparison
EMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rynearson Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 32°

Rematch from Week 12
Eastern Michigan -3.5 (39.5)
Eastern Michigan won vs Akron this year (30-27)

Previous Matchups
Akron beat Eastern Michigan last year (25-21)
Eastern Michigan beat Akron in 2023 (30-27)
Eastern Michigan beat Akron in 2022 (34-28)

AKR's OC Billy Fessler (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jeff Undercuffler	138	224	62%	1378	4	9	6.2
DJ Irons	88	133	66%	722	3	3	5.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lorenzo Lingard (Tr)	143	641	4	4.5	71
DJ Irons	61	215	2	3.5	47
Tahj Bullock (Tr)	62	165	4	2.7	27
Drake Anderson	40	132	1	3.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jasaiah Gathings	55	575	1	10.5	39
Daniel George	52	529	1	10.2	50
Lorenzo Lingard (Tr)	37	356	2	9.6	77
Alex Adams	22	188	2	8.5	29

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Tim Tibesar (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antavious Fish	85	4	1	3	0
Bryan McCoy	81	5	1	0	0
Darrian Lewis	65	2	1	1	3
C.J. Nunnally	58	12	5	8	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Nunnally	58	12	5	8	2
Bennett Adler	24	5	3	1	0
Antonio Smith	3	2	2	2	0
Shammond Cooper (Tr)	41	6	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyson Durant	30	1	0	2	6
Kerry Martin Jr.	44	2	1	0	6
Judson Tallandier	39	3	0	1	5

EMU's OC Chris Creighton (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Austin Smith	171	298	57%	1775	9	7	6.0
Ike Udengwu III	13	31	42%	100	0	2	3.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Samson Evans	142	635	12	4.5	61
Jaylon Jackson	136	576	2	4.2	55
Austin Smith	101	134	2	1.3	41
Cam'Ron McCoy	15	63	1	4.2	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tanner Knue	50	479	3	9.6	39
J.B. Mitchell	35	398	1	11.4	50
Hamze Elzayat	27	360	2	13.3	50
Jaylon Jackson	24	234	2	9.8	68

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

EMU's DC Taver Johnson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joseph Sparacio	139	9	3	5	3
Chase Kline	124	4	2	9	3
Quentavius Scandrett	58	0	0	0	1
Kempton Shine	57	3	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mikah Coleman	39	7	4	8	1
Peyton Price	48	5	4	7	0
Joseph Sparacio	139	9	3	5	3
Justin Jefferson	48	7	3	9	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Daiquan White	19	1	12
Kempton Shine	57	3	8
Bennett Walker	25	0	4