Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan

Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan - 2023 Matchup Preview

Western Michigan Broncos at Eastern Michigan Eagles

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (1:00 PM EDT)
Western Michigan -3 (50.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Western Michigan 45 - Eastern Michigan: 21 (Mid-American)

Broncos (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 32 (20 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WMU 2nd straight Road Game
EMU is playing their 9th straight game
WMU is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: Eastern Michigan -6 (SP+ EMU -6)
Projected Score: WMU: 22 - EMU: 28 (50)
WMU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
WMU Travel: 100 miles

Eagles (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (48 - 62)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (24 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 6.2 (#62)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WMU Players
EMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Western Michigan vs St. Francis (PA)	-14.0	58.0	W 35 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Western Michigan at Syracuse	+24.5	56.5	L 7 - 48	U	N
Sat 9/16	Western Michigan at Iowa	+28.5	43.5	L 10 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/23	Western Michigan at Toledo	+21.5	52.5	L 31 - 49	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Western Michigan vs Ball State	-1.5	50.0	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Western Michigan at Mississippi State	+21.5	54.5	L 28 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Western Michigan vs Miami (OH)	+7.5	46.0	L 21 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/21	Western Michigan at Ohio	+16.5	52.0	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan	-3.0	50.0	W 45 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7	Western Michigan vs Central Michigan	-3.5	57.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Tue 11/14	Western Michigan at Northern Illinois	+4.5	55.5	L 0 - 24	U	N
Tue 11/21	Western Michigan vs Bowling Green	+2.0	54.5	L 10 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Eastern Michigan vs Howard	-20.0	55.5	W 33 - 23	O	N
Sat 9/9	Eastern Michigan at Minnesota	+19.5	48.0	L 6 - 25	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Eastern Michigan vs Massachusetts	-7.0	50.0	W 19 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/23	Eastern Michigan at Jacksonville State	+6.5	51.0	L 0 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/30	Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan	+9.5	45.0	L 23 - 26	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Eastern Michigan vs Ball State	-2.5	43.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Eastern Michigan vs Kent State	-7.0	40.0	W 28 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois	+11.5	43.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan	+3.0	50.0	L 21 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8	Eastern Michigan at Toledo	+19.5	45.5	L 23 - 49	O	N
Tue 11/14	Eastern Michigan vs Akron	-3.5	39.5	W 30 - 27	O	N
Tue 11/21	Eastern Michigan at Buffalo	+6.5	38.5	W 24 - 11	U	Y
Sat 12/23	Eastern Michigan vs South Alabama	+18.0	43.0	L 10 - 59	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU	#85 (.16)	40% (90)	23.7	41% (87)	3.09 (71)	153	40% (87)	211	3.89 (72)	#92 (.22)	44% (101)	31.8	46% (99)	44% (99)	4.15 (105)	62.3	1.1	1.5
EMU	#123 (.07)	36% (127)	19.5	39% (115)	2.94 (101)	112	34% (122)	152	3.85 (74)	#73 (.19)	42% (74)	26.7	47% (106)	38% (24)	3.68 (58)	58.6	1.4	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU	#43 (.24)	45% (33)		45% (59)	3.05 (62)	184	46% (27)	187	4.11 (49)	#122 (.29)	49% (128)		48% (115)	51% (132)	4.38 (119)	39.2	1	1.6
EMU	#117 (.09)	42% (74)		43% (87)	2.98 (82)	142	42% (66)	235	3.47 (105)	#83 (.19)	45% (105)		45% (84)	46% (116)	3.49 (38)	62.4	1.4	1.3

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Offense	12	23.7	19.7	40.3%	3.89	1.1	20	365	153	211	3.8	54%	45%	41%	40%	16%	.16
EMU Defense	13	26.7	27.9	42.4%	3.68	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	47%	38%	15%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Defense	12	31.8	34.9	44.3%	4.15	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	46%	44%	19%	.22
EMU Offense	13	19.5	23.6	35.8%	3.85	1.4	16	264	112	152	3.4	50%	48%	39%	34%	19%	.07

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Michigan	12	29:55	19.6	36%	49%	7.1	62.3	1.1	1.5	5.2	2	0	28.3
Eastern Michigan	13	28:59	15.9	35%	53%	6.2	58.6	1.4	1.4	4.5	1.6	3	28.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Offense	12	54% (38)	41% (87)	39.9	153.3	3.8	21 (54)	.15 (73)	3.09 (71)	75% (58)	10% (66)	1 (65)
EMU Defense	13	54% (117)	47% (106)	-	-	-	-	.16 (82)	3.43 (121)	64% (22)	9% (102)	0.93 (33)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Defense	12	50% (74)	46% (99)	-	-	-	-	.17 (91)	3.48 (127)	81% (112)	11% (44)	0.95 (40)
EMU Offense	13	50% (67)	39% (115)	32.9	112.1	3.4	18 (77)	.07 (109)	2.94 (101)	76% (48)	11% (97)	0.92 (104)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Offense	12	45% (98)	40% (87)	20.6	32.8	211.2	6.5	10.3	13 (111)	9 (40)	.2 (96)	1.5 (105)	30% (29)	25% (113)	.25 (93)	6% (88)	2 (96)
EMU Defense	13	45% (18)	38% (24)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.26 (62)	1.7 (108)	31% (92)	32% (101)	.43 (118)	6% (76)	2.2 (117)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Defense	12	48% (47)	44% (99)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.33 (104)	1.6 (78)	31% (94)	30% (71)	.23 (29)	9% (7)	1.9 (31)
EMU Offense	13	48% (78)	34% (122)	15.2	27.5	152	5.5	10	10 (120)	12 (85)	.1 (122)	1.4 (129)	34% (108)	21% (130)	.09 (130)	8% (115)	1.8 (124)

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -8.28 #110
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 15.77 #73
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Western Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Western Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.2 #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -8.28 Eastern Michigan: -6.06

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -15.9 Eastern Michigan: -9.6

Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -6.06 #105
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.7
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.9

Western Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Eastern Michigan 28
Western Michigan 22

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Eastern Michigan 27
Western Michigan 20

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Eastern Michigan 28
Western Michigan 24

Total Points: 52

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.6
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/25	Eastern Michigan	21	Western Michigan	31	Western Michigan -10.0	NA	49.0	Over
2024	11/30	Western Michigan	26	Eastern Michigan	18	Western Michigan -6.5	Western Michigan	56.5	Under
2023	10/28	Eastern Michigan	21	Western Michigan	45	Western Michigan -3	Western Michigan	50.0	Over
2022	10/08	Western Michigan	23	Eastern Michigan	45	Western Michigan -4.5	Eastern Michigan	55.5	Over
2021	11/16	Eastern Michigan	22	Western Michigan	21	Western Michigan -6.0	Eastern Michigan	66.0	Under
2020	12/05	Western Michigan	42	Eastern Michigan	53	Western Michigan -13.5	Eastern Michigan	67.5	Over
2019	10/19	Eastern Michigan	34	Western Michigan	27	Western Michigan -9	Eastern Michigan	61.0	Push
2018	10/06	Western Michigan	27	Eastern Michigan	24	Western Michigan -4.5	Eastern Michigan	59.0	Under
2017	10/21	Eastern Michigan	17	Western Michigan	20	Western Michigan -2	Western Michigan	51.5	Under
2016	10/22	Western Michigan	45	Eastern Michigan	31	Western Michigan -23.5	Eastern Michigan	62.0	Over
2015	10/29	Eastern Michigan	28	Western Michigan	58	Western Michigan -20.5	Western Michigan	65.0	Over
2014	11/15	Western Michigan	51	Eastern Michigan	7	Western Michigan -23.5	Western Michigan	0
2013	11/09	Eastern Michigan	35	Western Michigan	32	Western Michigan -3	Eastern Michigan	0
2012	11/17	Western Michigan	23	Eastern Michigan	29
2011	10/22	Eastern Michigan	14	Western Michigan	10
2010	11/13	Western Michigan	45	Eastern Michigan	30
2009	11/14	Eastern Michigan	14	Western Michigan	35
2008	11/01	Western Michigan	31	Eastern Michigan	10
2007	10/27	Eastern Michigan	19	Western Michigan	2
2006	10/28	Western Michigan	18	Eastern Michigan	15
2005	11/05	Eastern Michigan	36	Western Michigan	44
2004	10/16	Western Michigan	31	Eastern Michigan	35
2003	10/04	Eastern Michigan	3	Western Michigan	31
2002	11/09	Western Michigan	33	Eastern Michigan	31
2001	09/29	Eastern Michigan	10	Western Michigan	31
2000	11/17	Western Michigan	28	Eastern Michigan	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Eastern Michigan	9	7	6 Overs
Western Michigan	17	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 12	5 - 7	2 - 4	3 - 3
Road Teams	12 - 14	7 - 5	3 - 3	4 - 2

(#110) WMU at (#105) EMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WMU	EMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#110	#105
SP+SP+	#120	#103
Perf GradeGrade	#108	#95
OffenseOff	#103	#117
DefenseDef	#107	#48
Spec TeamsST	#106	#23
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Western Michigan Injury Report

Eastern Michigan Injury Report

Western Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	WMU Off	EMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#103	#48
SuccessSuc	#90	#74
ExplosiveExp	#104	#48
PPAPPA	#85	#73
PowerPwr	#73	#53
SP+SP+	#111	#53
Pts POPPO	#72	#58
HavocHav	#71	#99

Western Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	EMU Def
Run GameRun	#131	#31
Run SuccessRSuc	#87	#106
Run ExplRExp	#65	#33
PPAExp	#73	#82
Run BlockR Blk	#13	-
OL YdsOLY	#71	#121
Stuff RateStuff	#21	#116
TackleTak	-	#55

Western Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	EMU Def
Pass GamePass	#102	#84
Pass SuccessPSuc	#87	#24
Pass ExplPExl	#105	#108
PPAExp	#96	#62
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#37	#61
F7 HavocF7	#66	#102
DB HavocDB	#88	#76

Eastern Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	EMU Off	WMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#117	#107
SuccessSuc	#127	#101
ExplosiveExp	#127	#56
PPAPPA	#123	#92
PowerPwr	#110	#105
SP+SP+	#130	#106
Pts POPPO	#74	#105
HavocHav	#112	#13

Eastern Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	WMU Def
Run GameRun	#120	#114
Run SuccessRSuc	#115	#99
Run ExplRExp	#104	#40
PPAExp	#109	#91
Run BlockR Blk	#38	-
OL YdsOLY	#101	#127
Stuff RateStuff	#49	#101
TackleTak	-	#66

Eastern Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	EMU Off	WMU Def
Pass GamePass	#131	#67
Pass SuccessPSuc	#122	#99
Pass ExplPExl	#129	#78
PPAExp	#122	#104
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#82	#116
F7 HavocF7	#97	#44
DB HavocDB	#115	#7

Program Comparison
EMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

WMU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rynearson Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 54° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 9
Western Michigan 3.0 (50.0)
Western Michigan won at Eastern Michigan this year (45-21)

Previous Matchups
Western Michigan beat Eastern Michigan last year (26-18)
Western Michigan beat Eastern Michigan in 2023 (45-21)
Eastern Michigan beat Western Michigan in 2022 (45-23)

WMU's OC Billy Cosh (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hayden Wolff (Tr)	148	226	66%	1505	8	5	6.7
Treyson Bourguet	57	103	55%	713	4	1	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Buckley	189	997	10	5.3	75
Zahir Abdus-Salaam	123	470	5	3.8	19
C.J. Hester	29	124	2	4.3	29
Treyson Bourguet	36	65	0	1.8	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kenneth Womack	76	691	1	9.1	34
Leroy Thomas	36	401	2	11.1	41
Anthony Sambucci	21	318	5	15.1	64
Blake Bosma	19	317	2	16.7	58

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Lou Esposito (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tate Hallock (Tr)	75	2	0	0	4
Aaron Wofford	72	1	0	0	5
Damari Roberson	68	2	1	1	6
Jacob Wahlberg	65	7	2	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marshawn Kneeland	57	8	5	8	0
Donald Willis (Tr)	40	7	4	2	2
Mason Nelson	32	5	3	1	0
Boone Bonnema	18	4	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bilhal Kone	42	2	0	0	8
Damari Roberson	68	2	1	1	6
Aaron Wofford	72	1	0	0	5

EMU's OC Chris Creighton (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Austin Smith	171	298	57%	1775	9	7	6.0
Ike Udengwu III	13	31	42%	100	0	2	3.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Samson Evans	142	635	12	4.5	61
Jaylon Jackson	136	576	2	4.2	55
Austin Smith	101	134	2	1.3	41
Cam'Ron McCoy	15	63	1	4.2	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tanner Knue	50	479	3	9.6	39
J.B. Mitchell	35	398	1	11.4	50
Hamze Elzayat	27	360	2	13.3	50
Jaylon Jackson	24	234	2	9.8	68

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

EMU's DC Taver Johnson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joseph Sparacio	139	9	3	5	3
Chase Kline	124	4	2	9	3
Quentavius Scandrett	58	0	0	0	1
Kempton Shine	57	3	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mikah Coleman	39	7	4	8	1
Peyton Price	48	5	4	7	0
Joseph Sparacio	139	9	3	5	3
Justin Jefferson	48	7	3	9	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Daiquan White	19	1	12
Kempton Shine	57	3	8
Bennett Walker	25	0	4