Abilene Christian at North Texas - 2023 Matchup Preview
Abilene Christian logo   Abilene Christian Wildcats at North Texas Mean Green  North Texas logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
North Texas -15.5 (70.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
North Texas 45 - Abilene Christian: 31

 
Wildcats (0 - 2) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 14 - 39 (14 - 39 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNT coming off BYE
Our Line: -3.5  (SP+ UNT -7)
UNT Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
Mean Green (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Eric Morris (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (46 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Abilene Christian's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Abilene Christian at North Texas+15.570.5L 31 - 45OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Abilene Christian at Texas A&M+40.554.5L 10 - 38UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Abilene Christian's Schedule
North Texas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 North Texas vs California+5.053.5L 21 - 58ON
Sat 9/9 North Texas at Florida International-10.551.5L 39 - 46ON
Sat 9/16 North Texas at Louisiana Tech+4.566.5W 40 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 North Texas vs Abilene Christian-15.570.5W 45 - 31ON
Sat 10/7 North Texas at Navy+6.560.5L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/14 North Texas vs Temple-8.065.5W 45 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 North Texas at Tulane+20.063.5L 28 - 35UY
Sat 10/28 North Texas vs Memphis+6.570.0L 42 - 45OY
Sat 11/4 North Texas vs UTSA+7.571.0L 29 - 37UN
Fri 11/10 North Texas at SMU+21.567.5L 21 - 45UN
Sat 11/18 North Texas at Tulsa-1.569.5W 35 - 28UY
Sat 11/25 North Texas vs UAB-3.072.5W 45 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ACU0%140%000%000%38.50%0%0000
UNT.2341%45.140%2.9719842%2624.46.2847%26.550%44%4.2441.41.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ACU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ACU Offense114140%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UNT Defense1426.52247.2%4.241.4 - - - - - 51%48%50%44%13%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ACU Defense138.538.50%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UNT Offense1445.145.740.6%4.461.6224601982625.253%46%40%42%14%.23

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Abilene Christian10:000NAN%0%0000000100
North Texas1427:2121.743%61%5.241.41.61.43.91.9226.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ACU Offense10%0%000000%0%0
UNT Defense1451%50% - - - - .283.6471%8%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ACU Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UNT Offense1453%40%38.3197.95.224.172.9769%6%1.11

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ACU Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
UNT Defense1448%44% - - - - - - 8.291.627%33%.46%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ACU Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UNT Offense1446%42%17.230.7261.98.515.23416.361.930%36%.538%2.3

Abilene Christian's Power Ratings
Abilene Christian's Power Rating: NR
Abilene Christian's Offense Rating: NR
Abilene Christian's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: 306.57  #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Abilene Christian's 2023 Expected Record: -
Abilene Christian's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Abilene Christian's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Abilene Christian's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Western Athletic Talent Rating is 196.23
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Abilene Christian:    North Texas: -3.695

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Abilene Christian:    North Texas: -7.2




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -3.695  #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 21.84  #27
North Texas's Defense Rating: 19.31  #131
2023 Talent Rating: 474.38  #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
North Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
North Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2  #88
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7  #30
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6  #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Abilene Christian Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 38.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.5

Abilene Christian's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 42
Abilene Christian 19

Projected Total Points: 61
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

North Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30North Texas45Abilene Christian31North Texas -15.5Abilene Christian70.5Over
201908/31North Texas51Abilene Christian31North Texas -23Abilene Christian58.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas202 Overs
Abilene Christian020 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 22 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#) ACU at (#90) UNT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatACUUNT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #90
SP+SP+NR #88
Perf GradeGradeNR #59
OffenseOffNR #35
DefenseDefNR #112
Spec TeamsSTNR #19
TalentTal #129 #97
Blue ChipsBC%NR #75
Abilene Christian on Offense
CategoryCat
ACU OffUNT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #112
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNR #131
SP+SP+NR #133
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Abilene Christian Run Game
CategoryCat
ACU OffUNT Def
Run GameRunNR #116
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #102
Abilene Christian Pass Game
CategoryCat
ACU OffUNT Def
Pass GamePassNR #101
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #86
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Texas on Offense
CategoryCatUNT OffACU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #35NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #27NR
SP+SP+ #30NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Texas Run Game
CategoryCat
UNT OffACU Def
Run GameRun #50NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #46 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Texas Pass Game
CategoryCatUNT OffACU Def
Pass GamePass #12NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #103NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

ACU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
North Texas -15.5 (70.5)
North Texas won vs Abilene Christian this year (45-31)

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Abilene Christian in 2023 (45-31)

  
ACU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maverick McIvor18327367%20621267.6
Quayde Hawkins33100%361012.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rovaughn Banks Jr.13066735.166
Jordon Vaughn10966486.175
Maverick McIvor397621.923
Quayde Hawkins21206.010
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jed Castles1915418.140
Jordon Vaughn117206.512
Hut Graham450012.523
Rovaughn Banks Jr.62804.79

View Abilene Christian's Full Roster

ACU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jerry Lawson163111
Dorian Plumley151000
Tyson Williams130000
Jordan Mukes (Tr)101000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jerry Lawson163111
Dorian Plumley151000
Tyson Williams130000
Jordan Mukes (Tr)101000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Marshall40001
Jerry Lawson163111
Dorian Plumley151000

UNT's OC Jordan Davis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Rogers (Tr)26242262%33832958.0
Stone Earle224055%274446.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ayo Adeyi143101767.147
Oscar Adaway III12373866.077
Isaiah Johnson3722936.228
Chandler Rogers (Tr)10918041.775
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jay Maclin5710041117.680
Damon Ward Jr.39487512.559
Roderic Burns41467411.442
Trey Cleveland (Tr)27415315.433

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Matt Caponi (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Brown775450
Patrick Smith700001
Ethan Wesloski597220
Logan Wilson531003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Brown775450
Mazin Richards44113100
Kevin Wood373211
Kadron Johnson52220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ridge Texada333027
Evan Jackson270003
Brian Nelson II60003