Abilene Christian at North Texas - 2023 Matchup Preview

Abilene Christian Wildcats at North Texas Mean Green

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
North Texas -15.5 (70.5) (0) Open: 0.0
North Texas 45 - Abilene Christian: 31

Wildcats (0 - 2) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 42 (21 - 42 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNT coming off BYE
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ UNT -7)
UNT Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%

Mean Green (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Eric Morris (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 35 - 37 (38 - 38 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ACU Players
UNT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Abilene Christian's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	Abilene Christian at North Texas	+15.5	70.5	L 31 - 45	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	Abilene Christian at Texas A&M	+40.5	54.5	L 10 - 38	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Abilene Christian's Schedule

North Texas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	North Texas vs California	+5.0	53.5	L 21 - 58	O	N
Sat 9/9	North Texas at Florida International	-10.5	51.5	L 39 - 46	O	N
Sat 9/16	North Texas at Louisiana Tech	+4.5	66.5	W 40 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	North Texas vs Abilene Christian	-15.5	70.5	W 45 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/7	North Texas at Navy	+6.5	60.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/14	North Texas vs Temple	-8.0	65.5	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/21	North Texas at Tulane	+20.0	63.5	L 28 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/28	North Texas vs Memphis	+6.5	70.0	L 42 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/4	North Texas vs UTSA	+7.5	71.0	L 29 - 37	U	N
Fri 11/10	North Texas at SMU	+21.5	67.5	L 21 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/18	North Texas at Tulsa	-1.5	69.5	W 35 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/25	North Texas vs UAB	-3.0	72.5	W 45 - 42	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ACU		0%	20.5	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	41.5	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNT	#28 (.28)	45% (42)	34.5	46% (37)	3.4 (12)	191	44% (42)	305	4.42 (28)	#132 (.34)	48% (131)	37.1	51% (129)	46% (120)	4.77 (130)	46.6	1.6	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ACU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNT	#45 (.23)	42% (70)		40% (109)	2.75 (111)	153	44% (39)	298	3.91 (69)	#98 (.22)	44% (98)		47% (106)	42% (79)	4.03 (93)	52.5	1.5	1.1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ACU Offense	2	20.5	20.5	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
UNT Defense	12	37.1	37.8	48.5%	4.77	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	51%	46%	11%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ACU Defense	2	41.5	41.5	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
UNT Offense	12	34.5	37.8	44.7%	4.42	1.6	25	496	191	305	5.1	45%	54%	46%	44%	17%	.28

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Abilene Christian	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
North Texas	12	29:12	24.8	42%	60%	4.8	46.6	1.6	1.2	4	1.4	0	27.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ACU Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
UNT Defense	12	60% (133)	51% (129)	-	-	-	-	.36 (132)	3.49 (129)	74% (77)	7% (133)	1.15 (120)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ACU Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
UNT Offense	12	45% (105)	46% (37)	37.4	191.2	5.1	19 (69)	.3 (7)	3.4 (12)	78% (28)	10% (71)	1.22 (1)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ACU Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
UNT Defense	12	39% (1)	46% (120)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.38 (115)	1.6 (62)	25% (132)	34% (116)	.44 (120)	5% (118)	2.1 (68)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ACU Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
UNT Offense	12	54% (29)	44% (42)	23.7	38.6	304.8	7.9	12.9	33 (11)	9 (40)	.3 (63)	1.7 (43)	33% (89)	35% (26)	.49 (20)	7% (96)	2.3 (11)

Abilene Christian's Power Ratings
Abilene Christian's Power Rating: NR
Abilene Christian's Offense Rating: NR
Abilene Christian's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Abilene Christian's 2023 Expected Record: -
Abilene Christian's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Abilene Christian's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Abilene Christian's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Western Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Abilene Christian: North Texas: -3.695

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Abilene Christian: North Texas: -7.2

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -3.695 #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
North Texas's Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
North Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
North Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Abilene Christian Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.5
Defense: 41.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.5

Abilene Christian's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
North Texas 39
Abilene Christian 32

Total Points: 71

Based on Last 4 Games
North Texas 38
Abilene Christian 34

Total Points: 73

Based on Entire Season
North Texas 39
Abilene Christian 29

Total Points: 68

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.8
Defense: 37.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.8

North Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/30	North Texas	45	Abilene Christian	31	North Texas -15.5	Abilene Christian	70.5	Over
2019	08/31	North Texas	51	Abilene Christian	31	North Texas -23	Abilene Christian	58.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
North Texas	2	0	2 Overs
Abilene Christian	0	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#NR) ACU at (#90) UNT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ACU	UNT
Power RatePwr	NR	#90
SP+SP+	NR	#88
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#59
OffenseOff	NR	#35
DefenseDef	NR	#112
Spec TeamsST	NR	#19
TalentTal	#129	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#75

Abilene Christian Injury Report

North Texas Injury Report

Abilene Christian on Offense


CategoryCat	ACU Off	UNT Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#112
SuccessSuc	NR	#131
ExplosiveExp	NR	#81
PPAPPA	NR	#132
PowerPwr	NR	#131
SP+SP+	NR	#133
Pts POPPO	NR	#130
HavocHav	NR	#132

Abilene Christian Run Game


CategoryCat	ACU Off	UNT Def
Run GameRun	NR	#116
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#129
Run ExplRExp	NR	#120
PPAExp	NR	#132
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#129
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#107
TackleTak	-	#102

Abilene Christian Pass Game


CategoryCat	ACU Off	UNT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#101
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#120
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#62
PPAExp	NR	#115
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#86
F7 HavocF7	NR	#133
DB HavocDB	NR	#118

North Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	UNT Off	ACU Def
Perf GradePerf	#35	NR
SuccessSuc	#42	NR
ExplosiveExp	#5	NR
PPAPPA	#28	NR
PowerPwr	#27	NR
SP+SP+	#30	NR
Pts POPPO	#28	NR
HavocHav	#86	NR

North Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	ACU Def
Run GameRun	#50	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#37	NR
Run ExplRExp	#1	NR
PPAExp	#7	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#46	-
OL YdsOLY	#12	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#60	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

North Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	ACU Def
Pass GamePass	#12	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#42	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#43	NR
PPAExp	#63	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#103	NR
F7 HavocF7	#71	NR
DB HavocDB	#96	NR

Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

ACU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 90° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 5
North Texas -15.5 (70.5)
North Texas won vs Abilene Christian this year (45-31)

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Abilene Christian in 2023 (45-31)

ACU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Maverick McIvor	312	496	63%	3847	30	7	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rovaughn Banks Jr.	26	125	2	4.8	13
Jordon Vaughn	16	92	0	5.8	17
Maverick McIvor	34	-39	0	-1.1	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Blayne Taylor	73	1117	8	15.3	76
Jed Castles	15	223	4	14.9	36
Hut Graham	12	171	1	14.3	31
Rovaughn Banks Jr.	3	34	0	11.3	21

View Abilene Christian's Full Roster

ACU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Dorian Plumley	8	0	0	0
Jameer Dudley	8	0	0	0
Cirby Coheley	7	1	0	0
David Oke	5	2	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Luke Gambs	2	1	1
Dorian Plumley	8	0	0
Jameer Dudley	8	0	0
Cirby Coheley	7	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
David Oke	5	2	1	1
Dorian Plumley	8	0	0	0
Jameer Dudley	8	0	0	0

UNT's OC Jordan Davis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chandler Rogers (Tr)	262	422	62%	3383	29	5	8.0
Stone Earle	22	40	55%	274	4	4	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ayo Adeyi	143	1017	6	7.1	47
Oscar Adaway III	123	738	6	6.0	77
Isaiah Johnson	37	229	3	6.2	28
Chandler Rogers (Tr)	109	180	4	1.7	75

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jay Maclin	57	1004	11	17.6	80
Damon Ward Jr.	39	487	5	12.5	59
Roderic Burns	41	467	4	11.4	42
Trey Cleveland (Tr)	27	415	3	15.4	33

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Matt Caponi (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Brown	77	5	4	5	0
Patrick Smith	70	0	0	0	1
Ethan Wesloski	59	7	2	2	0
Logan Wilson	53	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Brown	77	5	4	5	0
Mazin Richards	44	11	3	10	0
Kevin Wood	37	3	2	1	1
Kadron Johnson	5	2	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ridge Texada	33	3	2	7
Evan Jackson	27	0	0	3
Brian Nelson II	6	0	0	3