Abilene Christian at North Texas - 2023 Matchup Preview
Abilene Christian logo Abilene Christian Wildcats at North Texas Mean GreenNorth Texas logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
North Texas -15.5 (70.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
North Texas 45 - Abilene Christian: 31

 
Wildcats (0 - 2) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 42 (21 - 42 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNT coming off BYE
Our Line: -3.5   (SP+ UNT -7)

UNT Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
Mean Green (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Eric Morris (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 35 - 37 (38 - 38 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Abilene Christian's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Abilene Christian at North Texas+15.570.5L 31 - 45OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Abilene Christian at Texas A&M+40.554.5L 10 - 38UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Abilene Christian's Schedule
North Texas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 North Texas vs California+5.053.5L 21 - 58ON
Sat 9/9 North Texas at Florida International-10.551.5L 39 - 46ON
Sat 9/16 North Texas at Louisiana Tech+4.566.5W 40 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 North Texas vs Abilene Christian-15.570.5W 45 - 31ON
Sat 10/7 North Texas at Navy+6.560.5L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/14 North Texas vs Temple-8.065.5W 45 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 North Texas at Tulane+20.063.5L 28 - 35UY
Sat 10/28 North Texas vs Memphis+6.570.0L 42 - 45OY
Sat 11/4 North Texas vs UTSA+7.571.0L 29 - 37UN
Fri 11/10 North Texas at SMU+21.567.5L 21 - 45UN
Sat 11/18 North Texas at Tulsa-1.569.5W 35 - 28UY
Sat 11/25 North Texas vs UAB-3.072.5W 45 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ACU0%20.50%000%000%41.50%0%0000
UNT#28 (.28)45% (42)34.546% (37)3.4 (12)19144% (42)3054.42 (28)#132 (.34)48% (131)37.151% (129)46% (120)4.77 (130)46.61.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ACU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)40% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)47% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ACU Offense220.520.50%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UNT Defense1237.137.848.5%4.771.2 - - - - - 60%39%51%46%11%.34
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ACU Defense241.541.50%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UNT Offense1234.537.844.7%4.421.6254961913055.145%54%46%44%17%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Abilene Christian20:000NAN%0%0000000100
North Texas1229:1224.842%60%4.846.61.61.241.4027.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ACU Offense20%0%000000%0%0
UNT Defense1260% (133)51% (129) - - - - .36 (132)3.49 (129)74% (77)7% (133)1.15 (120)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ACU Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UNT Offense1245% (105)46% (37)37.4191.25.119 (69).3 (7)3.4 (12)78% (28)10% (71)1.22 (1)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ACU Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
UNT Defense1239% (1)46% (120) - - - - - - 10 (67).38 (115)1.6 (62)25% (132)34% (116).44 (120)5% (118)2.1 (68)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ACU Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UNT Offense1254% (29)44% (42)23.738.6304.87.912.933 (11)9 (40).3 (63)1.7 (43)33% (89)35% (26).49 (20)7% (96)2.3 (11)

Abilene Christian's Power Ratings
Abilene Christian's Power Rating: #NR
Abilene Christian's Offense Rating: #NR
Abilene Christian's Defense Rating: #NR
2023 Talent Rating: #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Abilene Christian's 2023 Expected Record: -
Abilene Christian's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Abilene Christian's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Abilene Christian's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Western Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Abilene Christian:    North Texas: -3.695

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Abilene Christian:    North Texas: -7.2




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -3.695 #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
North Texas's Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
North Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
North Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Abilene Christian Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.5
Defense: 41.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.5

Abilene Christian's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 39
Abilene Christian 29


Total Points: 68

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.8
Defense: 37.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.8

North Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30North Texas45Abilene Christian31North TexasNorth Texas -15.5Abilene Christian70.5Over
201908/31North Texas51Abilene Christian31North TexasNorth Texas -23Abilene Christian58.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas202 Overs
Abilene Christian020 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 22 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#NR) Abilene Christian Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Record on Road: 0 - 2 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Abilene Christian Highlights
Abilene Christian is Undefeated vs Spread


Abilene Christian Deficiencies
Abilene Christian has a really bad Offense
Abilene Christian Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUNTACU
OverallOver#48
OffenseOff#32
DefenseDef#85
Special TeamsST#19
PassingPass#11
RushingRush#35
Run BlockRBLK#36
Pass BlockPBLK#87
Route RunningWR Rt#49
TacklingTkl#88
Run DefenseR Def#98
Pass Rush DefPRush#68
Coverage DefCov#82

Rematch from Week 5
North Texas -15.5 (70.5)
North Texas won vs Abilene Christian this year (45-31)

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Abilene Christian in 2023 (45-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ACU | UNT
Depth Chart: ACU | UNT
Rosters: ACU | UNT
(#90) North Texas Info
Power Rating: -3.695 #90
Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10


North Texas has won 1 straight
North Texas has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 3 - 1 vs Spread)

North Texas Highlights
North Texas offense is explosive (#20)
North Texas has a top Offensive Line (#28)
North Texas offense is good in red zone (#6)
North Texas commits very few Penalties (#59)

North Texas Deficiencies
North Texas Fumbles a Lot (#42)
North Texas Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
North Texas Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
North Texas does not Sack the QB (#47)
North Texas has a bad defense (#26)
North Texas Does Not Stuff Runs (#82)
North Texas has a bad defensive line (#38)
North Texas has a bad red zone defense (#23)


  
Abilene Christian's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maverick McIvor31249663%38473077.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rovaughn Banks Jr.2612524.813
Jordon Vaughn169205.817
Maverick McIvor34-390-1.116
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Blayne Taylor731117815.376
Jed Castles15223414.936
Hut Graham12171114.331
Rovaughn Banks Jr.334011.321

View Abilene Christian's Full Roster
Abilene Christian's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dorian Plumley80000
Jameer Dudley80000
Cirby Coheley71000
David Oke52011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Luke Gambs21100
Dorian Plumley80000
Jameer Dudley80000
Cirby Coheley71000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Oke52011
Dorian Plumley80000
Jameer Dudley80000

North Texas's OC Jordan Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Rogers (Tr)26242262%33832958.0
Stone Earle224055%274446.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ayo Adeyi143101767.147
Oscar Adaway III12373866.077
Isaiah Johnson3722936.228
Chandler Rogers (Tr)10918041.775
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jay Maclin5710041117.680
Damon Ward Jr.39487512.559
Roderic Burns41467411.442
Trey Cleveland (Tr)27415315.433

View North Texas's Full Roster
North Texas's DC Matt Caponi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Brown775450
Patrick Smith700001
Ethan Wesloski597220
Logan Wilson531003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Brown775450
Mazin Richards44113100
Kevin Wood373211
Kadron Johnson52220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ridge Texada333027
Evan Jackson270003
Brian Nelson II60003