North Texas at Tulsa - 2023 Matchup Preview
North Texas logo North Texas Mean Green at Tulsa Golden HurricaneTulsa logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (3:00 PM EST)
North Texas -1.5 (69.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
North Texas 35 - Tulsa: 28  (American Athletic)

 
Mean Green (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Eric Morris (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 35 - 37 (31 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNT 2nd straight Road Game
TLSA is playing their 5th straight game
UNT is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: North Texas -2.5   (SP+ UNT -7)

Projected Score: UNT: 35 - TLSA: 32 (67)
UNT Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
UNT Travel: 215 miles
Golden Hurricane (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kevin Wilson (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (29 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Texas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 North Texas vs California+5.053.5L 21 - 58ON
Sat 9/9 North Texas at Florida International-10.551.5L 39 - 46ON
Sat 9/16 North Texas at Louisiana Tech+4.566.5W 40 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 North Texas vs Abilene Christian-15.570.5W 45 - 31ON
Sat 10/7 North Texas at Navy+6.560.5L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/14 North Texas vs Temple-8.065.5W 45 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 North Texas at Tulane+20.063.5L 28 - 35UY
Sat 10/28 North Texas vs Memphis+6.570.0L 42 - 45OY
Sat 11/4 North Texas vs UTSA+7.571.0L 29 - 37UN
Fri 11/10 North Texas at SMU+21.567.5L 21 - 45UN
Sat 11/18 North Texas at Tulsa-1.569.5W 35 - 28UY
Sat 11/25 North Texas vs UAB-3.072.5W 45 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Tulsa's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Tulsa vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-41.052.5W 42 - 7UN
Sat 9/9 Tulsa at Washington+34.066.5L 10 - 43UY
Sat 9/16 Tulsa vs Oklahoma+28.058.5L 17 - 66ON
Sat 9/23 Tulsa at Northern Illinois+3.554.5W 22 - 14UY
Thu 9/28 Tulsa vs Temple-3.056.0W 48 - 26OY
Sat 10/7 Tulsa at Florida Atlantic+3.054.5L 17 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/19 Tulsa vs Rice-3.056.5L 10 - 42UN
Sat 10/28 Tulsa at SMU+20.555.0L 10 - 69ON
Sat 11/4 Tulsa vs Charlotte-4.547.5L 26 - 33ON
Sat 11/11 Tulsa at Tulane+24.552.5L 22 - 24UY
Sat 11/18 Tulsa vs North Texas+1.569.5L 28 - 35UN
Sat 11/25 Tulsa at East Carolina+4.544.5W 29 - 27OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT#28 (.28)45% (42)34.546% (37)3.4 (12)19144% (42)3054.42 (28)#132 (.34)48% (131)37.151% (129)46% (120)4.77 (130)46.61.61.2
TLSA#77 (.18)41% (83)23.440% (99)3.16 (59)18144% (50)2054.23 (34)#120 (.29)44% (96)33.843% (67)46% (121)3.95 (82)43.321.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)40% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)47% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)35% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)38% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Offense1234.531.244.7%4.421.6254961913055.145%54%46%44%17%.28
TLSA Defense1233.834.843.9%3.951.7 - - - - - 47%51%43%46%14%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Defense1237.136.348.5%4.771.2 - - - - - 60%39%51%46%11%.34
TLSA Offense1223.428.541%4.232203861812054.157%41%40%44%17%.18

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Texas1229:1224.842%60%4.846.61.61.241.4027.6
Tulsa1229:4219.845%44%5.143.321.75.41.8028.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Offense1245% (105)46% (37)37.4191.25.119 (69).3 (7)3.4 (12)78% (28)10% (71)1.22 (1)
TLSA Defense1247% (37)43% (67) - - - - .21 (107)3.18 (89)67% (30)10% (74)1.13 (115)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Defense1260% (133)51% (129) - - - - .36 (132)3.49 (129)74% (77)7% (133)1.15 (120)
TLSA Offense1257% (16)40% (99)43.9180.94.113 (108).1 (96)3.16 (59)79% (27)11% (87)0.88 (120)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Offense1254% (29)44% (42)23.738.6304.87.912.933 (11)9 (40).3 (63)1.7 (43)33% (89)35% (26).49 (20)7% (96)2.3 (11)
TLSA Defense1251% (89)46% (121) - - - - - - 10 (67).43 (124)1.7 (100)30% (103)29% (43).41 (111)5% (113)2.6 (133)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Defense1239% (1)46% (120) - - - - - - 10 (67).38 (115)1.6 (62)25% (132)34% (116).44 (120)5% (118)2.1 (68)
TLSA Offense1241% (118)44% (50)15.827.8204.77.412.920 (70)19 (131).36 (37)1.8 (13)34% (95)32% (57).33 (68)6% (73)2.1 (66)

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -5.19 #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
North Texas's Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
North Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
North Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -5.19   Tulsa: -8.775

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -7.2   Tulsa: -14.2




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -8.775 #111
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Tulsa's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Tulsa's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #115
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #100
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


North Texas Scoring
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 37.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

North Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 35
Tulsa 32


Total Points: 67

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

Tulsa's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28North Texas52Tulsa20North TexasNorth Texas -7North Texas65.5Over
202311/18Tulsa28North Texas35North TexasNorth Texas -1.5North Texas69.5Under
201311/30Tulsa10North Texas42North TexasNorth Texas -3North Texas0
201110/01Tulsa41North Texas24Tulsa
200809/06North Texas26Tulsa56Tulsa
200609/16Tulsa28North Texas3Tulsa
200509/17North Texas2Tulsa54Tulsa
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa401 Overs
North Texas331 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 41 - 21 - 00 - 2
Road Teams4 - 32 - 12 - 00 - 1

(#90) North Texas Info
Power Rating: -5.19 #90
Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10


North Texas has lost 4 straight
North Texas has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

North Texas Highlights
North Texas offense is explosive (#20)
North Texas has a top Offensive Line (#28)
North Texas offense is good in red zone (#6)
North Texas commits very few Penalties (#59)

North Texas Deficiencies
North Texas Fumbles a Lot (#42)
North Texas Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
North Texas does not Sack the QB (#47)
North Texas has a bad defense (#26)
North Texas Does Not Stuff Runs (#82)
North Texas has a bad defensive line (#38)
North Texas has a bad red zone defense (#23)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTLSAUNT
OverallOver#79#48
OffenseOff#48#32
DefenseDef#97#85
Special TeamsST#109#19
PassingPass#73#11
RushingRush#45#35
Run BlockRBLK#41#36
Pass BlockPBLK#43#87
Route RunningWR Rt#45#49
TacklingTkl#114#88
Run DefenseR Def#104#98
Pass Rush DefPRush#16#68
Coverage DefCov#111#82

Rematch from Week 12
North Texas 1.5 (69.5)
North Texas won at Tulsa this year (35-28)

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Tulsa last year (52-20)
North Texas beat Tulsa in 2023 (35-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNT | TLSA
Depth Chart: UNT | TLSA
Rosters: UNT | TLSA
(#111) Tulsa Info
Power Rating: -8.775 #111
Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Defense Rating: 13.36 #105
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #115
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #100
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30


Tulsa has lost 5 straight
Tulsa has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Tulsa Highlights
Tulsa does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#117)

Tulsa commits very few Penalties (#91)

Tulsa Deficiencies
Tulsa has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Tulsa throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Tulsa Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Tulsa Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Tulsa gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#46)


  
North Texas's OC Jordan Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Rogers (Tr)26242262%33832958.0
Stone Earle224055%274446.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ayo Adeyi143101767.147
Oscar Adaway III12373866.077
Isaiah Johnson3722936.228
Chandler Rogers (Tr)10918041.775
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jay Maclin5710041117.680
Damon Ward Jr.39487512.559
Roderic Burns41467411.442
Trey Cleveland (Tr)27415315.433

View North Texas's Full Roster
North Texas's DC Matt Caponi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Brown775450
Patrick Smith700001
Ethan Wesloski597220
Logan Wilson531003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Brown775450
Mazin Richards44113100
Kevin Wood373211
Kadron Johnson52220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ridge Texada333027
Evan Jackson270003
Brian Nelson II60003

Tulsa's OC Steve Spurrier Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cardell Williams7913260%11491078.7
Kirk Francis6812156%967638.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Watkins19788944.546
Bill Jackson9141414.538
Jordan Ford7829413.822
Cardell Williams5720053.550
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamdyn Benjamin47727615.551
Carl Chester22401118.257
Devan Williams29399213.842
Marquis Shoulders16283517.780

View Tulsa's Full Roster
Tulsa's DC Chris Polizzi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kendarin Ray (Tr)1314011
Julien Simon (Tr)5810312
Dayne Hodge562000
Ben Kopenski5214940
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ben Kopenski5214940
Owen Ostroski3110430
Julien Simon (Tr)5810312
Mitchell Kulkin393243
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaise Oliver482006
Xavier Lanier150004
Nunu Campbell230003