UAB at North Texas - 2023 Matchup Preview
UAB logo UAB Blazers at North Texas Mean GreenNorth Texas logo
Saturday, November 25th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
North Texas -3 (72.5) (-135)  Open: -3.0
North Texas 45 - UAB: 42  (American Athletic)

 
Blazers (4 - 8) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Trent Dilfer (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 30 - 37 (25 - 42 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNT is playing their 9th straight game
UAB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: North Texas -7   (SP+ UNT -8)

Projected Score: UAB: 32 - UNT: 39 (72)
UNT Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
UAB Travel: 598 miles
Mean Green (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Eric Morris (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 35 - 37 (38 - 38 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UAB's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 UAB vs North Carolina A&T-24.546.5W 35 - 6UY
Sat 9/9 UAB at Georgia Southern+7.063.0L 35 - 49ON
Sat 9/16 UAB vs Louisiana-2.060.0L 21 - 41ON
Sat 9/23 UAB at Georgia+40.056.0L 21 - 49OY
Sat 9/30 UAB at Tulane+22.559.5L 23 - 35UY
Sat 10/7 UAB vs South Florida+3.568.5W 56 - 35OY
Sat 10/14 UAB at UTSA+9.067.0L 20 - 41UN
Sat 10/21 UAB vs Memphis+7.561.5L 21 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 UAB vs Florida Atlantic-1.059.5W 45 - 42OY
Sat 11/11 UAB at Navy-3.552.5L 6 - 31UN
Sat 11/18 UAB vs Temple-8.061.5W 34 - 24UY
Sat 11/25 UAB at North Texas+3.072.5L 42 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UAB's Schedule
North Texas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 North Texas vs California+5.053.5L 21 - 58ON
Sat 9/9 North Texas at Florida International-10.551.5L 39 - 46ON
Sat 9/16 North Texas at Louisiana Tech+4.566.5W 40 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 North Texas vs Abilene Christian-15.570.5W 45 - 31ON
Sat 10/7 North Texas at Navy+6.560.5L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/14 North Texas vs Temple-8.065.5W 45 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 North Texas at Tulane+20.063.5L 28 - 35UY
Sat 10/28 North Texas vs Memphis+6.570.0L 42 - 45OY
Sat 11/4 North Texas vs UTSA+7.571.0L 29 - 37UN
Fri 11/10 North Texas at SMU+21.567.5L 21 - 45UN
Sat 11/18 North Texas at Tulsa-1.569.5W 35 - 28UY
Sat 11/25 North Texas vs UAB-3.072.5W 45 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB#12 (.32)49% (10)29.951% (11)3.7 (3)16148% (18)2893.84 (76)#119 (.28)48% (129)36.953% (132)43% (89)4.45 (122)56.31.71.7
UNT#28 (.28)45% (42)34.546% (37)3.4 (12)19144% (42)3054.42 (28)#132 (.34)48% (131)37.151% (129)46% (120)4.77 (130)46.61.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB#85 (.16)45% (42)47% (32)3.19 (42)13144% (48)2623.43 (109)#101 (.23)45% (104)52% (132)35% (12)4.24 (110)73.82.21.1
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)40% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)47% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Offense1229.924.548.5%3.841.7244501612894.547%51%51%48%18%.32
UNT Defense1237.137.848.5%4.771.2 - - - - - 60%39%51%46%11%.34
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Defense1236.941.747.8%4.451.7 - - - - - 50%49%53%43%16%.28
UNT Offense1234.537.844.7%4.421.6254961913055.145%54%46%44%17%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UAB1229:1423.740%48%6.756.31.71.74.12.3127.7
North Texas1229:1224.842%60%4.846.61.61.241.4027.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Offense1247% (91)51% (11)35.5161.14.524 (41).32 (4)3.7 (3)77% (42)13% (124)1.06 (34)
UNT Defense1260% (133)51% (129) - - - - .36 (132)3.49 (129)74% (77)7% (133)1.15 (120)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Defense1250% (73)53% (132) - - - - .36 (133)3.55 (131)83% (116)9% (107)1.09 (109)
UNT Offense1245% (105)46% (37)37.4191.25.119 (69).3 (7)3.4 (12)78% (28)10% (71)1.22 (1)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Offense1251% (47)48% (18)25.535.6288.98.111.322 (61)13 (97).37 (34)1.5 (103)28% (13)33% (48).48 (21)5% (43)2.1 (43)
UNT Defense1239% (1)46% (120) - - - - - - 10 (67).38 (115)1.6 (62)25% (132)34% (116).44 (120)5% (118)2.1 (68)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Defense1249% (64)43% (89) - - - - - - 10 (67).26 (58)1.5 (46)30% (109)36% (124).46 (121)7% (30)2 (67)
UNT Offense1254% (29)44% (42)23.738.6304.87.912.933 (11)9 (40).3 (63)1.7 (43)33% (89)35% (26).49 (20)7% (96)2.3 (11)

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -5.80 #96
UAB's Offense Rating: 23.13 #18
UAB's Defense Rating: 17.37 #126
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UAB's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
UAB's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: -5.80   North Texas: -3.695

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -15.2   North Texas: -7.2




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -3.695 #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
North Texas's Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
North Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
North Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


UAB Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 36.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.7

UAB's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 39
UAB 32


Total Points: 72

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.8
Defense: 37.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.8

North Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/25North Texas45UAB42North TexasNorth Texas -3Push72.5Over
202211/12UAB41North Texas21UABUAB -6.5UAB58.0Over
202109/18North Texas6UAB40UABUAB -12.5UAB58.5Under
201911/30North Texas21UAB26UABUAB -3.5UAB50.0Under
201810/20UAB29North Texas21UABUAB -1.5UAB53.0Under
201709/23North Texas46UAB43North TexasNorth Texas -10UAB60.5Over
201410/11UAB56North Texas21UABUAB -3UAB0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas203 Overs
UAB563 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 23 - 33 - 10 - 2
Road Teams2 - 53 - 32 - 01 - 3

(#96) UAB Info
Power Rating: -5.80 #96
Offense Rating: 23.13 #18
Defense Rating: 17.37 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #132
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60


UAB has won 1 straight
UAB has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 6 (2 - 3 - 1 vs Spread )

UAB Highlights
UAB offense is efficent (#16)
UAB has a top Offensive Line (#25)
UAB does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#33)

UAB Secondary is very good (#134)

UAB Deficiencies
UAB Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UAB has a bad defense (#135)
UAB Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)
UAB has a bad defensive line (#128)
UAB has a bad red zone defense (#120)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUNTUAB
OverallOver#48#71
OffenseOff#32#53
DefenseDef#85#78
Special TeamsST#19#107
PassingPass#11#67
RushingRush#35#14
Run BlockRBLK#36#51
Pass BlockPBLK#87#41
Route RunningWR Rt#49#49
TacklingTkl#88#59
Run DefenseR Def#98#92
Pass Rush DefPRush#68#28
Coverage DefCov#82#84

Rematch from Week 13
North Texas -3.0 (72.5)
North Texas won vs UAB this year (45-42)

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat UAB in 2023 (45-42)
UAB beat North Texas in 2022 (41-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UAB | UNT
Depth Chart: UAB | UNT
Rosters: UAB | UNT
(#90) North Texas Info
Power Rating: -3.695 #90
Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10


North Texas has won 1 straight
North Texas has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 3 - 1 vs Spread)

North Texas Highlights
North Texas offense is explosive (#20)
North Texas has a top Offensive Line (#28)
North Texas offense is good in red zone (#6)
North Texas commits very few Penalties (#59)

North Texas Deficiencies
North Texas Fumbles a Lot (#42)
North Texas Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
North Texas Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
North Texas does not Sack the QB (#47)
North Texas has a bad defense (#26)
North Texas Does Not Stuff Runs (#82)
North Texas has a bad defensive line (#38)
North Texas has a bad red zone defense (#23)


  
UAB's OC Alex Mortensen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jacob Zeno27937974%31262098.2
Landy Lyddy142264%121135.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jermaine Brown Jr.158803125.140
Lee Beebe5236046.966
Isaiah Jacobs5524934.526
Jacob Zeno9116841.844
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tejhaun Palmer47858718.380
Amare Thomas5343738.249
Jermaine Brown Jr.41416110.155
Fred Farrier II18266114.867

View UAB's Full Roster
UAB's DC Sione Ta'ufo'ou
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keondre Swoopes720001
Jackson Bratton705231
Michael Moore626131
Ike Rowell540013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desmond Little308632
Kevin Penn435440
Michael Fairbanks II235430
Nikia Eason Jr.264462
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brian Mayes4110010
Colby Dempsey371009
Mac McWilliams522008

North Texas's OC Jordan Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Rogers (Tr)26242262%33832958.0
Stone Earle224055%274446.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ayo Adeyi143101767.147
Oscar Adaway III12373866.077
Isaiah Johnson3722936.228
Chandler Rogers (Tr)10918041.775
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jay Maclin5710041117.680
Damon Ward Jr.39487512.559
Roderic Burns41467411.442
Trey Cleveland (Tr)27415315.433

View North Texas's Full Roster
North Texas's DC Matt Caponi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Brown775450
Patrick Smith700001
Ethan Wesloski597220
Logan Wilson531003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Brown775450
Mazin Richards44113100
Kevin Wood373211
Kadron Johnson52220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ridge Texada333027
Evan Jackson270003
Brian Nelson II60003