North Texas at Tulane - 2023 Matchup Preview
North Texas logo North Texas Mean Green at Tulane Green WaveTulane logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Tulane -20 (63.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Tulane 35 - North Texas: 28  (American Athletic)

 
Mean Green (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Eric Morris (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 35 - 37 (31 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Tulane -11.5   (SP+ TULN -11)

Projected Score: UNT: 25 - TULN: 36 (61)
TULN Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
UNT Travel: 472 miles
Green Wave (11 - 3) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (45 - 46)
Avg Score : 26 - 21 (29 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 5.6 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Texas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 North Texas vs California+5.053.5L 21 - 58ON
Sat 9/9 North Texas at Florida International-10.551.5L 39 - 46ON
Sat 9/16 North Texas at Louisiana Tech+4.566.5W 40 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 North Texas vs Abilene Christian-15.570.5W 45 - 31ON
Sat 10/7 North Texas at Navy+6.560.5L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/14 North Texas vs Temple-8.065.5W 45 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 North Texas at Tulane+20.063.5L 28 - 35UY
Sat 10/28 North Texas vs Memphis+6.570.0L 42 - 45OY
Sat 11/4 North Texas vs UTSA+7.571.0L 29 - 37UN
Fri 11/10 North Texas at SMU+21.567.5L 21 - 45UN
Sat 11/18 North Texas at Tulsa-1.569.5W 35 - 28UY
Sat 11/25 North Texas vs UAB-3.072.5W 45 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Tulane's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Tulane vs South Alabama-6.051.0W 37 - 17OY
Sat 9/9 Tulane vs Ole Miss+8.064.0L 20 - 37UN
Sat 9/16 Tulane at Southern Miss-8.047.5W 21 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Tulane vs Nicholls-38.055.5W 36 - 7UN
Sat 9/30 Tulane vs UAB-22.559.5W 35 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13 Tulane at Memphis-4.554.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 10/21 Tulane vs North Texas-20.063.5W 35 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 Tulane at Rice-10.055.0W 30 - 28ON
Sat 11/4 Tulane at East Carolina-17.046.0W 13 - 10UN
Sat 11/11 Tulane vs Tulsa-24.552.5W 24 - 22UN
Sat 11/18 Tulane at Florida Atlantic-9.546.5W 24 - 8UY
Fri 11/24 Tulane vs UTSA-2.551.5W 29 - 16UY
Sat 12/2 Tulane vs SMU-4.050.5L 14 - 26UN
Wed 12/27 Tulane vs Virginia Tech+13.543.5L 20 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT#28 (.28)45% (42)34.546% (37)3.4 (12)19144% (42)3054.42 (28)#132 (.34)48% (131)37.151% (129)46% (120)4.77 (130)46.61.61.2
TULN#70 (.19)42% (61)26.440% (108)3.13 (63)15547% (27)2153.62 (91)#56 (.16)41% (55)20.540% (42)43% (83)3.7 (61)42.91.42
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)40% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)47% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)45% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)38% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Offense1234.531.244.7%4.421.6254961913055.145%54%46%44%17%.28
TULN Defense1420.52241.1%3.72 - - - - - 45%54%40%43%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Defense1237.136.348.5%4.771.2 - - - - - 60%39%51%46%11%.34
TULN Offense1426.428.842.4%3.621.4183701552154.156%43%40%47%14%.19

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Texas1229:1224.842%60%4.846.61.61.241.4027.6
Tulane1431:2018.438%59%4.842.91.425.92.4233.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Offense1245% (105)46% (37)37.4191.25.119 (69).3 (7)3.4 (12)78% (28)10% (71)1.22 (1)
TULN Defense1445% (14)40% (42) - - - - .09 (34)3.03 (54)77% (94)11% (46)1.01 (75)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Defense1260% (133)51% (129) - - - - .36 (132)3.49 (129)74% (77)7% (133)1.15 (120)
TULN Offense1456% (21)40% (108)37.6155.14.116 (89).09 (104)3.13 (63)72% (89)8% (36)0.88 (121)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Offense1254% (29)44% (42)23.738.6304.87.912.933 (11)9 (40).3 (63)1.7 (43)33% (89)35% (26).49 (20)7% (96)2.3 (11)
TULN Defense1454% (121)43% (83) - - - - - - 17 (3).25 (54)1.4 (13)34% (40)29% (53).23 (28)7% (24)1.8 (15)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Defense1239% (1)46% (120) - - - - - - 10 (67).38 (115)1.6 (62)25% (132)34% (116).44 (120)5% (118)2.1 (68)
TULN Offense1443% (109)47% (27)16.426.32158.213.125 (37)7 (21).35 (40)1.6 (77)29% (24)29% (83).28 (86)6% (57)2 (101)

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -5.19 #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
North Texas's Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
North Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
North Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -5.19   Tulane: 5.475

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -7.2   Tulane: 4.1




Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 5.475 #52
Tulane's Offense Rating: 14.61 #86
Tulane's Defense Rating: 5.32 #29
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Tulane's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 5.60
Tulane's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #50
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #40

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


North Texas Scoring
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 37.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

North Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Tulane 36
North Texas 25


Total Points: 61

Tulane Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

Tulane's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26North Texas37Tulane45TulaneTulane -7.5Tulane70.5Over
202310/21Tulane35North Texas28TulaneTulane -20North Texas63.5Under
201310/05Tulane24North Texas21TulaneNorth Texas -2Tulane0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulane321 Overs
North Texas011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 20 - 11 - 1
Road Teams1 - 22 - 11 - 11 - 0

(#90) North Texas Info
Power Rating: -5.19 #90
Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10


North Texas has won 1 straight
North Texas has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

North Texas Highlights
North Texas offense is explosive (#20)
North Texas has a top Offensive Line (#28)
North Texas offense is good in red zone (#6)
North Texas commits very few Penalties (#59)

North Texas Deficiencies
North Texas Fumbles a Lot (#42)
North Texas Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
North Texas does not Sack the QB (#47)
North Texas has a bad defense (#26)
North Texas Does Not Stuff Runs (#82)
North Texas has a bad defensive line (#38)
North Texas has a bad red zone defense (#23)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTULNUNT
OverallOver#27#48
OffenseOff#44#32
DefenseDef#23#85
Special TeamsST#73#19
PassingPass#48#11
RushingRush#55#35
Run BlockRBLK#36#36
Pass BlockPBLK#79#87
Route RunningWR Rt#31#49
TacklingTkl#95#88
Run DefenseR Def#37#98
Pass Rush DefPRush#32#68
Coverage DefCov#36#82

Rematch from Week 8
Tulane -20.0 (63.5)
Tulane won vs North Texas this year (35-28)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat North Texas last year (45-37)
Tulane beat North Texas in 2023 (35-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Benson Field at Yulman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNT | TULN
Depth Chart: UNT | TULN
Rosters: UNT | TULN
(#52) Tulane Info
Power Rating: 5.475 #52
Offense Rating: 14.61 #86
Defense Rating: 5.32 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 8.40 - 5.60


Tulane has won 4 straight
Tulane has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 2 (2 - 6 - 0 vs Spread)

Tulane Highlights
Tulane Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Tulane Secondary is very good (#24)
Tulane defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Tulane Deficiencies
Tulane Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Tulane offense is not Explosive (#88)
Tulane run game is really bad (#80)


  
North Texas's OC Jordan Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Rogers (Tr)26242262%33832958.0
Stone Earle224055%274446.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ayo Adeyi143101767.147
Oscar Adaway III12373866.077
Isaiah Johnson3722936.228
Chandler Rogers (Tr)10918041.775
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jay Maclin5710041117.680
Damon Ward Jr.39487512.559
Roderic Burns41467411.442
Trey Cleveland (Tr)27415315.433

View North Texas's Full Roster
North Texas's DC Matt Caponi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Brown775450
Patrick Smith700001
Ethan Wesloski597220
Logan Wilson531003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Brown775450
Mazin Richards44113100
Kevin Wood373211
Kadron Johnson52220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ridge Texada333027
Evan Jackson270003
Brian Nelson II60003

Tulane's OC Slade Nagle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Michael Pratt18528365%24062258.5
Kai Horton448254%604327.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makhi Hughes258137875.358
Michael Pratt9828652.926
Ashaad Clayton4115003.717
Arnold Barnes2313806.065
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Brazzell II44711516.247
Lawrence Keys III33599718.257
Jha'Quan Jackson26439416.948
Yulkeith Brown (Tr)33391211.842

View Tulane's Full Roster
Tulane's DC Shiel Wood
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jesus Machado983011
Tyler Grubbs (Tr)858311
Bailey Despanie676002
Jared Small606222
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius Hodges2510840
Patrick Jenkins3512620
Keith Cooper Jr.329532
Kameron Hamilton256410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kam Pedescleaux5640212
Jarius Monroe4841110
Lance Robinson430007