UTSA at North Texas - 2023 Matchup Preview
UTSA logo UTSA Roadrunners at North Texas Mean GreenNorth Texas logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (3:00 PM EDT)
UT San Antonio -7.5 (71.0) (-310)  Open: -7.0
UTSA 37 - North Texas: 29  (American Athletic)

 
Roadrunners (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (31 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 24 (28 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#32)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNT 2nd straight Home Game
UNT is playing their 6th straight game
UTSA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: UTSA -6.5   (SP+ UTSA -11.5)

Projected Score: UTSA: 37 - UNT: 31 (68)
UTSA Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
UTSA Travel: 273 miles
Mean Green (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Eric Morris (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 35 - 37 (38 - 38 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UTSA's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 UTSA at Houston-2.559.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 9/9 UTSA vs Texas State-13.566.5W 20 - 13UN
Fri 9/15 UTSA vs Army-7.042.0L 29 - 37ON
Sat 9/23 UTSA at Tennessee+24.059.0L 14 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 UTSA at Temple-14.056.0W 49 - 34OY
Sat 10/14 UTSA vs UAB-9.067.0W 41 - 20UY
Sat 10/21 UTSA at Florida Atlantic-2.558.5W 36 - 10UY
Sat 10/28 UTSA vs East Carolina-17.548.0W 41 - 27ON
Sat 11/4 UTSA at North Texas-7.571.0W 37 - 29UY
Sat 11/11 UTSA vs Rice-13.553.5W 34 - 14UY
Fri 11/17 UTSA vs South Florida-14.565.5W 49 - 21OY
Fri 11/24 UTSA at Tulane+2.551.5L 16 - 29UN
Tue 12/19 UTSA vs Marshall-7.047.0W 35 - 17OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
North Texas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 North Texas vs California+5.053.5L 21 - 58ON
Sat 9/9 North Texas at Florida International-10.551.5L 39 - 46ON
Sat 9/16 North Texas at Louisiana Tech+4.566.5W 40 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 North Texas vs Abilene Christian-15.570.5W 45 - 31ON
Sat 10/7 North Texas at Navy+6.560.5L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/14 North Texas vs Temple-8.065.5W 45 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 North Texas at Tulane+20.063.5L 28 - 35UY
Sat 10/28 North Texas vs Memphis+6.570.0L 42 - 45OY
Sat 11/4 North Texas vs UTSA+7.571.0L 29 - 37UN
Fri 11/10 North Texas at SMU+21.567.5L 21 - 45UN
Sat 11/18 North Texas at Tulsa-1.569.5W 35 - 28UY
Sat 11/25 North Texas vs UAB-3.072.5W 45 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#45 (.23)42% (66)31.941% (89)3 (88)17244% (49)2504.45 (24)#35 (.14)37% (21)24.138% (26)38% (25)3.77 (65)51.21.71.3
UNT#28 (.28)45% (42)34.546% (37)3.4 (12)19144% (42)3054.42 (28)#132 (.34)48% (131)37.151% (129)46% (120)4.77 (130)46.61.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA#61 (.2)40% (100)37% (123)3.03 (70)16943% (61)2833.63 (94)#42 (.13)34% (2)32% (1)36% (16)3.78 (66)81.11.71.6
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)40% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)47% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense1331.927.742.2%4.451.7234221722504.351%49%41%44%15%.23
UNT Defense1237.137.848.5%4.771.2 - - - - - 60%39%51%46%11%.34
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense1324.127.337.4%3.771.3 - - - - - 47%52%38%38%20%.14
UNT Offense1234.537.844.7%4.421.6254961913055.145%54%46%44%17%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA1330:0822.647%58%5.651.21.71.37.63.5129
North Texas1229:1224.842%60%4.846.61.61.241.4027.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense1351% (62)41% (89)39.7171.84.327 (29).18 (48)3 (88)81% (14)9% (45)1.13 (13)
UNT Defense1260% (133)51% (129) - - - - .36 (132)3.49 (129)74% (77)7% (133)1.15 (120)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense1347% (27)38% (26) - - - - .12 (52)2.86 (27)83% (114)12% (14)1.14 (118)
UNT Offense1245% (105)46% (37)37.4191.25.119 (69).3 (7)3.4 (12)78% (28)10% (71)1.22 (1)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense1349% (72)44% (49)22.334.3249.87.311.225 (37)14 (107).31 (58)1.6 (60)32% (71)35% (27).46 (28)6% (64)2.2 (35)
UNT Defense1239% (1)46% (120) - - - - - - 10 (67).38 (115)1.6 (62)25% (132)34% (116).44 (120)5% (118)2.1 (68)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense1352% (101)38% (25) - - - - - - 10 (67).23 (44)1.6 (70)35% (28)24% (6).18 (13)8% (11)2.4 (130)
UNT Offense1254% (29)44% (42)23.738.6304.87.912.933 (11)9 (40).3 (63)1.7 (43)33% (89)35% (26).49 (20)7% (96)2.3 (11)

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 1.44 #55
UTSA's Offense Rating: 18.48 #51
UTSA's Defense Rating: 7.49 #43
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UTSA's 2023 Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40
UTSA's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.2 #49
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 1.44   North Texas: -3.695

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 4.2   North Texas: -7.2




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -3.695 #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
North Texas's Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
North Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
North Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.7
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.3

UTSA's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 37
North Texas 31


Total Points: 68

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.8
Defense: 37.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.8

North Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/15UTSA48North Texas27UTSAUTSA -1UTSA73.0Over
202311/04North Texas29UTSA37UTSAUT San Antonio -7.5UTSA71.0Under
202212/02UTSA48North Texas27UTSAUT San Antonio -8.5UTSA70.0Over
202210/22UTSA31North Texas27UTSAUT San Antonio -10North Texas73.0Under
202111/27North Texas45UTSA23North TexasUT San Antonio -8.5North Texas60.0Over
202011/28UTSA49North Texas17UTSAUT San Antonio -1.5UTSA67.0Under
201909/21North Texas45UTSA3North TexasNorth Texas -17.5North Texas57.0Under
201811/24UTSA21North Texas24North TexasNorth Texas -25UTSA51.5Under
201710/14North Texas29UTSA26North TexasUT San Antonio -2.5North Texas58.5Under
201610/29UTSA31North Texas17UTSAUT San Antonio -4UTSA51.0Under
201510/31North Texas30UTSA23North TexasUT San Antonio -12North Texas54.5Under
201411/29UTSA34North Texas27UTSAUT San Antonio -6UTSA0
201311/23North Texas13UTSA21UTSANorth Texas -7UTSA0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas553 Overs
UTSA888 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 310 - 36 - 24 - 1
Road Teams3 - 103 - 101 - 42 - 6

(#55) UTSA Info
Power Rating: 1.44 #55
Offense Rating: 18.48 #51
Defense Rating: 7.49 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.2 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40


UTSA has won 4 straight
UTSA has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

UTSA Highlights
UTSA offense is explosive (#11)
UTSA offense is good in red zone (#37)
UTSA offense is good on 3rd downs
UTSA Defense Sacks the QB a lot

UTSA has a really good defense (#77)
UTSA has a good run defense (#54)
UTSA has a good pass defense (#101)
UTSA Defensive Line is very good (#19)
UTSA Front 7 is disruptive (#74)
UTSA Secondary is very good (#41)

UTSA Deficiencies
UTSA has a bad TO Margin (#1)
UTSA throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
UTSA gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#130)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUNTUTSA
OverallOver#48#52
OffenseOff#32#49
DefenseDef#85#58
Special TeamsST#19#98
PassingPass#11#57
RushingRush#35#27
Run BlockRBLK#36#64
Pass BlockPBLK#87#90
Route RunningWR Rt#49#24
TacklingTkl#88#83
Run DefenseR Def#98#49
Pass Rush DefPRush#68#21
Coverage DefCov#82#91

Rematch from Week 10
UTSA 7.5 (71.0)
UTSA won at North Texas this year (37-29)

Previous Matchups
UTSA beat North Texas last year (48-27)
UTSA beat North Texas in 2023 (37-29)
UTSA beat North Texas in 2022 (31-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UTSA | UNT
Depth Chart: UTSA | UNT
Rosters: UTSA | UNT
(#90) North Texas Info
Power Rating: -3.695 #90
Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10


North Texas has lost 2 straight
North Texas has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 3 - 1 vs Spread)

North Texas Highlights
North Texas offense is explosive (#20)
North Texas has a top Offensive Line (#28)
North Texas offense is good in red zone (#6)
North Texas commits very few Penalties (#59)

North Texas Deficiencies
North Texas Fumbles a Lot (#42)
North Texas Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
North Texas Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
North Texas does not Sack the QB (#47)
North Texas has a bad defense (#26)
North Texas Does Not Stuff Runs (#82)
North Texas has a bad defensive line (#38)
North Texas has a bad red zone defense (#23)


  
UTSA's OC Justin Burke
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Frank Harris21833665%25061887.5
Owen McCown (Tr)435874%442437.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevorian Barnes14771564.944
Robert Henry127588114.643
Rocko Griffin (Tr)9148365.369
Frank Harris8632343.840
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Joshua Cephus8911511012.984
Tykee Ogle-Kellogg33575717.446
Devin Mccuin42546313.072
Oscar Cardenas3228028.828

View UTSA's Full Roster
UTSA's DC Jess Loepp
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ken Robinson652014
Jamal Ligon627151
Martavius French615243
Rashad Wisdom612204
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Moore45181433
Brandon Matterson146550
Jimmori Robinson40115102
Nick Booker-Brown187313
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameryn Alexander (Tr)3421115
Nicktroy Fortune261029
Ken Robinson652014

North Texas's OC Jordan Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Rogers (Tr)26242262%33832958.0
Stone Earle224055%274446.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ayo Adeyi143101767.147
Oscar Adaway III12373866.077
Isaiah Johnson3722936.228
Chandler Rogers (Tr)10918041.775
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jay Maclin5710041117.680
Damon Ward Jr.39487512.559
Roderic Burns41467411.442
Trey Cleveland (Tr)27415315.433

View North Texas's Full Roster
North Texas's DC Matt Caponi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Brown775450
Patrick Smith700001
Ethan Wesloski597220
Logan Wilson531003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Brown775450
Mazin Richards44113100
Kevin Wood373211
Kadron Johnson52220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ridge Texada333027
Evan Jackson270003
Brian Nelson II60003