UTSA at North Texas Game Matchup
UTSA logo UTSA Roadrunners at North Texas Mean GreenNorth Texas logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (3:00 PM EDT)
UT San Antonio -7.5 (71.0) (-310)  Open: -7.0
UTSA 37 - North Texas: 29  (American Athletic)

 
Roadrunners (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (31 - 12)
Avg Score : 33 - 30 (22 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#32)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 17.4 MPH
UNT 2nd straight Home Game
UNT is playing their 6th straight game
UTSA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: UTSA -6.5   (SP+ UTSA -11.5)

Projected Score: UTSA: 37 - UNT: 30 (66)
UTSA Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
UTSA Travel: 273 miles
Mean Green (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Eric Morris (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 34 - 34 (33 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UTSA's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 UTSA at Houston-2.559.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 9/9 UTSA vs Texas State-13.566.5W 20 - 13UN
Fri 9/15 UTSA vs Army-7.042.0L 29 - 37ON
Sat 9/23 UTSA at Tennessee+24.059.0L 14 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 UTSA at Temple-14.056.0W 49 - 34OY
Sat 10/14 UTSA vs UAB-9.067.0W 41 - 20UY
Sat 10/21 UTSA at Florida Atlantic-2.558.5W 36 - 10UY
Sat 10/28 UTSA vs East Carolina-17.548.0W 41 - 27ON
Sat 11/4 UTSA at North Texas-7.571.0W 37 - 29UY
Sat 11/11 UTSA vs Rice-13.553.5W 34 - 14UY
Fri 11/17 UTSA vs South Florida-14.565.5W 49 - 21OY
Fri 11/24 UTSA at Tulane+2.551.5L 16 - 29UN
Tue 12/19 UTSA vs Marshall-7.047.0W 35 - 17OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule
North Texas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 North Texas vs California+5.053.5L 21 - 58ON
Sat 9/9 North Texas at Florida International-10.551.5L 39 - 46ON
Sat 9/16 North Texas at Louisiana Tech+4.566.5W 40 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 North Texas vs Abilene Christian-15.570.5W 45 - 31ON
Sat 10/7 North Texas at Navy+6.560.5L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/14 North Texas vs Temple-8.065.5W 45 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 North Texas at Tulane+20.063.5L 28 - 35UY
Sat 10/28 North Texas vs Memphis+6.570.0L 42 - 45OY
Sat 11/4 North Texas vs UTSA+7.571.0L 29 - 37UN
Fri 11/10 North Texas at SMU+21.567.5L 21 - 45UN
Sat 11/18 North Texas at Tulsa-1.569.5W 35 - 28UY
Sat 11/25 North Texas vs UAB-3.072.5W 45 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA.3149%33.246%3.4117653%3004.28.1636%30.134%38%3.1862.61.41.7
UNT.2341%33.540%2.9719842%2624.46.2847%34.250%44%4.2441.41.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Offense1433.222.249.3%4.281.4264761763004.548%52%46%53%14%.31
UNT Defense1434.22647.2%4.241.4 - - - - - 51%48%50%44%13%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTSA Defense1430.139.835.8%3.181.7 - - - - - 48%51%34%38%21%.16
UNT Offense1433.533.240.6%4.461.6224601982625.253%46%40%42%14%.23

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UTSA1429:4425.949%48%7.162.61.41.76.41.8230.6
North Texas1427:2121.743%61%5.241.41.61.43.91.9226.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense1448%46%38.8175.64.528.213.4175%9%0.99
UNT Defense1451%50% - - - - .283.6471%8%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense1448%34% - - - - .12.6567%12%1.24
UNT Offense1453%40%38.3197.95.224.172.9769%6%1.11

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense1452%53%24.435.9300.48.412.3349.441.527%38%.496%2
UNT Defense1448%44% - - - - - - 8.291.627%33%.46%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense1451%38% - - - - - - 15.251.736%28%.318%2.3
UNT Offense1446%42%17.230.7261.98.515.23416.361.930%36%.538%2.3

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 1.44 #55
UTSA's Offense Rating: 18.48 #51
UTSA's Defense Rating: 7.49 #43
2023 Talent Rating: 420.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UTSA's 2023 Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40
UTSA's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.2 #49
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 1.44   North Texas: -3.695

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 4.2   North Texas: -7.2




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -3.695 #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
North Texas's Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
2023 Talent Rating: 446.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
North Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
North Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


UTSA Scoring
Offense: 33.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.2
Defense: 30.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 39.8

UTSA's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UTSA 37
North Texas 30


Projected Total Points: 66
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.2
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/15UTSA48North Texas27UTSAUTSA -1UTSA73.0Over
202311/04North Texas29UTSA37UTSAUT San Antonio -7.5UTSA71.0Under
202212/02UTSA48North Texas27UTSAUT San Antonio -8.5UTSA70.0Over
202210/22UTSA31North Texas27UTSAUT San Antonio -10North Texas73.0Under
202111/27North Texas45UTSA23North TexasUT San Antonio -8.5North Texas60.0Over
202011/28UTSA49North Texas17UTSAUT San Antonio -1.5UTSA67.0Under
201909/21North Texas45UTSA3North TexasNorth Texas -17.5North Texas57.0Under
201811/24UTSA21North Texas24North TexasNorth Texas -25UTSA51.5Under
201710/14North Texas29UTSA26North TexasUT San Antonio -2.5North Texas58.5Under
201610/29UTSA31North Texas17UTSAUT San Antonio -4UTSA51.0Under
201510/31North Texas30UTSA23North TexasUT San Antonio -12North Texas54.5Under
201411/29UTSA34North Texas27UTSAUT San Antonio -6UTSA0
201311/23North Texas13UTSA21UTSANorth Texas -7UTSA0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas553 Overs
UTSA888 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 310 - 36 - 24 - 1
Road Teams3 - 103 - 101 - 42 - 6

(#55) UTSA Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.44 #55
Offense Rating: 18.48 #51
Defense Rating: 7.49 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.2 #49
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 420.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40

Team Profile






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UTSA     Ratings Matchup     North Texas
Power #55
#90
Off #51
#27
Def #43
#131
Talent #109
#102
SP+ #49
#88
SP+ Off #42
#30
SP+ Def #75
#133

Rematch from Week 10
UTSA 7.5 (71.0)
UTSA won at North Texas this year (37-29)

Previous Matchups
UTSA beat North Texas last year (48-27)
UTSA beat North Texas in 2023 (37-29)
UTSA beat North Texas in 2022 (31-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 74° - Wind: 17 mph


Team Information
Injuries: UTSA | UNT
Depth Chart: UTSA | UNT
Rosters: UTSA | UNT
(#90) North Texas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.695 #90
Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133
Talent Rating: 446.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10

Team Profile






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UTSA's OC Justin Burke
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Eddie Lee Marburger224055%234235.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Robert Henry13070675.488
Eddie Lee Marburger93303.79
Chris Carpenter42205.514
Oscar Cardenas1000.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Carpenter39479112.369
Robert Henry2119919.561
Oscar Cardenas13141310.835

View UTSA's Full Roster
UTSA's DC Jess Loepp
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elliott Davison (Tr)580004
Jamal Ligon467343
Donyai Taylor406243
Trey Moore3611761
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Moore3611761
Brandon Brown299410
Jamal Ligon467343
Donyai Taylor406243
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zah Frazier241019
Elliott Davison (Tr)580004
Dywan Griffin40003

North Texas's OC Jordan Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Stone Earle6512054%673725.6
Chandler Rogers (Tr)122548%117004.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Johnson116578115.060
Oscar Adaway III7729533.836
Stone Earle5720703.616
Chandler Rogers (Tr)298613.025
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Damon Ward Jr.41755418.457
Blair Conwright (Tr)40542713.696
Trey Cleveland (Tr)3431719.337
Jay Maclin13313424.183

View North Texas's Full Roster
North Texas's DC Matt Caponi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Smith10680122
Jordan Brown794120
Ridge Texada442007
Sifa Leota426411
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Roderick Brown296530
Sifa Leota426411
Viczaril Alobwede (Tr)82200
Jordan Brown794120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ridge Texada442007
Logan Wilson202004
Jaylen Smith10680122