North Texas at Navy Game Matchup

North Texas Mean Green at Navy Midshipmen

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Navy -6.5 (60.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Navy 27 - North Texas: 24 (American Athletic)

Mean Green (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Eric Morris (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 34 - 34 (35 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 16.3 MPH
NAVY 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: North Texas -3 (SP+ UNT -6.5)
Projected Score: UNT: 33 - NAVY: 30 (61)
NAVY Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
UNT Travel: 1217 miles, 1 hrs behind

Midshipmen (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Brian Newberry (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (39 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNT Players
NAVY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Texas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	North Texas vs California	+5.0	53.5	L 21 - 58	O	N
Sat 9/9	North Texas at Florida International	-10.5	51.5	L 39 - 46	O	N
Sat 9/16	North Texas at Louisiana Tech	+4.5	66.5	W 40 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	North Texas vs Abilene Christian	-15.5	70.5	W 45 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/7	North Texas at Navy	+6.5	60.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/14	North Texas vs Temple	-8.0	65.5	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/21	North Texas at Tulane	+20.0	63.5	L 28 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/28	North Texas vs Memphis	+6.5	70.0	L 42 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/4	North Texas vs UTSA	+7.5	71.0	L 29 - 37	U	N
Fri 11/10	North Texas at SMU	+21.5	67.5	L 21 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/18	North Texas at Tulsa	-1.5	69.5	W 35 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/25	North Texas vs UAB	-3.0	72.5	W 45 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Navy's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Navy vs Notre Dame	+20.5	49.0	L 3 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/9	Navy vs Wagner	-43.5	49.0	W 24 - 0	U	N
Thu 9/14	Navy at Memphis	+12.5	47.0	L 24 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	Navy vs South Florida	-4.0	54.0	L 30 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/7	Navy vs North Texas	-6.5	60.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/14	Navy at Charlotte	-3.5	44.0	W 14 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Navy vs Air Force	+11.0	34.0	L 6 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Navy at Temple	-7.0	46.0	L 18 - 32	O	N
Sat 11/11	Navy vs UAB	+3.5	52.5	W 31 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Navy vs East Carolina	-2.5	30.5	W 10 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Navy at SMU	+20.0	46.0	L 14 - 59	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9	Navy vs Army	+2.0	28.0	L 11 - 17	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT	.23	41%	33.5	40%	2.97	198	42%	262	4.46	.28	47%	34.2	50%	44%	4.24	41.4	1.6	1.4
NAVY	.15	37%	31.3	39%	2.99	241	29%	86	3.56	.24	39%	22.2	34%	43%	3.72	31.3	1.3	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NAVY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Offense	14	33.5	34.8	40.6%	4.46	1.6	22	460	198	262	5.2	53%	46%	40%	42%	14%	.23
NAVY Defense	12	22.2	25.6	38.6%	3.72	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	34%	43%	25%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Defense	14	34.2	43	47.2%	4.24	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	50%	44%	13%	.28
NAVY Offense	12	31.3	38.8	36.7%	3.56	1.3	18	327	241	86	4.1	82%	17%	39%	29%	14%	.15

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Texas	14	27:21	21.7	43%	61%	5.2	41.4	1.6	1.4	3.9	1.9	2	26.3
Navy	12	34:37	17.6	38%	62%	3.8	31.3	1.3	1.7	6.1	2.8	0	28.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Offense	14	53%	40%	38.3	197.9	5.2	24	.17	2.97	69%	6%	1.11
NAVY Defense	12	50%	34%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.6	69%	17%	1.03

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Defense	14	51%	50%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.64	71%	8%	0.97
NAVY Offense	12	82%	39%	59	241.2	4.1	22	.16	2.99	75%	12%	1.15

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Offense	14	46%	42%	17.2	30.7	261.9	8.5	15.2	34	16	.36	1.9	30%	36%	.53	8%	2.3
NAVY Defense	12	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.5	1.9	36%	32%	.47	8%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Defense	14	48%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.29	1.6	27%	33%	.4	6%	1.9
NAVY Offense	12	17%	29%	4.5	10.5	85.8	8.2	19.1	9	6	.2	2.6	33%	27%	.32	3%	2.1

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -5.19 #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
North Texas's Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
2023 Talent Rating: 446.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
North Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
North Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -5.19 Navy: -9.22

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -7.2 Navy: -13.9

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -9.22 #116
Navy's Offense Rating: 8.74 #126
Navy's Defense Rating: 5.60 #30
2023 Talent Rating: 504.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Navy's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Navy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #114
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #124
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.8
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 43

North Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
North Texas 33
Navy 30

Projected Total Points: 61

Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Navy's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/07	Navy	27	North Texas	24	Navy	Navy -6.5	North Texas	60.5	Under
2007	11/10	North Texas	62	Navy	74	Navy

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Navy	2	0	0 Overs
North Texas	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#90) North Texas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.19 #90
Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133
Talent Rating: 446.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10

Team Profile

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North Texas Ratings Matchup Navy

Power #90

#116

Off #27

#126

Def #131

#30

Talent #102

#88

SP+ #88

#114

SP+ Off #30

#124

SP+ Def #133

#72

Rematch from Week 6
Navy -6.5 (60.5)
Navy won vs North Texas this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat North Texas in 2023 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 68° - Wind: 16 mph

Team Information
Injuries: UNT | NAVY
Depth Chart: UNT | NAVY
Rosters: UNT | NAVY

(#116) Navy Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.22 #116
Offense Rating: 8.74 #126
Defense Rating: 5.60 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 504.00 #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80

Team Profile

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North Texas's OC Jordan Davis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Stone Earle	65	120	54%	673	7	2	5.6
Chandler Rogers (Tr)	12	25	48%	117	0	0	4.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaiah Johnson	116	578	11	5.0	60
Oscar Adaway III	77	295	3	3.8	36
Stone Earle	57	207	0	3.6	16
Chandler Rogers (Tr)	29	86	1	3.0	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damon Ward Jr.	41	755	4	18.4	57
Blair Conwright (Tr)	40	542	7	13.6	96
Trey Cleveland (Tr)	34	317	1	9.3	37
Jay Maclin	13	313	4	24.1	83

View North Texas's Full Roster

North Texas's DC Matt Caponi

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylen Smith	106	8	0	12	2
Jordan Brown	79	4	1	2	0
Ridge Texada	44	2	0	0	7
Sifa Leota	42	6	4	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Roderick Brown	29	6	5	3	0
Sifa Leota	42	6	4	1	1
Viczaril Alobwede (Tr)	8	2	2	0	0
Jordan Brown	79	4	1	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ridge Texada	44	2	0	7
Logan Wilson	20	2	0	4
Jaylen Smith	106	8	12	2

Navy's OC Grant Chesnut

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daba Fofana	60	263	2	4.4	49
Amin Hassan	14	46	0	3.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	YPC	LONG
Amin Hassan	3	34	11.3	23
Thomas Scully	1	20	20.0	20
Daba Fofana	1	3	3.0	3

View Navy's Full Roster

Navy's DC P.J. Volker

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Colin Ramos	129	9	3	4	2
Kyle Jacob	102	5	1	2	2
Rayuan Lane	70	1	0	0	4
Mbiti Williams Jr.	59	0	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Reed	49	11	6	4	1
Colin Ramos	129	9	3	4	2
Dashaun Peele	45	4	2	0	5
Kyle Jacob	102	5	1	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elias Larry	38	3	0	1	9
Dashaun Peele	45	4	2	0	5
Rayuan Lane	70	1	0	0	4