North Texas at Florida International

North Texas at Florida International - 2023 Matchup Preview

North Texas Mean Green at Florida International Golden Panthers

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (6:30 PM EDT)
North Texas -10.5 (51.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida International 46 - North Texas: 39

Mean Green (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Eric Morris (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 35 - 37 (31 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FIU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: North Texas -6 (SP+ UNT -13.5)
Projected Score: UNT: 30 - FIU: 24 (55)
UNT Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
UNT Travel: 1131 miles, 1 hrs behind

Golden Panthers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike MacIntyre (7 - 9)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (21 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNT Players
FIU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Texas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	North Texas vs California	+5.0	53.5	L 21 - 58	O	N
Sat 9/9	North Texas at Florida International	-10.5	51.5	L 39 - 46	O	N
Sat 9/16	North Texas at Louisiana Tech	+4.5	66.5	W 40 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	North Texas vs Abilene Christian	-15.5	70.5	W 45 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/7	North Texas at Navy	+6.5	60.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/14	North Texas vs Temple	-8.0	65.5	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/21	North Texas at Tulane	+20.0	63.5	L 28 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/28	North Texas vs Memphis	+6.5	70.0	L 42 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/4	North Texas vs UTSA	+7.5	71.0	L 29 - 37	U	N
Fri 11/10	North Texas at SMU	+21.5	67.5	L 21 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/18	North Texas at Tulsa	-1.5	69.5	W 35 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/25	North Texas vs UAB	-3.0	72.5	W 45 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Florida International's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Florida International at Louisiana Tech	+12.0	57.5	L 17 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/2	Florida International vs Maine	-15.0	46.0	W 14 - 12	U	N
Sat 9/9	Florida International vs North Texas	+10.5	51.5	W 46 - 39	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Florida International at UConn	+7.0	43.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Florida International vs Liberty	+10.0	54.0	L 6 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/4	Florida International at New Mexico State	+6.5	49.5	L 17 - 34	O	N
Wed 10/11	Florida International vs UTEP	+1.5	44.0	L 14 - 27	U	N
Wed 10/18	Florida International at Sam Houston	+6.0	42.0	W 33 - 27	O	Y
Wed 10/25	Florida International vs Jacksonville State	+9.0	48.0	L 16 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11	Florida International at Middle Tennessee	+10.5	50.5	L 6 - 40	U	N
Sat 11/18	Florida International at Arkansas	+27.5	49.5	L 20 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Florida International vs Western Kentucky	+11.5	54.0	L 28 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT	#28 (.28)	45% (42)	34.5	46% (37)	3.4 (12)	191	44% (42)	305	4.42 (28)	#132 (.34)	48% (131)	37.1	51% (129)	46% (120)	4.77 (130)	46.6	1.6	1.2
FIU	#117 (.09)	37% (120)	20.1	40% (104)	2.67 (126)	90	35% (119)	230	3.21 (113)	#84 (.2)	40% (46)	31.8	40% (39)	42% (73)	3.34 (26)	50.6	1.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT	#45 (.23)	42% (70)		40% (109)	2.75 (111)	153	44% (39)	298	3.91 (69)	#98 (.22)	44% (98)		47% (106)	42% (79)	4.03 (93)	52.5	1.5	1.1
FIU	#101 (.13)	39% (111)		37% (125)	2.48 (130)	122	42% (64)	229	4.44 (21)	#37 (.12)	41% (62)		44% (81)	37% (30)	3.49 (39)	47.4	1.6	1.3

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Offense	12	34.5	31.2	44.7%	4.42	1.6	25	496	191	305	5.1	45%	54%	46%	44%	17%	.28
FIU Defense	12	31.8	33	40.4%	3.34	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	42%	12%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Defense	12	37.1	36.3	48.5%	4.77	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	51%	46%	11%	.34
FIU Offense	12	20.1	20.7	36.8%	3.21	1.8	15	320	90	230	2.9	44%	55%	40%	35%	20%	.09

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Texas	12	29:12	24.8	42%	60%	4.8	46.6	1.6	1.2	4	1.4	0	27.6
Florida International	12	27:16	15.3	28%	48%	5.8	50.6	1.8	1	5.1	1	1	25.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Offense	12	45% (105)	46% (37)	37.4	191.2	5.1	19 (69)	.3 (7)	3.4 (12)	78% (28)	10% (71)	1.22 (1)
FIU Defense	12	51% (90)	40% (39)	-	-	-	-	.1 (39)	3.08 (64)	90% (131)	9% (91)	1.03 (89)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Defense	12	60% (133)	51% (129)	-	-	-	-	.36 (132)	3.49 (129)	74% (77)	7% (133)	1.15 (120)
FIU Offense	12	44% (106)	40% (104)	31.7	90.3	2.9	17 (81)	.05 (119)	2.67 (126)	69% (99)	13% (125)	1.05 (40)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Offense	12	54% (29)	44% (42)	23.7	38.6	304.8	7.9	12.9	33 (11)	9 (40)	.3 (63)	1.7 (43)	33% (89)	35% (26)	.49 (20)	7% (96)	2.3 (11)
FIU Defense	12	48% (45)	42% (73)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.36 (110)	1.8 (119)	35% (31)	29% (47)	.29 (56)	3% (133)	2.2 (119)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Defense	12	39% (1)	46% (120)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.38 (115)	1.6 (62)	25% (132)	34% (116)	.44 (120)	5% (118)	2.1 (68)
FIU Offense	12	55% (28)	35% (119)	18.3	31.9	230	7.2	12.6	12 (113)	12 (85)	.17 (102)	1.6 (69)	35% (115)	24% (121)	.24 (95)	6% (78)	2 (86)

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -5.19 #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
North Texas's Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
North Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
North Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -5.19 Florida International: -12.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -7.2 Florida International: -20.9

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -12.385 #114
Florida International's Offense Rating: 11.13 #117
Florida International's Defense Rating: 10.84 #84
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Florida International's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Florida International's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.9 #127
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #119

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 37.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

North Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
North Texas 30
Florida International 24

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida International 31
North Texas 24

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
North Texas 33
Florida International 29

Total Points: 62

Florida International Scoring
Offense: 20.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.7
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

Florida International's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Florida International	46	North Texas	39	North Texas -10.5	Florida International	51.5	Over
2022	11/05	North Texas	52	Florida International	14	North Texas -21	North Texas	63.5	Over
2021	11/20	Florida International	7	North Texas	49	North Texas -10	North Texas	57.0	Under
2014	11/22	North Texas	17	Florida International	14	North Texas -2	North Texas	0
2011	09/01	Florida International	41	North Texas	16
2010	10/16	North Texas	10	Florida International	34
2009	11/14	Florida International	35	North Texas	28
2008	10/04	North Texas	10	Florida International	42
2007	12/01	Florida International	38	North Texas	19
2006	10/07	North Texas	25	Florida International	22
2005	10/15	Florida International	10	North Texas	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida International	6	1	2 Overs
North Texas	5	3	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 4	3 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 7	1 - 3	1 - 1	0 - 2

(#90) UNT at (#114) FIU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNT	FIU
Power RatePwr	#90	#114
SP+SP+	#88	#127
Perf GradeGrade	#59	#122
OffenseOff	#35	#118
DefenseDef	#112	#103
Spec TeamsST	#19	#84
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

North Texas Injury Report

Florida International Injury Report

North Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	UNT Off	FIU Def
Perf GradePerf	#35	#103
SuccessSuc	#42	#46
ExplosiveExp	#5	#114
PPAPPA	#28	#84
PowerPwr	#27	#84
SP+SP+	#30	#119
Pts POPPO	#28	#26
HavocHav	#86	#129

North Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	FIU Def
Run GameRun	#50	#101
Run SuccessRSuc	#37	#39
Run ExplRExp	#1	#89
PPAExp	#7	#39
Run BlockR Blk	#46	-
OL YdsOLY	#12	#64
Stuff RateStuff	#60	#57
TackleTak	-	#103

North Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	FIU Def
Pass GamePass	#12	#76
Pass SuccessPSuc	#42	#73
Pass ExplPExl	#43	#119
PPAExp	#63	#110
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#103	#99
F7 HavocF7	#71	#91
DB HavocDB	#96	#133

Florida International on Offense


CategoryCat	FIU Off	UNT Def
Perf GradePerf	#118	#112
SuccessSuc	#120	#131
ExplosiveExp	#46	#81
PPAPPA	#117	#132
PowerPwr	#117	#131
SP+SP+	#120	#133
Pts POPPO	#113	#130
HavocHav	#118	#132

Florida International Run Game


CategoryCat	FIU Off	UNT Def
Run GameRun	#119	#116
Run SuccessRSuc	#104	#129
Run ExplRExp	#40	#120
PPAExp	#119	#132
Run BlockR Blk	#126	-
OL YdsOLY	#126	#129
Stuff RateStuff	#128	#107
TackleTak	-	#102

Florida International Pass Game


CategoryCat	FIU Off	UNT Def
Pass GamePass	#111	#101
Pass SuccessPSuc	#119	#120
Pass ExplPExl	#69	#62
PPAExp	#102	#115
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#114	#86
F7 HavocF7	#125	#133
DB HavocDB	#78	#118

Program Comparison
FIU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UNT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in FIU Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 85° - Wind: 6 mph
Rain: 0.004

Rematch from Week 2
North Texas 10.5 (51.5)
Florida International won vs North Texas this year (46-39)

Previous Matchups
Florida International beat North Texas in 2023 (46-39)
North Texas beat Florida International in 2022 (52-14)

UNT's OC Jordan Davis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chandler Rogers (Tr)	262	422	62%	3383	29	5	8.0
Stone Earle	22	40	55%	274	4	4	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ayo Adeyi	143	1017	6	7.1	47
Oscar Adaway III	123	738	6	6.0	77
Isaiah Johnson	37	229	3	6.2	28
Chandler Rogers (Tr)	109	180	4	1.7	75

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jay Maclin	57	1004	11	17.6	80
Damon Ward Jr.	39	487	5	12.5	59
Roderic Burns	41	467	4	11.4	42
Trey Cleveland (Tr)	27	415	3	15.4	33

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Matt Caponi (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Brown	77	5	4	5	0
Patrick Smith	70	0	0	0	1
Ethan Wesloski	59	7	2	2	0
Logan Wilson	53	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Brown	77	5	4	5	0
Mazin Richards	44	11	3	10	0
Kevin Wood	37	3	2	1	1
Kadron Johnson	5	2	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ridge Texada	33	3	2	7
Evan Jackson	27	0	0	3
Brian Nelson II	6	0	0	3

FIU's OC David Yost (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Keyone Jenkins	194	332	58%	2422	11	11	7.3
Grayson James	19	37	51%	218	1	1	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Shomari Lawrence (Tr)	125	566	4	4.5	67
Kejon Owens	80	453	5	5.7	47
Keyone Jenkins	117	50	6	0.4	23
Antonio Patterson	14	33	1	2.4	11

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kris Mitchell	64	1118	7	17.5	80
Dean Patterson	28	423	1	15.1	40
Eric Rivers (Tr)	32	343	2	10.7	48
Jalen Bracey	31	316	1	10.2	45

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan Manuel	98	12	0	1	2
Reggie Peterson	89	7	3	1	0
D'Verick Daniel	57	2	0	0	1
Jamal Potts	53	5	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alex Nobles	35	8	3	5	0
Reggie Peterson	89	7	3	1	0
Jeramy Passmore	23	4	2	2	0
Jack Daly	20	3	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hezekiah Masses	33	0	0	0	4
Donovan Manuel	98	12	0	1	2
Jamal Potts	53	5	1	0	2