North Texas at Florida International - 2023 Matchup Preview
North Texas logo North Texas Mean Green at Florida International Golden PanthersFlorida International logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (6:30 PM EDT)
North Texas -10.5 (51.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Florida International 46 - North Texas: 39

 
Mean Green (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Eric Morris (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 35 - 37 (31 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FIU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: North Texas -6   (SP+ UNT -13.5)

Projected Score: UNT: 31 - FIU: 25 (57)
UNT Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
UNT Travel: 1131 miles, 1 hrs behind
Golden Panthers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike MacIntyre (7 - 9)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (21 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Texas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 North Texas vs California+5.053.5L 21 - 58ON
Sat 9/9 North Texas at Florida International-10.551.5L 39 - 46ON
Sat 9/16 North Texas at Louisiana Tech+4.566.5W 40 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 North Texas vs Abilene Christian-15.570.5W 45 - 31ON
Sat 10/7 North Texas at Navy+6.560.5L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/14 North Texas vs Temple-8.065.5W 45 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 North Texas at Tulane+20.063.5L 28 - 35UY
Sat 10/28 North Texas vs Memphis+6.570.0L 42 - 45OY
Sat 11/4 North Texas vs UTSA+7.571.0L 29 - 37UN
Fri 11/10 North Texas at SMU+21.567.5L 21 - 45UN
Sat 11/18 North Texas at Tulsa-1.569.5W 35 - 28UY
Sat 11/25 North Texas vs UAB-3.072.5W 45 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Florida International's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Florida International at Louisiana Tech+12.057.5L 17 - 22UY
Sat 9/2 Florida International vs Maine-15.046.0W 14 - 12UN
Sat 9/9 Florida International vs North Texas+10.551.5W 46 - 39OY
Sat 9/16 Florida International at UConn+7.043.0W 24 - 17UY
Sat 9/23 Florida International vs Liberty+10.054.0L 6 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/4 Florida International at New Mexico State+6.549.5L 17 - 34ON
Wed 10/11 Florida International vs UTEP+1.544.0L 14 - 27UN
Wed 10/18 Florida International at Sam Houston+6.042.0W 33 - 27OY
Wed 10/25 Florida International vs Jacksonville State+9.048.0L 16 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11 Florida International at Middle Tennessee+10.550.5L 6 - 40UN
Sat 11/18 Florida International at Arkansas+27.549.5L 20 - 44OY
Sat 11/25 Florida International vs Western Kentucky+11.554.0L 28 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT#28 (.28)45% (42)34.546% (37)3.4 (12)19144% (42)3054.42 (28)#132 (.34)48% (131)37.151% (129)46% (120)4.77 (130)46.61.61.2
FIU#117 (.09)37% (120)20.140% (104)2.67 (126)9035% (119)2303.21 (113)#84 (.2)40% (46)31.840% (39)42% (73)3.34 (26)50.61.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)40% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)47% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)37% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)44% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Offense1234.531.244.7%4.421.6254961913055.145%54%46%44%17%.28
FIU Defense1231.83340.4%3.341 - - - - - 51%48%40%42%12%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Defense1237.136.348.5%4.771.2 - - - - - 60%39%51%46%11%.34
FIU Offense1220.120.736.8%3.211.815320902302.944%55%40%35%20%.09

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Texas1229:1224.842%60%4.846.61.61.241.4027.6
Florida International1227:1615.328%48%5.850.61.815.11125.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Offense1245% (105)46% (37)37.4191.25.119 (69).3 (7)3.4 (12)78% (28)10% (71)1.22 (1)
FIU Defense1251% (90)40% (39) - - - - .1 (39)3.08 (64)90% (131)9% (91)1.03 (89)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Defense1260% (133)51% (129) - - - - .36 (132)3.49 (129)74% (77)7% (133)1.15 (120)
FIU Offense1244% (106)40% (104)31.790.32.917 (81).05 (119)2.67 (126)69% (99)13% (125)1.05 (40)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Offense1254% (29)44% (42)23.738.6304.87.912.933 (11)9 (40).3 (63)1.7 (43)33% (89)35% (26).49 (20)7% (96)2.3 (11)
FIU Defense1248% (45)42% (73) - - - - - - 6 (120).36 (110)1.8 (119)35% (31)29% (47).29 (56)3% (133)2.2 (119)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Defense1239% (1)46% (120) - - - - - - 10 (67).38 (115)1.6 (62)25% (132)34% (116).44 (120)5% (118)2.1 (68)
FIU Offense1255% (28)35% (119)18.331.92307.212.612 (113)12 (85).17 (102)1.6 (69)35% (115)24% (121).24 (95)6% (78)2 (86)

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -5.19 #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
North Texas's Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
North Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
North Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -5.19   Florida International: -12.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -7.2   Florida International: -20.9




Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -12.385 #114
Florida International's Offense Rating: 11.13 #117
Florida International's Defense Rating: 10.84 #84
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Florida International's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Florida International's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.9 #127
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #119

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


North Texas Scoring
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 37.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

North Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 31
Florida International 25


Total Points: 57

Florida International Scoring
Offense: 20.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.7
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

Florida International's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Florida International46North Texas39Florida InternationalNorth Texas -10.5Florida International51.5Over
202211/05North Texas52Florida International14North TexasNorth Texas -21North Texas63.5Over
202111/20Florida International7North Texas49North TexasNorth Texas -10North Texas57.0Under
201411/22North Texas17Florida International14North TexasNorth Texas -2North Texas0
201109/01Florida International41North Texas16Florida International
201010/16North Texas10Florida International34Florida International
200911/14Florida International35North Texas28Florida International
200810/04North Texas10Florida International42Florida International
200712/01Florida International38North Texas19Florida International
200610/07North Texas25Florida International22North Texas
200510/15Florida International10North Texas13North Texas
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida International612 Overs
North Texas531 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 43 - 12 - 01 - 1
Road Teams4 - 71 - 31 - 10 - 2

(#90) North Texas Info
Power Rating: -5.19 #90
Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10


North Texas has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

North Texas Highlights
North Texas offense is explosive (#20)
North Texas has a top Offensive Line (#28)
North Texas offense is good in red zone (#6)
North Texas commits very few Penalties (#59)

North Texas Deficiencies
North Texas Fumbles a Lot (#42)
North Texas Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
North Texas does not Sack the QB (#47)
North Texas has a bad defense (#26)
North Texas Does Not Stuff Runs (#82)
North Texas has a bad defensive line (#38)
North Texas has a bad red zone defense (#23)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatFIUUNT
OverallOver#101#48
OffenseOff#101#32
DefenseDef#79#85
Special TeamsST#67#19
PassingPass#94#11
RushingRush#85#35
Run BlockRBLK#95#36
Pass BlockPBLK#98#87
Route RunningWR Rt#65#49
TacklingTkl#89#88
Run DefenseR Def#86#98
Pass Rush DefPRush#76#68
Coverage DefCov#61#82

Rematch from Week 2
North Texas 10.5 (51.5)
Florida International won vs North Texas this year (46-39)

Previous Matchups
Florida International beat North Texas in 2023 (46-39)
North Texas beat Florida International in 2022 (52-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in FIU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNT | FIU
Depth Chart: UNT | FIU
Rosters: UNT | FIU
(#114) Florida International Info
Power Rating: -12.385 #114
Offense Rating: 11.13 #117
Defense Rating: 10.84 #84
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.9 #127
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #119
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80


Florida International has won 1 straight
Florida International has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Florida International Highlights
Florida International defense is really good in red zone (#31)

Florida International Deficiencies
Florida International has a really bad Offense
Florida International has a really bad Offense at Home
Florida International Can Not Run the Ball (#36)
Florida International offense is really bad (#81)
Florida International Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#74)
Florida International offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#57)
Florida International run game is really bad (#51)
Florida International pass game is really bad (#105)
Florida International offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Florida International Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Florida International Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Florida International does not Sack the QB (#64)
Florida International gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#106)


  
North Texas's OC Jordan Davis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Rogers (Tr)26242262%33832958.0
Stone Earle224055%274446.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ayo Adeyi143101767.147
Oscar Adaway III12373866.077
Isaiah Johnson3722936.228
Chandler Rogers (Tr)10918041.775
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jay Maclin5710041117.680
Damon Ward Jr.39487512.559
Roderic Burns41467411.442
Trey Cleveland (Tr)27415315.433

View North Texas's Full Roster
North Texas's DC Matt Caponi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Brown775450
Patrick Smith700001
Ethan Wesloski597220
Logan Wilson531003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Brown775450
Mazin Richards44113100
Kevin Wood373211
Kadron Johnson52220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ridge Texada333027
Evan Jackson270003
Brian Nelson II60003

Florida International's OC David Yost
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins19433258%242211117.3
Grayson James193751%218115.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Shomari Lawrence (Tr)12556644.567
Kejon Owens8045355.747
Keyone Jenkins1175060.423
Antonio Patterson143312.411
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kris Mitchell641118717.580
Dean Patterson28423115.140
Eric Rivers (Tr)32343210.748
Jalen Bracey31316110.245

View Florida International's Full Roster
Florida International's DC Jovan Dewitt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan Manuel9812012
Reggie Peterson897310
D'Verick Daniel572001
Jamal Potts535102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex Nobles358350
Reggie Peterson897310
Jeramy Passmore234220
Jack Daly203231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hezekiah Masses330004
Donovan Manuel9812012
Jamal Potts535102