North Texas at Florida International - 2023 Matchup Preview
North Texas logo   North Texas Mean Green at Florida International Golden Panthers  Florida International logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (6:30 PM EDT)
North Texas -10.5 (51.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Florida International 46 - North Texas: 39

 
Mean Green (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Eric Morris (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (44 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FIU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: North Texas -6  (SP+ UNT -13.5)
Projected Score: UNT: 32 - FIU: 26 (59)
UNT Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
UNT Travel: 1131 miles, 1 hrs behind
Golden Panthers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike MacIntyre (7 - 9)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Texas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 North Texas vs California+5.053.5L 21 - 58ON
Sat 9/9 North Texas at Florida International-10.551.5L 39 - 46ON
Sat 9/16 North Texas at Louisiana Tech+4.566.5W 40 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 North Texas vs Abilene Christian-15.570.5W 45 - 31ON
Sat 10/7 North Texas at Navy+6.560.5L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/14 North Texas vs Temple-8.065.5W 45 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 North Texas at Tulane+20.063.5L 28 - 35UY
Sat 10/28 North Texas vs Memphis+6.570.0L 42 - 45OY
Sat 11/4 North Texas vs UTSA+7.571.0L 29 - 37UN
Fri 11/10 North Texas at SMU+21.567.5L 21 - 45UN
Sat 11/18 North Texas at Tulsa-1.569.5W 35 - 28UY
Sat 11/25 North Texas vs UAB-3.072.5W 45 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Florida International's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Florida International at Louisiana Tech+12.057.5L 17 - 22UY
Sat 9/2 Florida International vs Maine-15.046.0W 14 - 12UN
Sat 9/9 Florida International vs North Texas+10.551.5W 46 - 39OY
Sat 9/16 Florida International at UConn+7.043.0W 24 - 17UY
Sat 9/23 Florida International vs Liberty+10.054.0L 6 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/4 Florida International at New Mexico State+6.549.5L 17 - 34ON
Wed 10/11 Florida International vs UTEP+1.544.0L 14 - 27UN
Wed 10/18 Florida International at Sam Houston+6.042.0W 33 - 27OY
Wed 10/25 Florida International vs Jacksonville State+9.048.0L 16 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11 Florida International at Middle Tennessee+10.550.5L 6 - 40UN
Sat 11/18 Florida International at Arkansas+27.549.5L 20 - 44OY
Sat 11/25 Florida International vs Western Kentucky+11.554.0L 28 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT.2341%45.140%2.9719842%2624.46.2847%26.550%44%4.2441.41.61.4
FIU.139%28.540%2.8610439%2193.06.2847%3049%46%4.1653.31.71.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Offense1445.143.740.6%4.461.6224601982625.253%46%40%42%14%.23
FIU Defense12302847.4%4.161.6 - - - - - 51%49%49%46%14%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Defense1426.528.347.2%4.241.4 - - - - - 51%48%50%44%13%.28
FIU Offense1228.530.538.7%3.061.7183231042193.539%59%40%39%18%.1

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Texas1427:2121.743%61%5.241.41.61.43.91.9226.3
Florida International1227:091829%46%6.253.31.71.65.41.8128.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Offense1453%40%38.3197.95.224.172.9769%6%1.11
FIU Defense1251%49% - - - - .253.2576%9%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Defense1451%50% - - - - .283.6471%8%0.97
FIU Offense1239%40%29.7104.23.511.132.8669%10%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Offense1446%42%17.230.7261.98.515.23416.361.930%36%.538%2.3
FIU Defense1249%46% - - - - - - 7.371.630%36%.545%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Defense1448%44% - - - - - - 8.291.627%33%.46%1.9
FIU Offense1259%39%22.639218.85.69.71616.151.537%29%.229%2

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -5.19  #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 21.84  #27
North Texas's Defense Rating: 19.31  #131
2023 Talent Rating: 474.38  #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
North Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
North Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2  #88
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7  #30
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6  #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -5.19   Florida International: -12.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -7.2   Florida International: -20.9




Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -12.385  #114
Florida International's Offense Rating: 11.13  #117
Florida International's Defense Rating: 10.84  #84
2023 Talent Rating: 487.50  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Florida International's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Florida International's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.9  #127
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2  #120
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5  #119

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 303.49
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 43.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

North Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 32
Florida International 26

Projected Total Points: 59
Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense at Home: 28

Florida International's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Florida International46North Texas39North Texas -10.5Florida International51.5Over
202211/05North Texas52Florida International14North Texas -21North Texas63.5Over
202111/20Florida International7North Texas49North Texas -10North Texas57.0Under
201411/22North Texas17Florida International14North Texas -2North Texas0
201109/01Florida International41North Texas16
201010/16North Texas10Florida International34
200911/14Florida International35North Texas28
200810/04North Texas10Florida International42
200712/01Florida International38North Texas19
200610/07North Texas25Florida International22
200510/15Florida International10North Texas13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida International612 Overs
North Texas531 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 43 - 12 - 01 - 1
Road Teams4 - 71 - 31 - 10 - 2

(#90) UNT at (#114) FIU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNTFIU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #90 #114
SP+SP+ #88 #127
Perf GradeGrade #59 #122
OffenseOff #35 #118
DefenseDef #112 #103
Spec TeamsST #19 #84
TalentTal #97 #91
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
North Texas on Offense
CategoryCat
UNT OffFIU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #35 #103
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #27 #84
SP+SP+ #30 #119
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Texas Run Game
CategoryCat
UNT OffFIU Def
Run GameRun #50 #101
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #46 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #103
North Texas Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNT OffFIU Def
Pass GamePass #12 #76
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #103 #99
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida International on Offense
CategoryCatFIU OffUNT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #118 #112
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #117 #131
SP+SP+ #120 #133
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida International Run Game
CategoryCat
FIU OffUNT Def
Run GameRun #119 #116
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #126 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #102
Florida International Pass Game
CategoryCatFIU OffUNT Def
Pass GamePass #111 #101
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #114 #86
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FIU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UNT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in FIU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
North Texas 10.5 (51.5)
Florida International won vs North Texas this year (46-39)

Previous Matchups
Florida International beat North Texas in 2023 (46-39)

  
UNT's OC Jordan Davis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Rogers (Tr)26242262%33832958.0
Stone Earle224055%274446.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ayo Adeyi143101767.147
Oscar Adaway III12373866.077
Isaiah Johnson3722936.228
Chandler Rogers (Tr)10918041.775
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jay Maclin5710041117.680
Damon Ward Jr.39487512.559
Roderic Burns41467411.442
Trey Cleveland (Tr)27415315.433

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Matt Caponi (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Brown775450
Patrick Smith700001
Ethan Wesloski597220
Logan Wilson531003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Brown775450
Mazin Richards44113100
Kevin Wood373211
Kadron Johnson52220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ridge Texada333027
Evan Jackson270003
Brian Nelson II60003

FIU's OC David Yost (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins19433258%242211117.3
Grayson James193751%218115.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Shomari Lawrence (Tr)12556644.567
Kejon Owens8045355.747
Keyone Jenkins1175060.423
Antonio Patterson143312.411
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kris Mitchell641118717.580
Dean Patterson28423115.140
Eric Rivers (Tr)32343210.748
Jalen Bracey31316110.245

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan Manuel9812012
Reggie Peterson897310
D'Verick Daniel572001
Jamal Potts535102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex Nobles358350
Reggie Peterson897310
Jeramy Passmore234220
Jack Daly203231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hezekiah Masses330004
Donovan Manuel9812012
Jamal Potts535102