Kansas at Nevada - 2023 Matchup Preview
Kansas logo Kansas Jayhawks at Nevada Wolf PackNevada logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (10:30 PM EDT)
Kansas -28.5 (58.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Kansas 31 - Nevada: 24

 
Jayhawks (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (23 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#32)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.4 MPH
NEV 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Kansas -25   (SP+ KU -31.5)
Projected Score: KU: 41 - NEV: 16 (54)
KU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
KU Travel: 1311 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Wolf Pack (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ken Wilson (2 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (28 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#129)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Kansas vs Missouri State-32.560.5W 48 - 17ON
Fri 9/8 Kansas vs Illinois-3.557.5W 34 - 23UY
Sat 9/16 Kansas at Nevada-28.558.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 9/23 Kansas vs BYU-9.055.5W 38 - 27OY
Sat 9/30 Kansas at Texas+15.561.0L 14 - 40UN
Sat 10/7 Kansas vs UCF+2.065.0W 51 - 22OY
Sat 10/14 Kansas at Oklahoma State-3.054.0L 32 - 39ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Kansas vs Oklahoma+7.066.5W 38 - 33OY
Sat 11/4 Kansas at Iowa State+2.553.0W 28 - 21UY
Sat 11/11 Kansas vs Texas Tech-3.561.5L 13 - 16UN
Sat 11/18 Kansas vs Kansas State+7.060.5L 27 - 31UY
Sat 11/25 Kansas at Cincinnati-7.559.5W 49 - 16OY
Tue 12/26 Kansas vs UNLV-8.064.5W 49 - 36OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
Nevada's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Nevada at USC+37.563.5L 14 - 66ON
Sat 9/9 Nevada vs Idaho+5.551.0L 6 - 33UN
Sat 9/16 Nevada vs Kansas+28.558.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 9/23 Nevada at Texas State+17.060.0L 24 - 35UY
Sat 9/30 Nevada at Fresno State+25.550.5L 9 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Nevada vs UNLV+7.551.5L 27 - 45ON
Sat 10/21 Nevada at San Diego State+11.048.5W 6 - 0UY
Sat 10/28 Nevada vs New Mexico+1.050.0W 34 - 24OY
Sat 11/4 Nevada vs Hawai'i-3.550.5L 14 - 27UN
Sat 11/11 Nevada at Utah State+14.554.5L 24 - 41ON
Sat 11/18 Nevada at Colorado State+12.545.5L 20 - 30OY
Sat 11/25 Nevada vs Wyoming+11.042.0L 6 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU.3445%29.742%3.1818449%2544.46.2847%2650%45%4.0146.51.51.8
NEV.0435%23.137%2.8911933%1862.85.2643%28.844%42%3.9755.11.41.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Offense1329.722.844.8%4.461.5204381842545.452%48%42%49%13%.34
NEV Defense1228.826.642.9%3.971.7 - - - - - 53%47%44%42%19%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Defense132629.547.4%4.011.8 - - - - - 54%45%50%45%12%.28
NEV Offense1223.127.634.8%2.851.4173051191863.347%52%37%33%23%.04

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas1328:5020.351%47%5.346.51.51.84.41.8129.9
Nevada1228:2916.935%50%655.11.41.76.32.2127.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Offense1352%42%34.3183.55.429.23.1874%8%1.11
NEV Defense1253%44% - - - - .193.4690%13%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Defense1354%50% - - - - .283.4977%7%0.98
NEV Offense1247%37%35.6118.93.319.012.8973%15%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Offense1348%49%18.628.5254.48.913.7328.531.831%39%.65%2.1
NEV Defense1247%42% - - - - - - 11.351.833%30%.446%2.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Defense1345%45% - - - - - - 12.351.529%37%.475%1.9
NEV Offense1252%33%18.133.2185.65.610.378.11.638%27%.198%2.2

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 7.75 #27
Kansas's Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.15 #98
2023 Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Kansas's 2023 Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40
Kansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 7.75   Nevada: -16.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 9.3   Nevada: -22.4




Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -16.405 #131
Nevada's Offense Rating: 7.38 #128
Nevada's Defense Rating: 13.79 #110
2023 Talent Rating: 456.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Nevada's 2023 Expected Record: 2.90 - 9.10
Nevada's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #131
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #129
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Kansas Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.8
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.5

Kansas's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas 41
Nevada 16

Projected Total Points: 54
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.6
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.6

Nevada's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Nevada24Kansas31KansasKansas -28.5Nevada58.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nevada010 Overs
Kansas101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#27) Kansas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.75 #27
Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Defense Rating: 12.15 #98
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58
Talent Rating: 610.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40

Team Profile






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Kansas     Ratings Matchup     Nevada
Power #27
#131
Off #8
#128
Def #98
#110
Talent #69
#101
SP+ #31
#131
SP+ Off #22
#129
SP+ Def #58
#127

Rematch from Week 3
Kansas 28.5 (58.0)
Kansas won at Nevada this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Kansas beat Nevada in 2023 (31-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 76° - Wind: 12 mph


Team Information
Injuries: KU | NEV
Depth Chart: KU | NEV
Rosters: KU | NEV
(#131) Nevada Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -16.405 #131
Offense Rating: 7.38 #128
Defense Rating: 13.79 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #129
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127
Talent Rating: 456.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 2.90 - 9.10

Team Profile






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Kansas's OC Andy Kotelnicki
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Neal2191266165.854
Luke Grimm11135112.337
Lawrence Arnold228114.014
Quentin Skinner32207.327
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Grimm51690613.570
Quentin Skinner25557422.362
Lawrence Arnold26360113.840
Reece Thomas26311212.028

View Kansas's Full Roster
Kansas's DC Brian Borland
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JB Brown (Tr)7410552
Cornell Wheeler655004
O.J. Burroughs644006
Marvin Grant594316
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jereme Robinson219650
JB Brown (Tr)7410552
Marvin Grant594316
Caleb Taylor185123
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacobee Bryant374107
O.J. Burroughs644006
Marvin Grant594316

Nevada's OC Derek Sage
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chubba Purdy182572%239119.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Chubba Purdy136004.619
Jamaal Bell52705.420
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keleki Latu (Tr)4037119.336
Dalevon Campbell12312026.060
Spencer Curtis19244012.828
Chubba Purdy21005.011

View Nevada's Full Roster
Nevada's DC Kwame Agyeman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcel Walker568672
Dion Washington174200
Isaiah Essissima141004
Richard Toney90001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcel Walker568672
Dion Washington174200
James Hansen31100
Isaiah Essissima141004
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Essissima141004
Marcel Walker568672
Richard Toney90001