Missouri State at Kansas - 2023 Matchup Preview
Missouri State logo   Missouri State Bears at Kansas Jayhawks  Kansas logo
Friday, September 1st 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Kansas -32.5 (60.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Kansas 48 - Missouri State: 17

 
Bears (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (23 - 31 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Kansas -11  (SP+ KU -9)
Projected Score: MOST: 23 - KU: 34 (58)
KU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 46%
MOST Travel: 162 miles
Jayhawks (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (33 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#32)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Missouri State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Missouri State at Kansas+32.560.5L 17 - 48OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri State's Schedule
Kansas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Kansas vs Missouri State-32.560.5W 48 - 17ON
Fri 9/8 Kansas vs Illinois-3.557.5W 34 - 23UY
Sat 9/16 Kansas at Nevada-28.558.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 9/23 Kansas vs BYU-9.055.5W 38 - 27OY
Sat 9/30 Kansas at Texas+15.561.0L 14 - 40UN
Sat 10/7 Kansas vs UCF+2.065.0W 51 - 22OY
Sat 10/14 Kansas at Oklahoma State-3.054.0L 32 - 39ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Kansas vs Oklahoma+7.066.5W 38 - 33OY
Sat 11/4 Kansas at Iowa State+2.553.0W 28 - 21UY
Sat 11/11 Kansas vs Texas Tech-3.561.5L 13 - 16UN
Sat 11/18 Kansas vs Kansas State+7.060.5L 27 - 31UY
Sat 11/25 Kansas at Cincinnati-7.559.5W 49 - 16OY
Tue 12/26 Kansas vs UNLV-8.064.5W 49 - 36OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MOST0%25.60%000%000%28.80%0%0000
KU.3445%28.142%3.1818449%2544.46.2847%26.850%45%4.0146.51.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MOST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
KU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MOST Offense125.622.50%00000000%0%0%0%0%
KU Defense1326.822.147.4%4.011.8 - - - - - 54%45%50%45%12%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MOST Defense128.831.30%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
KU Offense1328.132.644.8%4.461.5204381842545.452%48%42%49%13%.34

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Missouri State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Kansas1328:5020.351%47%5.346.51.51.84.41.8129.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MOST Offense10%0%000000%0%0
KU Defense1354%50% - - - - .283.4977%7%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MOST Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
KU Offense1352%42%34.3183.55.429.23.1874%8%1.11

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MOST Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
KU Defense1345%45% - - - - - - 12.351.529%37%.475%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MOST Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
KU Offense1348%49%18.628.5254.48.913.7328.531.831%39%.65%2.1

Missouri State's Power Ratings
Missouri State's Power Rating: NR
Missouri State's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri State's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: 233.11  #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Missouri State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Missouri State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Missouri State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Missouri State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 303.49
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri State:    Kansas: 11.025

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri State:    Kansas: 9.3




Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 11.025  #27
Kansas's Offense Rating: 26.78  #8
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.15  #98
2023 Talent Rating: 632.68  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #69
Kansas's 2023 Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40
Kansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3  #31
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5  #22
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Missouri State Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.5
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.3

Missouri State's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas 34
Missouri State 23

Projected Total Points: 58
Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Kansas's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/01Kansas48Missouri State17Kansas -32.5Missouri State60.5Over
200209/14Kansas44Missouri State24
200109/01Kansas24Missouri State10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas301 Overs
Missouri State010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 31 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) MOST at (#27) KU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMOSTKU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #27
SP+SP+NR #31
Perf GradeGrade #90 #16
OffenseOff #91 #9
DefenseDef #93 #54
Spec TeamsST #76 #10
TalentTal #133 #62
Blue ChipsBC%NR #69
Missouri State on Offense
CategoryCat
MOST OffKU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #91 #54
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNR #98
SP+SP+NR #58
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Missouri State Run Game
CategoryCat
MOST OffKU Def
Run GameRun #107 #80
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #136 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #82
Missouri State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MOST OffKU Def
Pass GamePass #22 #28
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #131 #89
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kansas on Offense
CategoryCatKU OffMOST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #9 #93
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #8NR
SP+SP+ #22NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kansas Run Game
CategoryCat
KU OffMOST Def
Run GameRun #48 #57
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #24 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #81
Kansas Pass Game
CategoryCatKU OffMOST Def
Pass GamePass #20 #92
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #21 #126
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
KU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Average P4

MOST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Kansas -32.5 (60.5)
Kansas won vs Missouri State this year (48-17)

Previous Matchups
Kansas beat Missouri State in 2023 (48-17)

  
MOST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Raylen Sharpe65409.041
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Raylen Sharpe41592314.458

View Missouri State's Full Roster

MOST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jared Lloyd764222
Lemondre Joe5654413
Avery Powell541001
Tahj Chambers451013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lemondre Joe5654413
Mitchell Toney235362
Jared Lloyd764222
Avery Powell541001
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lemondre Joe5654413
Tahj Chambers451013
Jared Lloyd764222

KU's OC Andy Kotelnicki (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jason Bean12419962%213018710.7
Jalon Daniels567575%705519.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Neal2031280166.375
Daniel Hishaw Jr.12162685.229
Jason Bean4728236.050
Dylan McDuffie (Tr)4525345.636
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lawrence Arnold44782617.880
Quentin Skinner29587220.249
Luke Grimm33555616.860
Mason Fairchild27451316.759

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC Brian Borland (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenny Logan Jr.865006
Austin Booker (Tr)5512801
JB Brown (Tr)545212
Rich Miller523202
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Austin Booker (Tr)5512801
Jereme Robinson236556
JB Brown (Tr)545212
Rich Miller523202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ra'Mello Dotson341118
Kenny Logan Jr.865006
Jereme Robinson236556