Kansas at Texas - 2023 Matchup Preview
Kansas logo Kansas Jayhawks at Texas Longhorns(#8)Texas logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas -15.5 (61.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Texas 40 - Kansas: 14  (Big 12)

 
Jayhawks (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (31 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#32)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TEX is playing their 5th straight game
KU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Texas -14   (SP+ TEX -15)

Projected Score: KU: 22 - TEX: 36 (59)
TEX Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
KU Travel: 616 miles
Longhorns (12 - 2) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (16 - 12)
Avg Score : 36 - 19 (39 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Kansas vs Missouri State-32.560.5W 48 - 17ON
Fri 9/8 Kansas vs Illinois-3.557.5W 34 - 23UY
Sat 9/16 Kansas at Nevada-28.558.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 9/23 Kansas vs BYU-9.055.5W 38 - 27OY
Sat 9/30 Kansas at Texas+15.561.0L 14 - 40UN
Sat 10/7 Kansas vs UCF+2.065.0W 51 - 22OY
Sat 10/14 Kansas at Oklahoma State-3.054.0L 32 - 39ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Kansas vs Oklahoma+7.066.5W 38 - 33OY
Sat 11/4 Kansas at Iowa State+2.553.0W 28 - 21UY
Sat 11/11 Kansas vs Texas Tech-3.561.5L 13 - 16UN
Sat 11/18 Kansas vs Kansas State+7.060.5L 27 - 31UY
Sat 11/25 Kansas at Cincinnati-7.559.5W 49 - 16OY
Tue 12/26 Kansas vs UNLV-8.064.5W 49 - 36OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
Texas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas vs Rice-35.559.0W 37 - 10UN
Sat 9/9 Texas at Alabama+7.053.0W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/16 Texas vs Wyoming-31.048.5W 31 - 10UN
Sat 9/23 Texas at Baylor-17.549.5W 38 - 6UY
Sat 9/30 Texas vs Kansas-15.561.0W 40 - 14UY
Sat 10/7 Texas vs Oklahoma-4.062.0L 30 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Texas at Houston-24.060.5W 31 - 24UN
Sat 10/28 Texas vs BYU-20.548.5W 35 - 6UY
Sat 11/4 Texas vs Kansas State-4.049.5W 33 - 30ON
Sat 11/11 Texas at TCU-13.056.0W 29 - 26UN
Sat 11/18 Texas at Iowa State-7.543.5W 26 - 16UY
Fri 11/24 Texas vs Texas Tech-16.553.5W 57 - 7OY
Sat 12/2 Texas vs Oklahoma State-14.055.0W 49 - 21OY
Mon 1/1 Texas vs Washington-3.061.5L 31 - 37ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU#5 (.4)48% (13)34.847% (28)3.42 (10)20651% (9)2404.43 (27)#83 (.2)45% (108)26.546% (101)44% (102)4.15 (102)56.91.31.5
TEX#33 (.28)45% (43)35.842% (81)3.19 (54)17648% (16)2663.84 (75)#15 (.1)36% (14)18.933% (5)38% (26)3.43 (38)47.51.11.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU#9 (.32)48% (16)49% (15)3.6 (3)21348% (11)2094.68 (11)#108 (.23)45% (99)46% (104)43% (95)3.83 (73)38.41.41.4
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)49% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)42% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Offense1334.830.848.1%4.431.3214462062405.459%40%47%51%13%.4
TEX Defense1418.912.835.9%3.431.6 - - - - - 41%58%33%38%19%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Defense1326.52844.9%4.151.5 - - - - - 52%48%46%44%15%.2
TEX Offense1435.838.844.7%3.841.1214421762664.949%51%42%48%14%.28

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas1330:5521.548%37%5.656.91.31.54.61.8428.4
Texas1429:3121.439%63%5.947.51.11.65.42.1531
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Offense1359% (13)47% (28)38.42065.432 (10).24 (20)3.42 (10)75% (52)8% (30)1.06 (36)
TEX Defense1441% (4)33% (5) - - - - -.06 (4)2.45 (5)54% (2)11% (37)0.79 (5)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Defense1352% (95)46% (101) - - - - .2 (101)3.23 (99)78% (98)8% (111)1 (73)
TEX Offense1449% (80)42% (81)35.6175.64.926 (30).21 (35)3.19 (54)64% (121)8% (33)1.13 (14)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Offense1340% (122)51% (9)15.423.9240.11015.624 (41)11 (68).67 (1)1.9 (4)31% (52)35% (24).5 (18)5% (26)2.2 (20)
TEX Defense1458% (131)38% (26) - - - - - - 16 (9).24 (52)1.7 (92)36% (20)28% (31).27 (42)8% (15)2.1 (87)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Defense1348% (43)44% (102) - - - - - - 14 (21).23 (47)1.5 (23)31% (75)30% (59).29 (51)7% (48)2 (50)
TEX Offense1451% (50)48% (16)20.930.9266.48.612.724 (41)9 (40).35 (38)1.5 (102)30% (32)34% (32).45 (32)5% (46)2.1 (52)

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 7.75 #27
Kansas's Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.15 #98
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Kansas's 2023 Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40
Kansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 7.75   Texas: 22.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 9.3   Texas: 24.6




Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 22.735 #11
Texas's Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Texas's Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Kansas Scoring
Offense: 34.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Kansas's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 36
Kansas 22


Total Points: 59

Texas Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.8

Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Texas40Kansas14TexasTexas -15.5Texas61.0Under
202211/19Kansas14Texas55TexasTexas -9Texas63.5Over
202111/13Texas56Kansas57KansasTexas -31Kansas61.5Over
201910/19Texas50Kansas48TexasTexas -20Kansas63.5Over
201811/23Kansas17Texas24TexasTexas -14.5Kansas50.5Under
201711/11Texas42Kansas27TexasTexas -32Kansas52.5Over
201611/19Kansas24Texas21KansasTexas -21Kansas61.5Under
201511/07Texas59Kansas20TexasTexas -31.5Texas52.5Over
201409/27Kansas0Texas23TexasTexas -14Texas0
201311/02Texas35Kansas13TexasTexas -27Kansas0
201210/27Kansas17Texas21Texas
201110/29Texas43Kansas0Texas
200911/21Texas51Kansas20Texas
200811/15Kansas7Texas35Texas
200511/12Texas66Kansas14Texas
200411/13Kansas23Texas27Texas
200111/10Texas59Kansas0Texas
200011/10Kansas16Texas51Texas
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas1645 Overs
Kansas263 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 84 - 62 - 42 - 2
Road Teams8 - 106 - 42 - 24 - 2

(#27) Kansas Info
Power Rating: 7.75 #27
Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Defense Rating: 12.15 #98
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40


Kansas has won 4 straight
Kansas has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Kansas Highlights
Kansas has Really Good Running Game (#60)
Kansas offense is efficent (#18)
Kansas offense is explosive (#80)
Kansas has a top Offensive Line (#4)
Kansas offense is good in red zone (#34)
Kansas offense is good on 3rd downs
Kansas does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#4)

Kansas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

Kansas Deficiencies
Kansas has a bad defense (#62)
Kansas Does Not Stuff Runs (#18)
Kansas has a bad red zone defense (#93)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTEXKU
OverallOver#8#13
OffenseOff#15#9
DefenseDef#13#46
Special TeamsST#4#10
PassingPass#19#19
RushingRush#17#33
Run BlockRBLK#44#21
Pass BlockPBLK#3#19
Route RunningWR Rt#12#3
TacklingTkl#68#72
Run DefenseR Def#5#69
Pass Rush DefPRush#15#70
Coverage DefCov#49#23

Rematch from Week 5
Texas -15.5 (61.0)
Texas won vs Kansas this year (40-14)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Kansas in 2023 (40-14)
Texas beat Kansas in 2022 (55-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: KU | TEX
Depth Chart: KU | TEX
Rosters: KU | TEX
(#11) Texas Info
Power Rating: 22.735 #11
Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40


Texas has won 4 straight
Texas has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 0 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Texas Highlights
Texas is Undefeated at Home

Texas has Really Good Running Game (#47)
Texas has a really good defense (#25)
Texas has a good run defense (#38)
Texas has a good pass defense (#24)
Texas Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#31)
Texas Defensive Line is very good (#16)
Texas Secondary is very good (#26)
Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Texas Deficiencies


  
Kansas's OC Andy Kotelnicki
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jason Bean12419962%213018710.7
Jalon Daniels567575%705519.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Neal2031280166.375
Daniel Hishaw Jr.12162685.229
Jason Bean4728236.050
Dylan McDuffie (Tr)4525345.636
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lawrence Arnold44782617.880
Quentin Skinner29587220.249
Luke Grimm33555616.860
Mason Fairchild27451316.759

View Kansas's Full Roster
Kansas's DC Brian Borland
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenny Logan Jr.865006
Austin Booker (Tr)5512801
JB Brown (Tr)545212
Rich Miller523202
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Austin Booker (Tr)5512801
Jereme Robinson236556
JB Brown (Tr)545212
Rich Miller523202
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ra'Mello Dotson341118
Kenny Logan Jr.865006
Jereme Robinson236556

Texas's OC Kyle Flood
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Quinn Ewers27239469%34792268.8
Maalik Murphy407156%477336.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonathon Brooks1871139106.167
CJ Baxter Jr.13865954.854
Jaydon Blue6539836.169
Keilan Robinson12134311.257
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Worthy751014513.554
Adonai Mitchell (Tr)558451115.462
Ja'Tavion Sanders45682215.250
Jordan Whittington42505112.041

View Texas's Full Roster
Texas's DC Jeff Choate
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylan Ford9611162
Anthony Hill Jr.668532
Jahdae Barron554005
Michael Taaffe453012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Hill Jr.668532
Ethan Burke399520
Byron Murphy II268560
Barryn Sorrell3443110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jerrin Thompson371007
Terrance Brooks200005
Jahdae Barron554005