Kansas at Texas - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Texas -15.5 (61.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Texas 40 - Kansas: 14 (Big 12)

Jayhawks (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (22 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#32)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TEX is playing their 5th straight game
KU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Texas -14 (SP+ TEX -15)
Projected Score: KU: 22 - TEX: 36 (58)
TEX Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
KU Travel: 616 miles

Longhorns (12 - 2) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (16 - 12)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (39 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KU Players
TEX Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kansas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Kansas vs Missouri State	-32.5	60.5	W 48 - 17	O	N
Fri 9/8	Kansas vs Illinois	-3.5	57.5	W 34 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Kansas at Nevada	-28.5	58.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/23	Kansas vs BYU	-9.0	55.5	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Kansas at Texas	+15.5	61.0	L 14 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/7	Kansas vs UCF	+2.0	65.0	W 51 - 22	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Kansas at Oklahoma State	-3.0	54.0	L 32 - 39	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Kansas vs Oklahoma	+7.0	66.5	W 38 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Kansas at Iowa State	+2.5	53.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Kansas vs Texas Tech	-3.5	61.5	L 13 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/18	Kansas vs Kansas State	+7.0	60.5	L 27 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Kansas at Cincinnati	-7.5	59.5	W 49 - 16	O	Y
Tue 12/26	Kansas vs UNLV	-8.0	64.5	W 49 - 36	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule

Texas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas vs Rice	-35.5	59.0	W 37 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Texas at Alabama	+7.0	53.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Texas vs Wyoming	-31.0	48.5	W 31 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/23	Texas at Baylor	-17.5	49.5	W 38 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Texas vs Kansas	-15.5	61.0	W 40 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas vs Oklahoma	-4.0	62.0	L 30 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Texas at Houston	-24.0	60.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/28	Texas vs BYU	-20.5	48.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Texas vs Kansas State	-4.0	49.5	W 33 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/11	Texas at TCU	-13.0	56.0	W 29 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/18	Texas at Iowa State	-7.5	43.5	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Texas vs Texas Tech	-16.5	53.5	W 57 - 7	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Texas vs Oklahoma State	-14.0	55.0	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Mon 1/1	Texas vs Washington	-3.0	61.5	L 31 - 37	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KU	.34	45%	28.1	42%	3.18	184	49%	254	4.46	.28	47%	26.8	50%	45%	4.01	46.5	1.5	1.8
TEX	.28	48%	30.5	51%	3.29	188	46%	241	4.52	.13	39%	20.3	37%	40%	3.06	47.3	1.1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TEX		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KU Offense	13	28.1	21.8	44.8%	4.46	1.5	20	438	184	254	5.4	52%	48%	42%	49%	13%	.34
TEX Defense	13	20.3	17	38.5%	3.06	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	37%	40%	17%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KU Defense	13	26.8	33.2	47.4%	4.01	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	50%	45%	12%	.28
TEX Offense	13	30.5	38.8	48.3%	4.52	1.1	23	429	188	241	5.2	48%	52%	51%	46%	12%	.28

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kansas	13	28:50	20.3	51%	47%	5.3	46.5	1.5	1.8	4.4	1.8	1	29.9
Texas	13	27:18	22.8	39%	55%	6.1	47.3	1.1	1.3	6.7	2.1	3	30.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KU Offense	13	52%	42%	34.3	183.5	5.4	29	.2	3.18	74%	8%	1.11
TEX Defense	13	45%	37%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.91	81%	11%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KU Defense	13	54%	50%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.49	77%	7%	0.98
TEX Offense	13	48%	51%	36.2	188	5.2	29	.22	3.29	75%	8%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KU Offense	13	48%	49%	18.6	28.5	254.4	8.9	13.7	32	8	.53	1.8	31%	39%	.6	5%	2.1
TEX Defense	13	55%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.21	1.6	35%	31%	.26	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KU Defense	13	45%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.35	1.5	29%	37%	.47	5%	1.9
TEX Offense	13	52%	46%	19.1	31.2	241.4	7.8	12.7	22	7	.34	1.5	28%	32%	.4	4%	2

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 7.75 #27
Kansas's Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.15 #98
2023 Talent Rating: 632.68 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #69
Kansas's 2023 Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40
Kansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 7.75 Texas: 22.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 9.3 Texas: 24.6

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 22.735 #11
Texas's Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Texas's Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
2023 Talent Rating: 913.24 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70 #7
Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Kansas's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 36
Kansas 22

Projected Total Points: 58

Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/30	Texas	40	Kansas	14	Texas -15.5	Texas	61.0	Under
2022	11/19	Kansas	14	Texas	55	Texas -9	Texas	63.5	Over
2021	11/13	Texas	56	Kansas	57	Texas -31	Kansas	61.5	Over
2019	10/19	Texas	50	Kansas	48	Texas -20	Kansas	63.5	Over
2018	11/23	Kansas	17	Texas	24	Texas -14.5	Kansas	50.5	Under
2017	11/11	Texas	42	Kansas	27	Texas -32	Kansas	52.5	Over
2016	11/19	Kansas	24	Texas	21	Texas -21	Kansas	61.5	Under
2015	11/07	Texas	59	Kansas	20	Texas -31.5	Texas	52.5	Over
2014	09/27	Kansas	0	Texas	23	Texas -14	Texas	0
2013	11/02	Texas	35	Kansas	13	Texas -27	Kansas	0
2012	10/27	Kansas	17	Texas	21
2011	10/29	Texas	43	Kansas	0
2009	11/21	Texas	51	Kansas	20
2008	11/15	Kansas	7	Texas	35
2005	11/12	Texas	66	Kansas	14
2004	11/13	Kansas	23	Texas	27
2001	11/10	Texas	59	Kansas	0
2000	11/10	Kansas	16	Texas	51

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas	16	4	5 Overs
Kansas	2	6	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 8	4 - 6	2 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 10	6 - 4	2 - 2	4 - 2

(#27) KU at (#11) TEX

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	KU	TEX
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#27	#11
SP+SP+	#31	#6
Perf GradeGrade	#16	#10
OffenseOff	#9	#17
DefenseDef	#54	#17
Spec TeamsST	#10	#4
TalentTal	#62	#6
Blue ChipsBC%	#69	#7

Kansas Injury Report

Texas Injury Report

Kansas on Offense


CategoryCat	KU Off	TEX Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#9	#17
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#8	#15
SP+SP+	#22	#10
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kansas Run Game


CategoryCat	KU Off	TEX Def
Run GameRun	#48	#7
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#24	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#78

Kansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	KU Off	TEX Def
Pass GamePass	#20	#61
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#21	#16
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	TEX Off	KU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#17	#54
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#40	#98
SP+SP+	#6	#58
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	KU Def
Run GameRun	#25	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#56	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#82

Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	KU Def
Pass GamePass	#20	#28
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#3	#89
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

KU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Texas -15.5 (61.0)
Texas won vs Kansas this year (40-14)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Kansas in 2023 (40-14)

KU's OC Andy Kotelnicki (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jason Bean	124	199	62%	2130	18	7	10.7
Jalon Daniels	56	75	75%	705	5	1	9.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Neal	203	1280	16	6.3	75
Daniel Hishaw Jr.	121	626	8	5.2	29
Jason Bean	47	282	3	6.0	50
Dylan McDuffie (Tr)	45	253	4	5.6	36

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lawrence Arnold	44	782	6	17.8	80
Quentin Skinner	29	587	2	20.2	49
Luke Grimm	33	555	6	16.8	60
Mason Fairchild	27	451	3	16.7	59

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC Brian Borland (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kenny Logan Jr.	86	5	0	0	6
Austin Booker (Tr)	55	12	8	0	1
JB Brown (Tr)	54	5	2	1	2
Rich Miller	52	3	2	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Austin Booker (Tr)	55	12	8	0	1
Jereme Robinson	23	6	5	5	6
JB Brown (Tr)	54	5	2	1	2
Rich Miller	52	3	2	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ra'Mello Dotson	34	1	1	1	8
Kenny Logan Jr.	86	5	0	0	6
Jereme Robinson	23	6	5	5	6

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Quinn Ewers	272	394	69%	3479	22	6	8.8
Maalik Murphy	40	71	56%	477	3	3	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonathon Brooks	187	1139	10	6.1	67
CJ Baxter Jr.	138	659	5	4.8	54
Jaydon Blue	65	398	3	6.1	69
Keilan Robinson	12	134	3	11.2	57

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xavier Worthy	75	1014	5	13.5	54
Adonai Mitchell (Tr)	55	845	11	15.4	62
Ja'Tavion Sanders	45	682	2	15.2	50
Jordan Whittington	42	505	1	12.0	41

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Jeff Choate (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylan Ford	96	11	1	6	2
Anthony Hill Jr.	66	8	5	3	2
Jahdae Barron	55	4	0	0	5
Michael Taaffe	45	3	0	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Hill Jr.	66	8	5	3	2
Ethan Burke	39	9	5	2	0
Byron Murphy II	26	8	5	6	0
Barryn Sorrell	34	4	3	11	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jerrin Thompson	37	1	7
Terrance Brooks	20	0	5
Jahdae Barron	55	4	5