NC State at Virginia Tech - 2023 Matchup Preview
NC State logo NC State Wolfpack at Virginia Tech HokiesVirginia Tech logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Virginia Tech -2.5 (40.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
NC State 35 - Virginia Tech: 28  (ACC)

 
Wolfpack (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (74 - 55)
Avg Score : 26 - 21 (22 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NCST 2nd straight Road Game
VT is playing their 4th straight game
NCST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: NC State -2   (SP+ NCST -4.5)

Projected Score: NCST: 23 - VT: 21 (44)
VT Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
NCST Travel: 136 miles
Hokies (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (4 - 10)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (31 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
NC State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 NC State at UConn-14.547.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 9/9 NC State vs Notre Dame+7.049.5L 24 - 45ON
Sat 9/16 NC State vs VMI-42.551.0W 45 - 7ON
Fri 9/22 NC State at Virginia-8.547.5W 24 - 21UN
Fri 9/29 NC State vs Louisville+3.556.5L 10 - 13UY
Sat 10/7 NC State vs Marshall-6.544.0W 48 - 41OY
Sat 10/14 NC State at Duke+3.544.0L 3 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 NC State vs Clemson+9.544.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 11/4 NC State vs Miami+6.544.0W 20 - 6UY
Sat 11/11 NC State at Wake Forest+0.542.5W 26 - 6UY
Sat 11/18 NC State at Virginia Tech+2.540.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 11/25 NC State vs North Carolina+2.055.0W 39 - 20OY
Thu 12/28 NC State vs Kansas State+3.048.5L 19 - 28UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Virginia Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion-16.048.0W 36 - 17OY
Sat 9/9 Virginia Tech vs Purdue-1.549.0L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/16 Virginia Tech at Rutgers+6.537.5L 16 - 35ON
Sat 9/23 Virginia Tech at Marshall+5.541.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/30 Virginia Tech vs Pittsburgh+3.040.0W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/7 Virginia Tech at Florida State+23.552.5L 17 - 39OY
Sat 10/14 Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest-1.548.5W 30 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26 Virginia Tech vs Syracuse-2.547.5W 38 - 10OY
Sat 11/4 Virginia Tech at Louisville+9.548.5L 3 - 34UN
Sat 11/11 Virginia Tech at Boston College-2.548.5W 48 - 22OY
Sat 11/18 Virginia Tech vs NC State-2.540.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 11/25 Virginia Tech at Virginia-2.552.5W 55 - 17OY
Wed 12/27 Virginia Tech vs Tulane-13.543.5W 41 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST#89 (.15)40% (100)26.240% (96)3.11 (68)15739% (96)1944.11 (47)#16 (.1)39% (34)20.839% (34)40% (40)3.77 (66)46.31.21.9
VT#59 (.21)43% (55)29.547% (32)3.2 (51)19039% (91)2014.32 (30)#49 (.16)38% (23)23.939% (36)36% (13)4.49 (124)57.81.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4
VT#75 (.18)42% (87)44% (66)3.01 (76)17339% (102)1784.22 (40)#18 (.09)39% (34)42% (56)36% (15)2.97 (7)46.31.21.8



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1326.222.439.5%4.111.2193501571944.352%48%40%39%18%.15
VT Defense1323.92037.6%4.491.2 - - - - - 53%46%39%36%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense1320.818.638.8%3.771.9 - - - - - 44%54%39%40%19%.1
VT Offense1329.531.243.1%4.321.220391190201555%45%47%39%15%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1332:2718.540%60%5.846.31.21.95.52.5330.1
Virginia Tech1331:0919.835%65%6.357.81.21.26.42.9230.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1352% (52)40% (96)36.8156.64.319 (69).13 (83)3.11 (68)80% (20)12% (106)0.93 (100)
VT Defense1353% (110)39% (36) - - - - .15 (75)2.89 (32)70% (51)12% (17)1.1 (111)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1344% (11)39% (34) - - - - .12 (55)2.88 (31)66% (27)11% (32)1.07 (103)
VT Offense1355% (32)47% (32)38.4189.9520 (61).16 (63)3.2 (51)79% (24)10% (74)0.98 (77)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1348% (80)39% (96)17.229.2193.86.711.319 (78)12 (85).2 (95)1.6 (67)34% (102)27% (101).27 (90)6% (72)2 (92)
VT Defense1346% (26)36% (13) - - - - - - 7 (111).19 (24)1.6 (81)34% (37)24% (8).19 (14)5% (108)1.9 (29)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1354% (122)40% (40) - - - - - - 17 (3).14 (15)1.5 (28)36% (17)29% (50).2 (19)7% (25)1.9 (16)
VT Offense1345% (99)39% (91)15.727.4201.57.412.823 (51)5 (6).28 (70)1.7 (27)32% (67)30% (73).25 (92)5% (18)1.9 (113)

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 5.66 #34
NC State's Offense Rating: 14.92 #83
NC State's Defense Rating: 3.52 #17
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #34
NC State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
NC State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: 5.66   Virginia Tech: 5.605

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 9.4   Virginia Tech: 4.7




Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 5.605 #54
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 17.22 #58
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 9.01 #61
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #57
Virginia Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Virginia Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #46
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #44

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


NC State Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.6

NC State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 23
Virginia Tech 21


Total Points: 44

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.2
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Virginia Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Virginia Tech28NC State35NC StateVirginia Tech -2.5NC State40.5Over
202210/27NC State22Virginia Tech21NC StateNC State -13Virginia Tech39.0Over
202009/26Virginia Tech45NC State24Virginia TechVirginia Tech -6.5Virginia Tech57.5Over
201510/09Virginia Tech28NC State13Virginia TechVirginia Tech -2Virginia Tech44.0Under
201010/02NC State30Virginia Tech41Virginia Tech
200911/21Virginia Tech38NC State10Virginia Tech
200509/04NC State16Virginia Tech20Virginia Tech
200409/25Virginia Tech16NC State17NC State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia Tech533 Overs
NC State311 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 42 - 22 - 20 - 0
Road Teams4 - 42 - 20 - 02 - 2

(#34) NC State Info
Power Rating: 5.66 #34
Offense Rating: 14.92 #83
Defense Rating: 3.52 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #34
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60


NC State has won 3 straight
NC State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 1 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

NC State Highlights
NC State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

NC State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#42)
NC State Secondary is very good (#80)
NC State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

NC State Deficiencies
NC State offense is really bad (#67)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatVTNCST
OverallOver#60#66
OffenseOff#80#93
DefenseDef#59#36
Special TeamsST#38#47
PassingPass#74#64
RushingRush#34#66
Run BlockRBLK#83#68
Pass BlockPBLK#74#62
Route RunningWR Rt#63#103
TacklingTkl#81#9
Run DefenseR Def#94#12
Pass Rush DefPRush#8#75
Coverage DefCov#62#75

Rematch from Week 12
Virginia Tech -2.5 (40.5)
NC State won at Virginia Tech this year (35-28)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat Virginia Tech in 2023 (35-28)
NC State beat Virginia Tech in 2022 (22-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NCST | VT
Depth Chart: NCST | VT
Rosters: NCST | VT
(#54) Virginia Tech Info
Power Rating: 5.605 #54
Offense Rating: 17.22 #58
Defense Rating: 9.01 #61
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #46
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #44
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #57
Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80


Virginia Tech has won 1 straight
Virginia Tech has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Virginia Tech Highlights
Virginia Tech has Really Good Running Game (#90)
Virginia Tech offense is good in red zone (#77)
Virginia Tech Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Virginia Tech has a really good defense (#131)
Virginia Tech has a good pass defense (#133)
Virginia Tech Front 7 is disruptive (#61)

Virginia Tech Deficiencies
Virginia Tech Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Virginia Tech offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Virginia Tech has a bad red zone defense (#134)


  
NC State's OC Robert Anae
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brennan Armstrong (Tr)16026261%17831176.8
MJ Morris6311356%719756.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brennan Armstrong (Tr)14366574.743
Kevin Concepcion4132007.865
Kendrick Raphael6731114.631
Delbert Mimms III9628282.918
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Concepcion718391011.872
Keyon Lesane2824708.838
Dacari Collins (Tr)14210215.038
Brad Rozner18208211.621

View NC State's Full Roster
NC State's DC Tony Gibson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Payton Wilson138186106
Jaylon Scott7562103
Sean Brown665245
Devan Boykin543011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davin Vann4387111
Payton Wilson138186106
Red Hibbler126631
Brandon Cleveland285310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aydan White3721010
Payton Wilson138186106
Sean Brown665245

Virginia Tech's OC Tyler Bowen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones (Tr)16628558%20841737.3
Grant Wells376854%519527.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bhayshul Tuten (Tr)173863105.049
Kyron Drones (Tr)16681854.959
Malachi Thomas8338124.635
Grant Wells177514.460
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Da'Quan Felton (Tr)38667817.684
Jaylin Lane (Tr)41538613.175
Dae'Quan Wright28366013.139
Stephen Gosnell22347315.844

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster
Virginia Tech's DC Chris Marve
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keli Lawson767346
Alan Tisdale714222
Jalen Stroman552012
Mansoor Delane523001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antwuan Powell38141060
Cole Nelson278510
Pheldarius Payne289451
Norell Pollard238410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dorian Strong241008
Keli Lawson767346
Derrick Canteen (Tr)342005