Old Dominion at Virginia Tech - 2023 Matchup Preview

Old Dominion Monarchs at Virginia Tech Hokies

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Virginia Tech -16 (48.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Virginia Tech 36 - Old Dominion: 17

Monarchs (6 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (10 - 18)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (31 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Virginia Tech -14.5 (SP+ VT -15)
Projected Score: ODU: 19 - VT: 33 (52)
VT Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
ODU Travel: 228 miles

Hokies (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (4 - 10)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (26 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ODU Players
VT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Old Dominion's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Old Dominion at Virginia Tech	+16.0	48.0	L 17 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/9	Old Dominion vs Louisiana	+6.0	51.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Old Dominion vs Wake Forest	+13.5	60.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Old Dominion vs East Texas A&M	-18.5
Sat 9/30	Old Dominion at Marshall	+14.5	47.0	L 35 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Old Dominion at Southern Miss	+3.0	56.5	W 17 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Old Dominion vs App State	+6.0	56.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Old Dominion at James Madison	+19.5	48.0	L 27 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina	+1.0	51.0	L 24 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/11	Old Dominion at Liberty	+13.5	58.5	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/18	Old Dominion at Georgia Southern	+4.5	61.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Old Dominion vs Georgia State	-2.0	49.5	W 25 - 24	U	N
Mon 12/18	Old Dominion vs Western Kentucky	-4.0	49.0	L 35 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule

Virginia Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion	-16.0	48.0	W 36 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Virginia Tech vs Purdue	-1.5	49.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/16	Virginia Tech at Rutgers	+6.5	37.5	L 16 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/23	Virginia Tech at Marshall	+5.5	41.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Virginia Tech vs Pittsburgh	+3.0	40.0	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Virginia Tech at Florida State	+23.5	52.5	L 17 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest	-1.5	48.5	W 30 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26	Virginia Tech vs Syracuse	-2.5	47.5	W 38 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Virginia Tech at Louisville	+9.5	48.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/11	Virginia Tech at Boston College	-2.5	48.5	W 48 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Virginia Tech vs NC State	-2.5	40.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/25	Virginia Tech at Virginia	-2.5	52.5	W 55 - 17	O	Y
Wed 12/27	Virginia Tech vs Tulane	-13.5	43.5	W 41 - 20	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ODU	.12	34%	32	36%	2.79	91	34%	248	3.35	.23	43%	18.5	43%	45%	3.21	63.8	1.5	1.9
VT	.1	38%	21.4	40%	2.95	112	36%	203	2.62	.17	38%	30.2	41%	36%	3.86	57.9	1.4	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ODU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
VT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ODU Offense	12	32	31	34.3%	3.35	1.5	16	340	91	248	3.5	37%	62%	36%	34%	22%	.12
VT Defense	11	30.2	31.6	38%	3.86	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	41%	36%	19%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ODU Defense	12	18.5	30	43.3%	3.21	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	43%	45%	15%	.23
VT Offense	11	21.4	26	37.6%	2.62	1.4	18	315	112	203	3.2	49%	50%	40%	36%	16%	.1

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Old Dominion	12	24:07	15.8	30%	35%	6.9	63.8	1.5	1.9	6.2	2.6	1	27.9
Virginia Tech	11	29:09	17.5	31%	43%	7.3	57.9	1.4	1.3	6.7	2.1	3	28.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ODU Offense	12	37%	36%	25.8	91.4	3.5	8	-.02	2.79	69%	12%	0.94
VT Defense	11	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.83	68%	12%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ODU Defense	12	57%	43%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.1	75%	10%	0.94
VT Offense	11	49%	40%	35.3	111.8	3.2	15	.08	2.95	74%	10%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ODU Offense	12	62%	34%	19.8	34.8	248.1	7.1	12.6	19	7	.2	1.7	38%	24%	.24	9%	2.2
VT Defense	11	53%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.25	1.7	36%	27%	.32	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ODU Defense	12	42%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.39	1.6	30%	30%	.33	5%	2
VT Offense	11	50%	36%	18.5	31.5	202.9	6.5	11	9	9	.15	1.5	35%	27%	.31	6%	2.2

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -7.26 #102
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 11.50 #114
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 8.69 #56
2023 Talent Rating: 343.17 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Old Dominion's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Old Dominion's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #97
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #92

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -7.26 Virginia Tech: 5.605

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -10.2 Virginia Tech: 4.7

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 5.605 #54
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 17.22 #58
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 9.01 #61
2023 Talent Rating: 638.89 #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #57
Virginia Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Virginia Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #46
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #44

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

Old Dominion's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Virginia Tech 33
Old Dominion 19

Projected Total Points: 52

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.6

Virginia Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Virginia Tech	26	Old Dominion	45	Virginia Tech -5.5	Old Dominion	50.5	Over
2024	09/14	Old Dominion	17	Virginia Tech	37	Virginia Tech -15.5	Virginia Tech	47.5	Over
2023	09/02	Virginia Tech	36	Old Dominion	17	Virginia Tech -16	Virginia Tech	48.0	Over
2022	09/02	Old Dominion	20	Virginia Tech	17	Virginia Tech -6	Old Dominion	48.5	Under
2019	09/07	Virginia Tech	31	Old Dominion	17	Virginia Tech -30	Old Dominion	57.5	Under
2018	09/22	Old Dominion	49	Virginia Tech	35	Virginia Tech -28.5	Old Dominion	52.5	Over
2017	09/23	Virginia Tech	38	Old Dominion	0	Virginia Tech -28.5	Virginia Tech	52.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia Tech	4	3	4 Overs
Old Dominion	3	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 2	4 - 3	2 - 2	2 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 5	3 - 4	1 - 2	2 - 2

(#102) ODU at (#54) VT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ODU	VT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#102	#54
SP+SP+	#105	#46
Perf GradeGrade	#107	#74
OffenseOff	#131	#92
DefenseDef	#35	#76
Spec TeamsST	#101	#45
TalentTal	#122	#59
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#57

Old Dominion Injury Report

Virginia Tech Injury Report

Old Dominion on Offense


CategoryCat	ODU Off	VT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#131	#76
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#114	#61
SP+SP+	#97	#44
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Old Dominion Run Game


CategoryCat	ODU Off	VT Def
Run GameRun	#67	#110
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#128	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#94

Old Dominion Pass Game


CategoryCat	ODU Off	VT Def
Pass GamePass	#97	#77
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#125	#9
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Virginia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	VT Off	ODU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#92	#35
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#58	#56
SP+SP+	#65	#92
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	ODU Def
Run GameRun	#49	#9
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#109	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#9

Virginia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	ODU Def
Pass GamePass	#89	#59
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#86	#129
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
VT 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

ODU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Virginia Tech -16.0 (48.0)
Virginia Tech won vs Old Dominion this year (36-17)

Previous Matchups
Old Dominion beat Virginia Tech last year (45-26)
Virginia Tech beat Old Dominion in 2024 (37-17)
Virginia Tech beat Old Dominion in 2023 (36-17)

ODU's OC Kevin Decker (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Grant Wilson	178	312	57%	2149	17	8	6.9
Jack Shields	25	47	53%	353	2	3	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kadarius Calloway	88	623	5	7.1	75
Keshawn Wicks	120	588	4	4.9	36
Grant Wilson	130	292	4	2.2	79
Obasanjo Sanni	57	248	1	4.4	67

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Reymello Murphy	28	502	3	17.9	61
Kelby Williams	26	451	2	17.3	78
Isiah Paige	43	445	2	10.3	42
Javon Harvey	29	391	4	13.5	68

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

ODU's DC Blake Seiler (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jason Henderson	165	19	5	5	0
Wayne Matthews III	135	10	4	0	3
Terry Jones	104	4	0	3	4
Shawn Asbury II	95	6	0	3	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jason Henderson	165	19	5	5	0
Wayne Matthews III	135	10	4	0	3
Denzel Lowry	46	5	3	1	1
Mario Thompson	43	6	2	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Rasheed Reason	34	3	0	7
Lamareon James	60	1	0	7
Nolan Johnson	38	1	1	6

VT's OC Tyler Bowen (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyron Drones (Tr)	166	285	58%	2084	17	3	7.3
Grant Wells	37	68	54%	519	5	2	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bhayshul Tuten (Tr)	173	863	10	5.0	49
Kyron Drones (Tr)	166	818	5	4.9	59
Malachi Thomas	83	381	2	4.6	35
Grant Wells	17	75	1	4.4	60

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Da'Quan Felton (Tr)	38	667	8	17.6	84
Jaylin Lane (Tr)	41	538	6	13.1	75
Dae'Quan Wright	28	366	0	13.1	39
Stephen Gosnell	22	347	3	15.8	44

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Chris Marve (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keli Lawson	76	7	3	4	6
Alan Tisdale	71	4	2	2	2
Jalen Stroman	55	2	0	1	2
Mansoor Delane	52	3	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antwuan Powell	38	14	10	6	0
Cole Nelson	27	8	5	1	0
Pheldarius Payne	28	9	4	5	1
Norell Pollard	23	8	4	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dorian Strong	24	1	0	0	8
Keli Lawson	76	7	3	4	6
Derrick Canteen (Tr)	34	2	0	0	5