Virginia Tech at Rutgers - 2023 Matchup Preview
Virginia Tech logo Virginia Tech Hokies at Rutgers Scarlet KnightsRutgers logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Rutgers -6.5 (37.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Rutgers 35 - Virginia Tech: 16

 
Hokies (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (4 - 10)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (26 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
RUTG 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Rutgers -0.5  (SP+ VT -2.5)
Projected Score: VT: 21 - RUTG: 21 (42)
RUTG Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
VT Travel: 394 miles
Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 4 - 2)
Coach Greg Schiano (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 23 - 21 (31 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 7.2 (#81)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion-16.048.0W 36 - 17OY
Sat 9/9 Virginia Tech vs Purdue-1.549.0L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/16 Virginia Tech at Rutgers+6.537.5L 16 - 35ON
Sat 9/23 Virginia Tech at Marshall+5.541.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/30 Virginia Tech vs Pittsburgh+3.040.0W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/7 Virginia Tech at Florida State+23.552.5L 17 - 39OY
Sat 10/14 Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest-1.548.5W 30 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26 Virginia Tech vs Syracuse-2.547.5W 38 - 10OY
Sat 11/4 Virginia Tech at Louisville+9.548.5L 3 - 34UN
Sat 11/11 Virginia Tech at Boston College-2.548.5W 48 - 22OY
Sat 11/18 Virginia Tech vs NC State-2.540.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 11/25 Virginia Tech at Virginia-2.552.5W 55 - 17OY
Wed 12/27 Virginia Tech vs Tulane-13.543.5W 41 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule
Rutgers's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Rutgers vs Northwestern-5.039.0W 24 - 7UY
Sat 9/9 Rutgers vs Temple-7.543.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 9/16 Rutgers vs Virginia Tech-6.537.5W 35 - 16OY
Sat 9/23 Rutgers at Michigan+24.044.5L 7 - 31UY
Sat 9/30 Rutgers vs Wagner-46.052.5W 52 - 3OY
Sat 10/7 Rutgers at Wisconsin+12.544.0L 13 - 24UY
Sat 10/14 Rutgers vs Michigan State-4.038.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 10/21 Rutgers at Indiana-6.039.5W 31 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Rutgers vs Ohio State+19.042.5L 16 - 35OY
Sat 11/11 Rutgers at Iowa-2.527.5L 0 - 22UN
Sat 11/18 Rutgers at Penn State+19.539.5L 6 - 27UN
Sat 11/25 Rutgers vs Maryland+2.045.5L 24 - 42ON
Thu 12/28 Rutgers vs Miami-3.041.0W 31 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VT#59 (.21)43% (55)29.547% (32)3.2 (51)19039% (91)2014.32 (30)#49 (.16)38% (23)23.939% (36)36% (13)4.49 (124)57.81.21.2
RUTG#107 (.12)40% (91)23.243% (65)3.03 (84)16935% (118)1383.95 (62)#43 (.14)45% (104)21.248% (123)42% (69)3.48 (44)45.211.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VT#75 (.18)42% (87)44% (66)3.01 (76)17339% (102)1784.22 (40)#18 (.09)39% (34)42% (56)36% (15)2.97 (7)46.31.21.8
RUTG#84 (.16)43% (67)44% (69)2.92 (88)16442% (63)1894.19 (44)#106 (.23)43% (85)48% (113)40% (59)4.03 (92)33.80.60.9



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VT Offense1329.52643.1%4.321.220391190201555%45%47%39%15%.21
RUTG Defense1321.219.144.6%3.481.4 - - - - - 52%47%48%42%15%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VT Defense1323.928.537.6%4.491.2 - - - - - 53%46%39%36%17%.16
RUTG Offense1323.230.640.1%3.951173061691384.262%38%43%35%12%.12

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia Tech1331:0919.835%65%6.357.81.21.26.42.9230.7
Rutgers1331:4817.537%64%5.145.211.43.81.5130
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VT Offense1355% (32)47% (32)38.4189.9520 (61).16 (63)3.2 (51)79% (24)10% (74)0.98 (77)
RUTG Defense1352% (99)48% (123) - - - - .12 (54)3.2 (91)71% (53)8% (122)0.77 (4)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VT Defense1353% (110)39% (36) - - - - .15 (75)2.89 (32)70% (51)12% (17)1.1 (111)
RUTG Offense1362% (7)43% (65)39.8168.84.224 (41).16 (64)3.03 (84)77% (38)7% (11)0.95 (94)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VT Offense1345% (99)39% (91)15.727.4201.57.412.823 (51)5 (6).28 (70)1.7 (27)32% (67)30% (73).25 (92)5% (18)1.9 (113)
RUTG Defense1347% (33)42% (69) - - - - - - 9 (87).22 (40)1.4 (5)30% (111)30% (65).17 (8)6% (55)1.7 (5)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VT Defense1346% (26)36% (13) - - - - - - 7 (111).19 (24)1.6 (81)34% (37)24% (8).19 (14)5% (108)1.9 (29)
RUTG Offense1338% (126)35% (118)10.922.6137.56.112.610 (120)8 (30).07 (126)1.7 (46)30% (42)33% (52).34 (64)5% (19)1.8 (127)

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 1.51  #54
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 17.22  #58
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 9.01  #61
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7%  #57
Virginia Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Virginia Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7  #46
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #65
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7  #44

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 1.51   Rutgers: 3.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 4.7   Rutgers: 2.3




Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 3.5  #64
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 13.71  #92
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 8.88  #59
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8  #53
Rutgers's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20
Rutgers's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3  #59
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #98
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8  #21

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Virginia Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Rutgers 21
Virginia Tech 21

Total Points: 42

Based on Last 4 Games
Rutgers 24
Virginia Tech 20

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
Rutgers 27
Virginia Tech 24

Total Points: 51
Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.6
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.1

Rutgers's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 2
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Virginia Tech23Rutgers26Virginia Tech -3.0Rutgers45.0Over
202309/16Rutgers35Virginia Tech16Rutgers -6.5Rutgers37.5Over
201212/28Virginia Tech13Rutgers10
200310/04Rutgers22Virginia Tech48
200210/19Virginia Tech35Rutgers14
200109/22Rutgers0Virginia Tech50
200009/15Virginia Tech49Rutgers0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Rutgers222 Overs
Virginia Tech500 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 31 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams3 - 41 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#54) VT at (#64) RUTG
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVTRUTG
Power RatePwr #54 #64
SP+SP+ #46 #59
Perf GradeGrade #74 #50
OffenseOff #92 #61
DefenseDef #76 #37
Spec TeamsST #45 #115
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #57 #53
Virginia Tech on Offense
CategoryCat
VT OffRUTG Def
Perf GradePerf #92 #37
SuccessSuc #55 #104
ExplosiveExp #74 #1
PPAPPA #59 #43
PowerPwr #58 #59
SP+SP+ #65 #21
Pts POPPO #30 #44
HavocHav #55 #107
Virginia Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
VT OffRUTG Def
Run GameRun #49 #65
Run SuccessRSuc #32 #123
Run ExplRExp #77 #4
PPAExp #63 #54
Run BlockR Blk #109 -
OL YdsOLY #51 #91
Stuff RateStuff #85 #120
TackleTak -  #4
Virginia Tech Pass Game
CategoryCat
VT OffRUTG Def
Pass GamePass #89 #29
Pass SuccessPSuc #91 #69
Pass ExplPExl #27 #5
PPAExp #70 #40
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #86 #55
F7 HavocF7 #74 #122
DB HavocDB #18 #55
Rutgers on Offense
CategoryCatRUTG OffVT Def
Perf GradePerf #61 #76
SuccessSuc #91 #23
ExplosiveExp #116 #92
PPAPPA #107 #49
PowerPwr #92 #61
SP+SP+ #98 #44
Pts POPPO #62 #124
HavocHav #10 #47
Rutgers Run Game
CategoryCat
RUTG OffVT Def
Run GameRun #33 #110
Run SuccessRSuc #65 #36
Run ExplRExp #94 #111
PPAExp #64 #75
Run BlockR Blk #52 -
OL YdsOLY #84 #32
Stuff RateStuff #66 #34
TackleTak -  #94
Rutgers Pass Game
CategoryCatRUTG OffVT Def
Pass GamePass #94 #77
Pass SuccessPSuc #118 #13
Pass ExplPExl #46 #81
PPAExp #126 #24
Pass Block/RushP Blk #108 #9
F7 HavocF7 #11 #17
DB HavocDB #19 #108
Program Comparison
RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

VT 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in SHI Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 77° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Rutgers -6.5 (37.5)
Rutgers won vs Virginia Tech this year (35-16)

Previous Matchups
Rutgers beat Virginia Tech last year (26-23)
Rutgers beat Virginia Tech in 2023 (35-16)

  
VT's OC Tyler Bowen (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones (Tr)16628558%20841737.3
Grant Wells376854%519527.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bhayshul Tuten (Tr)173863105.049
Kyron Drones (Tr)16681854.959
Malachi Thomas8338124.635
Grant Wells177514.460
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Da'Quan Felton (Tr)38667817.684
Jaylin Lane (Tr)41538613.175
Dae'Quan Wright28366013.139
Stephen Gosnell22347315.844

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Chris Marve (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keli Lawson767346
Alan Tisdale714222
Jalen Stroman552012
Mansoor Delane523001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antwuan Powell38141060
Cole Nelson278510
Pheldarius Payne289451
Norell Pollard238410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dorian Strong241008
Keli Lawson767346
Derrick Canteen (Tr)342005

RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gavin Wimsatt13828948%1735986.0
Evan Simon2367%301010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyle Monangai242126285.255
Gavin Wimsatt131497113.880
Samuel Brown V6321723.411
Ja'shon Benjamin4517213.826
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Christian Dremel35463313.269
JaQuae Jackson (Tr)22361116.461
Isaiah Washington26326112.542
Ian Strong16230214.429

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Joe Harasymiak (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deion Jennings945004
Mohamed Toure9210542
Michael Dixon (Tr)762015
Desmond Igbinosun647131
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mohamed Toure9210542
Wesley Bailey255453
Tyreem Powell523322
Aaron Lewis4953102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Longerbeam391108
Eric Rogers (Tr)180006
Max Melton324106