Wake Forest at Virginia Tech - 2023 Matchup Preview

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Virginia Tech Hokies

Saturday, October 14th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Virginia Tech -1.5 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Virginia Tech 30 - Wake Forest: 13 (ACC)

Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dave Clawson (62 - 53)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (25 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WAKE 2nd straight Road Game
VT is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Virginia Tech -13 (SP+ VT -12)
Projected Score: WAKE: 19 - VT: 32 (51)
VT Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
WAKE Travel: 76 miles

Hokies (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (4 - 10)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (26 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WAKE Players
VT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wake Forest's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Wake Forest vs Elon	-33.5	53.5	W 37 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/9	Wake Forest vs Vanderbilt	-9.5	55.0	W 36 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Wake Forest at Old Dominion	-13.5	60.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/23	Wake Forest vs Georgia Tech	-3.5	58.5	L 16 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Wake Forest at Clemson	+21.0	53.5	L 12 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Wake Forest at Virginia Tech	+1.5	48.5	L 13 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/21	Wake Forest vs Pittsburgh	+3.0	45.0	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Wake Forest vs Florida State	+21.0	53.5	L 16 - 41	O	N
Thu 11/2	Wake Forest at Duke	+6.5	41.0	L 21 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Wake Forest vs NC State	-0.5	42.5	L 6 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/18	Wake Forest at Notre Dame	+22.5	47.5	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/25	Wake Forest at Syracuse	+3.0	43.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule

Virginia Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion	-16.0	48.0	W 36 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Virginia Tech vs Purdue	-1.5	49.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/16	Virginia Tech at Rutgers	+6.5	37.5	L 16 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/23	Virginia Tech at Marshall	+5.5	41.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Virginia Tech vs Pittsburgh	+3.0	40.0	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Virginia Tech at Florida State	+23.5	52.5	L 17 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest	-1.5	48.5	W 30 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26	Virginia Tech vs Syracuse	-2.5	47.5	W 38 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Virginia Tech at Louisville	+9.5	48.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/11	Virginia Tech at Boston College	-2.5	48.5	W 48 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Virginia Tech vs NC State	-2.5	40.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/25	Virginia Tech at Virginia	-2.5	52.5	W 55 - 17	O	Y
Wed 12/27	Virginia Tech vs Tulane	-13.5	43.5	W 41 - 20	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE	.24	47%	28.1	44%	2.97	132	51%	312	4.73	.2	43%	22.1	44%	43%	3.81	40.8	1.5	1.5
VT	.1	38%	21.4	40%	2.95	112	36%	203	2.62	.17	38%	30.2	41%	36%	3.86	57.9	1.4	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WAKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
VT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Offense	13	28.1	24.8	47.1%	4.73	1.5	25	444	132	312	3.4	45%	54%	44%	51%	16%	.24
VT Defense	11	30.2	31.6	38%	3.86	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	41%	36%	19%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WAKE Defense	13	22.1	27.4	43.2%	3.81	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	44%	43%	17%	.2
VT Offense	11	21.4	26	37.6%	2.62	1.4	18	315	112	203	3.2	49%	50%	40%	36%	16%	.1

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wake Forest	13	28:27	25.2	46%	50%	4.8	40.8	1.5	1.5	5.9	2.2	2	30.2
Virginia Tech	11	29:09	17.5	31%	43%	7.3	57.9	1.4	1.3	6.7	2.1	3	28.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Offense	13	45%	44%	38.6	131.6	3.4	17	.03	2.97	73%	8%	0.72
VT Defense	11	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.83	68%	12%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WAKE Defense	13	47%	44%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.98	77%	10%	0.95
VT Offense	11	49%	40%	35.3	111.8	3.2	15	.08	2.95	74%	10%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Offense	13	54%	51%	23.2	36.5	311.9	8.6	13.4	43	13	.45	1.6	30%	37%	.43	7%	2
VT Defense	11	53%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.25	1.7	36%	27%	.32	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WAKE Defense	13	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.29	1.7	35%	34%	.45	7%	2.2
VT Offense	11	50%	36%	18.5	31.5	202.9	6.5	11	9	9	.15	1.5	35%	27%	.31	6%	2.2

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -7.40 #103
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 9.55 #123
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 10.54 #80
2023 Talent Rating: 603.68 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #63
Wake Forest's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Wake Forest's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #101
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -7.40 Virginia Tech: 5.605

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -7.5 Virginia Tech: 4.7

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 5.605 #54
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 17.22 #58
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 9.01 #61
2023 Talent Rating: 638.89 #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #57
Virginia Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Virginia Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #46
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #44

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

Wake Forest's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Virginia Tech 32
Wake Forest 19

Projected Total Points: 51

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.6

Virginia Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Virginia Tech	23	Wake Forest	30	Virginia Tech -4.5	Wake Forest	51.5	Over
2023	10/14	Virginia Tech	30	Wake Forest	13	Virginia Tech -1.5	Virginia Tech	48.5	Under
2020	10/24	Wake Forest	23	Virginia Tech	16	Virginia Tech -10.5	Wake Forest	69.0	Under
2019	11/09	Virginia Tech	36	Wake Forest	17	Wake Forest -3	Virginia Tech	61.0	Under
2014	11/22	Wake Forest	6	Virginia Tech	3	Virginia Tech -14	Wake Forest	0
2011	10/15	Wake Forest	17	Virginia Tech	38
2010	10/16	Virginia Tech	52	Wake Forest	21
2006	11/18	Wake Forest	6	Virginia Tech	27
2004	10/09	Wake Forest	10	Virginia Tech	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia Tech	6	2	1 Overs
Wake Forest	3	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 4	4 - 1	1 - 1	3 - 0
Road Teams	4 - 5	1 - 4	0 - 3	1 - 1

(#103) WAKE at (#54) VT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WAKE	VT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#103	#54
SP+SP+	#92	#46
Perf GradeGrade	#56	#74
OffenseOff	#63	#92
DefenseDef	#45	#76
Spec TeamsST	#44	#45
TalentTal	#70	#59
Blue ChipsBC%	#63	#57

Wake Forest Injury Report

Virginia Tech Injury Report

Wake Forest on Offense


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	VT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#63	#76
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#123	#61
SP+SP+	#101	#44
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wake Forest Run Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	VT Def
Run GameRun	#123	#110
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#8	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#94

Wake Forest Pass Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	VT Def
Pass GamePass	#116	#77
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#29	#9
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Virginia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	VT Off	WAKE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#92	#45
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#58	#80
SP+SP+	#65	#66
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	WAKE Def
Run GameRun	#49	#48
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#109	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#16

Virginia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	WAKE Def
Pass GamePass	#89	#62
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#86	#72
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
VT 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

WAKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Virginia Tech -1.5 (48.5)
Virginia Tech won vs Wake Forest this year (30-13)

Previous Matchups
Wake Forest beat Virginia Tech last year (30-23)
Virginia Tech beat Wake Forest in 2023 (30-13)

WAKE's OC Warren Ruggiero (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Mitch Griffis	123	207	59%	1539	9	8	7.4
Michael Kern	56	92	61%	645	4	2	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Demond Claiborne	137	586	5	4.3	42
Justice Ellison	120	548	1	4.6	51
Tate Carney	49	244	4	5.0	74
Mitch Griffis	106	128	2	1.2	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahmal Banks	59	653	4	11.1	33
Taylor Morin	41	617	2	15.0	61
Ke'Shawn Williams	38	384	1	10.1	34
Wesley Grimes	20	339	4	17.0	49

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC Brad Lambert (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dylan Hazen	86	9	1	3	0
Jacob Roberts (Tr)	82	10	6	3	1
Malik Mustapha	80	5	1	1	2
Chelen Garnes	61	2	2	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jasheen Davis	49	16	8	10	2
Jacob Roberts (Tr)	82	10	6	3	1
Kendron Wayman	35	4	2	4	2
Chelen Garnes	61	2	2	0	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Caelen Carson	42	1	0	0	6
Chelen Garnes	61	2	2	0	5
Nick Andersen	33	1	1	1	3

VT's OC Tyler Bowen (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyron Drones (Tr)	166	285	58%	2084	17	3	7.3
Grant Wells	37	68	54%	519	5	2	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bhayshul Tuten (Tr)	173	863	10	5.0	49
Kyron Drones (Tr)	166	818	5	4.9	59
Malachi Thomas	83	381	2	4.6	35
Grant Wells	17	75	1	4.4	60

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Da'Quan Felton (Tr)	38	667	8	17.6	84
Jaylin Lane (Tr)	41	538	6	13.1	75
Dae'Quan Wright	28	366	0	13.1	39
Stephen Gosnell	22	347	3	15.8	44

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Chris Marve (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keli Lawson	76	7	3	4	6
Alan Tisdale	71	4	2	2	2
Jalen Stroman	55	2	0	1	2
Mansoor Delane	52	3	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antwuan Powell	38	14	10	6	0
Cole Nelson	27	8	5	1	0
Pheldarius Payne	28	9	4	5	1
Norell Pollard	23	8	4	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dorian Strong	24	1	0	0	8
Keli Lawson	76	7	3	4	6
Derrick Canteen (Tr)	34	2	0	0	5