Virginia Tech at Marshall - 2023 Matchup Preview

Virginia Tech Hokies at Marshall Thundering Herd

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Marshall -5.5 (41.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Marshall 24 - Virginia Tech: 17

Hokies (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (4 - 10)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (16 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

VT 2nd straight Road Game
MRSH coming off BYE
VT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Virginia Tech -7.5 (SP+ VT -13)
Projected Score: VT: 28 - MRSH: 20 (48)
MRSH Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
VT Travel: 137 miles

Thundering Herd (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (18 - 10)
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 7.1 (#76)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VT Players
MRSH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Virginia Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion	-16.0	48.0	W 36 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Virginia Tech vs Purdue	-1.5	49.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/16	Virginia Tech at Rutgers	+6.5	37.5	L 16 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/23	Virginia Tech at Marshall	+5.5	41.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Virginia Tech vs Pittsburgh	+3.0	40.0	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Virginia Tech at Florida State	+23.5	52.5	L 17 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest	-1.5	48.5	W 30 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26	Virginia Tech vs Syracuse	-2.5	47.5	W 38 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Virginia Tech at Louisville	+9.5	48.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/11	Virginia Tech at Boston College	-2.5	48.5	W 48 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Virginia Tech vs NC State	-2.5	40.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/25	Virginia Tech at Virginia	-2.5	52.5	W 55 - 17	O	Y
Wed 12/27	Virginia Tech vs Tulane	-13.5	43.5	W 41 - 20	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule

Marshall's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Marshall vs UAlbany	-22.0	47.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/9	Marshall at East Carolina	-3.0	43.5	W 31 - 13	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Marshall vs Virginia Tech	-5.5	41.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Marshall vs Old Dominion	-14.5	47.0	W 41 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/7	Marshall at NC State	+6.5	44.0	L 41 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/14	Marshall at Georgia State	+2.0	53.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Thu 10/19	Marshall vs James Madison	+5.0	49.0	L 9 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/28	Marshall at Coastal Carolina	-3.5	47.0	L 6 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/4	Marshall at App State	+3.0	57.5	L 9 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/11	Marshall vs Georgia Southern	+1.5	56.5	W 38 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Marshall at South Alabama	+10.5	44.5	L 0 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/25	Marshall vs Arkansas State	-2.0	54.0	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Tue 12/19	Marshall vs UTSA	+7.0	47.0	L 17 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT	.1	38%	21.4	40%	2.95	112	36%	203	2.62	.17	38%	30.2	41%	36%	3.86	57.9	1.4	1.3
MRSH	.06	40%	30.8	43%	2.91	205	36%	192	2.83	-.05	30%	30.3	32%	29%	2.67	66.1	1.5	2.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MRSH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Offense	11	21.4	16	37.6%	2.62	1.4	18	315	112	203	3.2	49%	50%	40%	36%	16%	.1
MRSH Defense	13	30.3	24.7	29.9%	2.67	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	32%	29%	24%	-.05

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Defense	11	30.2	29.3	38%	3.86	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	41%	36%	19%	.17
MRSH Offense	13	30.8	31.3	40.2%	2.83	1.5	21	397	205	192	4.5	61%	38%	43%	36%	20%	.06

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Virginia Tech	11	29:09	17.5	31%	43%	7.3	57.9	1.4	1.3	6.7	2.1	3	28.4
Marshall	13	31:49	20.8	37%	29%	7.2	66.1	1.5	2.8	6.3	2.8	4	31.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Offense	11	49%	40%	35.3	111.8	3.2	15	.08	2.95	74%	10%	0.91
MRSH Defense	13	44%	32%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.6	62%	14%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Defense	11	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.83	68%	12%	1.08
MRSH Offense	13	61%	43%	45.8	205.2	4.5	20	.09	2.91	69%	14%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Offense	11	50%	36%	18.5	31.5	202.9	6.5	11	9	9	.15	1.5	35%	27%	.31	6%	2.2
MRSH Defense	13	55%	29%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	-.06	1.7	39%	19%	.02	10%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Defense	11	53%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.25	1.7	36%	27%	.32	6%	2.1
MRSH Offense	13	38%	36%	17.3	28.2	192	6.8	11.1	16	10	.06	1.4	34%	25%	.12	6%	2

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 1.51 #54
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 17.22 #58
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 9.01 #61
2023 Talent Rating: 638.89 #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #57
Virginia Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Virginia Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #46
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #44

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 1.51 Marshall: -4.245

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 4.7 Marshall: -8.2

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -4.245 #91
Marshall's Offense Rating: 11.11 #118
Marshall's Defense Rating: 6.26 #33
2023 Talent Rating: 478.59 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Marshall's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10
Marshall's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #94
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #78
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7 #96

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Virginia Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Virginia Tech 28
Marshall 20

Projected Total Points: 48

Marshall Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

Marshall's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/07	Virginia Tech	31	Marshall	14	Virginia Tech -20.5	Marshall	52.5	Under
2023	09/23	Marshall	24	Virginia Tech	17	Marshall -5.5	Marshall	41.5	Under
2018	12/01	Virginia Tech	41	Marshall	20	Virginia Tech -3.5	Virginia Tech	51.5	Over
2013	09/21	Virginia Tech	29	Marshall	21	Virginia Tech -11	Marshall	0
2011	09/24	Marshall	10	Virginia Tech	30
2009	09/12	Virginia Tech	52	Marshall	10
2005	10/08	Virginia Tech	41	Marshall	14
2002	09/12	Virginia Tech	47	Marshall	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Marshall	1	3	1 Overs
Virginia Tech	7	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 1	2 - 2	2 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 7	2 - 2	0 - 0	2 - 2

(#54) VT at (#91) MRSH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VT	MRSH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#54	#91
SP+SP+	#46	#94
Perf GradeGrade	#74	#63
OffenseOff	#92	#112
DefenseDef	#76	#13
Spec TeamsST	#45	#20
TalentTal	#59	#95
Blue ChipsBC%	#57	#75

Virginia Tech Injury Report

Marshall Injury Report

Virginia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	VT Off	MRSH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#92	#13
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#58	#33
SP+SP+	#65	#96
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	MRSH Def
Run GameRun	#49	#12
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#109	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#42

Virginia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	MRSH Def
Pass GamePass	#89	#23
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#86	#16
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Marshall on Offense


CategoryCat	MRSH Off	VT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#112	#76
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#118	#61
SP+SP+	#78	#44
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Marshall Run Game


CategoryCat	MRSH Off	VT Def
Run GameRun	#113	#110
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#76	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#94

Marshall Pass Game


CategoryCat	MRSH Off	VT Def
Pass GamePass	#104	#77
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#40	#9
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MRSH 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

VT 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Marshall -5.5 (41.5)
Marshall won vs Virginia Tech this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
Virginia Tech beat Marshall in 2024 (31-14)
Marshall beat Virginia Tech in 2023 (24-17)

VT's OC Tyler Bowen (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kyron Drones (Tr)	166	285	58%	2084	17	3	7.3
Grant Wells	37	68	54%	519	5	2	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bhayshul Tuten (Tr)	173	863	10	5.0	49
Kyron Drones (Tr)	166	818	5	4.9	59
Malachi Thomas	83	381	2	4.6	35
Grant Wells	17	75	1	4.4	60

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Da'Quan Felton (Tr)	38	667	8	17.6	84
Jaylin Lane (Tr)	41	538	6	13.1	75
Dae'Quan Wright	28	366	0	13.1	39
Stephen Gosnell	22	347	3	15.8	44

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Chris Marve (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keli Lawson	76	7	3	4	6
Alan Tisdale	71	4	2	2	2
Jalen Stroman	55	2	0	1	2
Mansoor Delane	52	3	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antwuan Powell	38	14	10	6	0
Cole Nelson	27	8	5	1	0
Pheldarius Payne	28	9	4	5	1
Norell Pollard	23	8	4	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dorian Strong	24	1	0	0	8
Keli Lawson	76	7	3	4	6
Derrick Canteen (Tr)	34	2	0	0	5

MRSH's OC Clint Trickett (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cam Fancher	202	308	66%	2162	11	11	7.0
Cole Pennington	64	112	57%	695	0	6	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rasheen Ali	212	1140	15	5.4	64
Ethan Payne	83	335	1	4.0	64
Cam Fancher	120	273	4	2.3	63
Caleb McMillan	1	21	1	21.0	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayden Harrison	28	410	1	14.6	52
DeMarcus Harris	24	396	1	16.5	65
Caleb Coombs	39	310	2	7.9	24
Caleb McMillan	18	275	2	15.3	75

View Marshall's Full Roster

MRSH's DC Jason Semore (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elias Neal	93	11	3	3	2
J.J. Roberts (Tr)	74	2	0	1	1
Owen Porter	62	14	4	13	2
Stephen Dix Jr. (Tr)	62	7	2	4	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sam Burton	42	8	7	8	0
Elijah Alston	45	11	6	14	2
Owen Porter	62	14	4	13	2
Michael Green	41	8	4	6	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Micah Abraham	36	0	0	15
Dyoni Hill	54	1	0	10
Josh Moten	30	1	1	6