NC State at Wake Forest - 2023 Matchup Preview
NC State logo NC State Wolfpack at Wake Forest Demon DeaconsWake Forest logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Wake Forest -0.5 (42.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
NC State 26 - Wake Forest: 6  (ACC)

 
Wolfpack (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (74 - 55)
Avg Score : 26 - 21 (22 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WAKE is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: NC State -12.5   (SP+ NCST -17)

Projected Score: NCST: 28 - WAKE: 16 (44)
WAKE Win prob: 53% | Cover: 53%
NCST Travel: 89 miles
Demon Deacons (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dave Clawson (62 - 53)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (22 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
NC State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 NC State at UConn-14.547.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 9/9 NC State vs Notre Dame+7.049.5L 24 - 45ON
Sat 9/16 NC State vs VMI-42.551.0W 45 - 7ON
Fri 9/22 NC State at Virginia-8.547.5W 24 - 21UN
Fri 9/29 NC State vs Louisville+3.556.5L 10 - 13UY
Sat 10/7 NC State vs Marshall-6.544.0W 48 - 41OY
Sat 10/14 NC State at Duke+3.544.0L 3 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 NC State vs Clemson+9.544.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 11/4 NC State vs Miami+6.544.0W 20 - 6UY
Sat 11/11 NC State at Wake Forest+0.542.5W 26 - 6UY
Sat 11/18 NC State at Virginia Tech+2.540.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 11/25 NC State vs North Carolina+2.055.0W 39 - 20OY
Thu 12/28 NC State vs Kansas State+3.048.5L 19 - 28UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Wake Forest's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Wake Forest vs Elon-33.553.5W 37 - 17ON
Sat 9/9 Wake Forest vs Vanderbilt-9.555.0W 36 - 20OY
Sat 9/16 Wake Forest at Old Dominion-13.560.0W 27 - 24UN
Sat 9/23 Wake Forest vs Georgia Tech-3.558.5L 16 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Wake Forest at Clemson+21.053.5L 12 - 17UY
Sat 10/14 Wake Forest at Virginia Tech+1.548.5L 13 - 30UN
Sat 10/21 Wake Forest vs Pittsburgh+3.045.0W 21 - 17UY
Sat 10/28 Wake Forest vs Florida State+21.053.5L 16 - 41ON
Thu 11/2 Wake Forest at Duke+6.541.0L 21 - 24OY
Sat 11/11 Wake Forest vs NC State-0.542.5L 6 - 26UN
Sat 11/18 Wake Forest at Notre Dame+22.547.5L 7 - 45ON
Sat 11/25 Wake Forest at Syracuse+3.043.5L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST#89 (.15)40% (100)26.240% (96)3.11 (68)15739% (96)1944.11 (47)#16 (.1)39% (34)20.839% (34)40% (40)3.77 (66)46.31.21.9
WAKE#122 (.07)41% (76)20.342% (85)2.97 (97)13042% (65)1963.03 (124)#89 (.21)41% (49)27.240% (40)42% (74)4.25 (110)38.81.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4
WAKE#104 (.13)42% (81)43% (79)3 (79)13141% (75)2403.2 (121)#118 (.27)51% (134)48% (110)53% (133)4.12 (99)45.91.81.4



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1326.222.439.5%4.111.2193501571944.352%48%40%39%18%.15
WAKE Defense1227.225.240.5%4.251.3 - - - - - 51%48%40%42%17%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense1320.818.638.8%3.771.9 - - - - - 44%54%39%40%19%.1
WAKE Offense1220.32241.4%3.031.8203261301963.354%45%42%42%24%.07

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1332:2718.540%60%5.846.31.21.95.52.5330.1
Wake Forest1229:0519.934%42%4.138.81.81.35.81.9130.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1352% (52)40% (96)36.8156.64.319 (69).13 (83)3.11 (68)80% (20)12% (106)0.93 (100)
WAKE Defense1251% (79)40% (40) - - - - .06 (25)3.11 (71)64% (20)11% (31)0.89 (24)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1344% (11)39% (34) - - - - .12 (55)2.88 (31)66% (27)11% (32)1.07 (103)
WAKE Offense1254% (35)42% (85)39130.43.313 (108).02 (124)2.97 (97)63% (122)15% (132)0.79 (132)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1348% (80)39% (96)17.229.2193.86.711.319 (78)12 (85).2 (95)1.6 (67)34% (102)27% (101).27 (90)6% (72)2 (92)
WAKE Defense1248% (54)42% (74) - - - - - - 8 (100).4 (120)1.7 (113)33% (53)29% (46).4 (105)5% (102)2.3 (127)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1354% (122)40% (40) - - - - - - 17 (3).14 (15)1.5 (28)36% (17)29% (50).2 (19)7% (25)1.9 (16)
WAKE Offense1245% (101)42% (65)1626.81967.312.314 (106)12 (85).19 (98)1.6 (81)31% (53)29% (77).24 (96)9% (131)1.9 (110)

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 5.66 #34
NC State's Offense Rating: 14.92 #83
NC State's Defense Rating: 3.52 #17
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #34
NC State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
NC State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State: 5.66   Wake Forest: -4.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 9.4   Wake Forest: -7.5




Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -4.95 #103
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 9.55 #123
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 10.54 #80
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Wake Forest's 2023 Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20
Wake Forest's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #101
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


NC State Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.6

NC State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 28
Wake Forest 16


Total Points: 44

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 20.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 22
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.2

Wake Forest's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/11Wake Forest24NC State34NC StateNC State -7.5NC State52.5Over
202410/05NC State30Wake Forest34Wake ForestNC State -4Wake Forest52.5Over
202311/11Wake Forest6NC State26NC StateWake Forest -0.5NC State42.5Under
202211/05NC State30Wake Forest21NC StateWake Forest -3NC State54.0Under
202111/13Wake Forest45NC State42Wake ForestWake Forest -1Wake Forest65.0Over
202009/19NC State45Wake Forest42NC StateWake Forest -2NC State54.0Over
201911/02Wake Forest44NC State10Wake ForestWake Forest -7.5Wake Forest60.0Under
201811/08NC State23Wake Forest27Wake ForestNC State -17Wake Forest69.0Under
201711/18Wake Forest30NC State24Wake ForestWake Forest -3Wake Forest62.0Under
201610/01NC State33Wake Forest16NC StateNC State -9NC State48.0Over
201510/24Wake Forest17NC State35NC StateNC State -8.5NC State43.5Over
201411/15NC State42Wake Forest13NC StateNC State -12NC State0
201310/05Wake Forest28NC State13Wake ForestNC State -8Wake Forest0
201211/10NC State37Wake Forest6NC State
201109/10Wake Forest34NC State27Wake Forest
201011/13NC State38Wake Forest3NC State
200910/03Wake Forest30NC State24Wake Forest
200811/15NC State21Wake Forest17NC State
200711/17Wake Forest38NC State18Wake Forest
200610/14NC State23Wake Forest25Wake Forest
200510/22Wake Forest27NC State19Wake Forest
200410/02NC State27Wake Forest21NC State
200309/06Wake Forest38NC State24Wake Forest
200209/14NC State32Wake Forest13NC State
200110/06Wake Forest14NC State17NC State
200011/24NC State32Wake Forest14NC State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wake Forest1266 Overs
NC State1475 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams19 - 78 - 55 - 33 - 2
Road Teams7 - 195 - 82 - 33 - 5

(#34) NC State Info
Power Rating: 5.66 #34
Offense Rating: 14.92 #83
Defense Rating: 3.52 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #34
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60


NC State has won 2 straight
NC State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 1 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

NC State Highlights
NC State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

NC State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#42)
NC State Secondary is very good (#80)
NC State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

NC State Deficiencies
NC State offense is really bad (#67)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWAKENCST
OverallOver#45#66
OffenseOff#58#93
DefenseDef#37#36
Special TeamsST#37#47
PassingPass#98#64
RushingRush#89#66
Run BlockRBLK#8#68
Pass BlockPBLK#27#62
Route RunningWR Rt#41#103
TacklingTkl#14#9
Run DefenseR Def#42#12
Pass Rush DefPRush#55#75
Coverage DefCov#50#75

Rematch from Week 11
Wake Forest -0.5 (42.5)
NC State won at Wake Forest this year (26-6)

Previous Matchups
Wake Forest beat NC State last year (34-30)
NC State beat Wake Forest in 2023 (26-6)
NC State beat Wake Forest in 2022 (30-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in BB&T Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NCST | WAKE
Depth Chart: NCST | WAKE
Rosters: NCST | WAKE
(#103) Wake Forest Info
Power Rating: -4.95 #103
Offense Rating: 9.55 #123
Defense Rating: 10.54 #80
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 #92
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #66
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Expected Record: 3.80 - 8.20


Wake Forest has lost 2 straight
Wake Forest has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Wake Forest Highlights
Wake Forest commits very few Penalties (#85)

Wake Forest Deficiencies
Wake Forest has a really bad Offense
Wake Forest has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Wake Forest Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Wake Forest offense is not Explosive (#9)
Wake Forest Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#103)
Wake Forest offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#116)
Wake Forest offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Wake Forest has a bad red zone defense (#49)


  
NC State's OC Robert Anae
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brennan Armstrong (Tr)16026261%17831176.8
MJ Morris6311356%719756.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brennan Armstrong (Tr)14366574.743
Kevin Concepcion4132007.865
Kendrick Raphael6731114.631
Delbert Mimms III9628282.918
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Concepcion718391011.872
Keyon Lesane2824708.838
Dacari Collins (Tr)14210215.038
Brad Rozner18208211.621

View NC State's Full Roster
NC State's DC Tony Gibson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Payton Wilson138186106
Jaylon Scott7562103
Sean Brown665245
Devan Boykin543011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davin Vann4387111
Payton Wilson138186106
Red Hibbler126631
Brandon Cleveland285310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aydan White3721010
Payton Wilson138186106
Sean Brown665245

Wake Forest's OC Warren Ruggiero
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mitch Griffis12320759%1539987.4
Michael Kern569261%645427.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Demond Claiborne13758654.342
Justice Ellison12054814.651
Tate Carney4924445.074
Mitch Griffis10612821.227
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahmal Banks59653411.133
Taylor Morin41617215.061
Ke'Shawn Williams38384110.134
Wesley Grimes20339417.049

View Wake Forest's Full Roster
Wake Forest's DC Brad Lambert
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Hazen869130
Jacob Roberts (Tr)8210631
Malik Mustapha805112
Chelen Garnes612205
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jasheen Davis49168102
Jacob Roberts (Tr)8210631
Kendron Wayman354242
Chelen Garnes612205
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caelen Carson421006
Chelen Garnes612205
Nick Andersen331113