Notre Dame at NC State Game Matchup

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at NC State Wolfpack

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -7 (49.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Notre Dame 45 - NC State: 24

Fighting Irish (10 - 3) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach Marcus Freeman (13 - 5)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (46 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Light Rain Predicted
Our Line: Notre Dame -9.5 (SP+ ND -9.5)
Projected Score: ND: 31 - NCST: 22 (55)
ND Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
ND Travel: 574 miles

Wolfpack (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (74 - 55)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ND Players
NCST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Notre Dame's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Notre Dame vs Navy	-20.5	49.0	W 42 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/2	Notre Dame vs Tennessee State	-48.5	55.0	W 56 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Notre Dame at NC State	-7.0	49.5	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Notre Dame vs Central Michigan	-34.5	51.5	W 41 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/23	Notre Dame vs Ohio State	+3.0	55.5	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Notre Dame at Duke	-5.5	52.5	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Notre Dame at Louisville	-6.5	53.0	L 20 - 33	U	N
Sat 10/14	Notre Dame vs USC	-3.0	61.0	W 48 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh	-21.0	45.5	W 58 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Notre Dame at Clemson	-3.0	44.5	L 23 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	Notre Dame vs Wake Forest	-22.5	47.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Notre Dame at Stanford	-26.0	50.5	W 56 - 23	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Notre Dame vs Oregon State	-5.5	40.5	W 40 - 8	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule

NC State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	NC State at UConn	-14.5	47.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/9	NC State vs Notre Dame	+7.0	49.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/16	NC State vs VMI	-42.5	51.0	W 45 - 7	O	N
Fri 9/22	NC State at Virginia	-8.5	47.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Fri 9/29	NC State vs Louisville	+3.5	56.5	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/7	NC State vs Marshall	-6.5	44.0	W 48 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/14	NC State at Duke	+3.5	44.0	L 3 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	NC State vs Clemson	+9.5	44.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/4	NC State vs Miami	+6.5	44.0	W 20 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/11	NC State at Wake Forest	+0.5	42.5	W 26 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/18	NC State at Virginia Tech	+2.5	40.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/25	NC State vs North Carolina	+2.0	55.0	W 39 - 20	O	Y
Thu 12/28	NC State vs Kansas State	+3.0	48.5	L 19 - 28	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ND	.2	48%	36.1	49%	3.34	189	46%	207	3.99	.14	39%	15.5	44%	35%	3.92	42.3	1.4	1.4
NCST	.13	39%	28.5	40%	2.81	114	38%	226	3.52	.1	35%	30.2	33%	37%	3.39	57.8	1.2	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ND		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NCST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ND Offense	13	36.1	46	47.6%	3.99	1.4	22	396	189	207	4.6	58%	41%	49%	46%	12%	.2
NCST Defense	13	30.2	24.7	35.1%	3.39	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	33%	37%	19%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ND Defense	13	15.5	18.3	38.9%	3.92	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	44%	35%	15%	.14
NCST Offense	13	28.5	31	38.8%	3.52	1.2	20	340	114	226	3.4	44%	55%	40%	38%	16%	.13

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Notre Dame	13	32:10	21.6	47%	44%	4.6	42.3	1.4	1.4	6	2.8	3	33.4
NC State	13	31:23	20.4	36%	40%	7.3	57.8	1.2	1.7	6.5	2.2	2	31.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ND Offense	13	58%	49%	40.8	189.1	4.6	25	.16	3.34	73%	7%	0.85
NCST Defense	13	42%	33%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.51	53%	11%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ND Defense	13	48%	44%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.01	63%	11%	1.06
NCST Offense	13	44%	40%	34	113.8	3.4	8	.02	2.81	71%	10%	0.82

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ND Offense	13	41%	46%	16.2	26	207.2	8	12.8	25	11	.27	1.6	26%	33%	.35	5%	1.9
NCST Defense	13	57%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.2	1.6	38%	30%	.36	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ND Defense	13	51%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.14	1.7	33%	26%	.28	4%	2.3
NCST Offense	13	55%	38%	20.7	36.2	226.1	6.2	10.9	23	8	.25	1.5	35%	27%	.32	6%	2.1

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 19.73 #6
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 25.62 #11
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: 1.24 #12
2023 Talent Rating: 1086.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 67% #9
Notre Dame's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Notre Dame's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.1 #9
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #17
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4 #11

Notre Dame's SP+ Ratings
Notre Dame's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.1 #9
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #17
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4 #11

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 747
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 19.73 NC State: 10.03

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 19.1 NC State: 9.4

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 10.03 #34
NC State's Offense Rating: 14.92 #83
NC State's Defense Rating: 3.52 #17
2023 Talent Rating: 670.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
NC State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60

NC State's SP+ Ratings
NC State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 36.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 46
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.3

Notre Dame's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Notre Dame 31
NC State 22

Projected Total Points: 55

NC State Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

NC State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	NC State	24	Notre Dame	45	Notre Dame	Notre Dame -7	Notre Dame	49.5	Over
2017	10/28	Notre Dame	35	NC State	14	Notre Dame	Notre Dame -7	Notre Dame	61.0	Under
2016	10/08	NC State	10	Notre Dame	3	NC State	Notre Dame -2.5	NC State	56.5	Under
2002	01/01	Notre Dame	6	NC State	28	NC State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
NC State	2	1	1 Overs
Notre Dame	2	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 2	1 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1

(#6) Notre Dame Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 19.73 #6
Offense Rating: 25.62 #11
Defense Rating: 1.24 #12
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.1 #9
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4 #11
Talent Rating: 1086.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 67% #9
Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70

Team Profile

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Notre Dame Ratings Matchup NC State

Power #6

#34

Off #11

#83

Def #12

#17

Talent #8

#58

SP+ #9

#30

SP+ Off #17

#69

SP+ Def #11

#16

Rematch from Week 2
Notre Dame 7.0 (49.5)
Notre Dame won at NC State this year (45-24)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat NC State in 2023 (45-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 72°

Team Information
Injuries: ND | NCST
Depth Chart: ND | NCST
Rosters: ND | NCST

(#34) NC State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.03 #34
Offense Rating: 14.92 #83
Defense Rating: 3.52 #17
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16
Talent Rating: 670.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60

Team Profile

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Notre Dame's OC Gerad Parker

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Davis Sherwood	1	1	100%	14	0	0	14.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devyn Ford (Tr)	13	55	0	4.2	11
Chris Tyree	11	43	0	3.9	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mitchell Evans	43	421	3	9.8	33
Rico Flores	12	187	1	15.6	53
Chris Tyree	24	136	0	5.7	25
Holden Staes	15	131	1	8.7	20

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

Notre Dame's DC Al Golden

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antonio Carter II (Tr)	103	3	0	1	3
Jack Kiser	90	5	2	3	1
Xavier Watts	83	4	0	4	9
Aidan Keanaaina	43	3	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Rylie Mills	37	9	8	4	0
Howard Cross III	27	5	4	3	1
Nana Osafo-Mensah	38	9	3	5	1
Jack Kiser	90	5	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Clarence Lewis	36	1	0	0	12
Xavier Watts	83	4	0	4	9
Ramon Henderson	33	1	1	2	4

NC State's OC Robert Anae

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
MJ Morris	36	61	59%	350	5	5	5.7
Anthony Smith	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Delbert Mimms III	182	799	9	4.4	41
Jordan Houston	111	592	2	5.3	45
Michael Allen	19	108	0	5.7	36
Julian Gray	10	62	1	6.2	41

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Smith	41	799	6	19.5	64
Jordan Houston	13	173	1	13.3	75
Delbert Mimms III	19	147	1	7.7	20
Julian Gray	7	97	2	13.9	36

View NC State's Full Roster

NC State's DC Tony Gibson

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jakeen Harris	67	1	0	0	4
Devon Betty	61	9	2	6	2
Aydan White	59	0	0	0	5
Davin Vann	41	14	7	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davin Vann	41	14	7	2	2
Devon Betty	61	9	2	6	2
C.J. Clark	19	2	1	0	0
Jakeen Harris	67	1	0	0	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Aydan White	59	0	0	5
Jakeen Harris	67	1	0	4
Noah Potter (Tr)	20	2	2	3