UCLA at San Diego State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
UCLA -13 (49.0) (0) Open: 0.0
UCLA 35 - San Diego State: 10

Bruins (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chip Kelly (30 - 29)
Avg Score : 18 - 25 (21 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SDSU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: UCLA -13.5 (SP+ UCLA -18.5)
Projected Score: UCLA: 31 - SDSU: 17 (47)
UCLA Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
UCLA Travel: 113 miles

Aztecs (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brady Hoke (25 - 14)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (22 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#99)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UCLA Players
SDSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UCLA's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UCLA vs Coastal Carolina	-15.5	66.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	UCLA at San Diego State	-13.0	49.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/16	UCLA vs North Carolina Central	-35.0	60.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/23	UCLA at Utah	+3.0	50.5	L 7 - 14	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	UCLA vs Washington State	-3.0	60.0	W 25 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/14	UCLA at Oregon State	+3.5	53.5	L 24 - 36	O	N
Sat 10/21	UCLA at Stanford	-17.0	52.0	W 42 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/28	UCLA vs Colorado	-14.0	60.0	W 28 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/4	UCLA at Arizona	-2.5	50.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/11	UCLA vs Arizona State	-14.0	45.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/18	UCLA at USC	+6.0	65.5	W 38 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UCLA vs California	-9.5	50.5	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 12/16	UCLA vs Boise State	-6.5	46.0	W 35 - 22	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule

San Diego State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	San Diego State vs Ohio	-2.0	48.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/2	San Diego State vs Idaho State	-34.5	51.0	W 36 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/9	San Diego State vs UCLA	+13.0	49.0	L 10 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/16	San Diego State at Oregon State	+24.5	48.5	L 9 - 26	U	Y
Fri 9/22	San Diego State vs Boise State	+6.5	46.0	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/30	San Diego State at Air Force	+10.5	43.5	L 10 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	San Diego State at Hawai'i	-6.0	51.5	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/21	San Diego State vs Nevada	-11.0	48.5	L 0 - 6	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	San Diego State vs Utah State	+2.0	56.5	L 24 - 32	U	N
Sat 11/11	San Diego State at Colorado State	+3.5	46.5	L 19 - 22	U	Y
Sat 11/18	San Diego State at San José State	+16.5	48.5	L 13 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/25	San Diego State vs Fresno State	+5.5	47.0	W 33 - 18	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA	.37	54%	18.4	57%	3.73	238	52%	265	4.5	.23	47%	25.3	48%	46%	4.21	52.5	1.5	1.8
SDSU	.14	39%	21.3	38%	2.81	143	41%	181	2.92	.06	38%	29.6	36%	40%	3.15	59.4	1.8	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SDSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Offense	13	18.4	20.8	54%	4.5	1.5	26	504	238	265	6	51%	49%	57%	52%	12%	.37
SDSU Defense	13	29.6	23.3	37.5%	3.15	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	36%	40%	19%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Defense	13	25.3	26.2	46.8%	4.21	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	56%	48%	46%	12%	.23
SDSU Offense	13	21.3	22.3	38.8%	2.92	1.8	16	324	143	181	4	53%	46%	38%	41%	20%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UCLA	13	27:21	25.8	51%	58%	6.5	52.5	1.5	1.8	4.3	2.2	1	29.4
San Diego State	13	30:56	15.8	29%	75%	7.4	59.4	1.8	1.9	6.5	2.8	4	30.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Offense	13	51%	57%	39.5	238.4	6	36	.39	3.73	85%	8%	1.04
SDSU Defense	13	44%	36%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.84	62%	13%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Defense	13	44%	48%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.33	84%	8%	0.89
SDSU Offense	13	53%	38%	36.2	143.2	4	11	.08	2.81	58%	14%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Offense	13	49%	52%	22.4	32.2	265.2	8.2	11.9	29	12	.38	1.5	26%	41%	.48	5%	2
SDSU Defense	13	55%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.19	1.5	34%	28%	.18	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Defense	13	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.3	1.4	29%	31%	.37	5%	2.2
SDSU Offense	13	46%	41%	14.2	26.3	180.6	6.9	12.7	15	14	.31	1.6	34%	31%	.37	6%	2.2

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 6.08 #33
UCLA's Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
UCLA's Defense Rating: 1.17 #11
2023 Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #26
UCLA's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
UCLA's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #56
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
UCLA: 6.08 San Diego State: -6.495

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCLA: 7.9 San Diego State: -10.5

San Diego State's Power Ratings
San Diego State's Power Rating: -6.495 #104
San Diego State's Offense Rating: 12.44 #106
San Diego State's Defense Rating: 10.98 #86
2023 Talent Rating: 600.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
San Diego State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.00 - 7.00
San Diego State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
San Diego State's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #110
San Diego State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #91

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

UCLA's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
UCLA 31
San Diego State 17

Projected Total Points: 47

San Diego State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.3
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

San Diego State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	San Diego State	10	UCLA	35	UCLA	UCLA -13	UCLA	49.0	Under
2019	09/07	UCLA	14	San Diego State	23	San Diego State	UCLA -7.5	San Diego State	44.5	Under
2009	09/05	UCLA	33	San Diego State	14	UCLA
2005	09/03	San Diego State	21	UCLA	44	UCLA
2004	10/02	UCLA	33	San Diego State	10	UCLA
2003	09/27	UCLA	20	San Diego State	10	UCLA
2002	09/28	San Diego State	7	UCLA	43	UCLA

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San Diego State	1	1	0 Overs
UCLA	6	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 4	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 3	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#33) UCLA Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.08 #33
Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
Defense Rating: 1.17 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #56
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16
Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #26
Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50

Team Profile

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UCLA Ratings Matchup San Diego State

Power #33

#104

Off #103

#106

Def #11

#86

Talent #65

#73

SP+ #38

#107

SP+ Off #56

#110

SP+ Def #16

#91

Rematch from Week 2
UCLA 13.0 (49.0)
UCLA won at San Diego State this year (35-10)

Previous Matchups
UCLA beat San Diego State in 2023 (35-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Snapdragon Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 79° - Wind: 8 mph

Team Information
Injuries: UCLA | SDSU
Depth Chart: UCLA | SDSU
Rosters: UCLA | SDSU

(#104) San Diego State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.495 #104
Offense Rating: 12.44 #106
Defense Rating: 10.98 #86
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #91
Talent Rating: 600.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 5.00 - 7.00

Team Profile

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UCLA's OC Chip Kelly

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ethan Garbers	235	363	65%	2727	16	11	7.5
Collin Schlee (Tr)	28	55	51%	414	3	1	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keegan Jones	47	179	1	3.8	22
Collin Schlee (Tr)	41	143	2	3.5	18
Ethan Garbers	83	137	1	1.7	57
Dante Moore	1	6	0	6.0	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Moliki Matavao (Tr)	41	506	2	12.3	35
Kyle Ford (Tr)	26	317	3	12.2	41
Keegan Jones	19	201	1	10.6	67
Carsen Ryan	10	113	1	11.3	25

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC D'Anton Lynn

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carson Schwesinger	136	9	4	3	3
Kain Medrano	72	11	2	4	4
Kamari Ramsey	60	6	2	1	5
Oluwafemi Oladejo (Tr)	57	14	5	6	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Oluwafemi Oladejo (Tr)	57	14	5	6	2
Carson Schwesinger	136	9	4	3	3
Kamari Ramsey	60	6	2	1	5
Kain Medrano	72	11	2	4	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kamari Ramsey	60	6	2	1	5
Kain Medrano	72	11	2	4	4
Devin Kirkwood	24	1	1	0	4

San Diego State's OC Ryan Lindley

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Raphael Williams (Tr)	1	-3	0	-3.0	0
Josh Nicholson	1	-10	0	-10.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Raphael Williams (Tr)	36	419	6	11.6	35
Mark Redman	23	251	3	10.9	32
Mekhi Shaw	15	160	2	10.7	30
Cameron Harpole	1	17	0	17.0	17

View San Diego State's Full Roster

San Diego State's DC Kurt Mattix

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Noah Avinger	82	2	0	5
Marcus Ratcliffe	48	4	1	0
J.D. Coffey III	42	0	0	1
Zyrus Fiaseu	34	3	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cooper McDonald	25	5	3	2	1
Noah Avinger	82	2	0	0	5
Marcus Ratcliffe	48	4	0	1	0
J.D. Coffey III	42	0	0	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Noah Avinger	82	2	5
Dezjhon Malone	27	2	3
Dallas Branch	23	0	3