UCLA at Utah - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Utah -3 (50.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Utah 14 - UCLA: 7 (Pac-12)

Bruins (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chip Kelly (30 - 29)
Avg Score : 18 - 33 (17 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#34)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UTAH 2nd straight Home Game
UTAH is playing their 4th straight game
UCLA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Utah -2 (SP+ UTAH -0)
Projected Score: UCLA: 26 - UTAH: 28 (54)
UTAH Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
UCLA Travel: 572 miles, 1 hrs behind

Utes (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (157 - 74)
Avg Score : 41 - 19 (44 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UCLA Players
UTAH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UCLA's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UCLA vs Coastal Carolina	-15.5	66.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	UCLA at San Diego State	-13.0	49.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/16	UCLA vs North Carolina Central	-35.0	60.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/23	UCLA at Utah	+3.0	50.5	L 7 - 14	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	UCLA vs Washington State	-3.0	60.0	W 25 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/14	UCLA at Oregon State	+3.5	53.5	L 24 - 36	O	N
Sat 10/21	UCLA at Stanford	-17.0	52.0	W 42 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/28	UCLA vs Colorado	-14.0	60.0	W 28 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/4	UCLA at Arizona	-2.5	50.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/11	UCLA vs Arizona State	-14.0	45.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/18	UCLA at USC	+6.0	65.5	W 38 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UCLA vs California	-9.5	50.5	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 12/16	UCLA vs Boise State	-6.5	46.0	W 35 - 22	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule

Utah's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Utah vs Florida	-5.5	44.5	W 24 - 11	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Utah at Baylor	-7.0	46.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/16	Utah vs Weber State	-26.5	44.0	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/23	Utah vs UCLA	-3.0	50.5	W 14 - 7	U	Y
Fri 9/29	Utah at Oregon State	+4.0	43.0	L 7 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Utah vs California	-9.0	42.5	W 34 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Utah at USC	+7.5	51.5	W 34 - 32	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Utah vs Oregon	+6.5	47.5	L 6 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	Utah vs Arizona State	-11.0	40.5	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Utah at Washington	+9.5	48.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Utah at Arizona	+2.5	45.5	L 18 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Utah vs Colorado	-21.5	43.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 12/23	Utah vs Northwestern	-6.5	44.5	L 7 - 14	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA	.37	54%	18.2	57%	3.73	238	52%	265	4.5	.23	47%	33.4	48%	46%	4.21	52.5	1.5	1.8
UTAH	.28	51%	41.3	54%	3.54	218	48%	249	4.16	.17	39%	18.9	41%	38%	3.86	40.2	1.3	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UTAH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Offense	13	18.2	16.8	54%	4.5	1.5	26	504	238	265	6	51%	49%	57%	52%	12%	.37
UTAH Defense	14	18.9	20.2	39.1%	3.86	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	41%	38%	19%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Defense	13	33.4	32.2	46.8%	4.21	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	56%	48%	46%	12%	.23
UTAH Offense	14	41.3	44	51%	4.16	1.3	26	467	218	249	5.4	51%	49%	54%	48%	12%	.28

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UCLA	13	27:21	25.8	51%	58%	6.5	52.5	1.5	1.8	4.3	2.2	1	29.4
Utah	14	33:40	25.9	51%	62%	4.5	40.2	1.3	2.3	5.9	2.9	3	32.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Offense	13	51%	57%	39.5	238.4	6	36	.39	3.73	85%	8%	1.04
UTAH Defense	14	43%	41%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.91	69%	13%	1.16

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Defense	13	44%	48%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.33	84%	8%	0.89
UTAH Offense	14	51%	54%	40	217.7	5.4	38	.31	3.54	81%	7%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Offense	13	49%	52%	22.4	32.2	265.2	8.2	11.9	29	12	.38	1.5	26%	41%	.48	5%	2
UTAH Defense	14	56%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.19	1.7	34%	28%	.22	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Defense	13	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.3	1.4	29%	31%	.37	5%	2.2
UTAH Offense	14	49%	48%	20.6	31.9	249.2	7.8	12.1	31	10	.26	1.4	27%	36%	.47	5%	2

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 6.08 #33
UCLA's Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
UCLA's Defense Rating: 1.17 #11
2023 Talent Rating: 752.60 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #26
UCLA's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
UCLA's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #56
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
UCLA: 6.08 Utah: 8.905

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCLA: 7.9 Utah: 8.3

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 8.905 #38
Utah's Offense Rating: 13.26 #97
Utah's Defense Rating: 6.62 #37
2023 Talent Rating: 722.55 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Utah's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Utah's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #35
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #60
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UCLA's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Utah 28
UCLA 26

Projected Total Points: 54

Utah Scoring
Offense: 41.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.2

Utah's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/30	UCLA	10	Utah	43	Utah -6.5	Utah	50.5	Over
2023	09/23	Utah	14	UCLA	7	Utah -3	Utah	50.5	Under
2022	10/08	UCLA	42	Utah	32	Utah -3	UCLA	64.5	Over
2021	10/30	Utah	44	UCLA	24	Utah -6	Utah	60.5	Over
2019	11/16	Utah	49	UCLA	3	Utah -22	Utah	52.0	Push
2018	10/26	UCLA	10	Utah	41	Utah -10.5	Utah	54.5	Under
2017	11/03	Utah	48	UCLA	17	Utah -9	Utah	54.0	Over
2016	10/22	UCLA	45	Utah	52	UCLA -7	Utah	42.5	Over
2015	11/21	Utah	9	UCLA	17	UCLA -2	UCLA	56.0	Under
2014	10/04	UCLA	28	Utah	30	UCLA -12.5	Utah	0
2013	10/03	Utah	27	UCLA	34	UCLA -3.5	UCLA	0
2012	10/13	UCLA	21	Utah	14
2011	11/12	Utah	31	UCLA	6
2007	09/15	Utah	44	UCLA	6
2006	09/02	UCLA	31	Utah	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah	10	8	5 Overs
UCLA	5	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 6	5 - 6	4 - 2	1 - 4
Road Teams	6 - 9	6 - 5	4 - 1	2 - 4

(#33) UCLA at (#38) UTAH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UCLA	UTAH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#33	#38
SP+SP+	#38	#35
Perf GradeGrade	#26	#73
OffenseOff	#68	#80
DefenseDef	#7	#64
Spec TeamsST	#47	#61
TalentTal	#25	#33
Blue ChipsBC%	#26	#27

UCLA Injury Report

Utah Injury Report

UCLA on Offense


CategoryCat	UCLA Off	UTAH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#68	#64
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#103	#37
SP+SP+	#56	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UCLA Run Game


CategoryCat	UCLA Off	UTAH Def
Run GameRun	#36	#64
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#32	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#18

UCLA Pass Game


CategoryCat	UCLA Off	UTAH Def
Pass GamePass	#99	#87
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#115	#73
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Utah on Offense


CategoryCat	UTAH Off	UCLA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#80	#7
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#97	#11
SP+SP+	#60	#16
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Utah Run Game


CategoryCat	UTAH Off	UCLA Def
Run GameRun	#47	#15
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#71

Utah Pass Game


CategoryCat	UTAH Off	UCLA Def
Pass GamePass	#104	#7
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#132	#1
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UTAH 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Down to Average P4

UCLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice-Eccles Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Utah -3.0 (50.5)
Utah won vs UCLA this year (14-7)

Previous Matchups
Utah beat UCLA last year (43-10)
Utah beat UCLA in 2023 (14-7)

UCLA's OC Chip Kelly (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dante Moore	114	213	54%	1610	11	9	7.6
Ethan Garbers	98	146	67%	1136	11	3	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Carson Steele (Tr)	167	846	6	5.1	42
TJ Harden	156	827	8	5.3	62
Collin Schlee (Tr)	42	425	3	10.1	57
Anthony Adkins (Tr)	30	178	1	5.9	38

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Logan Loya	59	655	5	11.1	49
J.Michael Sturdivant (Tr)	36	597	4	16.6	62
Moliki Matavao (Tr)	14	283	2	20.2	35
Kyle Ford (Tr)	22	236	1	10.7	37

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC D'Anton Lynn (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darius Muasau	75	11	3	1	5
Kain Medrano	56	7	2	4	2
Oluwafemi Oladejo (Tr)	53	2	0	0	3
Kenny Churchwell III	50	2	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laiatu Latu	48	21	12	10	2
Gabriel Murphy	39	17	9	8	2
Grayson Murphy	33	10	6	10	1
Darius Muasau	75	11	3	1	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylin Davies	43	1	0	0	6
Darius Muasau	75	11	3	1	5
Kamari Ramsey	40	3	0	2	4

UTAH's OC Andy Ludwig (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryson Barnes	142	242	59%	1572	12	11	6.5
Nate Johnson	39	72	54%	499	3	0	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Quinden Jackson	161	797	4	5.0	54
Jaylon Glover	137	562	2	4.1	30
Sione Vaki	42	317	2	7.5	72
Bryson Barnes	89	277	3	3.1	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devaughn Vele	43	593	3	13.8	68
Money Parks	31	293	2	9.5	70
Munir McClain	15	269	2	17.9	49
Mikey Matthews	29	261	0	9.0	40

View Utah's Full Roster

UTAH's DC Morgan Scalley (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Levani Damuni (Tr)	88	3	1	0
Karene Reid	67	2	0	4
Cole Bishop	60	7	3	3
Zemaiah Vaughn	53	5	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jonah Elliss	37	16	12	3	3
Connor O'Toole	31	6	5	0	3
Van Fillinger	31	6	4	0	0
Logan Fano (Tr)	14	4	4	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Zemaiah Vaughn	53	5	1	6
Tao Johnson	33	2	0	5
Karene Reid	67	2	0	4