Arizona State at UCLA - 2023 Matchup Preview
Arizona State logo   Arizona State Sun Devils at UCLA Bruins  UCLA logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (9:00 PM EST)
UCLA -14 (45.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Arizona State 17 - UCLA: 7  (Pac-12)

 
Sun Devils (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ASU 2nd straight Road Game
UCLA is playing their 6th straight game
ASU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UCLA -19.5  (SP+ UCLA -20)
Projected Score: ASU: 15 - UCLA: 34 (49)
UCLA Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
ASU Travel: 362 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bruins (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chip Kelly (30 - 29)
Avg Score : 18 - 33 (20 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#34)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Arizona State vs Southern Utah-34.060.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/9 Arizona State vs Oklahoma State+2.553.5L 15 - 27UN
Sat 9/16 Arizona State vs Fresno State+4.048.0L 0 - 29UN
Sat 9/23 Arizona State vs USC+34.562.0L 28 - 42OY
Sat 9/30 Arizona State at California+13.047.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/7 Arizona State vs Colorado+3.058.0L 24 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Arizona State at Washington+28.059.5L 7 - 15UY
Sat 10/28 Arizona State vs Washington State+4.549.0W 38 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Arizona State at Utah+11.040.5L 3 - 55ON
Sat 11/11 Arizona State at UCLA+14.045.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 11/18 Arizona State vs Oregon+21.552.5L 13 - 49ON
Sat 11/25 Arizona State vs Arizona+12.548.5L 23 - 59ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
UCLA's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 UCLA vs Coastal Carolina-15.566.5W 27 - 13UN
Sat 9/9 UCLA at San Diego State-13.049.0W 35 - 10UY
Sat 9/16 UCLA vs North Carolina Central-35.060.5W 59 - 7OY
Sat 9/23 UCLA at Utah+3.050.5L 7 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 UCLA vs Washington State-3.060.0W 25 - 17UY
Sat 10/14 UCLA at Oregon State+3.553.5L 24 - 36ON
Sat 10/21 UCLA at Stanford-17.052.0W 42 - 7UY
Sat 10/28 UCLA vs Colorado-14.060.0W 28 - 16UN
Sat 11/4 UCLA at Arizona-2.550.0L 10 - 27UN
Sat 11/11 UCLA vs Arizona State-14.045.5L 7 - 17UN
Sat 11/18 UCLA at USC+6.065.5W 38 - 20UY
Sat 11/25 UCLA vs California-9.550.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 12/16 UCLA vs Boise State-6.546.0W 35 - 22OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU.2344%25.846%3.1213544%2524.22.2747%24.551%45%4.472.31.51
UCLA.3754%18.257%3.7323852%2654.5.2347%33.448%46%4.2152.51.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Offense1225.824.644.3%4.221.5213871352524.244%55%46%44%19%.23
UCLA Defense1333.434.746.8%4.211.8 - - - - - 44%56%48%46%12%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Defense1224.525.247.3%4.41 - - - - - 48%52%51%45%17%.27
UCLA Offense1318.219.554%4.51.526504238265651%49%57%52%12%.37

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona State1230:4421.239%63%7.372.31.514.21.4126.3
UCLA1327:2125.851%58%6.552.51.51.84.32.2129.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Offense1244%46%32.1135.34.221.133.1274%12%0.91
UCLA Defense1344%48% - - - - .183.3384%8%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Defense1248%51% - - - - .343.5379%9%1.11
UCLA Offense1351%57%39.5238.4636.393.7385%8%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Offense1255%44%22.533.6251.97.511.21810.351.632%34%.437%2.1
UCLA Defense1356%46% - - - - - - 11.31.429%31%.375%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Defense1252%45% - - - - - - 11.251.426%31%.288%1.9
UCLA Offense1349%52%22.432.2265.28.211.92912.381.526%41%.485%2

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: -7.84  #106
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 12.85  #101
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 16.76  #123
2023 Talent Rating: 681.32  #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 24%  #27
Arizona State's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Arizona State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9  #108
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2  #102
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4  #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: -7.84   UCLA: 9.49

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: -11.9   UCLA: 7.9




UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 9.49  #33
UCLA's Offense Rating: 12.57  #103
UCLA's Defense Rating: 1.17  #11
2023 Talent Rating: 752.60  #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 25  #26
UCLA's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
UCLA's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9  #38
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2  #56
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9  #16

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Arizona State's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
UCLA 34
Arizona State 15

Projected Total Points: 49
UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

UCLA's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11UCLA7Arizona State17UCLA -14Arizona State45.5Under
202211/05Arizona State36UCLA50UCLA -11UCLA66.5Over
202110/02UCLA23Arizona State42UCLA -3Arizona State56.5Over
202012/05Arizona State18UCLA25Arizona State -3UCLA56.0Under
201910/26UCLA42Arizona State32Arizona State -3UCLA56.0Over
201811/10Arizona State31UCLA28Arizona State -11.5UCLA64.5Under
201711/11UCLA44Arizona State37UCLA -3UCLA66.0Over
201610/08Arizona State23UCLA20UCLA -4.5Arizona State58.0Under
201510/03UCLA23Arizona State38UCLA -13Arizona State61.5Under
201409/25Arizona State27UCLA62UCLA -3UCLA0
201311/23UCLA33Arizona State38Arizona State -2Arizona State0
201210/27Arizona State43UCLA45
201111/05UCLA29Arizona State28
201011/26Arizona State55UCLA34
200911/21UCLA23Arizona State13
200811/28Arizona State34UCLA9
200711/10UCLA20Arizona State24
200611/18Arizona State12UCLA24
200511/12UCLA45Arizona State35
200410/23Arizona State48UCLA42
200310/25UCLA20Arizona State13
200112/01UCLA52Arizona State42
200009/29UCLA38Arizona State31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCLA1364 Overs
Arizona State1055 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 103 - 81 - 52 - 3
Road Teams10 - 138 - 33 - 25 - 1

(#106) ASU at (#33) UCLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatASUUCLA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #106 #33
SP+SP+ #108 #38
Perf GradeGrade #130 #26
OffenseOff #132 #68
DefenseDef #120 #7
Spec TeamsST #117 #47
TalentTal #44 #25
Blue ChipsBC% #27 #26
Arizona State on Offense
CategoryCat
ASU OffUCLA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #132 #7
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #101 #11
SP+SP+ #102 #16
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona State Run Game
CategoryCat
ASU OffUCLA Def
Run GameRun #68 #15
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #122 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #71
Arizona State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ASU OffUCLA Def
Pass GamePass #133 #7
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #77 #1
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCLA on Offense
CategoryCatUCLA OffASU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #68 #120
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #103 #123
SP+SP+ #56 #94
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCLA Run Game
CategoryCat
UCLA OffASU Def
Run GameRun #36 #100
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #32 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #99
UCLA Pass Game
CategoryCatUCLA OffASU Def
Pass GamePass #99 #120
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #115 #95
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

ASU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
UCLA -14.0 (45.5)
Arizona State won at UCLA this year (17-7)

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat UCLA in 2023 (17-7)

  
ASU's OC Beau Baldwin (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trenton Bourguet15124861%1486146.0
Jaden Rashada448254%485435.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)16478894.866
DeCarlos Brooks (Tr)4825935.421
Kyson Brown2310604.615
Jalin Conyers229214.239
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijhah Badger65713311.065
Jalin Conyers30362012.150
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)24286111.966
Xavier Guillory (Tr)21226110.847

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shamari Simmons (Tr)732146
Chris Edmonds710022
Travion Brown (Tr)533101
Tate Romney (Tr)524144
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Prince Dorbah (Tr)3010671
B.J. Green II39126110
Clayton Smith (Tr)216571
Dashaun Mallory (Tr)4810244
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Clark502009
Shamari Simmons (Tr)732146
Demetries Ford312005

UCLA's OC Chip Kelly (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dante Moore11421354%16101197.6
Ethan Garbers9814667%11361137.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Carson Steele (Tr)16784665.142
TJ Harden15682785.362
Collin Schlee (Tr)42425310.157
Anthony Adkins (Tr)3017815.938
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Logan Loya59655511.149
J.Michael Sturdivant (Tr)36597416.662
Moliki Matavao (Tr)14283220.235
Kyle Ford (Tr)22236110.737

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC D'Anton Lynn (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius Muasau7511315
Kain Medrano567242
Oluwafemi Oladejo (Tr)532003
Kenny Churchwell III502003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Laiatu Latu482112102
Gabriel Murphy3917982
Grayson Murphy33106101
Darius Muasau7511315
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylin Davies431006
Darius Muasau7511315
Kamari Ramsey403024