Arizona State at UCLA - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (9:00 PM EST)
UCLA -14 (45.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Arizona State 17 - UCLA: 7 (Pac-12)

Sun Devils (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 32 (12 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ASU 2nd straight Road Game
UCLA is playing their 6th straight game
ASU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UCLA -19.5 (SP+ UCLA -20)
Projected Score: ASU: 13 - UCLA: 32 (45)
UCLA Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
ASU Travel: 362 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Bruins (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chip Kelly (30 - 29)
Avg Score : 27 - 18 (26 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#34)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ASU Players
UCLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arizona State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Arizona State vs Southern Utah	-34.0	60.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/9	Arizona State vs Oklahoma State	+2.5	53.5	L 15 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/16	Arizona State vs Fresno State	+4.0	48.0	L 0 - 29	U	N
Sat 9/23	Arizona State vs USC	+34.5	62.0	L 28 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Arizona State at California	+13.0	47.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Arizona State vs Colorado	+3.0	58.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Arizona State at Washington	+28.0	59.5	L 7 - 15	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Arizona State vs Washington State	+4.5	49.0	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Arizona State at Utah	+11.0	40.5	L 3 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/11	Arizona State at UCLA	+14.0	45.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Arizona State vs Oregon	+21.5	52.5	L 13 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/25	Arizona State vs Arizona	+12.5	48.5	L 23 - 59	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule

UCLA's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UCLA vs Coastal Carolina	-15.5	66.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	UCLA at San Diego State	-13.0	49.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/16	UCLA vs North Carolina Central	-35.0	60.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/23	UCLA at Utah	+3.0	50.5	L 7 - 14	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	UCLA vs Washington State	-3.0	60.0	W 25 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/14	UCLA at Oregon State	+3.5	53.5	L 24 - 36	O	N
Sat 10/21	UCLA at Stanford	-17.0	52.0	W 42 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/28	UCLA vs Colorado	-14.0	60.0	W 28 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/4	UCLA at Arizona	-2.5	50.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/11	UCLA vs Arizona State	-14.0	45.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/18	UCLA at USC	+6.0	65.5	W 38 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UCLA vs California	-9.5	50.5	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 12/16	UCLA vs Boise State	-6.5	46.0	W 35 - 22	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ASU	#110 (.12)	38% (112)	17.8	44% (57)	3.14 (62)	111	34% (123)	210	3.28 (108)	#112 (.25)	47% (123)	31.8	47% (105)	47% (125)	3.99 (86)	51.8	1.7	1
UCLA	#73 (.18)	42% (71)	26.5	44% (55)	3.27 (37)	198	40% (88)	229	3.11 (120)	#11 (.08)	37% (18)	18.4	37% (24)	37% (18)	3.16 (19)	58.1	1.7	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ASU	#13 (.31)	50% (8)		52% (6)	3.35 (19)	187	47% (21)	208	4.14 (48)	#36 (.12)	42% (79)		41% (49)	44% (106)	3.64 (51)	50.1	0.6	1.4
UCLA	#99 (.14)	39% (112)		34% (131)	2.47 (132)	87	43% (56)	242	3.15 (123)	#68 (.16)	46% (110)		45% (83)	47% (120)	4.45 (123)	68.9	1.4	1.1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ASU Offense	12	17.8	12	37.7%	3.28	1.7	19	322	111	210	3.6	43%	56%	44%	34%	18%	.12
UCLA Defense	13	18.4	17.2	36.7%	3.16	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	37%	37%	21%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ASU Defense	12	31.8	25.3	46.5%	3.99	1	-	-	-	-	-	42%	58%	47%	47%	16%	.25
UCLA Offense	13	26.5	25.5	41.8%	3.11	1.7	21	427	198	229	4.9	51%	49%	44%	40%	17%	.18

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arizona State	12	30:16	18.8	31%	47%	5.8	51.8	1.7	1	5.4	2.2	0	25.1
UCLA	13	29:01	21.4	44%	47%	7.1	58.1	1.7	1.8	8.1	3.2	0	29.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ASU Offense	12	43% (113)	44% (57)	31.2	111.2	3.6	17 (81)	.2 (42)	3.14 (62)	67% (107)	10% (73)	0.99 (71)
UCLA Defense	13	42% (7)	37% (24)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (6)	2.64 (10)	55% (4)	14% (5)	0.84 (9)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ASU Defense	12	42% (5)	47% (105)	-	-	-	-	.2 (104)	3.53 (130)	72% (63)	10% (60)	0.99 (65)
UCLA Offense	13	51% (63)	44% (55)	40.5	197.9	4.9	21 (54)	.21 (37)	3.27 (37)	70% (95)	10% (75)	1.07 (33)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ASU Offense	12	56% (23)	34% (123)	20.3	36.7	210.3	5.7	10.4	8 (128)	14 (107)	.1 (124)	1.5 (95)	34% (111)	25% (113)	.23 (102)	8% (120)	2.1 (41)
UCLA Defense	13	57% (128)	37% (18)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.2 (32)	1.6 (52)	37% (9)	28% (34)	.29 (54)	7% (51)	2.1 (86)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ASU Defense	12	58% (129)	47% (125)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.3 (91)	1.4 (6)	30% (110)	33% (105)	.41 (109)	6% (67)	1.9 (21)
UCLA Offense	13	49% (66)	40% (88)	18.3	31.5	229.2	7.3	12.5	24 (41)	14 (107)	.16 (107)	1.6 (58)	32% (73)	33% (54)	.28 (89)	7% (92)	1.9 (118)

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: -7.84 #106
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 12.85 #101
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 16.76 #123
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #27
Arizona State's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Arizona State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #108
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #102
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: -7.84 UCLA: 9.49

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: -11.9 UCLA: 7.9

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 9.49 #33
UCLA's Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
UCLA's Defense Rating: 1.17 #11
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #26
UCLA's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
UCLA's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #56
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 12
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.3

Arizona State's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
UCLA 32
Arizona State 13

Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
UCLA 30
Arizona State 15

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
UCLA 27
Arizona State 16

Total Points: 43

UCLA Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.5
Defense: 18.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.2

UCLA's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/11	UCLA	7	Arizona State	17	UCLA -14	Arizona State	45.5	Under
2022	11/05	Arizona State	36	UCLA	50	UCLA -11	UCLA	66.5	Over
2021	10/02	UCLA	23	Arizona State	42	UCLA -3	Arizona State	56.5	Over
2020	12/05	Arizona State	18	UCLA	25	Arizona State -3	UCLA	56.0	Under
2019	10/26	UCLA	42	Arizona State	32	Arizona State -3	UCLA	56.0	Over
2018	11/10	Arizona State	31	UCLA	28	Arizona State -11.5	UCLA	64.5	Under
2017	11/11	UCLA	44	Arizona State	37	UCLA -3	UCLA	66.0	Over
2016	10/08	Arizona State	23	UCLA	20	UCLA -4.5	Arizona State	58.0	Under
2015	10/03	UCLA	23	Arizona State	38	UCLA -13	Arizona State	61.5	Under
2014	09/25	Arizona State	27	UCLA	62	UCLA -3	UCLA	0
2013	11/23	UCLA	33	Arizona State	38	Arizona State -2	Arizona State	0
2012	10/27	Arizona State	43	UCLA	45
2011	11/05	UCLA	29	Arizona State	28
2010	11/26	Arizona State	55	UCLA	34
2009	11/21	UCLA	23	Arizona State	13
2008	11/28	Arizona State	34	UCLA	9
2007	11/10	UCLA	20	Arizona State	24
2006	11/18	Arizona State	12	UCLA	24
2005	11/12	UCLA	45	Arizona State	35
2004	10/23	Arizona State	48	UCLA	42
2003	10/25	UCLA	20	Arizona State	13
2001	12/01	UCLA	52	Arizona State	42
2000	09/29	UCLA	38	Arizona State	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UCLA	13	6	4 Overs
Arizona State	10	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 10	3 - 8	1 - 5	2 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 13	8 - 3	3 - 2	5 - 1

(#106) ASU at (#33) UCLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ASU	UCLA
Power RatePwr	#106	#33
SP+SP+	#108	#38
Perf GradeGrade	#130	#26
OffenseOff	#132	#68
DefenseDef	#120	#7
Spec TeamsST	#117	#47
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#27	#26

Arizona State Injury Report

UCLA Injury Report

Arizona State on Offense


CategoryCat	ASU Off	UCLA Def
Perf GradePerf	#132	#7
SuccessSuc	#112	#18
ExplosiveExp	#90	#45
PPAPPA	#110	#11
PowerPwr	#101	#11
SP+SP+	#102	#16
Pts POPPO	#108	#19
HavocHav	#101	#8

Arizona State Run Game


CategoryCat	ASU Off	UCLA Def
Run GameRun	#68	#15
Run SuccessRSuc	#57	#24
Run ExplRExp	#71	#9
PPAExp	#42	#6
Run BlockR Blk	#122	-
OL YdsOLY	#62	#10
Stuff RateStuff	#18	#4
TackleTak	-	#71

Arizona State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ASU Off	UCLA Def
Pass GamePass	#133	#7
Pass SuccessPSuc	#123	#18
Pass ExplPExl	#95	#52
PPAExp	#124	#32
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#77	#1
F7 HavocF7	#73	#5
DB HavocDB	#120	#51

UCLA on Offense


CategoryCat	UCLA Off	ASU Def
Perf GradePerf	#68	#120
SuccessSuc	#71	#123
ExplosiveExp	#47	#30
PPAPPA	#73	#112
PowerPwr	#103	#123
SP+SP+	#56	#94
Pts POPPO	#120	#86
HavocHav	#83	#62

UCLA Run Game


CategoryCat	UCLA Off	ASU Def
Run GameRun	#36	#100
Run SuccessRSuc	#55	#105
Run ExplRExp	#33	#65
PPAExp	#37	#104
Run BlockR Blk	#32	-
OL YdsOLY	#37	#130
Stuff RateStuff	#67	#129
TackleTak	-	#99

UCLA Pass Game


CategoryCat	UCLA Off	ASU Def
Pass GamePass	#99	#120
Pass SuccessPSuc	#88	#125
Pass ExplPExl	#58	#6
PPAExp	#107	#91
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#115	#95
F7 HavocF7	#75	#60
DB HavocDB	#92	#67

Program Comparison
UCLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

ASU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 66° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 11
UCLA -14.0 (45.5)
Arizona State won at UCLA this year (17-7)

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat UCLA in 2023 (17-7)
UCLA beat Arizona State in 2022 (50-36)

ASU's OC Beau Baldwin (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Trenton Bourguet	151	248	61%	1486	1	4	6.0
Jaden Rashada	44	82	54%	485	4	3	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)	164	788	9	4.8	66
DeCarlos Brooks (Tr)	48	259	3	5.4	21
Kyson Brown	23	106	0	4.6	15
Jalin Conyers	22	92	1	4.2	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijhah Badger	65	713	3	11.0	65
Jalin Conyers	30	362	0	12.1	50
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)	24	286	1	11.9	66
Xavier Guillory (Tr)	21	226	1	10.8	47

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shamari Simmons (Tr)	73	2	1	4	6
Chris Edmonds	71	0	0	2	2
Travion Brown (Tr)	53	3	1	0	1
Tate Romney (Tr)	52	4	1	4	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Prince Dorbah (Tr)	30	10	6	7	1
B.J. Green II	39	12	6	11	0
Clayton Smith (Tr)	21	6	5	7	1
Dashaun Mallory (Tr)	48	10	2	4	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Clark	50	2	0	0	9
Shamari Simmons (Tr)	73	2	1	4	6
Demetries Ford	31	2	0	0	5

UCLA's OC Chip Kelly (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dante Moore	114	213	54%	1610	11	9	7.6
Ethan Garbers	98	146	67%	1136	11	3	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Carson Steele (Tr)	167	846	6	5.1	42
TJ Harden	156	827	8	5.3	62
Collin Schlee (Tr)	42	425	3	10.1	57
Anthony Adkins (Tr)	30	178	1	5.9	38

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Logan Loya	59	655	5	11.1	49
J.Michael Sturdivant (Tr)	36	597	4	16.6	62
Moliki Matavao (Tr)	14	283	2	20.2	35
Kyle Ford (Tr)	22	236	1	10.7	37

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC D'Anton Lynn (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darius Muasau	75	11	3	1	5
Kain Medrano	56	7	2	4	2
Oluwafemi Oladejo (Tr)	53	2	0	0	3
Kenny Churchwell III	50	2	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laiatu Latu	48	21	12	10	2
Gabriel Murphy	39	17	9	8	2
Grayson Murphy	33	10	6	10	1
Darius Muasau	75	11	3	1	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylin Davies	43	1	0	0	6
Darius Muasau	75	11	3	1	5
Kamari Ramsey	40	3	0	2	4