Oregon at Utah - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Oregon -6.5 (47.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Oregon 35 - Utah: 6 (Pac-12)

Ducks (12 - 2) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Dan Lanning (13 - 3)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (34 - 11 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12.3 - 1.7 (#2)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Oregon -16.5 (SP+ ORE -16.5)
Projected Score: ORE: 32 - UTAH: 15 (50)
ORE Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
ORE Travel: 615 miles, 1 hrs behind

Utes (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (157 - 74)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (23 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ORE Players
UTAH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oregon's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Oregon vs Portland State	-48.0	64.5	W 81 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Oregon at Texas Tech	-4.5	70.0	W 38 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Oregon vs Hawai'i	-38.5	67.5	W 55 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Oregon vs Colorado	-21.0	70.0	W 42 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Oregon at Stanford	-27.0	59.5	W 42 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Oregon at Washington	+3.0	67.0	L 33 - 36	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Oregon vs Washington State	-19.5	60.5	W 38 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/28	Oregon at Utah	-6.5	47.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Oregon vs California	-26.5	61.5	W 63 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Oregon vs USC	-12.5	78.5	W 36 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/18	Oregon at Arizona State	-21.5	52.5	W 49 - 13	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Oregon vs Oregon State	-14.0	61.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Fri 12/1	Oregon vs Washington	-9.0	67.0	L 31 - 34	U	N
Mon 1/1	Oregon vs Liberty	-18.5	71.5	W 45 - 6	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule

Utah's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Utah vs Florida	-5.5	44.5	W 24 - 11	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Utah at Baylor	-7.0	46.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/16	Utah vs Weber State	-26.5	44.0	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/23	Utah vs UCLA	-3.0	50.5	W 14 - 7	U	Y
Fri 9/29	Utah at Oregon State	+4.0	43.0	L 7 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Utah vs California	-9.0	42.5	W 34 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Utah at USC	+7.5	51.5	W 34 - 32	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Utah vs Oregon	+6.5	47.5	L 6 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	Utah vs Arizona State	-11.0	40.5	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Utah at Washington	+9.5	48.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Utah at Arizona	+2.5	45.5	L 18 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Utah vs Colorado	-21.5	43.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 12/23	Utah vs Northwestern	-6.5	44.5	L 7 - 14	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORE	.38	56%	34.9	58%	3.59	216	54%	285	4.4	.22	45%	19.4	45%	46%	4.15	57.2	0.9	2
UTAH	.28	51%	23.6	54%	3.54	218	48%	249	4.16	.17	39%	20.7	41%	38%	3.86	40.2	1.3	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UTAH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORE Offense	13	34.9	34.4	55.9%	4.4	0.9	26	501	216	285	5.5	53%	47%	58%	54%	11%	.38
UTAH Defense	14	20.7	16.8	39.1%	3.86	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	41%	38%	19%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORE Defense	13	19.4	11.4	45.3%	4.15	2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	45%	46%	15%	.22
UTAH Offense	14	23.6	23	51%	4.16	1.3	26	467	218	249	5.4	51%	49%	54%	48%	12%	.28

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oregon	13	31:21	26.2	46%	63%	6.8	57.2	0.9	2	3.9	1.3	1	29.5
Utah	14	33:40	25.9	51%	62%	4.5	40.2	1.3	2.3	5.9	2.9	3	32.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORE Offense	13	53%	58%	39.1	215.7	5.5	34	.37	3.59	83%	6%	0.95
UTAH Defense	14	43%	41%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.91	69%	13%	1.16

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORE Defense	13	43%	45%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.02	68%	8%	1
UTAH Offense	14	51%	54%	40	217.7	5.4	38	.31	3.54	81%	7%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORE Offense	13	47%	54%	23.7	33.2	284.8	8.6	12	30	9	.4	1.4	25%	38%	.48	4%	1.9
UTAH Defense	14	56%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.19	1.7	34%	28%	.22	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORE Defense	13	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.28	1.4	30%	37%	.48	7%	2.1
UTAH Offense	14	49%	48%	20.6	31.9	249.2	7.8	12.1	31	10	.26	1.4	27%	36%	.47	5%	2

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 26.30 #2
Oregon's Offense Rating: 34.84 #2
Oregon's Defense Rating: 3.60 #18
2023 Talent Rating: 1080.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 63% #12
Oregon's 2023 Expected Record: 12.30 - 1.70
Oregon's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #5
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 45.0 #1
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 26.30 Utah: 8.905

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 25.0 Utah: 8.3

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 8.905 #38
Utah's Offense Rating: 13.26 #97
Utah's Defense Rating: 6.62 #37
2023 Talent Rating: 760.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Utah's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Utah's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #35
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #60
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.4
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 11.4

Oregon's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon 32
Utah 15

Projected Total Points: 50

Utah Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Utah's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/28	Utah	6	Oregon	35	Oregon	Oregon -6.5	Oregon	47.5	Under
2022	11/19	Oregon	20	Utah	17	Oregon	Utah -2.5	Oregon	60.0	Under
2021	11/20	Utah	38	Oregon	7	Utah	Utah -3	Utah	58.5	Under
2021	12/03	Utah	38	Oregon	10	Utah	Utah -3.0	Utah	57.5	Under
2019	12/06	Oregon	37	Utah	15	Oregon	Utah -6.5	Oregon	45.5	Over
2018	11/10	Utah	32	Oregon	25	Utah	Utah -5.5	Utah	51.0	Over
2017	10/28	Oregon	41	Utah	20	Oregon	Utah -2	Oregon	49.5	Over
2016	11/19	Utah	28	Oregon	30	Oregon	Utah -10.5	Oregon	69.5	Under
2015	09/26	Oregon	20	Utah	62	Utah	Oregon -14	Utah	63.0	Over
2014	11/08	Utah	27	Oregon	51	Oregon	Oregon -9.5	Oregon	0
2013	11/16	Oregon	44	Utah	21	Oregon	Oregon -25	Utah	0
2009	09/19	Oregon	31	Utah	24	Oregon
2003	10/03	Utah	17	Oregon	13	Utah
2001	09/08	Oregon	24	Utah	10	Oregon

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah	5	5	4 Overs
Oregon	9	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 4	6 - 5	3 - 3	3 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 10	5 - 6	2 - 3	3 - 3

(#2) Oregon Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 26.30 #2
Offense Rating: 34.84 #2
Defense Rating: 3.60 #18
Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 45.0 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19
Talent Rating: 1080.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 63% #12
Expected Record: 12.30 - 1.70

Team Profile

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Oregon Ratings Matchup Utah

Power #2

#38

Off #2

#97

Def #18

#37

Talent #9

#35

SP+ #5

#35

SP+ Off #1

#60

SP+ Def #19

#26

Rematch from Week 9
Oregon 6.5 (47.5)
Oregon won at Utah this year (35-6)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Utah in 2023 (35-6)
Oregon beat Utah in 2022 (20-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice-Eccles Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 44° - Wind: 11 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ORE | UTAH
Depth Chart: ORE | UTAH
Rosters: ORE | UTAH

(#38) Utah Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.905 #38
Offense Rating: 13.26 #97
Defense Rating: 6.62 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #35
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 760.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30

Team Profile

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Oregon's OC Will Stein

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tez Johnson (Tr)	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan James	233	1267	15	5.4	41
Dante Dowdell	143	614	12	4.3	38
Jordan Burch (Tr)	1	36	0	36.0	36
Kris Hutson	4	28	1	7.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tez Johnson (Tr)	83	898	10	10.8	52
Traeshon Holden (Tr)	45	718	5	16.0	59
Kris Hutson	55	691	2	12.6	59
Terrance Ferguson	43	591	3	13.7	62

View Oregon's Full Roster

Oregon's DC Tosh Lupoi

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trikweze Bridges	68	1	0	0	5
Tysheem Johnson (Tr)	58	3	0	0	0
Jeffrey Bassa	51	3	2	2	2
Bryan Addison	43	1	0	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Burch (Tr)	29	11	9	4	5
Jake Shipley	24	3	2	4	0
Jeffrey Bassa	51	3	2	2	2
Jestin Jacobs (Tr)	27	4	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Dontae Manning	18	1	6
Trikweze Bridges	68	1	5
Bryan Addison	43	1	5

Utah's OC Andy Ludwig

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryson Barnes	77	126	61%	856	12	6	6.8
Cameron Rising	34	66	52%	555	7	3	8.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Micah Bernard (Tr)	197	1009	4	5.1	64
Ja'Quinden Jackson	149	790	15	5.3	46
Bryson Barnes	68	530	5	7.8	63
Charlie Vincent	14	44	0	3.1	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brant Kuithe	35	505	6	14.4	71
Money Parks	21	294	3	14.0	71
Mikey Matthews	34	292	1	8.6	46
Micah Bernard (Tr)	30	150	2	5.0	19

View Utah's Full Roster

Utah's DC Morgan Scalley

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Karene Reid	54	6	3	1	1
Van Fillinger	43	8	5	1	5
Jadon Pearson	42	3	0	1	2
Zemaiah Vaughn	39	5	2	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Van Fillinger	43	8	5	1	5
Karene Reid	54	6	3	1	1
Connor O'Toole	22	5	3	0	0
Zemaiah Vaughn	39	5	2	0	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zemaiah Vaughn	39	5	2	0	5
Van Fillinger	43	8	5	1	5
JaTravis Broughton	38	0	0	0	3