Oregon at Utah - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Oregon -6.5 (47.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Oregon 35 - Utah: 6 (Pac-12)

Ducks (12 - 2) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Dan Lanning (13 - 3)
Avg Score : 44 - 17 (39 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12.3 - 1.7 (#2)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Oregon -16.5 (SP+ ORE -16.5)
Projected Score: ORE: 32 - UTAH: 16 (48)
ORE Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
ORE Travel: 615 miles, 1 hrs behind

Utes (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (157 - 74)
Avg Score : 23 - 19 (27 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ORE Players
UTAH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oregon's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Oregon vs Portland State	-48.0	64.5	W 81 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Oregon at Texas Tech	-4.5	70.0	W 38 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Oregon vs Hawai'i	-38.5	67.5	W 55 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Oregon vs Colorado	-21.0	70.0	W 42 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Oregon at Stanford	-27.0	59.5	W 42 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Oregon at Washington	+3.0	67.0	L 33 - 36	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Oregon vs Washington State	-19.5	60.5	W 38 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/28	Oregon at Utah	-6.5	47.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Oregon vs California	-26.5	61.5	W 63 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Oregon vs USC	-12.5	78.5	W 36 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/18	Oregon at Arizona State	-21.5	52.5	W 49 - 13	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Oregon vs Oregon State	-14.0	61.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Fri 12/1	Oregon vs Washington	-9.0	67.0	L 31 - 34	U	N
Mon 1/1	Oregon vs Liberty	-18.5	71.5	W 45 - 6	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule

Utah's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Utah vs Florida	-5.5	44.5	W 24 - 11	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Utah at Baylor	-7.0	46.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/16	Utah vs Weber State	-26.5	44.0	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/23	Utah vs UCLA	-3.0	50.5	W 14 - 7	U	Y
Fri 9/29	Utah at Oregon State	+4.0	43.0	L 7 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Utah vs California	-9.0	42.5	W 34 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Utah at USC	+7.5	51.5	W 34 - 32	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Utah vs Oregon	+6.5	47.5	L 6 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	Utah vs Arizona State	-11.0	40.5	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Utah at Washington	+9.5	48.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Utah at Arizona	+2.5	45.5	L 18 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Utah vs Colorado	-21.5	43.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 12/23	Utah vs Northwestern	-6.5	44.5	L 7 - 14	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORE	#2 (.49)	57% (1)	44.2	57% (2)	3.69 (4)	171	57% (1)	318	5.11 (1)	#19 (.1)	38% (30)	16.5	39% (35)	39% (27)	3.33 (24)	59.1	0.5	1.1
UTAH	#112 (.11)	40% (89)	23.2	42% (83)	3.09 (72)	183	39% (92)	166	3.29 (107)	#38 (.14)	36% (16)	19.3	38% (30)	35% (9)	3.48 (45)	41.2	1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORE	#7 (.33)	51% (5)		51% (11)	3.5 (8)	160	50% (6)	258	4.68 (10)	#33 (.11)	38% (18)		42% (64)	34% (2)	3.68 (59)	40.5	0.8	1.2
UTAH	#120 (.08)	37% (125)		38% (116)	2.73 (114)	130	35% (119)	199	3.4 (111)	#7 (.05)	35% (4)		37% (10)	34% (6)	3.13 (15)	46.3	1.8	1.5

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORE Offense	14	44.2	39.4	56.9%	5.11	0.5	24	490	171	318	5.9	44%	56%	57%	57%	9%	.49
UTAH Defense	13	19.3	13.4	36.4%	3.48	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	39%	60%	38%	35%	17%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORE Defense	14	16.5	18.2	38.4%	3.33	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	39%	59%	39%	39%	17%	.1
UTAH Offense	13	23.2	26.7	40.4%	3.29	1	19	348	183	166	4.2	60%	39%	42%	39%	14%	.11

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oregon	14	28:31	24.4	51%	74%	6.5	59.1	0.5	1.1	4.8	2.4	1	29.5
Utah	13	34:07	18.8	41%	41%	4.9	41.2	1	1.2	5.3	2.5	2	29.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORE Offense	14	44% (107)	57% (2)	29.1	171.4	5.9	32 (10)	.37 (2)	3.69 (4)	78% (32)	6% (3)	1.05 (37)
UTAH Defense	13	39% (1)	38% (30)	-	-	-	-	.09 (37)	2.93 (39)	70% (49)	11% (41)	1.01 (77)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORE Defense	14	39% (2)	39% (35)	-	-	-	-	.08 (32)	3.08 (60)	55% (6)	9% (96)	0.97 (54)
UTAH Offense	13	60% (11)	42% (83)	43.2	182.5	4.2	19 (69)	.13 (82)	3.09 (72)	69% (100)	8% (37)	1 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORE Offense	14	56% (22)	57% (1)	26	33.7	318.3	9.4	12.2	44 (1)	5 (6)	.59 (3)	1.5 (112)	24% (3)	43% (3)	.73 (2)	3% (4)	2 (70)
UTAH Defense	13	60% (133)	35% (9)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.18 (20)	1.7 (99)	38% (4)	23% (4)	.2 (18)	6% (77)	2.1 (90)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORE Defense	14	59% (132)	39% (27)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.16 (16)	1.5 (45)	32% (70)	30% (60)	.33 (78)	8% (13)	2 (45)
UTAH Offense	13	39% (123)	39% (92)	14.5	25.2	165.8	6.6	11.4	15 (96)	11 (68)	.13 (117)	1.5 (114)	30% (37)	28% (92)	.17 (113)	5% (38)	1.8 (121)

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 26.30 #2
Oregon's Offense Rating: 34.84 #2
Oregon's Defense Rating: 3.60 #18
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 63% #12
Oregon's 2023 Expected Record: 12.30 - 1.70
Oregon's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #5
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 45.0 #1
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 26.30 Utah: 8.905

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 25.0 Utah: 8.3

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 8.905 #38
Utah's Offense Rating: 13.26 #97
Utah's Defense Rating: 6.62 #37
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Utah's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Utah's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #35
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #60
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 44.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 39.4
Defense: 16.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.2

Oregon's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon 32
Utah 16

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Oregon 26
Utah 21

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Oregon 29
Utah 21

Total Points: 50

Utah Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.4

Utah's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/28	Utah	6	Oregon	35	Oregon -6.5	Oregon	47.5	Under
2022	11/19	Oregon	20	Utah	17	Utah -2.5	Oregon	60.0	Under
2021	11/20	Utah	38	Oregon	7	Utah -3	Utah	58.5	Under
2021	12/03	Utah	38	Oregon	10	Utah -3.0	Utah	57.5	Under
2019	12/06	Oregon	37	Utah	15	Utah -6.5	Oregon	45.5	Over
2018	11/10	Utah	32	Oregon	25	Utah -5.5	Utah	51.0	Over
2017	10/28	Oregon	41	Utah	20	Utah -2	Oregon	49.5	Over
2016	11/19	Utah	28	Oregon	30	Utah -10.5	Oregon	69.5	Under
2015	09/26	Oregon	20	Utah	62	Oregon -14	Utah	63.0	Over
2014	11/08	Utah	27	Oregon	51	Oregon -9.5	Oregon	0
2013	11/16	Oregon	44	Utah	21	Oregon -25	Utah	0
2009	09/19	Oregon	31	Utah	24
2003	10/03	Utah	17	Oregon	13
2001	09/08	Oregon	24	Utah	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah	5	5	4 Overs
Oregon	9	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 4	6 - 5	3 - 3	3 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 10	5 - 6	2 - 3	3 - 3

(#2) ORE at (#38) UTAH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ORE	UTAH
Power RatePwr	#2	#38
SP+SP+	#5	#35
Perf GradeGrade	#5	#73
OffenseOff	#1	#80
DefenseDef	#20	#64
Spec TeamsST	#29	#61
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#12	#27

Oregon Injury Report

Utah Injury Report

Oregon on Offense


CategoryCat	ORE Off	UTAH Def
Perf GradePerf	#1	#64
SuccessSuc	#1	#16
ExplosiveExp	#67	#117
PPAPPA	#2	#38
PowerPwr	#2	#37
SP+SP+	#1	#26
Pts POPPO	#1	#45
HavocHav	#2	#53

Oregon Run Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	UTAH Def
Run GameRun	#2	#64
Run SuccessRSuc	#2	#30
Run ExplRExp	#37	#77
PPAExp	#2	#37
Run BlockR Blk	#31	-
OL YdsOLY	#4	#39
Stuff RateStuff	#32	#25
TackleTak	-	#18

Oregon Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	UTAH Def
Pass GamePass	#1	#87
Pass SuccessPSuc	#1	#9
Pass ExplPExl	#112	#99
PPAExp	#3	#20
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#1	#73
F7 HavocF7	#3	#41
DB HavocDB	#4	#77

Utah on Offense


CategoryCat	UTAH Off	ORE Def
Perf GradePerf	#80	#20
SuccessSuc	#89	#30
ExplosiveExp	#118	#78
PPAPPA	#112	#19
PowerPwr	#97	#18
SP+SP+	#60	#19
Pts POPPO	#107	#24
HavocHav	#28	#52

Utah Run Game


CategoryCat	UTAH Off	ORE Def
Run GameRun	#47	#28
Run SuccessRSuc	#83	#35
Run ExplRExp	#63	#54
PPAExp	#82	#32
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	#72	#60
Stuff RateStuff	#82	#75
TackleTak	-	#4

Utah Pass Game


CategoryCat	UTAH Off	ORE Def
Pass GamePass	#104	#15
Pass SuccessPSuc	#92	#27
Pass ExplPExl	#114	#45
PPAExp	#117	#16
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#132	#45
F7 HavocF7	#37	#96
DB HavocDB	#38	#13

Program Comparison
UTAH 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

ORE 5 Year Profile: Improving CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice-Eccles Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 44° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 9
Oregon 6.5 (47.5)
Oregon won at Utah this year (35-6)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Utah in 2023 (35-6)
Oregon beat Utah in 2022 (20-17)

ORE's OC Will Stein (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bo Nix	364	470	77%	4508	45	3	9.6
Ty Thompson	24	31	77%	297	4	1	9.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mar'Keise Irving	186	1180	11	6.3	56
Jordan James	107	759	11	7.1	37
Bo Nix	54	234	6	4.3	44
Noah Whittington	20	146	2	7.3	41

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Troy Franklin	81	1383	14	17.1	84
Tez Johnson (Tr)	86	1182	10	13.7	77
Traeshon Holden (Tr)	37	452	6	12.2	63
Gary Bryant Jr. (Tr)	30	442	4	14.7	71

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Tosh Lupoi (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Evan Williams (Tr)	82	5	5	2	1
Jeffrey Bassa	71	4	0	12	1
Tysheem Johnson (Tr)	70	5	1	3	7
Steve Stephens	56	2	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Dorlus	25	7	5	7	7
Evan Williams (Tr)	82	5	5	2	1
Popo Aumavae	18	3	3	3	0
Jordan Burch (Tr)	34	8	3	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Dorlus	25	7	5	7	7
Tysheem Johnson (Tr)	70	5	1	3	7
Nikko Reed (Tr)	25	2	1	0	7

UTAH's OC Andy Ludwig (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryson Barnes	142	242	59%	1572	12	11	6.5
Nate Johnson	39	72	54%	499	3	0	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Quinden Jackson	161	797	4	5.0	54
Jaylon Glover	137	562	2	4.1	30
Sione Vaki	42	317	2	7.5	72
Bryson Barnes	89	277	3	3.1	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devaughn Vele	43	593	3	13.8	68
Money Parks	31	293	2	9.5	70
Munir McClain	15	269	2	17.9	49
Mikey Matthews	29	261	0	9.0	40

View Utah's Full Roster

UTAH's DC Morgan Scalley (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Levani Damuni (Tr)	88	3	1	0
Karene Reid	67	2	0	4
Cole Bishop	60	7	3	3
Zemaiah Vaughn	53	5	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jonah Elliss	37	16	12	3	3
Connor O'Toole	31	6	5	0	3
Van Fillinger	31	6	4	0	0
Logan Fano (Tr)	14	4	4	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Zemaiah Vaughn	53	5	1	6
Tao Johnson	33	2	0	5
Karene Reid	67	2	0	4