Oregon at Arizona State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Oregon logo   Oregon Ducks at Arizona State Sun Devils  Arizona State logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (4:00 PM EST)
Oregon -21.5 (52.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Oregon 49 - Arizona State: 13  (Pac-12)

 
Ducks (12 - 2) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Dan Lanning (13 - 3)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (33 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12.3 - 1.7 (#2)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ASU is playing their 5th straight game
ORE is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Oregon -33  (SP+ ORE -37)
Projected Score: ORE: 42 - ASU: 9 (51)
ORE Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
ORE Travel: 947 miles, 1 hrs behind
Sun Devils (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oregon's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Oregon vs Portland State-48.064.5W 81 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Oregon at Texas Tech-4.570.0W 38 - 30UY
Sat 9/16 Oregon vs Hawai'i-38.567.5W 55 - 10UY
Sat 9/23 Oregon vs Colorado-21.070.0W 42 - 6UY
Sat 9/30 Oregon at Stanford-27.059.5W 42 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Oregon at Washington+3.067.0L 33 - 36OY
Sat 10/21 Oregon vs Washington State-19.560.5W 38 - 24ON
Sat 10/28 Oregon at Utah-6.547.5W 35 - 6UY
Sat 11/4 Oregon vs California-26.561.5W 63 - 19OY
Sat 11/11 Oregon vs USC-12.578.5W 36 - 27UN
Sat 11/18 Oregon at Arizona State-21.552.5W 49 - 13OY
Fri 11/24 Oregon vs Oregon State-14.061.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 12/1 Oregon vs Washington-9.067.0L 31 - 34UN
Mon 1/1 Oregon vs Liberty-18.571.5W 45 - 6UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Arizona State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Arizona State vs Southern Utah-34.060.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/9 Arizona State vs Oklahoma State+2.553.5L 15 - 27UN
Sat 9/16 Arizona State vs Fresno State+4.048.0L 0 - 29UN
Sat 9/23 Arizona State vs USC+34.562.0L 28 - 42OY
Sat 9/30 Arizona State at California+13.047.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/7 Arizona State vs Colorado+3.058.0L 24 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Arizona State at Washington+28.059.5L 7 - 15UY
Sat 10/28 Arizona State vs Washington State+4.549.0W 38 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Arizona State at Utah+11.040.5L 3 - 55ON
Sat 11/11 Arizona State at UCLA+14.045.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 11/18 Arizona State vs Oregon+21.552.5L 13 - 49ON
Sat 11/25 Arizona State vs Arizona+12.548.5L 23 - 59ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE.3856%36.958%3.5921654%2854.4.2245%17.945%46%4.1557.20.92
ASU.2344%25.846%3.1213544%2524.22.2747%24.551%45%4.472.31.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Offense1336.932.855.9%4.40.9265012162855.553%47%58%54%11%.38
ASU Defense1224.521.447.3%4.41 - - - - - 48%52%51%45%17%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Defense1317.915.645.3%4.152 - - - - - 43%56%45%46%15%.22
ASU Offense1225.824.744.3%4.221.5213871352524.244%55%46%44%19%.23

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon1331:2126.246%63%6.857.20.923.91.3129.5
Arizona State1230:4421.239%63%7.372.31.514.21.4126.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Offense1353%58%39.1215.75.534.373.5983%6%0.95
ASU Defense1248%51% - - - - .343.5379%9%1.11
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Defense1343%45% - - - - .183.0268%8%1
ASU Offense1244%46%32.1135.34.221.133.1274%12%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Offense1347%54%23.733.2284.88.612309.41.425%38%.484%1.9
ASU Defense1252%45% - - - - - - 11.251.426%31%.288%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Defense1356%46% - - - - - - 16.281.430%37%.487%2.1
ASU Offense1255%44%22.533.6251.97.511.21810.351.632%34%.437%2.1

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 26.30  #2
Oregon's Offense Rating: 34.84  #2
Oregon's Defense Rating: 3.60  #18
2023 Talent Rating: 874.74  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 63%  #12
Oregon's 2023 Expected Record: 12.30 - 1.70
Oregon's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0  #5
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 45.0  #1
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #19

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 26.30   Arizona State: -7.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 25.0   Arizona State: -11.9




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: -7.37  #106
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 12.85  #101
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 16.76  #123
2023 Talent Rating: 681.32  #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 24  #27
Arizona State's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Arizona State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9  #108
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2  #102
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4  #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.8
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.6

Oregon's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 42
Arizona State 9

Projected Total Points: 51
Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Arizona State's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Arizona State13Oregon49Oregon -21.5Oregon52.5Over
201911/23Arizona State31Oregon28Oregon -13Arizona State54.0Over
201811/17Oregon31Arizona State29Oregon -3.5Arizona State64.0Under
201709/23Arizona State37Oregon35Oregon -14.5Arizona State76.5Under
201610/29Oregon54Arizona State35Oregon -7.5Oregon72.5Over
201510/29Arizona State55Oregon61Arizona State -2.5Oregon65.5Over
201210/18Arizona State21Oregon43
201110/15Oregon41Arizona State27
201009/25Arizona State31Oregon42
200911/14Oregon44Arizona State21
200810/25Arizona State20Oregon54
200711/03Oregon35Arizona State23
200609/30Arizona State13Oregon48
200510/08Arizona State17Oregon31
200410/02Oregon13Arizona State28
200310/11Arizona State59Oregon14
200210/19Oregon42Arizona State45
200111/03Oregon42Arizona State24
200010/27Arizona State55Oregon56
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State534 Overs
Oregon1432 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 103 - 31 - 22 - 1
Road Teams10 - 93 - 31 - 22 - 1

(#2) ORE at (#106) ASU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOREASU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #2 #106
SP+SP+ #5 #108
Perf GradeGrade #5 #130
OffenseOff #1 #132
DefenseDef #20 #120
Spec TeamsST #29 #117
TalentTal #10 #44
Blue ChipsBC% #12 #27
Oregon on Offense
CategoryCat
ORE OffASU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #1 #120
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #2 #123
SP+SP+ #1 #94
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon Run Game
CategoryCat
ORE OffASU Def
Run GameRun #2 #100
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #31 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #99
Oregon Pass Game
CategoryCat
ORE OffASU Def
Pass GamePass #1 #120
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #1 #95
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arizona State on Offense
CategoryCatASU OffORE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #132 #20
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #101 #18
SP+SP+ #102 #19
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona State Run Game
CategoryCat
ASU OffORE Def
Run GameRun #68 #28
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #122 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #4
Arizona State Pass Game
CategoryCatASU OffORE Def
Pass GamePass #133 #15
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #77 #45
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ORE 5 Year Profile: Improving CFP Hopefuls
'23 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Oregon 21.5 (52.5)
Oregon won at Arizona State this year (49-13)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Arizona State in 2023 (49-13)

  
ORE's OC Junior Adams (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bo Nix36447077%45084539.6
Ty Thompson243177%297419.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mar'Keise Irving1861180116.356
Jordan James107759117.137
Bo Nix5423464.344
Noah Whittington2014627.341
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Troy Franklin8113831417.184
Tez Johnson (Tr)8611821013.777
Traeshon Holden (Tr)37452612.263
Gary Bryant Jr. (Tr)30442414.771

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Tosh Lupoi (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Evan Williams (Tr)825521
Jeffrey Bassa7140121
Tysheem Johnson (Tr)705137
Steve Stephens562002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Dorlus257577
Evan Williams (Tr)825521
Popo Aumavae183330
Jordan Burch (Tr)348351
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Dorlus257577
Tysheem Johnson (Tr)705137
Nikko Reed (Tr)252107

ASU's OC Beau Baldwin (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trenton Bourguet15124861%1486146.0
Jaden Rashada448254%485435.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)16478894.866
DeCarlos Brooks (Tr)4825935.421
Kyson Brown2310604.615
Jalin Conyers229214.239
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijhah Badger65713311.065
Jalin Conyers30362012.150
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)24286111.966
Xavier Guillory (Tr)21226110.847

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shamari Simmons (Tr)732146
Chris Edmonds710022
Travion Brown (Tr)533101
Tate Romney (Tr)524144
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Prince Dorbah (Tr)3010671
B.J. Green II39126110
Clayton Smith (Tr)216571
Dashaun Mallory (Tr)4810244
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Clark502009
Shamari Simmons (Tr)732146
Demetries Ford312005