Oregon at Stanford - 2023 Matchup Preview
Oregon logo Oregon Ducks at Stanford CardinalStanford logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (6:30 PM EDT)
Oregon -27 (59.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Oregon 42 - Stanford: 6  (Pac-12)

 
Ducks (12 - 2) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Dan Lanning (13 - 3)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (34 - 11 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12.3 - 1.7 (#2)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
STAN 3rd straight Home Game
STAN is playing their 5th straight game
ORE is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Oregon -36   (SP+ ORE -37.5)

Projected Score: ORE: 46 - STAN: 10 (55)
ORE Win prob: 98% | Cover: 56%
ORE Travel: 460 miles
Cardinal (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Troy Taylor (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (25 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.4 - 9.6 (#132)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oregon's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Oregon vs Portland State-48.064.5W 81 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Oregon at Texas Tech-4.570.0W 38 - 30UY
Sat 9/16 Oregon vs Hawai'i-38.567.5W 55 - 10UY
Sat 9/23 Oregon vs Colorado-21.070.0W 42 - 6UY
Sat 9/30 Oregon at Stanford-27.059.5W 42 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Oregon at Washington+3.067.0L 33 - 36OY
Sat 10/21 Oregon vs Washington State-19.560.5W 38 - 24ON
Sat 10/28 Oregon at Utah-6.547.5W 35 - 6UY
Sat 11/4 Oregon vs California-26.561.5W 63 - 19OY
Sat 11/11 Oregon vs USC-12.578.5W 36 - 27UN
Sat 11/18 Oregon at Arizona State-21.552.5W 49 - 13OY
Fri 11/24 Oregon vs Oregon State-14.061.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 12/1 Oregon vs Washington-9.067.0L 31 - 34UN
Mon 1/1 Oregon vs Liberty-18.571.5W 45 - 6UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Stanford's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Stanford at Hawai'i-2.054.0W 37 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Stanford at USC+28.570.5L 10 - 56UN
Sat 9/16 Stanford vs Sacramento State-7.060.5L 23 - 30UN
Sat 9/23 Stanford vs Arizona+13.060.0L 20 - 21UY
Sat 9/30 Stanford vs Oregon+27.059.5L 6 - 42UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13 Stanford at Colorado+13.059.0W 46 - 43OY
Sat 10/21 Stanford vs UCLA+17.052.0L 7 - 42UN
Sat 10/28 Stanford vs Washington+27.562.0L 33 - 42OY
Sat 11/4 Stanford at Washington State+13.059.5W 10 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 Stanford at Oregon State+21.551.5L 17 - 62ON
Sat 11/18 Stanford vs California+6.552.5L 15 - 27UN
Sat 11/25 Stanford vs Notre Dame+26.050.5L 23 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE.3856%34.958%3.5921654%2854.4.2245%19.445%46%4.1557.20.92
STAN.1442%22.845%2.8410740%2544.16.2948%33.754%41%4.0541.31.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
STAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Offense1334.934.455.9%4.40.9265012162855.553%47%58%54%11%.38
STAN Defense1233.72947.6%4.051 - - - - - 51%48%54%41%15%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Defense1319.411.445.3%4.152 - - - - - 43%56%45%46%15%.22
STAN Offense1222.824.542%4.161.8213621072543.441%59%45%40%18%.14

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon1331:2126.246%63%6.857.20.923.91.3129.5
Stanford1229:5320.838%52%4.641.31.815.41.8024.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Offense1353%58%39.1215.75.534.373.5983%6%0.95
STAN Defense1251%54% - - - - .393.6883%10%1.11
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Defense1343%45% - - - - .183.0268%8%1
STAN Offense1241%45%31.3107.33.414.022.8485%11%0.84

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Offense1347%54%23.733.2284.88.612309.41.425%38%.484%1.9
STAN Defense1248%41% - - - - - - 6.241.529%31%.365%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Defense1356%46% - - - - - - 16.281.430%37%.487%2.1
STAN Offense1259%40%22.937.3254.36.811.1158.251.531%29%.286%2

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 26.30 #2
Oregon's Offense Rating: 34.84 #2
Oregon's Defense Rating: 3.60 #18
2023 Talent Rating: 1080.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 63% #12
Oregon's 2023 Expected Record: 12.30 - 1.70
Oregon's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #5
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 45.0 #1
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 26.30   Stanford: -10.535

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 25.0   Stanford: -12.3




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -10.535 #129
Stanford's Offense Rating: 12.41 #107
Stanford's Defense Rating: 22.01 #133
2023 Talent Rating: 862.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17 #36
Stanford's 2023 Expected Record: 2.40 - 9.60
Stanford's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #109
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #94
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Oregon Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.4
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 11.4

Oregon's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 46
Stanford 10


Projected Total Points: 55
Stanford Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.5
Defense: 33.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Stanford's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Stanford6Oregon42OregonOregon -27Oregon59.5Under
202210/01Oregon45Stanford27OregonOregon -17Oregon63.0Over
202110/02Stanford31Oregon24StanfordOregon -8.5Stanford57.5Under
202011/07Oregon35Stanford14OregonOregon -12Oregon49.0Push
201909/21Stanford6Oregon21OregonOregon -13Oregon55.5Under
201809/22Oregon31Stanford38StanfordStanford -2.5Stanford59.0Over
201710/14Stanford49Oregon7StanfordStanford -10Stanford57.0Under
201611/12Oregon27Stanford52StanfordStanford -1Stanford57.5Over
201511/14Stanford36Oregon38OregonStanford -8.5Oregon65.5Over
201411/01Oregon45Stanford16OregonOregon -12.5Oregon0
201311/07Stanford26Oregon20StanfordOregon -9.5Stanford0
201211/17Oregon14Stanford17Stanford
201111/12Stanford30Oregon53Oregon
201010/02Oregon52Stanford31Oregon
200911/07Stanford51Oregon42Stanford
200811/08Oregon35Stanford28Oregon
200709/22Stanford31Oregon55Oregon
200609/02Oregon48Stanford10Oregon
200510/01Stanford20Oregon44Oregon
200410/23Stanford13Oregon16Oregon
200310/25Oregon35Stanford0Oregon
200211/02Oregon41Stanford14Oregon
200110/20Oregon42Stanford49Stanford
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford854 Overs
Oregon1564 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 116 - 54 - 12 - 4
Road Teams11 - 125 - 64 - 21 - 4

(#2) Oregon Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 26.30 #2
Offense Rating: 34.84 #2
Defense Rating: 3.60 #18
Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 45.0 #1
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19
Talent Rating: 1080.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 63% #12
Expected Record: 12.30 - 1.70

Team Profile






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Oregon     Ratings Matchup     Stanford
Power #2
#129
Off #2
#107
Def #18
#133
Talent #9
#17
SP+ #5
#109
SP+ Off #1
#94
SP+ Def #19
#117

Rematch from Week 5
Oregon 27.0 (59.5)
Oregon won at Stanford this year (42-6)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Stanford in 2023 (42-6)
Oregon beat Stanford in 2022 (45-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 62° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: ORE | STAN
Depth Chart: ORE | STAN
Rosters: ORE | STAN
(#129) Stanford Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.535 #129
Offense Rating: 12.41 #107
Defense Rating: 22.01 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.3 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #94
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #117
Talent Rating: 862.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 17 #36
Expected Record: 2.40 - 9.60

Team Profile






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Oregon's OC Will Stein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tez Johnson (Tr)010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan James2331267155.441
Dante Dowdell143614124.338
Jordan Burch (Tr)136036.036
Kris Hutson42817.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tez Johnson (Tr)838981010.852
Traeshon Holden (Tr)45718516.059
Kris Hutson55691212.659
Terrance Ferguson43591313.762

View Oregon's Full Roster
Oregon's DC Tosh Lupoi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trikweze Bridges681005
Tysheem Johnson (Tr)583000
Jeffrey Bassa513222
Bryan Addison431005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Burch (Tr)2911945
Jake Shipley243240
Jeffrey Bassa513222
Jestin Jacobs (Tr)274200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontae Manning181006
Trikweze Bridges681005
Bryan Addison431005

Stanford's OC Troy Taylor
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
E.J. Smith5420703.817
Tristan Sinclair1606.06
Bryce Farrell2502.55
Alaka'i Gilman2000.01
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elic Ayomanor63831613.260
Ben Yurosek15185012.331
E.J. Smith86608.326

View Stanford's Full Roster
Stanford's DC Bobby April
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gaethan Bernadel (Tr)866121
Tristan Sinclair777251
Alaka'i Gilman416111
Lance Keneley211110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tobin Phillips165410
Tristan Sinclair777251
Jaxson Moi165201
Gaethan Bernadel (Tr)866121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zahran Manley120003
Gaethan Bernadel (Tr)866121
Tristan Sinclair777251