Utah at Arizona - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 18th 2023 (2:30 PM EST)
Arizona -2.5 (45.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Arizona 42 - Utah: 18 (Pac-12)

Utes (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (157 - 74)
Avg Score : 23 - 19 (21 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UTAH 2nd straight Road Game
ARIZ is playing their 4th straight game
UTAH is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Arizona -7.5 (SP+ ARIZ -4)
Projected Score: UTAH: 20 - ARIZ: 28 (48)
ARIZ Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UTAH Travel: 592 miles

Wildcats (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (8 - 19)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (32 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UTAH Players
ARIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Utah's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Utah vs Florida	-5.5	44.5	W 24 - 11	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Utah at Baylor	-7.0	46.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/16	Utah vs Weber State	-26.5	44.0	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/23	Utah vs UCLA	-3.0	50.5	W 14 - 7	U	Y
Fri 9/29	Utah at Oregon State	+4.0	43.0	L 7 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Utah vs California	-9.0	42.5	W 34 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Utah at USC	+7.5	51.5	W 34 - 32	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Utah vs Oregon	+6.5	47.5	L 6 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	Utah vs Arizona State	-11.0	40.5	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Utah at Washington	+9.5	48.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Utah at Arizona	+2.5	45.5	L 18 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Utah vs Colorado	-21.5	43.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 12/23	Utah vs Northwestern	-6.5	44.5	L 7 - 14	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah's Schedule

Arizona's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Arizona vs Northern Arizona	-28.5	61.0	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Arizona at Mississippi State	+9.0	60.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Arizona vs UTEP	-18.0	57.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Arizona at Stanford	-13.0	60.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/30	Arizona vs Washington	+20.0	66.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Arizona at USC	+21.0	69.5	L 41 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Arizona at Washington State	+7.5	57.5	W 44 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Arizona vs Oregon State	+3.0	57.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Arizona vs UCLA	+2.5	50.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Arizona at Colorado	-6.0	55.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/18	Arizona vs Utah	-2.5	45.5	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Arizona at Arizona State	-12.5	48.5	W 59 - 23	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Arizona vs Oklahoma	-2.5	59.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTAH	#112 (.11)	40% (89)	23.2	42% (83)	3.09 (72)	183	39% (92)	166	3.29 (107)	#38 (.14)	36% (16)	19.3	38% (30)	35% (9)	3.48 (45)	41.2	1	1.2
ARIZ	#10 (.34)	51% (6)	34.6	52% (5)	3.26 (40)	140	50% (10)	308	4.42 (29)	#57 (.16)	42% (67)	21.1	43% (71)	41% (62)	3.37 (29)	53	1.1	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTAH	#120 (.08)	37% (125)		38% (116)	2.73 (114)	130	35% (119)	199	3.4 (111)	#7 (.05)	35% (4)		37% (10)	34% (6)	3.13 (15)	46.3	1.8	1.5
ARIZ	#93 (.15)	39% (117)		37% (126)	2.64 (123)	107	40% (91)	248	3.53 (101)	#109 (.24)	45% (100)		45% (90)	44% (109)	4.55 (125)	57.6	1.7	1.2

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTAH Offense	13	23.2	21.4	40.4%	3.29	1	19	348	183	166	4.2	60%	39%	42%	39%	14%	.11
ARIZ Defense	13	21.1	16	41.9%	3.37	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	43%	41%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTAH Defense	13	19.3	28.6	36.4%	3.48	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	39%	60%	38%	35%	17%	.14
ARIZ Offense	13	34.6	31.5	50.6%	4.42	1.1	23	448	140	308	4.6	43%	57%	52%	50%	14%	.34

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Utah	13	34:07	18.8	41%	41%	4.9	41.2	1	1.2	5.3	2.5	2	29.6
Arizona	13	30:50	23	49%	67%	6.3	53	1.1	1.4	5.3	2.4	1	29.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTAH Offense	13	60% (11)	42% (83)	43.2	182.5	4.2	19 (69)	.13 (82)	3.09 (72)	69% (100)	8% (37)	1 (63)
ARIZ Defense	13	46% (21)	43% (71)	-	-	-	-	.12 (58)	3 (50)	75% (82)	11% (54)	0.97 (51)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTAH Defense	13	39% (1)	38% (30)	-	-	-	-	.09 (37)	2.93 (39)	70% (49)	11% (41)	1.01 (77)
ARIZ Offense	13	43% (112)	52% (5)	30.6	139.7	4.6	17 (81)	.21 (34)	3.26 (40)	74% (68)	9% (38)	0.9 (109)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTAH Offense	13	39% (123)	39% (92)	14.5	25.2	165.8	6.6	11.4	15 (96)	11 (68)	.13 (117)	1.5 (114)	30% (37)	28% (92)	.17 (113)	5% (38)	1.8 (121)
ARIZ Defense	13	53% (115)	41% (62)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.26 (57)	1.5 (48)	34% (38)	32% (95)	.25 (38)	6% (60)	2 (36)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTAH Defense	13	60% (133)	35% (9)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.18 (20)	1.7 (99)	38% (4)	23% (4)	.2 (18)	6% (77)	2.1 (90)
ARIZ Offense	13	57% (20)	50% (10)	25.5	35.7	308.3	8.6	12.1	36 (5)	11 (68)	.47 (15)	1.6 (68)	29% (19)	41% (6)	.54 (13)	6% (69)	2 (103)

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 4.51 #38
Utah's Offense Rating: 13.26 #97
Utah's Defense Rating: 6.62 #37
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #27
Utah's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Utah's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #35
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #60
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah: 4.51 Arizona: 13.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah: 8.3 Arizona: 12.1

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 13.725 #20
Arizona's Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Arizona's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #51
Arizona's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Utah Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.4
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.6

Utah's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona 28
Utah 20

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Arizona 30
Utah 24

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Arizona 29
Utah 20

Total Points: 49

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 16

Arizona's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	Utah	10	Arizona	23	Utah -7.5	Arizona	47.0	Under
2023	11/18	Arizona	42	Utah	18	Arizona -2.5	Arizona	45.5	Over
2022	11/05	Utah	45	Arizona	20	Utah -17.5	Utah	67.5	Under
2021	11/13	Arizona	29	Utah	38	Utah -24	Arizona	54.5	Over
2019	11/23	Arizona	7	Utah	35	Utah -23.5	Utah	57.0	Under
2018	10/12	Utah	42	Arizona	10	Utah -13.5	Utah	53.5	Under
2017	09/22	Arizona	24	Utah	30	Utah -4.5	Utah	61.0	Under
2016	10/08	Utah	36	Arizona	23	Utah -9	Utah	53.5	Over
2015	11/14	Arizona	37	Utah	30	Utah -4.5	Arizona	61.0	Over
2014	11/22	Utah	10	Arizona	42	Utah -3.5	Arizona	0
2013	10/19	Arizona	35	Utah	24	Arizona -4.5	Arizona	0
2012	11/17	Utah	24	Arizona	34
2011	11/05	Arizona	21	Utah	34
2005	09/02	Utah	27	Arizona	24
2004	09/11	Arizona	6	Utah	23
2002	09/14	Arizona	23	Utah	17
2000	09/01	Utah	3	Arizona	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona	8	6	4 Overs
Utah	9	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 9	7 - 4	5 - 2	2 - 2
Road Teams	9 - 8	4 - 7	2 - 2	2 - 5

(#38) UTAH at (#20) ARIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UTAH	ARIZ
Power RatePwr	#38	#20
SP+SP+	#35	#20
Perf GradeGrade	#73	#16
OffenseOff	#80	#8
DefenseDef	#64	#56
Spec TeamsST	#61	#63
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#27	#51

Utah Injury Report

Arizona Injury Report

Utah on Offense


CategoryCat	UTAH Off	ARIZ Def
Perf GradePerf	#80	#56
SuccessSuc	#89	#67
ExplosiveExp	#118	#58
PPAPPA	#112	#57
PowerPwr	#97	#53
SP+SP+	#60	#41
Pts POPPO	#107	#29
HavocHav	#28	#50

Utah Run Game


CategoryCat	UTAH Off	ARIZ Def
Run GameRun	#47	#46
Run SuccessRSuc	#83	#71
Run ExplRExp	#63	#51
PPAExp	#82	#58
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	#72	#50
Stuff RateStuff	#82	#37
TackleTak	-	#51

Utah Pass Game


CategoryCat	UTAH Off	ARIZ Def
Pass GamePass	#104	#59
Pass SuccessPSuc	#92	#62
Pass ExplPExl	#114	#48
PPAExp	#117	#57
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#132	#81
F7 HavocF7	#37	#54
DB HavocDB	#38	#60

Arizona on Offense


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	UTAH Def
Perf GradePerf	#8	#64
SuccessSuc	#6	#16
ExplosiveExp	#76	#117
PPAPPA	#10	#38
PowerPwr	#6	#37
SP+SP+	#15	#26
Pts POPPO	#29	#45
HavocHav	#44	#53

Arizona Run Game


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	UTAH Def
Run GameRun	#8	#64
Run SuccessRSuc	#5	#30
Run ExplRExp	#109	#77
PPAExp	#34	#37
Run BlockR Blk	#76	-
OL YdsOLY	#40	#39
Stuff RateStuff	#115	#25
TackleTak	-	#18

Arizona Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	UTAH Def
Pass GamePass	#14	#87
Pass SuccessPSuc	#10	#9
Pass ExplPExl	#68	#99
PPAExp	#15	#20
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#4	#73
F7 HavocF7	#38	#41
DB HavocDB	#69	#77

Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

UTAH 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 74° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Arizona -2.5 (45.5)
Arizona won vs Utah this year (42-18)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Utah last year (23-10)
Arizona beat Utah in 2023 (42-18)
Utah beat Arizona in 2022 (45-20)

UTAH's OC Andy Ludwig (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryson Barnes	142	242	59%	1572	12	11	6.5
Nate Johnson	39	72	54%	499	3	0	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Quinden Jackson	161	797	4	5.0	54
Jaylon Glover	137	562	2	4.1	30
Sione Vaki	42	317	2	7.5	72
Bryson Barnes	89	277	3	3.1	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devaughn Vele	43	593	3	13.8	68
Money Parks	31	293	2	9.5	70
Munir McClain	15	269	2	17.9	49
Mikey Matthews	29	261	0	9.0	40

View Utah's Full Roster

UTAH's DC Morgan Scalley (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Levani Damuni (Tr)	88	3	1	0
Karene Reid	67	2	0	4
Cole Bishop	60	7	3	3
Zemaiah Vaughn	53	5	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jonah Elliss	37	16	12	3	3
Connor O'Toole	31	6	5	0	3
Van Fillinger	31	6	4	0	0
Logan Fano (Tr)	14	4	4	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Zemaiah Vaughn	53	5	1	6
Tao Johnson	33	2	0	5
Karene Reid	67	2	0	4

ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Noah Fifita	241	333	72%	2869	25	6	8.6
Jayden de Laura	89	128	70%	1120	10	5	8.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonah Coleman	128	871	5	6.8	59
D.J. Williams	85	372	5	4.4	19
Michael Wiley	70	311	3	4.4	24
Rayshon Luke	37	153	1	4.1	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan	90	1402	10	15.6	57
Jacob Cowing	89	839	13	9.4	57
Tanner McLachlan	45	528	4	11.7	36
Michael Wiley	28	306	5	10.9	40

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Johnny Nansen (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Manu	104	10	7	10	2
Dalton Johnson	86	6	2	1	1
Gunner Maldonado	79	1	0	0	1
Ephesians Prysock	64	1	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taylor Upshaw (Tr)	31	12	9	3	1
Jacob Manu	104	10	7	10	2
Isaiah Ward	30	5	4	7	1
Russell Davis II	17	6	4	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Tacario Davis	25	1	15
Ephesians Prysock	64	1	7
Treydan Stukes	55	4	7