Arizona State at Utah - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
Utah -11 (40.5) (-380) Open: -12.5
Utah 55 - Arizona State: 3 (Pac-12)

Sun Devils (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UTAH 2nd straight Home Game
UTAH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Utah -19 (SP+ UTAH -20)
Projected Score: ASU: 15 - UTAH: 34 (48)
UTAH Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
ASU Travel: 507 miles

Utes (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (157 - 74)
Avg Score : 41 - 19 (44 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ASU Players
UTAH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arizona State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Arizona State vs Southern Utah	-34.0	60.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/9	Arizona State vs Oklahoma State	+2.5	53.5	L 15 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/16	Arizona State vs Fresno State	+4.0	48.0	L 0 - 29	U	N
Sat 9/23	Arizona State vs USC	+34.5	62.0	L 28 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Arizona State at California	+13.0	47.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Arizona State vs Colorado	+3.0	58.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Arizona State at Washington	+28.0	59.5	L 7 - 15	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Arizona State vs Washington State	+4.5	49.0	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Arizona State at Utah	+11.0	40.5	L 3 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/11	Arizona State at UCLA	+14.0	45.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Arizona State vs Oregon	+21.5	52.5	L 13 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/25	Arizona State vs Arizona	+12.5	48.5	L 23 - 59	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule

Utah's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Utah vs Florida	-5.5	44.5	W 24 - 11	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Utah at Baylor	-7.0	46.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/16	Utah vs Weber State	-26.5	44.0	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/23	Utah vs UCLA	-3.0	50.5	W 14 - 7	U	Y
Fri 9/29	Utah at Oregon State	+4.0	43.0	L 7 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Utah vs California	-9.0	42.5	W 34 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Utah at USC	+7.5	51.5	W 34 - 32	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Utah vs Oregon	+6.5	47.5	L 6 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	Utah vs Arizona State	-11.0	40.5	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Utah at Washington	+9.5	48.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Utah at Arizona	+2.5	45.5	L 18 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Utah vs Colorado	-21.5	43.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 12/23	Utah vs Northwestern	-6.5	44.5	L 7 - 14	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ASU	.23	44%	25.8	46%	3.12	135	44%	252	4.22	.27	47%	24.5	51%	45%	4.4	72.3	1.5	1
UTAH	.28	51%	41.3	54%	3.54	218	48%	249	4.16	.17	39%	18.9	41%	38%	3.86	40.2	1.3	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ASU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UTAH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ASU Offense	12	25.8	24.6	44.3%	4.22	1.5	21	387	135	252	4.2	44%	55%	46%	44%	19%	.23
UTAH Defense	14	18.9	20.2	39.1%	3.86	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	41%	38%	19%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ASU Defense	12	24.5	25.2	47.3%	4.4	1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	51%	45%	17%	.27
UTAH Offense	14	41.3	44	51%	4.16	1.3	26	467	218	249	5.4	51%	49%	54%	48%	12%	.28

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arizona State	12	30:44	21.2	39%	63%	7.3	72.3	1.5	1	4.2	1.4	1	26.3
Utah	14	33:40	25.9	51%	62%	4.5	40.2	1.3	2.3	5.9	2.9	3	32.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ASU Offense	12	44%	46%	32.1	135.3	4.2	21	.13	3.12	74%	12%	0.91
UTAH Defense	14	43%	41%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.91	69%	13%	1.16

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ASU Defense	12	48%	51%	-	-	-	-	.34	3.53	79%	9%	1.11
UTAH Offense	14	51%	54%	40	217.7	5.4	38	.31	3.54	81%	7%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ASU Offense	12	55%	44%	22.5	33.6	251.9	7.5	11.2	18	10	.35	1.6	32%	34%	.43	7%	2.1
UTAH Defense	14	56%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.19	1.7	34%	28%	.22	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ASU Defense	12	52%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.25	1.4	26%	31%	.28	8%	1.9
UTAH Offense	14	49%	48%	20.6	31.9	249.2	7.8	12.1	31	10	.26	1.4	27%	36%	.47	5%	2

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: -7.84 #106
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 12.85 #101
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 16.76 #123
2023 Talent Rating: 681.32 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #27
Arizona State's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Arizona State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #108
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #102
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: -7.84 Utah: 8.905

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: -11.9 Utah: 8.3

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 8.905 #38
Utah's Offense Rating: 13.26 #97
Utah's Defense Rating: 6.62 #37
2023 Talent Rating: 722.55 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Utah's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Utah's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #35
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #60
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Arizona State's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Utah 34
Arizona State 15

Projected Total Points: 48

Utah Scoring
Offense: 41.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.2

Utah's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/11	Utah	42	Arizona State	10	Utah -9.5	Utah	44.5	Over
2024	10/11	Arizona State	27	Utah	19	Utah -6	Arizona State	46.5	Under
2023	11/04	Utah	55	Arizona State	3	Utah -11	Utah	40.5	Over
2022	09/24	Arizona State	13	Utah	34	Utah -16.5	Utah	54.0	Under
2021	10/16	Utah	35	Arizona State	21	Utah -1	Utah	51.0	Over
2019	10/19	Utah	21	Arizona State	3	Utah -16	Utah	46.0	Under
2018	11/03	Arizona State	38	Utah	20	Utah -7.5	Arizona State	54.0	Over
2017	10/21	Utah	10	Arizona State	30	Utah -10	Arizona State	54.5	Under
2016	11/10	Arizona State	26	Utah	49	Utah -5.5	Utah	56.0	Over
2015	10/17	Utah	34	Arizona State	18	Utah -6.5	Utah	51.5	Over
2014	11/01	Arizona State	19	Utah	16	Arizona State -2.5	Arizona State	0
2013	11/09	Utah	19	Arizona State	20	Arizona State -7	Utah	0
2012	09/22	Arizona State	37	Utah	7
2011	10/08	Utah	14	Arizona State	35

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah	7	8	6 Overs
Arizona State	7	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 5	9 - 3	6 - 1	3 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 9	3 - 9	2 - 3	1 - 6

(#106) ASU at (#38) UTAH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ASU	UTAH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#106	#38
SP+SP+	#108	#35
Perf GradeGrade	#130	#73
OffenseOff	#132	#80
DefenseDef	#120	#64
Spec TeamsST	#117	#61
TalentTal	#44	#33
Blue ChipsBC%	#27	#27

Arizona State Injury Report

Utah Injury Report

Arizona State on Offense


CategoryCat	ASU Off	UTAH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#132	#64
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#101	#37
SP+SP+	#102	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arizona State Run Game


CategoryCat	ASU Off	UTAH Def
Run GameRun	#68	#64
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#122	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#18

Arizona State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ASU Off	UTAH Def
Pass GamePass	#133	#87
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#77	#73
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Utah on Offense


CategoryCat	UTAH Off	ASU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#80	#120
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#97	#123
SP+SP+	#60	#94
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Utah Run Game


CategoryCat	UTAH Off	ASU Def
Run GameRun	#47	#100
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#99

Utah Pass Game


CategoryCat	UTAH Off	ASU Def
Pass GamePass	#104	#120
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#132	#95
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UTAH 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Down to Average P4

ASU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice-Eccles Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Utah -11.0 (40.5)
Utah won vs Arizona State this year (55-3)

Previous Matchups
Utah beat Arizona State last year (42-10)
Arizona State beat Utah in 2024 (27-19)
Utah beat Arizona State in 2023 (55-3)

ASU's OC Beau Baldwin (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Trenton Bourguet	151	248	61%	1486	1	4	6.0
Jaden Rashada	44	82	54%	485	4	3	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)	164	788	9	4.8	66
DeCarlos Brooks (Tr)	48	259	3	5.4	21
Kyson Brown	23	106	0	4.6	15
Jalin Conyers	22	92	1	4.2	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijhah Badger	65	713	3	11.0	65
Jalin Conyers	30	362	0	12.1	50
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)	24	286	1	11.9	66
Xavier Guillory (Tr)	21	226	1	10.8	47

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shamari Simmons (Tr)	73	2	1	4	6
Chris Edmonds	71	0	0	2	2
Travion Brown (Tr)	53	3	1	0	1
Tate Romney (Tr)	52	4	1	4	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Prince Dorbah (Tr)	30	10	6	7	1
B.J. Green II	39	12	6	11	0
Clayton Smith (Tr)	21	6	5	7	1
Dashaun Mallory (Tr)	48	10	2	4	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Clark	50	2	0	0	9
Shamari Simmons (Tr)	73	2	1	4	6
Demetries Ford	31	2	0	0	5

UTAH's OC Andy Ludwig (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryson Barnes	142	242	59%	1572	12	11	6.5
Nate Johnson	39	72	54%	499	3	0	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Quinden Jackson	161	797	4	5.0	54
Jaylon Glover	137	562	2	4.1	30
Sione Vaki	42	317	2	7.5	72
Bryson Barnes	89	277	3	3.1	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devaughn Vele	43	593	3	13.8	68
Money Parks	31	293	2	9.5	70
Munir McClain	15	269	2	17.9	49
Mikey Matthews	29	261	0	9.0	40

View Utah's Full Roster

UTAH's DC Morgan Scalley (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Levani Damuni (Tr)	88	3	1	0
Karene Reid	67	2	0	4
Cole Bishop	60	7	3	3
Zemaiah Vaughn	53	5	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jonah Elliss	37	16	12	3	3
Connor O'Toole	31	6	5	0	3
Van Fillinger	31	6	4	0	0
Logan Fano (Tr)	14	4	4	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Zemaiah Vaughn	53	5	1	6
Tao Johnson	33	2	0	5
Karene Reid	67	2	0	4