Utah at Oregon State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Friday, September 29th 2023 (9:00 PM EDT)
Oregon State -4 (43.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Oregon State 21 - Utah: 7 (Pac-12)

Utes (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (157 - 74)
Avg Score : 23 - 19 (21 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ORST is playing their 5th straight game
UTAH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Oregon State -9 (SP+ ORST -6)
Projected Score: UTAH: 18 - ORST: 27 (44)
ORST Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UTAH Travel: 637 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Beavers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (29 - 31)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (37 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 4.3 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UTAH Players
ORST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Utah's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Utah vs Florida	-5.5	44.5	W 24 - 11	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Utah at Baylor	-7.0	46.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/16	Utah vs Weber State	-26.5	44.0	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/23	Utah vs UCLA	-3.0	50.5	W 14 - 7	U	Y
Fri 9/29	Utah at Oregon State	+4.0	43.0	L 7 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Utah vs California	-9.0	42.5	W 34 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Utah at USC	+7.5	51.5	W 34 - 32	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Utah vs Oregon	+6.5	47.5	L 6 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	Utah vs Arizona State	-11.0	40.5	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Utah at Washington	+9.5	48.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Utah at Arizona	+2.5	45.5	L 18 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Utah vs Colorado	-21.5	43.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 12/23	Utah vs Northwestern	-6.5	44.5	L 7 - 14	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah's Schedule

Oregon State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Oregon State at San José State	-14.0	56.5	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Oregon State vs UC Davis	-24.0	57.0	W 55 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Oregon State vs San Diego State	-24.5	48.5	W 26 - 9	U	N
Sat 9/23	Oregon State at Washington State	-3.0	58.5	L 35 - 38	O	N
Fri 9/29	Oregon State vs Utah	-4.0	43.0	W 21 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Oregon State at California	-7.5	51.0	W 52 - 40	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Oregon State vs UCLA	-3.5	53.5	W 36 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Oregon State at Arizona	-3.0	57.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/4	Oregon State at Colorado	-13.0	60.5	W 26 - 19	U	N
Sat 11/11	Oregon State vs Stanford	-21.5	51.5	W 62 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Oregon State vs Washington	-1.5	62.5	L 20 - 22	U	N
Fri 11/24	Oregon State at Oregon	+14.0	61.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Fri 12/29	Oregon State vs Notre Dame	+5.5	40.5	L 8 - 40	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTAH	#112 (.11)	40% (89)	23.2	42% (83)	3.09 (72)	183	39% (92)	166	3.29 (107)	#38 (.14)	36% (16)	19.3	38% (30)	35% (9)	3.48 (45)	41.2	1	1.2
ORST	#13 (.32)	48% (14)	31.8	52% (6)	3.24 (43)	167	45% (39)	242	4.78 (11)	#39 (.14)	44% (91)	22.9	46% (102)	43% (81)	3.42 (37)	50.1	1	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTAH	#120 (.08)	37% (125)		38% (116)	2.73 (114)	130	35% (119)	199	3.4 (111)	#7 (.05)	35% (4)		37% (10)	34% (6)	3.13 (15)	46.3	1.8	1.5
ORST	#87 (.16)	44% (59)		47% (25)	3.34 (20)	189	39% (100)	201	3.87 (75)	#117 (.27)	48% (125)		50% (126)	45% (112)	4.35 (117)	45.7	1.3	1

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTAH Offense	13	23.2	21.4	40.4%	3.29	1	19	348	183	166	4.2	60%	39%	42%	39%	14%	.11
ORST Defense	13	22.9	14.3	43.8%	3.42	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	46%	43%	18%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTAH Defense	13	19.3	28.6	36.4%	3.48	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	39%	60%	38%	35%	17%	.14
ORST Offense	13	31.8	36.7	48.1%	4.78	1	21	409	167	242	4.9	52%	47%	52%	45%	14%	.32

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Utah	13	34:07	18.8	41%	41%	4.9	41.2	1	1.2	5.3	2.5	2	29.6
Oregon State	13	30:39	21.4	39%	57%	5.5	50.1	1	1.5	5.5	2.7	2	29.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTAH Offense	13	60% (11)	42% (83)	43.2	182.5	4.2	19 (69)	.13 (82)	3.09 (72)	69% (100)	8% (37)	1 (63)
ORST Defense	13	46% (20)	46% (102)	-	-	-	-	.09 (35)	2.9 (36)	84% (122)	10% (61)	0.84 (10)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTAH Defense	13	39% (1)	38% (30)	-	-	-	-	.09 (37)	2.93 (39)	70% (49)	11% (41)	1.01 (77)
ORST Offense	13	52% (51)	52% (6)	34.2	167.1	4.9	26 (30)	.23 (26)	3.24 (43)	73% (79)	9% (43)	0.97 (85)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTAH Offense	13	39% (123)	39% (92)	14.5	25.2	165.8	6.6	11.4	15 (96)	11 (68)	.13 (117)	1.5 (114)	30% (37)	28% (92)	.17 (113)	5% (38)	1.8 (121)
ORST Defense	13	53% (114)	43% (81)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.26 (60)	1.6 (61)	33% (54)	33% (111)	.3 (59)	7% (22)	2 (46)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTAH Defense	13	60% (133)	35% (9)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.18 (20)	1.7 (99)	38% (4)	23% (4)	.2 (18)	6% (77)	2.1 (90)
ORST Offense	13	47% (82)	45% (39)	17.1	29.2	242.2	8.3	14.2	26 (31)	8 (30)	.44 (21)	1.8 (17)	32% (77)	37% (17)	.56 (9)	6% (48)	2.2 (24)

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 4.51 #38
Utah's Offense Rating: 13.26 #97
Utah's Defense Rating: 6.62 #37
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #27
Utah's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Utah's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #35
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #60
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah: 4.51 Oregon State: 15.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah: 8.3 Oregon State: 14.7

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 15.53 #17
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 25.78 #10
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 7.19 #39
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #66
Oregon State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.70 - 4.30
Oregon State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.7 #17
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #32

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Utah Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.4
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.6

Utah's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon State 27
Utah 18

Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Oregon State 24
Utah 17

Total Points: 41

Based on Entire Season
Oregon State 29
Utah 20

Total Points: 49

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

Oregon State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/29	Oregon State	21	Utah	7	Oregon State -4	Oregon State	43.0	Under
2022	10/01	Utah	42	Oregon State	16	Utah -10.5	Utah	54.0	Over
2021	10/23	Oregon State	42	Utah	34	Utah -3	Oregon State	57.5	Over
2020	12/05	Utah	30	Oregon State	24	Utah -13.5	Oregon State	51.5	Over
2019	10/12	Oregon State	7	Utah	52	Utah -14.5	Utah	60.0	Under
2016	10/15	Oregon State	14	Utah	19	Utah -13	Oregon State	43.0	Under
2015	10/31	Utah	27	Oregon State	12	Utah -21.5	Oregon State	52.5	Under
2014	10/16	Oregon State	23	Utah	29	Oregon State -1.5	Utah	0
2013	09/14	Utah	48	Oregon State	51	Utah -3.5	Oregon State	54.0	Over
2012	10/20	Oregon State	21	Utah	7
2011	10/29	Utah	27	Oregon State	8
2008	10/02	Utah	31	Oregon State	28
2007	08/30	Oregon State	24	Utah	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon State	5	6	4 Overs
Utah	8	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 4	4 - 5	2 - 4	2 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 9	5 - 4	1 - 2	4 - 2

(#38) UTAH at (#17) ORST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UTAH	ORST
Power RatePwr	#38	#17
SP+SP+	#35	#17
Perf GradeGrade	#73	#19
OffenseOff	#80	#12
DefenseDef	#64	#58
Spec TeamsST	#61	#57
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#27	#66

Utah Injury Report

Oregon State Injury Report

Utah on Offense


CategoryCat	UTAH Off	ORST Def
Perf GradePerf	#80	#58
SuccessSuc	#89	#91
ExplosiveExp	#118	#36
PPAPPA	#112	#39
PowerPwr	#97	#39
SP+SP+	#60	#32
Pts POPPO	#107	#37
HavocHav	#28	#38

Utah Run Game


CategoryCat	UTAH Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	#47	#52
Run SuccessRSuc	#83	#102
Run ExplRExp	#63	#10
PPAExp	#82	#35
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	#72	#36
Stuff RateStuff	#82	#58
TackleTak	-	#136

Utah Pass Game


CategoryCat	UTAH Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	#104	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	#92	#81
Pass ExplPExl	#114	#61
PPAExp	#117	#60
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#132	#105
F7 HavocF7	#37	#61
DB HavocDB	#38	#22

Oregon State on Offense


CategoryCat	ORST Off	UTAH Def
Perf GradePerf	#12	#64
SuccessSuc	#14	#16
ExplosiveExp	#54	#117
PPAPPA	#13	#38
PowerPwr	#10	#37
SP+SP+	#22	#26
Pts POPPO	#11	#45
HavocHav	#42	#53

Oregon State Run Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	UTAH Def
Run GameRun	#29	#64
Run SuccessRSuc	#6	#30
Run ExplRExp	#85	#77
PPAExp	#26	#37
Run BlockR Blk	#2	-
OL YdsOLY	#43	#39
Stuff RateStuff	#97	#25
TackleTak	-	#18

Oregon State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORST Off	UTAH Def
Pass GamePass	#43	#87
Pass SuccessPSuc	#39	#9
Pass ExplPExl	#17	#99
PPAExp	#21	#20
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#95	#73
F7 HavocF7	#43	#41
DB HavocDB	#48	#77

Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

UTAH 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 59° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 5
Oregon State -4.0 (43.0)
Oregon State won vs Utah this year (21-7)

Previous Matchups
Oregon State beat Utah in 2023 (21-7)
Utah beat Oregon State in 2022 (42-16)

UTAH's OC Andy Ludwig (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryson Barnes	142	242	59%	1572	12	11	6.5
Nate Johnson	39	72	54%	499	3	0	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Quinden Jackson	161	797	4	5.0	54
Jaylon Glover	137	562	2	4.1	30
Sione Vaki	42	317	2	7.5	72
Bryson Barnes	89	277	3	3.1	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devaughn Vele	43	593	3	13.8	68
Money Parks	31	293	2	9.5	70
Munir McClain	15	269	2	17.9	49
Mikey Matthews	29	261	0	9.0	40

View Utah's Full Roster

UTAH's DC Morgan Scalley (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Levani Damuni (Tr)	88	3	1	0
Karene Reid	67	2	0	4
Cole Bishop	60	7	3	3
Zemaiah Vaughn	53	5	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jonah Elliss	37	16	12	3	3
Connor O'Toole	31	6	5	0	3
Van Fillinger	31	6	4	0	0
Logan Fano (Tr)	14	4	4	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Zemaiah Vaughn	53	5	1	6
Tao Johnson	33	2	0	5
Karene Reid	67	2	0	4

ORST's OC Brian Lindgren (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
D.J. Uiagalelei (Tr)	180	315	57%	2638	21	7	8.4
Aidan Chiles	24	35	69%	309	4	0	8.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damien Martinez	194	1185	9	6.1	64
Deshaun Fenwick	96	515	5	5.4	38
D.J. Uiagalelei (Tr)	68	219	6	3.2	26
Silas Bolden	9	84	2	9.3	45

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Silas Bolden	54	746	5	13.8	50
Anthony Gould	44	718	2	16.3	75
Jack Velling	29	438	8	15.1	41
Jesiah Irish	18	302	1	16.8	38

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Trent Bray (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold	106	7	2	3	0
Kitan Oladapo	73	3	1	1	7
Akili Arnold	62	2	1	2	6
Calvin Hart Jr.	61	7	4	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Andrew Chatfield Jr.	28	10	10	4	2
John McCartan	47	9	5	4	2
Calvin Hart Jr.	61	7	4	1	0
Joe Golden	42	4	4	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaden Robinson	33	1	1	0	8
Ryan Cooper Jr.	37	2	1	1	7
Jermod McCoy	31	1	0	1	7