Utah at Oregon State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Friday, September 29th 2023 (9:00 PM EDT)
Oregon State -4 (43.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Oregon State 21 - Utah: 7 (Pac-12)

Utes (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (157 - 74)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (24 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ORST is playing their 5th straight game
UTAH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Oregon State -9 (SP+ ORST -6)
Projected Score: UTAH: 19 - ORST: 28 (50)
ORST Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UTAH Travel: 637 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Beavers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (29 - 31)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (30 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 4.3 (#31)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UTAH Players
ORST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Utah's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Utah vs Florida	-5.5	44.5	W 24 - 11	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Utah at Baylor	-7.0	46.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/16	Utah vs Weber State	-26.5	44.0	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/23	Utah vs UCLA	-3.0	50.5	W 14 - 7	U	Y
Fri 9/29	Utah at Oregon State	+4.0	43.0	L 7 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Utah vs California	-9.0	42.5	W 34 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Utah at USC	+7.5	51.5	W 34 - 32	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Utah vs Oregon	+6.5	47.5	L 6 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	Utah vs Arizona State	-11.0	40.5	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Utah at Washington	+9.5	48.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Utah at Arizona	+2.5	45.5	L 18 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Utah vs Colorado	-21.5	43.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 12/23	Utah vs Northwestern	-6.5	44.5	L 7 - 14	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah's Schedule

Oregon State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Oregon State at San José State	-14.0	56.5	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Oregon State vs UC Davis	-24.0	57.0	W 55 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Oregon State vs San Diego State	-24.5	48.5	W 26 - 9	U	N
Sat 9/23	Oregon State at Washington State	-3.0	58.5	L 35 - 38	O	N
Fri 9/29	Oregon State vs Utah	-4.0	43.0	W 21 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Oregon State at California	-7.5	51.0	W 52 - 40	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Oregon State vs UCLA	-3.5	53.5	W 36 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Oregon State at Arizona	-3.0	57.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/4	Oregon State at Colorado	-13.0	60.5	W 26 - 19	U	N
Sat 11/11	Oregon State vs Stanford	-21.5	51.5	W 62 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Oregon State vs Washington	-1.5	62.5	L 20 - 22	U	N
Fri 11/24	Oregon State at Oregon	+14.0	61.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Fri 12/29	Oregon State vs Notre Dame	+5.5	40.5	L 8 - 40	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTAH	.28	51%	23.6	54%	3.54	218	48%	249	4.16	.17	39%	20.7	41%	38%	3.86	40.2	1.3	2.3
ORST	.25	48%	24.3	51%	3.42	196	46%	200	4.47	.1	39%	29.9	44%	36%	3.09	54.7	1.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTAH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTAH Offense	14	23.6	24.2	51%	4.16	1.3	26	467	218	249	5.4	51%	49%	54%	48%	12%	.28
ORST Defense	13	29.9	30.1	38.8%	3.09	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	44%	36%	18%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTAH Defense	14	20.7	24.5	39.1%	3.86	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	41%	38%	19%	.17
ORST Offense	13	24.3	29.7	48.5%	4.47	1.4	22	396	196	200	4.9	59%	40%	51%	46%	13%	.25

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Utah	14	33:40	25.9	51%	62%	4.5	40.2	1.3	2.3	5.9	2.9	3	32.2
Oregon State	13	31:57	22.2	44%	70%	6	54.7	1.4	1.6	4.9	1.6	4	33.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTAH Offense	14	51%	54%	40	217.7	5.4	38	.31	3.54	81%	7%	0.99
ORST Defense	13	42%	44%	-	-	-	-	.19	3	78%	10%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTAH Defense	14	43%	41%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.91	69%	13%	1.16
ORST Offense	13	59%	51%	40.2	196.5	4.9	36	.23	3.42	78%	7%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTAH Offense	14	49%	48%	20.6	31.9	249.2	7.8	12.1	31	10	.26	1.4	27%	36%	.47	5%	2
ORST Defense	13	57%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.06	1.4	35%	28%	.27	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTAH Defense	14	56%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.19	1.7	34%	28%	.22	6%	2.2
ORST Offense	13	40%	46%	15.5	24.8	199.5	8	12.9	16	13	.36	1.6	27%	33%	.36	5%	1.9

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 4.51 #38
Utah's Offense Rating: 13.26 #97
Utah's Defense Rating: 6.62 #37
2023 Talent Rating: 760.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #27
Utah's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Utah's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #35
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #60
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah: 4.51 Oregon State: 15.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah: 8.3 Oregon State: 14.7

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 15.53 #17
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 25.78 #10
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 7.19 #39
2023 Talent Rating: 566.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #66
Oregon State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.70 - 4.30
Oregon State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.7 #17
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #32

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 644
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Utah Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.2
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.5

Utah's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon State 28
Utah 19

Projected Total Points: 50

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.1

Oregon State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/29	Oregon State	21	Utah	7	Oregon State	Oregon State -4	Oregon State	43.0	Under
2022	10/01	Utah	42	Oregon State	16	Utah	Utah -10.5	Utah	54.0	Over
2021	10/23	Oregon State	42	Utah	34	Oregon State	Utah -3	Oregon State	57.5	Over
2020	12/05	Utah	30	Oregon State	24	Utah	Utah -13.5	Oregon State	51.5	Over
2019	10/12	Oregon State	7	Utah	52	Utah	Utah -14.5	Utah	60.0	Under
2016	10/15	Oregon State	14	Utah	19	Utah	Utah -13	Oregon State	43.0	Under
2015	10/31	Utah	27	Oregon State	12	Utah	Utah -21.5	Oregon State	52.5	Under
2014	10/16	Oregon State	23	Utah	29	Utah	Oregon State -1.5	Utah	0
2013	09/14	Utah	48	Oregon State	51	Oregon State	Utah -3.5	Oregon State	54.0	Over
2012	10/20	Oregon State	21	Utah	7	Oregon State
2011	10/29	Utah	27	Oregon State	8	Utah
2008	10/02	Utah	31	Oregon State	28	Utah
2007	08/30	Oregon State	24	Utah	7	Oregon State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon State	5	6	4 Overs
Utah	8	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 4	4 - 5	2 - 4	2 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 9	5 - 4	1 - 2	4 - 2

(#38) Utah Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.51 #38
Offense Rating: 13.26 #97
Defense Rating: 6.62 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #35
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 760.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #27
Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30

Team Profile

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Utah Ratings Matchup Oregon State

Power #38

#17

Off #97

#10

Def #37

#39

Talent #35

#79

SP+ #35

#17

SP+ Off #60

#22

SP+ Def #26

#32

Rematch from Week 5
Oregon State -4.0 (43.0)
Oregon State won vs Utah this year (21-7)

Previous Matchups
Oregon State beat Utah in 2023 (21-7)
Utah beat Oregon State in 2022 (42-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 59° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: UTAH | ORST
Depth Chart: UTAH | ORST
Rosters: UTAH | ORST

(#17) Oregon State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 15.53 #17
Offense Rating: 25.78 #10
Defense Rating: 7.19 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.7 #17
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #32
Talent Rating: 566.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #66
Expected Record: 8.70 - 4.30

Team Profile

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Utah's OC Andy Ludwig

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryson Barnes	77	126	61%	856	12	6	6.8
Cameron Rising	34	66	52%	555	7	3	8.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Micah Bernard (Tr)	197	1009	4	5.1	64
Ja'Quinden Jackson	149	790	15	5.3	46
Bryson Barnes	68	530	5	7.8	63
Charlie Vincent	14	44	0	3.1	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brant Kuithe	35	505	6	14.4	71
Money Parks	21	294	3	14.0	71
Mikey Matthews	34	292	1	8.6	46
Micah Bernard (Tr)	30	150	2	5.0	19

View Utah's Full Roster

Utah's DC Morgan Scalley

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Karene Reid	54	6	3	1	1
Van Fillinger	43	8	5	1	5
Jadon Pearson	42	3	0	1	2
Zemaiah Vaughn	39	5	2	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Van Fillinger	43	8	5	1	5
Karene Reid	54	6	3	1	1
Connor O'Toole	22	5	3	0	0
Zemaiah Vaughn	39	5	2	0	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zemaiah Vaughn	39	5	2	0	5
Van Fillinger	43	8	5	1	5
JaTravis Broughton	38	0	0	0	3

Oregon State's OC Brian Lindgren

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Aidan Chiles	192	324	59%	2415	13	12	7.5
D.J. Uiagalelei (Tr)	84	156	54%	1065	4	6	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damien Martinez	159	1002	10	6.3	75
Aidan Chiles	96	234	3	2.4	26
Silas Bolden	2	-3	1	-1.5	5
Ben Gulbranson	14	-7	1	-0.5	4

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jack Velling	36	411	1	11.4	34
Silas Bolden	23	267	1	11.6	24
Tastean Reddicks	17	222	0	13.1	29
Damien Martinez	17	204	0	12.0	36

View Oregon State's Full Roster

Oregon State's DC Trent Bray

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold	94	5	2	2	1
Akili Arnold	59	1	1	1	1
John Miller	52	6	2	4	2
Jermod McCoy	44	1	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold	94	5	2	2	1
John Miller	52	6	2	4	2
Akili Arnold	59	1	1	1	1
Jermod McCoy	44	1	0	0	7

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jermod McCoy	44	1	0	0	7
Jaden Robinson	38	2	0	0	3
John Miller	52	6	2	4	2