UC Davis at Oregon State - 2023 Matchup Preview
UC Davis logo   UC Davis Aggies at Oregon State Beavers  Oregon State logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (9:00 PM EDT)
Oregon State -24 (57.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Oregon State 55 - UC Davis: 7

 
Aggies (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 10 - 70 (10 - 70 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Oregon State -15.5  (SP+ ORST -15)
ORST Win prob: 96% | Cover: 57%
Beavers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (29 - 31)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (22 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 4.3 (#31)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UC Davis's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/9 UC Davis at Oregon State+24.057.0L 7 - 55ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UC Davis's Schedule
Oregon State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Oregon State at San José State-14.056.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 9/9 Oregon State vs UC Davis-24.057.0W 55 - 7OY
Sat 9/16 Oregon State vs San Diego State-24.548.5W 26 - 9UN
Sat 9/23 Oregon State at Washington State-3.058.5L 35 - 38ON
Fri 9/29 Oregon State vs Utah-4.043.0W 21 - 7UY
Sat 10/7 Oregon State at California-7.551.0W 52 - 40OY
Sat 10/14 Oregon State vs UCLA-3.553.5W 36 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Oregon State at Arizona-3.057.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/4 Oregon State at Colorado-13.060.5W 26 - 19UN
Sat 11/11 Oregon State vs Stanford-21.551.5W 62 - 17OY
Sat 11/18 Oregon State vs Washington-1.562.5L 20 - 22UN
Fri 11/24 Oregon State at Oregon+14.061.5L 7 - 31UN
Fri 12/29 Oregon State vs Notre Dame+5.540.5L 8 - 40ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCD0%100%000%000%700%0%0000
ORST.2548%17.651%3.4219646%2004.47.139%29.444%36%3.0954.71.41.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCD0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ORST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCD Offense110100%00000000%0%0%0%0%
ORST Defense1329.425.338.8%3.091.6 - - - - - 42%57%44%36%18%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCD Defense170700%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
ORST Offense1317.621.748.5%4.471.4223961962004.959%40%51%46%13%.25

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UC Davis10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Oregon State1331:5722.244%70%654.71.41.64.91.6433.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCD Offense10%0%000000%0%0
ORST Defense1342%44% - - - - .19378%10%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCD Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
ORST Offense1359%51%40.2196.54.936.233.4278%7%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCD Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
ORST Defense1357%36% - - - - - - 12.061.435%28%.278%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCD Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
ORST Offense1340%46%15.524.8199.5812.91613.361.627%33%.365%1.9

UC Davis's Power Ratings
UC Davis's Power Rating: NR
UC Davis's Offense Rating: NR
UC Davis's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: 77.46  #182
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UC Davis's 2023 Expected Record: -
UC Davis's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UC Davis's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UC Davis's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
UC Davis:    Oregon State: 15.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UC Davis:    Oregon State: 14.7




Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 15.53  #17
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 25.78  #10
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 7.19  #39
2023 Talent Rating: 653.16  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #66
Oregon State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.70 - 4.30
Oregon State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.7  #17
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5  #22
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #32

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 517.06
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


UC Davis Scoring
Offense: 10 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 70 PPG
Defense on Road: 70

UC Davis's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon State 38
UC Davis 23

Projected Total Points: 61
Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Oregon State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Oregon State55UC Davis7Oregon State -24Oregon State57.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon State111 Overs
UC Davis000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) UCD at (#17) ORST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCDORST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #17
SP+SP+NR #17
Perf GradeGradeNR #19
OffenseOffNR #12
DefenseDefNR #58
Spec TeamsSTNR #57
TalentTal #182 #54
Blue ChipsBC%NR #66
UC Davis on Offense
CategoryCat
UCD OffORST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #58
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNR #39
SP+SP+NR #32
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UC Davis Run Game
CategoryCat
UCD OffORST Def
Run GameRunNR #52
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #136
UC Davis Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCD OffORST Def
Pass GamePassNR #65
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #105
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Oregon State on Offense
CategoryCatORST OffUCD Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #12NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #10NR
SP+SP+ #22NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon State Run Game
CategoryCat
ORST OffUCD Def
Run GameRun #29NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #2 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Oregon State Pass Game
CategoryCatORST OffUCD Def
Pass GamePass #43NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #95NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

UCD 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Oregon State -24.0 (57.0)
Oregon State won vs UC Davis this year (55-7)

Previous Matchups
Oregon State beat UC Davis in 2023 (55-7)

  
UCD's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Grant Harper194146%261326.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Fisher185112186.175
Matteo Perez117306.615
Samuel Gbatu Jr.85907.417
Grant Harper134503.514
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Samuel Gbatu Jr.7011691116.785
Ian Simpson31425313.734
Jordan Fisher26287311.032
Zach Jones15269517.965

View UC Davis's Full Roster

UCD's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kavir Bains581004
Rex Connors80000
Trent Carrade42100
Markeece Alexander40000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trent Carrade42100
Kavir Bains581004
Rex Connors80000
Markeece Alexander40000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kavir Bains581004
Rex Connors80000
Trent Carrade42100

ORST's OC Brian Lindgren (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Uiagalelei (Tr)18031557%26382178.4
Aidan Chiles243569%309408.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Martinez194118596.164
Deshaun Fenwick9651555.438
D.J. Uiagalelei (Tr)6821963.226
Silas Bolden98429.345
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Silas Bolden54746513.850
Anthony Gould44718216.375
Jack Velling29438815.141
Jesiah Irish18302116.838

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Trent Bray (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold1067230
Kitan Oladapo733117
Akili Arnold622126
Calvin Hart Jr.617410
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andrew Chatfield Jr.28101042
John McCartan479542
Calvin Hart Jr.617410
Joe Golden424420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Robinson331108
Ryan Cooper Jr.372117
Jermod McCoy311017