Oregon State at San José State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Oregon State logo Oregon State Beavers at San José State SpartansSan José State logo
Sunday, September 3rd 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Oregon State -14 (56.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Oregon State 42 - San José State: 17

 
Beavers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (29 - 31)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (31 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 4.3 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.9 MPH
Our Line: Oregon State -12  (SP+ ORST -16.5)

Projected Score: ORST: 33 - SJSU: 21 (55)
ORST Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
ORST Travel: 506 miles
Spartans (7 - 6) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Brent Brennan (28 - 45)
Avg Score : 32 - 26 (34 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#68)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oregon State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Oregon State at San José State-14.056.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 9/9 Oregon State vs UC Davis-24.057.0W 55 - 7OY
Sat 9/16 Oregon State vs San Diego State-24.548.5W 26 - 9UN
Sat 9/23 Oregon State at Washington State-3.058.5L 35 - 38ON
Fri 9/29 Oregon State vs Utah-4.043.0W 21 - 7UY
Sat 10/7 Oregon State at California-7.551.0W 52 - 40OY
Sat 10/14 Oregon State vs UCLA-3.553.5W 36 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Oregon State at Arizona-3.057.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/4 Oregon State at Colorado-13.060.5W 26 - 19UN
Sat 11/11 Oregon State vs Stanford-21.551.5W 62 - 17OY
Sat 11/18 Oregon State vs Washington-1.562.5L 20 - 22UN
Fri 11/24 Oregon State at Oregon+14.061.5L 7 - 31UN
Fri 12/29 Oregon State vs Notre Dame+5.540.5L 8 - 40ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
San José State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 San José State at USC+31.566.0L 28 - 56OY
Sun 9/3 San José State vs Oregon State+14.056.5L 17 - 42ON
Sat 9/9 San José State vs Cal Poly-23.560.0W 59 - 3OY
Sat 9/16 San José State at Toledo+9.056.5L 17 - 21UY
Fri 9/22 San José State vs Air Force+6.045.5L 20 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 San José State at Boise State+8.057.5L 27 - 35OY
Sat 10/14 San José State at New Mexico-6.555.0W 52 - 24OY
Sat 10/21 San José State vs Utah State-4.065.0W 42 - 21UY
Sat 10/28 San José State at Hawai'i-10.557.0W 35 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11 San José State vs Fresno State-2.551.5W 42 - 18OY
Sat 11/18 San José State vs San Diego State-16.548.5W 24 - 13UN
Sat 11/25 San José State at UNLV+3.558.5W 37 - 31OY
Sat 12/23 San José State vs Coastal Carolina-7.548.0L 14 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST#13 (.32)48% (14)31.852% (6)3.24 (43)16745% (39)2424.78 (11)#39 (.14)44% (91)22.946% (102)43% (81)3.42 (37)50.111.5
SJSU#22 (.29)45% (29)31.848% (23)3.21 (48)18443% (51)2193.73 (81)#104 (.24)43% (79)25.645% (91)41% (60)3.86 (74)49.10.81.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST#87 (.16)44% (59)47% (25)3.34 (20)18939% (100)2013.87 (75)#117 (.27)48% (125)50% (126)45% (112)4.35 (117)45.71.31
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)41% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)42% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Offense1331.83148.1%4.781214091672424.952%47%52%45%14%.32
SJSU Defense1325.623.742.8%3.861.6 - - - - - 56%43%45%41%15%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Defense1322.928.743.8%3.421.5 - - - - - 46%53%46%43%18%.14
SJSU Offense1331.83445.5%3.730.8214041842195.650%50%48%43%15%.29

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon State1330:3921.439%57%5.550.111.55.52.7229.7
San José State1330:3520.845%37%5.749.10.81.64.81.6334.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Offense1352% (51)52% (6)34.2167.14.926 (30).23 (26)3.24 (43)73% (79)9% (43)0.97 (85)
SJSU Defense1356% (120)45% (91) - - - - .25 (121)3.47 (126)75% (81)9% (104)1.03 (88)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Defense1346% (20)46% (102) - - - - .09 (35)2.9 (36)84% (122)10% (61)0.84 (10)
SJSU Offense1350% (71)48% (23)33184.15.631 (17).24 (22)3.21 (48)72% (85)10% (61)1.11 (21)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Offense1347% (82)45% (39)17.129.2242.28.314.226 (31)8 (30).44 (21)1.8 (17)32% (77)37% (17).56 (9)6% (48)2.2 (24)
SJSU Defense1343% (10)41% (60) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (80)1.6 (80)31% (91)33% (108).44 (119)6% (80)2 (62)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Defense1353% (114)43% (81) - - - - - - 12 (37).26 (60)1.6 (61)33% (54)33% (111).3 (59)7% (22)2 (46)
SJSU Offense1350% (61)43% (51)17.728.9219.57.612.421 (65)4 (2).34 (44)1.7 (28)33% (91)38% (9).48 (22)6% (59)2 (79)

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 11.36  #17
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 25.78  #10
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 7.19  #39
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #66
Oregon State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.70 - 4.30
Oregon State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.7  #17
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5  #22
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #32

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 11.36   San José State: 0.835

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 14.7   San José State: -1.9




San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: 0.835  #71
San José State's Offense Rating: 19.30  #42
San José State's Defense Rating: 10.51  #79
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
San José State's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 6.50
San José State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9  #73
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5  #48
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4  #87

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.7

Oregon State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon State 33
San José State 21


Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Oregon State 25
San José State 23

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
San José State 29
Oregon State 28

Total Points: 57
San José State Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.7

San José State's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Oregon State13San José State24Oregon State -3.0San José State58.5Under
202309/03San José State17Oregon State42Oregon State -14Oregon State56.5Over
201509/19Oregon State35San José State21Oregon State -8Oregon State50.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
San José State112 Overs
Oregon State221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 12 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#17) ORST at (#71) SJSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatORSTSJSU
Power RatePwr #17 #71
SP+SP+ #17 #73
Perf GradeGrade #19 #62
OffenseOff #12 #33
DefenseDef #58 #105
Spec TeamsST #57 #35
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #66 #75
Oregon State on Offense
CategoryCat
ORST OffSJSU Def
Perf GradePerf #12 #105
SuccessSuc #14 #79
ExplosiveExp #54 #60
PPAPPA #13 #104
PowerPwr #10 #79
SP+SP+ #22 #87
Pts POPPO #11 #74
HavocHav #42 #102
Oregon State Run Game
CategoryCat
ORST OffSJSU Def
Run GameRun #29 #131
Run SuccessRSuc #6 #91
Run ExplRExp #85 #88
PPAExp #26 #121
Run BlockR Blk #2 -
OL YdsOLY #43 #126
Stuff RateStuff #97 #113
TackleTak -  #109
Oregon State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ORST OffSJSU Def
Pass GamePass #43 #30
Pass SuccessPSuc #39 #60
Pass ExplPExl #17 #80
PPAExp #21 #80
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #95 #64
F7 HavocF7 #43 #104
DB HavocDB #48 #80
San José State on Offense
CategoryCatSJSU OffORST Def
Perf GradePerf #33 #58
SuccessSuc #29 #91
ExplosiveExp #12 #36
PPAPPA #22 #39
PowerPwr #42 #39
SP+SP+ #48 #32
Pts POPPO #81 #37
HavocHav #62 #38
San José State Run Game
CategoryCat
SJSU OffORST Def
Run GameRun #15 #52
Run SuccessRSuc #23 #102
Run ExplRExp #21 #10
PPAExp #22 #35
Run BlockR Blk #42 -
OL YdsOLY #48 #36
Stuff RateStuff #122 #58
TackleTak -  #136
San José State Pass Game
CategoryCatSJSU OffORST Def
Pass GamePass #25 #65
Pass SuccessPSuc #51 #81
Pass ExplPExl #28 #61
PPAExp #44 #60
Pass Block/RushP Blk #52 #105
F7 HavocF7 #61 #61
DB HavocDB #59 #22
Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 75° - Wind: 14 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Oregon State 14.0 (56.5)
Oregon State won at San José State this year (42-17)

Previous Matchups
San José State beat Oregon State last year (24-13)
Oregon State beat San José State in 2023 (42-17)

  
ORST's OC Brian Lindgren (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Uiagalelei (Tr)18031557%26382178.4
Aidan Chiles243569%309408.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Martinez194118596.164
Deshaun Fenwick9651555.438
D.J. Uiagalelei (Tr)6821963.226
Silas Bolden98429.345
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Silas Bolden54746513.850
Anthony Gould44718216.375
Jack Velling29438815.141
Jesiah Irish18302116.838

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Trent Bray (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold1067230
Kitan Oladapo733117
Akili Arnold622126
Calvin Hart Jr.617410
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andrew Chatfield Jr.28101042
John McCartan479542
Calvin Hart Jr.617410
Joe Golden424420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Robinson331108
Ryan Cooper Jr.372117
Jermod McCoy311017

SJSU's OC Kevin McGiven (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chevan Cordeiro22336361%27732047.6
Jay Butterfield (Tr)71164%80107.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kairee Robinson1691191187.052
Quali Conley (Tr)13184296.468
Chevan Cordeiro8127233.428
Isaac Jernigan128607.245
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Nash48728815.258
Charles Ross26347113.335
Dominick Mazotti23322214.044
Sam Olson22310314.156

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryun Parham1065242
Jordan Pollard794000
Tre Jenkins671004
Tre Smith6710740
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre Smith6710740
Soane Toia356400
Noah Lavulo497450
Jay Kakiva437300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay'Vion Cole3821010
D.J. Harvey (Tr)282005
Tre Jenkins671004