Oregon State at Arizona - 2023 Matchup Preview
Oregon State logo Oregon State Beavers at Arizona WildcatsArizona logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (10:30 PM EDT)
Oregon State -3 (57.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Arizona 27 - Oregon State: 24  (Pac-12)

 
Beavers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (29 - 31)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (31 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 4.3 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ORST coming off BYE
ARIZ coming off BYE
Our Line: Arizona -0.5   (SP+ ORST -2.5)
Projected Score: ORST: 28 - ARIZ: 28 (56)
ORST Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
ORST Travel: 1080 miles
Wildcats (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (8 - 19)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (32 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oregon State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Oregon State at San José State-14.056.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 9/9 Oregon State vs UC Davis-24.057.0W 55 - 7OY
Sat 9/16 Oregon State vs San Diego State-24.548.5W 26 - 9UN
Sat 9/23 Oregon State at Washington State-3.058.5L 35 - 38ON
Fri 9/29 Oregon State vs Utah-4.043.0W 21 - 7UY
Sat 10/7 Oregon State at California-7.551.0W 52 - 40OY
Sat 10/14 Oregon State vs UCLA-3.553.5W 36 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Oregon State at Arizona-3.057.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/4 Oregon State at Colorado-13.060.5W 26 - 19UN
Sat 11/11 Oregon State vs Stanford-21.551.5W 62 - 17OY
Sat 11/18 Oregon State vs Washington-1.562.5L 20 - 22UN
Fri 11/24 Oregon State at Oregon+14.061.5L 7 - 31UN
Fri 12/29 Oregon State vs Notre Dame+5.540.5L 8 - 40ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Arizona's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-28.561.0W 38 - 3UY
Sat 9/9 Arizona at Mississippi State+9.060.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 9/16 Arizona vs UTEP-18.057.0W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/23 Arizona at Stanford-13.060.0W 21 - 20UN
Sat 9/30 Arizona vs Washington+20.066.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 10/7 Arizona at USC+21.069.5L 41 - 43OY
Sat 10/14 Arizona at Washington State+7.557.5W 44 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Arizona vs Oregon State+3.057.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 Arizona vs UCLA+2.550.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Arizona at Colorado-6.055.5W 34 - 31ON
Sat 11/18 Arizona vs Utah-2.545.5W 42 - 18OY
Sat 11/25 Arizona at Arizona State-12.548.5W 59 - 23OY
Thu 12/28 Arizona vs Oklahoma-2.559.5W 38 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST#13 (.32)48% (14)31.852% (6)3.24 (43)16745% (39)2424.78 (11)#39 (.14)44% (91)22.946% (102)43% (81)3.42 (37)50.111.5
ARIZ#10 (.34)51% (6)34.652% (5)3.26 (40)14050% (10)3084.42 (29)#57 (.16)42% (67)21.143% (71)41% (62)3.37 (29)531.11.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST#87 (.16)44% (59)47% (25)3.34 (20)18939% (100)2013.87 (75)#117 (.27)48% (125)50% (126)45% (112)4.35 (117)45.71.31
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)37% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)45% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Offense1331.83148.1%4.781214091672424.952%47%52%45%14%.32
ARIZ Defense1321.11641.9%3.371.4 - - - - - 46%53%43%41%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Defense1322.928.743.8%3.421.5 - - - - - 46%53%46%43%18%.14
ARIZ Offense1334.631.550.6%4.421.1234481403084.643%57%52%50%14%.34

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon State1330:3921.439%57%5.550.111.55.52.7229.7
Arizona1330:502349%67%6.3531.11.45.32.4129.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Offense1352% (51)52% (6)34.2167.14.926 (30).23 (26)3.24 (43)73% (79)9% (43)0.97 (85)
ARIZ Defense1346% (21)43% (71) - - - - .12 (58)3 (50)75% (82)11% (54)0.97 (51)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Defense1346% (20)46% (102) - - - - .09 (35)2.9 (36)84% (122)10% (61)0.84 (10)
ARIZ Offense1343% (112)52% (5)30.6139.74.617 (81).21 (34)3.26 (40)74% (68)9% (38)0.9 (109)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Offense1347% (82)45% (39)17.129.2242.28.314.226 (31)8 (30).44 (21)1.8 (17)32% (77)37% (17).56 (9)6% (48)2.2 (24)
ARIZ Defense1353% (115)41% (62) - - - - - - 9 (87).26 (57)1.5 (48)34% (38)32% (95).25 (38)6% (60)2 (36)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Defense1353% (114)43% (81) - - - - - - 12 (37).26 (60)1.6 (61)33% (54)33% (111).3 (59)7% (22)2 (46)
ARIZ Offense1357% (20)50% (10)25.535.7308.38.612.136 (5)11 (68).47 (15)1.6 (68)29% (19)41% (6).54 (13)6% (69)2 (103)

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 11.36 #17
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 25.78 #10
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 7.19 #39
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #66
Oregon State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.70 - 4.30
Oregon State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.7 #17
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #32

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 11.36   Arizona: 13.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 14.7   Arizona: 12.1




Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 13.725 #20
Arizona's Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Arizona's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #51
Arizona's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.7

Oregon State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona 28
Oregon State 28

Total Points: 56

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 16

Arizona's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Arizona27Oregon State24ArizonaOregon State -3Arizona57.5Under
201911/02Arizona38Oregon State56Oregon StateArizona -4.5Oregon State72.0Over
201809/22Oregon State14Arizona35ArizonaArizona -4Arizona72.5Under
201711/11Arizona49Oregon State28ArizonaArizona -21Push69.5Over
201611/19Oregon State42Arizona17Oregon StateOregon State -5Oregon State61.5Under
201510/10Arizona44Oregon State7ArizonaArizona -12.5Arizona66.5Under
201209/29Arizona35Oregon State38Oregon State
201110/08Oregon State37Arizona27Oregon State
201010/09Arizona27Oregon State29Oregon State
200909/26Oregon State32Arizona37Arizona
200811/22Arizona17Oregon State19Oregon State
200710/06Oregon State31Arizona16Oregon State
200610/21Arizona10Oregon State17Oregon State
200510/29Oregon State27Arizona29Arizona
200410/30Arizona14Oregon State28Oregon State
200311/01Oregon State52Arizona23Oregon State
200211/02Oregon State38Arizona3Oregon State
200110/13Oregon State38Arizona3Oregon State
200011/10Arizona9Oregon State33Oregon State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona632 Overs
Oregon State1324 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 103 - 22 - 11 - 1
Road Teams10 - 92 - 31 - 11 - 2

(#17) Oregon State Info
Power Rating: 11.36 #17
Offense Rating: 25.78 #10
Defense Rating: 7.19 #39
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.7 #17
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5 #22
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #32
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #66
Expected Record: 8.70 - 4.30


Oregon State has won 3 straight
Oregon State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Oregon State Highlights
Oregon State offense is efficent (#40)
Oregon State offense is good in red zone (#55)
Oregon State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Oregon State Secondary is very good (#41)
Oregon State has a great TO Margin (#116)

Oregon State Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatARIZORST
OverallOver#13#15
OffenseOff#8#11
DefenseDef#48#50
Special TeamsST#51#47
PassingPass#13#33
RushingRush#8#20
Run BlockRBLK#59#2
Pass BlockPBLK#4#82
Route RunningWR Rt#5#10
TacklingTkl#45#118
Run DefenseR Def#40#46
Pass Rush DefPRush#64#81
Coverage DefCov#48#52

Rematch from Week 9
Oregon State 3.0 (57.5)
Arizona won vs Oregon State this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Oregon State in 2023 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ORST | ARIZ
Depth Chart: ORST | ARIZ
Rosters: ORST | ARIZ
(#20) Arizona Info
Power Rating: 13.725 #20
Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #51
Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90


Arizona has won 1 straight
Arizona has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (6 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Arizona Highlights
Arizona is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Arizona is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Arizona offense is efficent (#96)
Arizona offense is good in red zone (#118)
Arizona offense is good on 3rd downs
Arizona defense is really good in red zone (#3)
Arizona has a great TO Margin (#28)

Arizona Deficiencies
Arizona Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#87)


  
Oregon State's OC Brian Lindgren
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Uiagalelei (Tr)18031557%26382178.4
Aidan Chiles243569%309408.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Martinez194118596.164
Deshaun Fenwick9651555.438
D.J. Uiagalelei (Tr)6821963.226
Silas Bolden98429.345
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Silas Bolden54746513.850
Anthony Gould44718216.375
Jack Velling29438815.141
Jesiah Irish18302116.838

View Oregon State's Full Roster
Oregon State's DC Trent Bray
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold1067230
Kitan Oladapo733117
Akili Arnold622126
Calvin Hart Jr.617410
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andrew Chatfield Jr.28101042
John McCartan479542
Calvin Hart Jr.617410
Joe Golden424420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Robinson331108
Ryan Cooper Jr.372117
Jermod McCoy311017

Arizona's OC Brennan Carroll
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Fifita24133372%28692568.6
Jayden de Laura8912870%11201058.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Coleman12887156.859
D.J. Williams8537254.419
Michael Wiley7031134.424
Rayshon Luke3715314.140
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan9014021015.657
Jacob Cowing89839139.457
Tanner McLachlan45528411.736
Michael Wiley28306510.940

View Arizona's Full Roster
Arizona's DC Johnny Nansen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Manu104107102
Dalton Johnson866211
Gunner Maldonado791001
Ephesians Prysock641007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taylor Upshaw (Tr)3112931
Jacob Manu104107102
Isaiah Ward305471
Russell Davis II176420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tacario Davis2510015
Ephesians Prysock641007
Treydan Stukes554007