Oregon State at Arizona - 2023 Matchup Preview
Oregon State logo   Oregon State Beavers at Arizona Wildcats  Arizona logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (10:30 PM EDT)
Oregon State -3 (57.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Arizona 27 - Oregon State: 24  (Pac-12)

 
Beavers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (29 - 31)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (12 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.7 - 4.3 (#31)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ORST coming off BYE
ARIZ coming off BYE
Our Line: Arizona -0.5  (SP+ ORST -2.5)
Projected Score: ORST: 26 - ARIZ: 27 (53)
ORST Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
ORST Travel: 1080 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (8 - 19)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (35 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oregon State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Oregon State at San José State-14.056.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 9/9 Oregon State vs UC Davis-24.057.0W 55 - 7OY
Sat 9/16 Oregon State vs San Diego State-24.548.5W 26 - 9UN
Sat 9/23 Oregon State at Washington State-3.058.5L 35 - 38ON
Fri 9/29 Oregon State vs Utah-4.043.0W 21 - 7UY
Sat 10/7 Oregon State at California-7.551.0W 52 - 40OY
Sat 10/14 Oregon State vs UCLA-3.553.5W 36 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Oregon State at Arizona-3.057.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/4 Oregon State at Colorado-13.060.5W 26 - 19UN
Sat 11/11 Oregon State vs Stanford-21.551.5W 62 - 17OY
Sat 11/18 Oregon State vs Washington-1.562.5L 20 - 22UN
Fri 11/24 Oregon State at Oregon+14.061.5L 7 - 31UN
Fri 12/29 Oregon State vs Notre Dame+5.540.5L 8 - 40ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Arizona's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-28.561.0W 38 - 3UY
Sat 9/9 Arizona at Mississippi State+9.060.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 9/16 Arizona vs UTEP-18.057.0W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/23 Arizona at Stanford-13.060.0W 21 - 20UN
Sat 9/30 Arizona vs Washington+20.066.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 10/7 Arizona at USC+21.069.5L 41 - 43OY
Sat 10/14 Arizona at Washington State+7.557.5W 44 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Arizona vs Oregon State+3.057.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 Arizona vs UCLA+2.550.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Arizona at Colorado-6.055.5W 34 - 31ON
Sat 11/18 Arizona vs Utah-2.545.5W 42 - 18OY
Sat 11/25 Arizona at Arizona State-12.548.5W 59 - 23OY
Thu 12/28 Arizona vs Oklahoma-2.559.5W 38 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST.2548%17.651%3.4219646%2004.47.139%29.444%36%3.0954.71.41.6
ARIZ.2948%31.553%3.3314445%3183.89.3653%19.357%51%4.48501.82.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Offense1317.611.848.5%4.471.4223961962004.959%40%51%46%13%.25
ARIZ Defense1219.315.653.4%4.482.3 - - - - - 50%50%57%51%13%.36
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Defense1329.435.238.8%3.091.6 - - - - - 42%57%44%36%18%.1
ARIZ Offense1231.534.947.7%3.891.8244621443184.941%57%53%45%16%.29

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon State1331:5722.244%70%654.71.41.64.91.6433.7
Arizona1228:0324.142%43%5.4501.82.34.61.3027.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Offense1359%51%40.2196.54.936.233.4278%7%0.94
ARIZ Defense1250%57% - - - - .343.6379%9%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Defense1342%44% - - - - .19378%10%1.02
ARIZ Offense1241%53%29.31444.919.223.3367%9%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Offense1340%46%15.524.8199.5812.91613.361.627%33%.365%1.9
ARIZ Defense1250%51% - - - - - - 4.41.425%39%.565%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Defense1357%36% - - - - - - 12.061.435%28%.278%2
ARIZ Offense1257%45%23.638.3318.48.313.52613.391.829%36%.497%2.3

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 11.36  #17
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 25.78  #10
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 7.19  #39
2023 Talent Rating: 653.16  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #66
Oregon State's 2023 Expected Record: 8.70 - 4.30
Oregon State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.7  #17
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.5  #22
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #32

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 517.06
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 11.36   Arizona: 13.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 14.7   Arizona: 12.1




Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 13.725  #20
Arizona's Offense Rating: 26.94  #6
Arizona's Defense Rating: 8.46  #53
2023 Talent Rating: 687.01  #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 9  #51
Arizona's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1  #20
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5  #15
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6  #41

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.8
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Oregon State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona 27
Oregon State 26

Projected Total Points: 53
Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.9
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Arizona's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Arizona27Oregon State24Oregon State -3Arizona57.5Under
201911/02Arizona38Oregon State56Arizona -4.5Oregon State72.0Over
201809/22Oregon State14Arizona35Arizona -4Arizona72.5Under
201711/11Arizona49Oregon State28Arizona -21Push69.5Over
201611/19Oregon State42Arizona17Oregon State -5Oregon State61.5Under
201510/10Arizona44Oregon State7Arizona -12.5Arizona66.5Under
201209/29Arizona35Oregon State38
201110/08Oregon State37Arizona27
201010/09Arizona27Oregon State29
200909/26Oregon State32Arizona37
200811/22Arizona17Oregon State19
200710/06Oregon State31Arizona16
200610/21Arizona10Oregon State17
200510/29Oregon State27Arizona29
200410/30Arizona14Oregon State28
200311/01Oregon State52Arizona23
200211/02Oregon State38Arizona3
200110/13Oregon State38Arizona3
200011/10Arizona9Oregon State33
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona632 Overs
Oregon State1324 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 103 - 22 - 11 - 1
Road Teams10 - 92 - 31 - 11 - 2

(#17) ORST at (#20) ARIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatORSTARIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #17 #20
SP+SP+ #17 #20
Perf GradeGrade #19 #16
OffenseOff #12 #8
DefenseDef #58 #56
Spec TeamsST #57 #63
TalentTal #54 #42
Blue ChipsBC% #66 #51
Oregon State on Offense
CategoryCat
ORST OffARIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #12 #56
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #10 #53
SP+SP+ #22 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon State Run Game
CategoryCat
ORST OffARIZ Def
Run GameRun #29 #46
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #2 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #51
Oregon State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ORST OffARIZ Def
Pass GamePass #43 #59
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #95 #81
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arizona on Offense
CategoryCatARIZ OffORST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #8 #58
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #6 #39
SP+SP+ #15 #32
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona Run Game
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffORST Def
Run GameRun #8 #52
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #76 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #136
Arizona Pass Game
CategoryCatARIZ OffORST Def
Pass GamePass #14 #65
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #4 #105
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Oregon State 3.0 (57.5)
Arizona won vs Oregon State this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Oregon State in 2023 (27-24)

  
ORST's OC Brian Lindgren (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
D.J. Uiagalelei (Tr)18031557%26382178.4
Aidan Chiles243569%309408.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Damien Martinez194118596.164
Deshaun Fenwick9651555.438
D.J. Uiagalelei (Tr)6821963.226
Silas Bolden98429.345
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Silas Bolden54746513.850
Anthony Gould44718216.375
Jack Velling29438815.141
Jesiah Irish18302116.838

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Trent Bray (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold1067230
Kitan Oladapo733117
Akili Arnold622126
Calvin Hart Jr.617410
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andrew Chatfield Jr.28101042
John McCartan479542
Calvin Hart Jr.617410
Joe Golden424420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Robinson331108
Ryan Cooper Jr.372117
Jermod McCoy311017

ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Fifita24133372%28692568.6
Jayden de Laura8912870%11201058.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Coleman12887156.859
D.J. Williams8537254.419
Michael Wiley7031134.424
Rayshon Luke3715314.140
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan9014021015.657
Jacob Cowing89839139.457
Tanner McLachlan45528411.736
Michael Wiley28306510.940

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Johnny Nansen (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Manu104107102
Dalton Johnson866211
Gunner Maldonado791001
Ephesians Prysock641007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taylor Upshaw (Tr)3112931
Jacob Manu104107102
Isaiah Ward305471
Russell Davis II176420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tacario Davis2510015
Ephesians Prysock641007
Treydan Stukes554007