Idaho at Nevada - 2023 Matchup Preview
Idaho logo Idaho Vandals at Nevada Wolf PackNevada logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Idaho -5.5 (51.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Idaho 33 - Nevada: 6

 
Vandals (1 - 1) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 19 (25 - 19 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 15 MPH
Our Line: -16.5  (SP+ NEV -22)
IDHO Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
Wolf Pack (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ken Wilson (2 - 13)
Avg Score : 17 - 33 (19 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#129)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Idaho's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/9 Idaho at Nevada-5.551.0W 33 - 6UY
Sat 9/16 Idaho at California+14.552.5L 17 - 31UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Idaho's Schedule
Nevada's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Nevada at USC+37.563.5L 14 - 66ON
Sat 9/9 Nevada vs Idaho+5.551.0L 6 - 33UN
Sat 9/16 Nevada vs Kansas+28.558.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 9/23 Nevada at Texas State+17.060.0L 24 - 35UY
Sat 9/30 Nevada at Fresno State+25.550.5L 9 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Nevada vs UNLV+7.551.5L 27 - 45ON
Sat 10/21 Nevada at San Diego State+11.048.5W 6 - 0UY
Sat 10/28 Nevada vs New Mexico+1.050.0W 34 - 24OY
Sat 11/4 Nevada vs Hawai'i-3.550.5L 14 - 27UN
Sat 11/11 Nevada at Utah State+14.554.5L 24 - 41ON
Sat 11/18 Nevada at Colorado State+12.545.5L 20 - 30OY
Sat 11/25 Nevada vs Wyoming+11.042.0L 6 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IDHO0%250%000%000%18.50%0%0000
NEV#128 (.04)35% (129)17.339% (116)2.67 (127)12532% (132)1752.54 (132)#101 (.24)46% (122)33.447% (110)47% (126)3.83 (71)58.51.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IDHO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NEV#55 (.21)45% (46)47% (33)3.06 (59)16442% (65)2133.88 (73)#110 (.24)46% (117)49% (121)43% (92)4.33 (114)73.11.21



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IDHO Offense225250%00000000%0%0%0%0%
NEV Defense1233.433.746.5%3.831.3 - - - - - 51%48%47%47%14%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IDHO Defense218.518.50%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
NEV Offense1217.318.535.4%2.541.7173001251753.455%45%39%32%22%.04

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Idaho20:000NAN%0%0000000100
Nevada1230:1916.730%43%6.858.51.71.341.3326.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IDHO Offense20%0%000000%0%0
NEV Defense1251% (81)47% (110) - - - - .19 (97)3.28 (107)67% (30)9% (99)1.07 (104)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IDHO Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
NEV Offense1255% (33)39% (116)36.9124.83.414 (106).08 (107)2.67 (127)55% (132)16% (133)0.98 (78)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IDHO Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
NEV Defense1248% (52)47% (126) - - - - - - 9 (87).32 (99)1.6 (83)30% (102)30% (68).28 (50)5% (99)2 (37)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IDHO Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
NEV Offense1245% (102)32% (132)15.928.8175.26.1116 (133)12 (85).02 (132)1.5 (88)34% (107)26% (109).06 (132)6% (89)1.7 (130)

Idaho's Power Ratings
Idaho's Power Rating: NR
Idaho's Offense Rating: NR
Idaho's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating:  #200
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Idaho's 2023 Expected Record: -
Idaho's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Idaho's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Idaho's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Idaho:    Nevada: -16.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Idaho:    Nevada: -22.4




Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -16.405  #131
Nevada's Offense Rating: 7.38  #128
Nevada's Defense Rating: 13.79  #110
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Nevada's 2023 Expected Record: 2.90 - 9.10
Nevada's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4  #131
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2  #129
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0  #127

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Idaho Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.5

Idaho's 2023 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 2
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Idaho 28
Nevada 22

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Idaho 28
Nevada 25

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Idaho 29
Nevada 18

Total Points: 47
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.5
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.7

Nevada's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Nevada6Idaho33Idaho -5.5Idaho51.0Under
201112/03Nevada56Idaho3
201011/06Idaho17Nevada63
200910/24Nevada70Idaho45
200810/04Idaho14Nevada49
200710/27Nevada37Idaho21
200611/04Idaho7Nevada45
200510/08Nevada62Idaho14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nevada700 Overs
Idaho111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 40 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams4 - 41 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#NR) IDHO at (#131) NEV
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatIDHONEV
Power RatePwrNR #131
SP+SP+NR #131
Perf GradeGradeNR #136
OffenseOffNR #133
DefenseDefNR #132
Spec TeamsSTNR #84
TalentTal #200 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #75
Idaho on Offense
CategoryCat
IDHO OffNEV Def
Perf GradePerfNR #132
SuccessSucNR #122
ExplosiveExpNR #100
PPAPPANR #101
PowerPwrNR #110
SP+SP+NR #127
Pts POPPONR #71
HavocHavNR #112
Idaho Run Game
CategoryCat
IDHO OffNEV Def
Run GameRunNR #127
Run SuccessRSucNR #110
Run ExplRExpNR #104
PPAExpNR #97
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #107
Stuff RateStuffNR #90
TackleTak -  #129
Idaho Pass Game
CategoryCat
IDHO OffNEV Def
Pass GamePassNR #123
Pass SuccessPSucNR #126
Pass ExplPExlNR #83
PPAExpNR #99
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #136
F7 HavocF7NR #99
DB HavocDBNR #99
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCatNEV OffIDHO Def
Perf GradePerf #133NR
SuccessSuc #129NR
ExplosiveExp #110NR
PPAPPA #128NR
PowerPwr #128NR
SP+SP+ #129NR
Pts POPPO #132NR
HavocHav #131NR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffIDHO Def
Run GameRun #115NR
Run SuccessRSuc #116NR
Run ExplRExp #78NR
PPAExp #107NR
Run BlockR Blk #94 -
OL YdsOLY #127NR
Stuff RateStuff #117NR
TackleTak - NR
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCatNEV OffIDHO Def
Pass GamePass #129NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #132NR
Pass ExplPExl #88NR
PPAExp #132NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #122NR
F7 HavocF7 #133NR
DB HavocDB #89NR
Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

IDHO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 85° - Wind: 15 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Idaho 5.5 (51.0)
Idaho won at Nevada this year (33-6)

Previous Matchups
Idaho beat Nevada in 2023 (33-6)

  
IDHO's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gevani McCoy12320261%1300366.4
Jack Wagner9016754%13201157.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Art Williams5934025.835
Gevani McCoy5932855.671
Mark Hamper63105.210
Jack Wagner312300.711
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Dwyer7110261014.555
Mark Hamper43869520.274
Alex Moore1915918.433
Jake Cox448212.036

View Idaho's Full Roster

IDHO's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xe'Ree Alexander686032
Marcus Harris443005
Jaxton Eck231000
Ormanie Arnold160002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keyshawn James-Newby106500
Dallas Afalava62100
Xe'Ree Alexander686032
Jahkari Larmond10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcus Harris443005
Xe'Ree Alexander686032
Ormanie Arnold160002

NEV's OC Derek Sage (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendon Lewis (Tr)13123656%1313265.6
AJ Bianco458255%614457.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sean Dollars15152763.533
Brendon Lewis (Tr)12049544.131
AJ Bianco4218314.428
Jamaal Bell3211413.631
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dalevon Campbell31594219.253
Spencer Curtis30373112.473
John Jackson III (Tr)3526707.633
Jamaal Bell3226218.277

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC Kwame Agyeman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emany Johnson903003
Richard Toney624101
Drue Watts566113
Tongiaki Mateialona482120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcel Walker437411
Ike Nnakenyi32200
Dion Washington125120
Mackavelli Malotumau (Tr)111120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KK Meier251005
Emany Johnson903003
Drue Watts566113