UNLV at Nevada - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 14th 2023 (5:00 PM EDT)
UNLV -7.5 (51.5) (0) Open: 0.0
UNLV 45 - Nevada: 27 (Mountain West)

Rebels (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 6.3 (#48)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNLV coming off BYE
NEV coming off BYE
Our Line: UNLV -16.5 (SP+ UNLV -24.5)
Projected Score: UNLV: 34 - NEV: 18 (54)
UNLV Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
UNLV Travel: 345 miles

Wolf Pack (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ken Wilson (2 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (28 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#129)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNLV Players
NEV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UNLV's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UNLV vs Bryant	-16.5	66.0	W 44 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UNLV at Michigan	+38.0	57.5	L 7 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/16	UNLV vs Vanderbilt	+4.5	56.5	W 40 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/23	UNLV at UTEP	+1.0	49.5	W 45 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/30	UNLV vs Hawai'i	-10.5	58.5	W 44 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	UNLV at Nevada	-7.5	51.5	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/21	UNLV vs Colorado State	-6.5	60.0	W 25 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/28	UNLV at Fresno State	+10.5	56.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/4	UNLV at New Mexico	-10.0	61.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Fri 11/10	UNLV vs Wyoming	-2.5	48.5	W 34 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	UNLV at Air Force	+2.5	46.5	W 31 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/25	UNLV vs San José State	-3.5	58.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 12/2	UNLV vs Boise State	+2.5	58.0	L 20 - 44	O	N
Tue 12/26	UNLV vs Kansas	+8.0	64.5	L 36 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

Nevada's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Nevada at USC	+37.5	63.5	L 14 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/9	Nevada vs Idaho	+5.5	51.0	L 6 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/16	Nevada vs Kansas	+28.5	58.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Nevada at Texas State	+17.0	60.0	L 24 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Nevada at Fresno State	+25.5	50.5	L 9 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Nevada vs UNLV	+7.5	51.5	L 27 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/21	Nevada at San Diego State	+11.0	48.5	W 6 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Nevada vs New Mexico	+1.0	50.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Nevada vs Hawai'i	-3.5	50.5	L 14 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/11	Nevada at Utah State	+14.5	54.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/18	Nevada at Colorado State	+12.5	45.5	L 20 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Nevada vs Wyoming	+11.0	42.0	L 6 - 42	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV	.18	40%	35.4	45%	3.34	137	37%	215	3.57	.2	46%	21.3	51%	41%	3.62	57.3	1.3	2.1
NEV	.04	35%	23.1	37%	2.89	119	33%	186	2.85	.26	43%	28.8	44%	42%	3.97	55.1	1.4	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NEV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Offense	12	35.4	28.8	40.4%	3.57	1.3	18	352	137	215	4.1	47%	51%	45%	37%	20%	.18
NEV Defense	12	28.8	26.6	42.9%	3.97	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	44%	42%	19%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Defense	12	21.3	21.7	46%	3.62	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	51%	41%	16%	.2
NEV Offense	12	23.1	27.6	34.8%	2.85	1.4	17	305	119	186	3.3	47%	52%	37%	33%	23%	.04

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UNLV	12	28:49	17.6	33%	53%	5.8	57.3	1.3	2.1	4.6	2.3	2	27.1
Nevada	12	28:29	16.9	35%	50%	6	55.1	1.4	1.7	6.3	2.2	1	27.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense	12	47%	45%	33.6	137.3	4.1	18	.27	3.34	84%	14%	1.07
NEV Defense	12	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.46	90%	13%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense	12	53%	51%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.55	77%	10%	0.8
NEV Offense	12	47%	37%	35.6	118.9	3.3	19	.01	2.89	73%	15%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense	12	51%	37%	18.9	30.1	215	7.2	11.4	15	7	.17	1.5	33%	26%	.25	6%	2.1
NEV Defense	12	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.35	1.8	33%	30%	.44	6%	2.4

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense	12	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.33	1.7	28%	34%	.37	6%	2.2
NEV Offense	12	52%	33%	18.1	33.2	185.6	5.6	10.3	7	8	.1	1.6	38%	27%	.19	8%	2.2

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -1.91 #76
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
UNLV's Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
2023 Talent Rating: 434.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UNLV's 2023 Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30
UNLV's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -1.91 Nevada: -16.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 2.0 Nevada: -22.4

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -16.405 #131
Nevada's Offense Rating: 7.38 #128
Nevada's Defense Rating: 13.79 #110
2023 Talent Rating: 456.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Nevada's 2023 Expected Record: 2.90 - 9.10
Nevada's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #131
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #129
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

UNLV's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
UNLV 34
Nevada 18

Projected Total Points: 54

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.6
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.6

Nevada's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	UNLV	38	Nevada	14	UNLV	UNLV -17.5	UNLV	54.5	Under
2023	10/14	Nevada	27	UNLV	45	UNLV	UNLV -7.5	UNLV	51.5	Over
2022	11/26	UNLV	27	Nevada	22	UNLV	UNLV -12.5	Nevada	49.0	Push
2021	10/29	Nevada	51	UNLV	20	Nevada	Nevada -19	Nevada	58.0	Over
2020	10/31	UNLV	19	Nevada	37	Nevada	Nevada -10.5	Nevada	0
2019	11/30	Nevada	30	UNLV	33	UNLV	Nevada -6.5	UNLV	52.0	Over
2018	11/24	UNLV	34	Nevada	29	UNLV	Nevada -14	UNLV	60.5	Over
2017	11/25	Nevada	23	UNLV	16	Nevada	Nevada -3	Nevada	70.0	Under
2016	11/26	UNLV	10	Nevada	45	Nevada	UNLV -7	Nevada	59.0	Under
2015	10/03	Nevada	17	UNLV	23	UNLV	Nevada -11.5	UNLV	57.0	Under
2014	11/29	UNLV	27	Nevada	49	Nevada	Nevada -10	Nevada	0
2013	10/26	Nevada	22	UNLV	27	UNLV	Nevada -3.5	UNLV	0
2012	10/13	UNLV	37	Nevada	42	Nevada
2011	10/08	Nevada	37	UNLV	0	Nevada
2010	10/02	UNLV	26	Nevada	44	Nevada
2009	10/03	Nevada	63	UNLV	28	Nevada
2008	09/27	UNLV	27	Nevada	49	Nevada
2007	09/29	Nevada	27	UNLV	20	Nevada
2006	09/30	UNLV	3	Nevada	31	Nevada
2005	09/17	Nevada	22	UNLV	14	Nevada
2004	10/02	UNLV	48	Nevada	13	UNLV
2003	10/04	Nevada	12	UNLV	16	UNLV
2002	10/05	UNLV	21	Nevada	17	UNLV
2001	10/06	Nevada	12	UNLV	27	UNLV
2000	10/06	UNLV	38	Nevada	7	UNLV

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nevada	13	6	4 Overs
UNLV	12	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 13	4 - 8	3 - 5	1 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 12	8 - 4	3 - 1	5 - 3

(#76) UNLV Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.91 #76
Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98
Talent Rating: 434.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30

Team Profile

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UNLV Ratings Matchup Nevada

Power #76

#131

Off #52

#128

Def #73

#110

Talent #106

#101

SP+ #60

#131

SP+ Off #35

#129

SP+ Def #98

#127

Rematch from Week 7
UNLV 7.5 (51.5)
UNLV won at Nevada this year (45-27)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Nevada last year (38-14)
UNLV beat Nevada in 2023 (45-27)
UNLV beat Nevada in 2022 (27-22)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 65° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: UNLV | NEV
Depth Chart: UNLV | NEV
Rosters: UNLV | NEV

(#131) Nevada Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -16.405 #131
Offense Rating: 7.38 #128
Defense Rating: 13.79 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #129
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127
Talent Rating: 456.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 2.90 - 9.10

Team Profile

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UNLV's OC Brennan Marion

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jayden Maiava	101	169	60%	1201	11	6	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayden Maiava	20	45	4	2.3	13
Ricky White	1	1	0	1.0	1

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ricky White	79	1041	11	13.2	55
Senika McKie	24	319	4	13.3	41
Zyell Griffin	6	151	1	25.2	89
Cameron Oliver	1	52	0	52.0	52

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Michael Scherer

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)	135	17	4	4	12
Johnathan Baldwin	68	9	4	0	10
Cameron Oliver	33	1	1	0	10
Naki Fahina	29	1	0	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)	135	17	4	4	12
Johnathan Baldwin	68	9	4	0	10
Keith Conley Jr.	13	3	2	1	0
Tatuo Martinson	24	2	2	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)	135	17	4	4	12
Johnathan Baldwin	68	9	4	0	10
Cameron Oliver	33	1	1	0	10

Nevada's OC Derek Sage

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chubba Purdy	18	25	72%	239	1	1	9.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chubba Purdy	13	60	0	4.6	19
Jamaal Bell	5	27	0	5.4	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keleki Latu (Tr)	40	371	1	9.3	36
Dalevon Campbell	12	312	0	26.0	60
Spencer Curtis	19	244	0	12.8	28
Chubba Purdy	2	10	0	5.0	11

View Nevada's Full Roster

Nevada's DC Kwame Agyeman

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcel Walker	56	8	6	7	2
Dion Washington	17	4	2	0	0
Isaiah Essissima	14	1	0	0	4
Richard Toney	9	0	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcel Walker	56	8	6	7	2
Dion Washington	17	4	2	0	0
James Hansen	3	1	1	0	0
Isaiah Essissima	14	1	0	0	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Essissima	14	1	0	0	4
Marcel Walker	56	8	6	7	2
Richard Toney	9	0	0	0	1