Nevada at Colorado State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Nevada logo   Nevada Wolf Pack at Colorado State Rams  Colorado State logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (3:00 PM EST)
Colorado State -12.5 (45.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Colorado State 30 - Nevada: 20  (Mountain West)

 
Wolf Pack (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ken Wilson (2 - 13)
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (16 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#129)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NEV 2nd straight Road Game
CSU 2nd straight Home Game
CSU is playing their 10th straight game
NEV is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Colorado State -15  (SP+ CSU -13)
Projected Score: NEV: 16 - CSU: 31 (46)
CSU Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
NEV Travel: 781 miles, 1 hrs behind
Rams (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (3 - 11)
Avg Score : 19 - 31 (20 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#63)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Nevada's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Nevada at USC+37.563.5L 14 - 66ON
Sat 9/9 Nevada vs Idaho+5.551.0L 6 - 33UN
Sat 9/16 Nevada vs Kansas+28.558.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 9/23 Nevada at Texas State+17.060.0L 24 - 35UY
Sat 9/30 Nevada at Fresno State+25.550.5L 9 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Nevada vs UNLV+7.551.5L 27 - 45ON
Sat 10/21 Nevada at San Diego State+11.048.5W 6 - 0UY
Sat 10/28 Nevada vs New Mexico+1.050.0W 34 - 24OY
Sat 11/4 Nevada vs Hawai'i-3.550.5L 14 - 27UN
Sat 11/11 Nevada at Utah State+14.554.5L 24 - 41ON
Sat 11/18 Nevada at Colorado State+12.545.5L 20 - 30OY
Sat 11/25 Nevada vs Wyoming+11.042.0L 6 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Colorado State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Colorado State vs Washington State+9.554.0L 24 - 50ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16 Colorado State at Colorado+23.063.0L 35 - 43OY
Sat 9/23 Colorado State at Middle Tennessee+3.550.0W 31 - 23OY
Sat 9/30 Colorado State vs Utah Tech-19
Sat 10/7 Colorado State at Utah State-3.062.0L 24 - 44ON
Sat 10/14 Colorado State vs Boise State+7.560.0W 31 - 30OY
Sat 10/21 Colorado State at UNLV+6.560.0L 23 - 25UY
Sat 10/28 Colorado State vs Air Force+14.547.0L 13 - 30UN
Fri 11/3 Colorado State at Wyoming+6.041.0L 15 - 24UN
Sat 11/11 Colorado State vs San Diego State-3.546.5W 22 - 19UN
Sat 11/18 Colorado State vs Nevada-12.545.5W 30 - 20ON
Sat 11/25 Colorado State at Hawai'i-6.054.0L 24 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV.0435%17.637%2.8911933%1862.85.2643%27.544%42%3.9755.11.41.7
CSU.0534%18.536%2.918932%1971.96.1643%30.844%43%4.2460.41.61.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Offense1217.615.534.8%2.851.4173051191863.347%52%37%33%23%.04
CSU Defense1230.827.143.1%4.241.7 - - - - - 52%47%44%43%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Defense1227.529.842.9%3.971.7 - - - - - 53%47%44%42%19%.26
CSU Offense1218.519.933.7%1.961.615286891972.846%54%36%32%24%.05

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nevada1228:2916.935%50%655.11.41.76.32.2127.2
Colorado State1229:2814.723%39%6.960.41.61.75.41.8228.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Offense1247%37%35.6118.93.319.012.8973%15%1.08
CSU Defense1252%44% - - - - .153.177%10%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Defense1253%44% - - - - .193.4690%13%0.95
CSU Offense1246%36%32.1892.84.042.9161%18%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Offense1252%33%18.133.2185.65.610.378.11.638%27%.198%2.2
CSU Defense1247%43% - - - - - - 8.221.431%30%.257%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Defense1247%42% - - - - - - 11.351.833%30%.446%2.4
CSU Offense1254%32%16.926.8196.87.311.61211.081.839%23%.216%2.4

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -15.41  #131
Nevada's Offense Rating: 7.38  #128
Nevada's Defense Rating: 13.79  #110
2023 Talent Rating: 470.32  #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Nevada's 2023 Expected Record: 2.90 - 9.10
Nevada's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4  #131
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2  #129
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0  #127

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -15.41   Colorado State: -3.77

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -22.4   Colorado State: -9.1




Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -3.77  #83
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 15.50  #78
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.05  #62
2023 Talent Rating: 413.96  #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Colorado State's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 5.30
Colorado State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1  #99
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #93
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9  #101

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 517.06
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Nevada's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado State 31
Nevada 16

Projected Total Points: 46
Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 18.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.9
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.1

Colorado State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Nevada21Colorado State38Colorado State -2Colorado State45.5Over
202311/18Colorado State30Nevada20Colorado State -12.5Nevada45.5Over
202210/07Nevada14Colorado State17Nevada -3.5Colorado State44.0Under
202111/27Colorado State10Nevada52Nevada -3Nevada57.5Over
201811/10Nevada49Colorado State10Nevada -14Nevada61.5Under
201710/14Colorado State44Nevada42Colorado State -24.5Nevada65.5Over
201512/29Colorado State23Nevada28Colorado State -3.5Nevada0
201410/11Nevada24Colorado State31Colorado State -2.5Colorado State65.5Under
201311/09Colorado State38Nevada17Colorado State -8Colorado State0
201009/11Nevada51Colorado State6
200909/19Colorado State35Nevada20
200609/16Nevada28Colorado State10
200509/24Colorado State42Nevada21
200209/28Nevada28Colorado State32
200109/08Colorado State35Nevada18
200009/29Nevada14Colorado State45
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado State1144 Overs
Nevada553 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 72 - 72 - 40 - 3
Road Teams7 - 97 - 23 - 04 - 2

(#131) NEV at (#83) CSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNEVCSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #131 #83
SP+SP+ #131 #99
Perf GradeGrade #136 #84
OffenseOff #133 #84
DefenseDef #132 #78
Spec TeamsST #84 #114
TalentTal #99 #108
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCat
NEV OffCSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #133 #78
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #128 #62
SP+SP+ #129 #101
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffCSU Def
Run GameRun #115 #99
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #94 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #58
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffCSU Def
Pass GamePass #129 #72
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #122 #23
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Colorado State on Offense
CategoryCatCSU OffNEV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #84 #132
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #78 #110
SP+SP+ #93 #127
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Colorado State Run Game
CategoryCat
CSU OffNEV Def
Run GameRun #129 #127
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #41 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #129
Colorado State Pass Game
CategoryCatCSU OffNEV Def
Pass GamePass #101 #123
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #59 #136
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Average G5

NEV 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Colorado State -12.5 (45.5)
Colorado State won vs Nevada this year (30-20)

Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat Nevada in 2024 (38-21)
Colorado State beat Nevada in 2023 (30-20)

  
NEV's OC Derek Sage (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendon Lewis (Tr)13123656%1313265.6
AJ Bianco458255%614457.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sean Dollars15152763.533
Brendon Lewis (Tr)12049544.131
AJ Bianco4218314.428
Jamaal Bell3211413.631
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dalevon Campbell31594219.253
Spencer Curtis30373112.473
John Jackson III (Tr)3526707.633
Jamaal Bell3226218.277

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC Kwame Agyeman (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emany Johnson903003
Richard Toney624101
Drue Watts566113
Tongiaki Mateialona482120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcel Walker437411
Ike Nnakenyi32200
Dion Washington125120
Mackavelli Malotumau (Tr)111120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KK Meier251005
Emany Johnson903003
Drue Watts566113

CSU's OC Matt Mumme (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi29247062%346022167.4
Clay Millen152463%110014.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Vann Schield9038934.352
Justin Marshall5731125.521
Avery Morrow8126223.213
Kobe Johnson4412812.913
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tory Horton961136811.876
Dallin Holker (Tr)64767612.042
Justus Ross-Simmons45724316.175
Louis Brown47481510.246

View Colorado State's Full Roster

CSU's DC Freddie Banks (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Howell1141033
Chase Wilson1079413
Justin Sanchez874123
Henry Blackburn757310
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mohamed Kamara551612101
Marshon Oxley266410
Chase Wilson1079413
Tony Pierce Jr.315320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Howell1141033
Dom Jones320003
Justin Sanchez874123