Nevada at Colorado State Game Matchup

Saturday, November 18th 2023 (3:00 PM EST)
Colorado State -12.5 (45.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Colorado State 30 - Nevada: 20 (Mountain West)

Wolf Pack (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ken Wilson (2 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (18 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#129)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NEV 2nd straight Road Game
CSU 2nd straight Home Game
CSU is playing their 10th straight game
NEV is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Colorado State -15 (SP+ CSU -13)
Projected Score: NEV: 16 - CSU: 31 (52)
CSU Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
NEV Travel: 781 miles, 1 hrs behind

Rams (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (3 - 11)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (27 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NEV Players
CSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Nevada's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Nevada at USC	+37.5	63.5	L 14 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/9	Nevada vs Idaho	+5.5	51.0	L 6 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/16	Nevada vs Kansas	+28.5	58.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Nevada at Texas State	+17.0	60.0	L 24 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Nevada at Fresno State	+25.5	50.5	L 9 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Nevada vs UNLV	+7.5	51.5	L 27 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/21	Nevada at San Diego State	+11.0	48.5	W 6 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Nevada vs New Mexico	+1.0	50.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Nevada vs Hawai'i	-3.5	50.5	L 14 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/11	Nevada at Utah State	+14.5	54.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/18	Nevada at Colorado State	+12.5	45.5	L 20 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Nevada vs Wyoming	+11.0	42.0	L 6 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule

Colorado State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Colorado State vs Washington State	+9.5	54.0	L 24 - 50	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16	Colorado State at Colorado	+23.0	63.0	L 35 - 43	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Colorado State at Middle Tennessee	+3.5	50.0	W 31 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Colorado State vs Utah Tech	-19
Sat 10/7	Colorado State at Utah State	-3.0	62.0	L 24 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/14	Colorado State vs Boise State	+7.5	60.0	W 31 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Colorado State at UNLV	+6.5	60.0	L 23 - 25	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Colorado State vs Air Force	+14.5	47.0	L 13 - 30	U	N
Fri 11/3	Colorado State at Wyoming	+6.0	41.0	L 15 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/11	Colorado State vs San Diego State	-3.5	46.5	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 11/18	Colorado State vs Nevada	-12.5	45.5	W 30 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/25	Colorado State at Hawai'i	-6.0	54.0	L 24 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEV	.04	35%	23.1	37%	2.89	119	33%	186	2.85	.26	43%	28.8	44%	42%	3.97	55.1	1.4	1.7
CSU	.05	34%	24.4	36%	2.91	89	32%	197	1.96	.16	43%	25.8	44%	43%	4.24	60.4	1.6	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEV Offense	12	23.1	17.8	34.8%	2.85	1.4	17	305	119	186	3.3	47%	52%	37%	33%	23%	.04
CSU Defense	12	25.8	19.9	43.1%	4.24	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	44%	43%	17%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEV Defense	12	28.8	31.3	42.9%	3.97	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	44%	42%	19%	.26
CSU Offense	12	24.4	26.9	33.7%	1.96	1.6	15	286	89	197	2.8	46%	54%	36%	32%	24%	.05

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Nevada	12	28:29	16.9	35%	50%	6	55.1	1.4	1.7	6.3	2.2	1	27.2
Colorado State	12	29:28	14.7	23%	39%	6.9	60.4	1.6	1.7	5.4	1.8	2	28.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEV Offense	12	47%	37%	35.6	118.9	3.3	19	.01	2.89	73%	15%	1.08
CSU Defense	12	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.1	77%	10%	1.02

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEV Defense	12	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.46	90%	13%	0.95
CSU Offense	12	46%	36%	32.1	89	2.8	4	.04	2.91	61%	18%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEV Offense	12	52%	33%	18.1	33.2	185.6	5.6	10.3	7	8	.1	1.6	38%	27%	.19	8%	2.2
CSU Defense	12	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.22	1.4	31%	30%	.25	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEV Defense	12	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.35	1.8	33%	30%	.44	6%	2.4
CSU Offense	12	54%	32%	16.9	26.8	196.8	7.3	11.6	12	11	.08	1.8	39%	23%	.21	6%	2.4

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -15.41 #131
Nevada's Offense Rating: 7.38 #128
Nevada's Defense Rating: 13.79 #110
2023 Talent Rating: 456.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Nevada's 2023 Expected Record: 2.90 - 9.10
Nevada's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #131
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #129
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -15.41 Colorado State: -3.77

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -22.4 Colorado State: -9.1

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -3.77 #83
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 15.50 #78
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.05 #62
2023 Talent Rating: 602.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Colorado State's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 5.30
Colorado State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1 #99
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #93
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #101

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.3

Nevada's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Colorado State 31
Nevada 16

Projected Total Points: 52

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.9

Colorado State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	Nevada	21	Colorado State	38	Colorado State	Colorado State -2	Colorado State	45.5	Over
2023	11/18	Colorado State	30	Nevada	20	Colorado State	Colorado State -12.5	Nevada	45.5	Over
2022	10/07	Nevada	14	Colorado State	17	Colorado State	Nevada -3.5	Colorado State	44.0	Under
2021	11/27	Colorado State	10	Nevada	52	Nevada	Nevada -3	Nevada	57.5	Over
2018	11/10	Nevada	49	Colorado State	10	Nevada	Nevada -14	Nevada	61.5	Under
2017	10/14	Colorado State	44	Nevada	42	Colorado State	Colorado State -24.5	Nevada	65.5	Over
2015	12/29	Colorado State	23	Nevada	28	Nevada	Colorado State -3.5	Nevada	0
2014	10/11	Nevada	24	Colorado State	31	Colorado State	Colorado State -2.5	Colorado State	65.5	Under
2013	11/09	Colorado State	38	Nevada	17	Colorado State	Colorado State -8	Colorado State	0
2010	09/11	Nevada	51	Colorado State	6	Nevada
2009	09/19	Colorado State	35	Nevada	20	Colorado State
2006	09/16	Nevada	28	Colorado State	10	Nevada
2005	09/24	Colorado State	42	Nevada	21	Colorado State
2002	09/28	Nevada	28	Colorado State	32	Colorado State
2001	09/08	Colorado State	35	Nevada	18	Colorado State
2000	09/29	Nevada	14	Colorado State	45	Colorado State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado State	11	4	4 Overs
Nevada	5	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 7	2 - 7	2 - 4	0 - 3
Road Teams	7 - 9	7 - 2	3 - 0	4 - 2

(#131) Nevada Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.41 #131
Offense Rating: 7.38 #128
Defense Rating: 13.79 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #129
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127
Talent Rating: 456.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 2.90 - 9.10

Team Profile

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Nevada Ratings Matchup Colorado State

Power #131

#83

Off #128

#78

Def #110

#62

Talent #101

#72

SP+ #131

#99

SP+ Off #129

#93

SP+ Def #127

#101

Rematch from Week 12
Colorado State -12.5 (45.5)
Colorado State won vs Nevada this year (30-20)

Previous Matchups
Colorado State beat Nevada last year (38-21)
Colorado State beat Nevada in 2023 (30-20)
Colorado State beat Nevada in 2022 (17-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 57° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: NEV | CSU
Depth Chart: NEV | CSU
Rosters: NEV | CSU

(#83) Colorado State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.77 #83
Offense Rating: 15.50 #78
Defense Rating: 9.05 #62
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1 #99
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #93
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #101
Talent Rating: 602.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 6.70 - 5.30

Team Profile

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Nevada's OC Derek Sage

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chubba Purdy	18	25	72%	239	1	1	9.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chubba Purdy	13	60	0	4.6	19
Jamaal Bell	5	27	0	5.4	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keleki Latu (Tr)	40	371	1	9.3	36
Dalevon Campbell	12	312	0	26.0	60
Spencer Curtis	19	244	0	12.8	28
Chubba Purdy	2	10	0	5.0	11

View Nevada's Full Roster

Nevada's DC Kwame Agyeman

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcel Walker	56	8	6	7	2
Dion Washington	17	4	2	0	0
Isaiah Essissima	14	1	0	0	4
Richard Toney	9	0	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcel Walker	56	8	6	7	2
Dion Washington	17	4	2	0	0
James Hansen	3	1	1	0	0
Isaiah Essissima	14	1	0	0	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Essissima	14	1	0	0	4
Marcel Walker	56	8	6	7	2
Richard Toney	9	0	0	0	1

Colorado State's OC Matt Mumme

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jackson Stratton	21	35	60%	219	1	0	6.3
Dane Olson	1	2	50%	6	1	0	3.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Avery Morrow	184	1006	9	5.5	73
Tory Horton	1	22	0	22.0	22
Dane Olson	2	9	0	4.5	7
Jackson Stratton	6	4	0	0.7	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tory Horton	25	331	1	13.2	52
Dane Olson	17	314	1	18.5	41
Justus Ross-Simmons	9	202	2	22.4	55
Avery Morrow	16	102	0	6.4	17

View Colorado State's Full Roster

Colorado State's DC Freddie Banks

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Howell	86	1	0	0	5
Henry Blackburn	79	1	1	2	3
Dom Jones	60	2	0	0	8
Dominic Morris (Tr)	54	2	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Mitchell	38	6	2	5	1
Grady Kelly	15	3	1	0	1
Cameron Bariteau	30	3	1	6	0
Henry Blackburn	79	1	1	2	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Dom Jones	60	2	8
Dominic Morris (Tr)	54	2	8
Jack Howell	86	1	5