Hawai'i at Nevada - 2023 Matchup Preview

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Nevada Wolf Pack

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Nevada -3.5 (50.5) (-185) Open: -4.0
Hawai'i 27 - Nevada: 14 (Mountain West)

Rainbow Warriors (5 - 8) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Timmy Chang (4 - 13)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (26 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 8.6 (#112)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NEV 2nd straight Home Game
NEV is playing their 4th straight game
HAW is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Hawai'i -1.5 (SP+ HAW -5.5)
Projected Score: HAW: 26 - NEV: 25 (51)
NEV Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
HAW Travel: 2565 miles, 3 hrs behind

Wolf Pack (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ken Wilson (2 - 13)
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (20 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#129)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
HAW Players
NEV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Hawai'i's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Hawai'i at Vanderbilt	+17.0	54.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y
Fri 9/1	Hawai'i vs Stanford	+2.0	54.0	L 24 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/9	Hawai'i vs UAlbany	-10.5	58.5	W 31 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Hawai'i at Oregon	+38.5	67.5	L 10 - 55	U	N
Sat 9/23	Hawai'i vs New Mexico State	-4.0	54.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/30	Hawai'i at UNLV	+10.5	58.5	L 20 - 44	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Hawai'i vs San Diego State	+6.0	51.5	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/21	Hawai'i at New Mexico	-1.5	60.0	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/28	Hawai'i vs San José State	+10.5	57.0	L 0 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	Hawai'i at Nevada	+3.5	50.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Hawai'i vs Air Force	+22.5	47.5	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Hawai'i at Wyoming	+13.5	45.5	L 9 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Hawai'i vs Colorado State	+6.0	54.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Hawai'i's Schedule

Nevada's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Nevada at USC	+37.5	63.5	L 14 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/9	Nevada vs Idaho	+5.5	51.0	L 6 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/16	Nevada vs Kansas	+28.5	58.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Nevada at Texas State	+17.0	60.0	L 24 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Nevada at Fresno State	+25.5	50.5	L 9 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Nevada vs UNLV	+7.5	51.5	L 27 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/21	Nevada at San Diego State	+11.0	48.5	W 6 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Nevada vs New Mexico	+1.0	50.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Nevada vs Hawai'i	-3.5	50.5	L 14 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/11	Nevada at Utah State	+14.5	54.5	L 24 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/18	Nevada at Colorado State	+12.5	45.5	L 20 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Nevada vs Wyoming	+11.0	42.0	L 6 - 42	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HAW	.08	40%	29	49%	3.4	137	34%	206	3.03	.28	46%	24.1	48%	45%	4.24	50.2	1.5	0.9
NEV	.04	35%	17.6	37%	2.89	119	33%	186	2.85	.26	43%	27.5	44%	42%	3.97	55.1	1.4	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HAW		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NEV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HAW Offense	13	29	25.8	39.8%	3.03	1.5	19	343	137	206	4.4	43%	56%	49%	34%	16%	.08
NEV Defense	12	27.5	25.2	42.9%	3.97	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	44%	42%	19%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HAW Defense	13	24.1	35.4	46%	4.24	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	48%	45%	12%	.28
NEV Offense	12	17.6	19.7	34.8%	2.85	1.4	17	305	119	186	3.3	47%	52%	37%	33%	23%	.04

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Hawai'i	13	28:16	18.8	35%	53%	5.6	50.2	1.5	0.9	4.2	1.4	1	28.1
Nevada	12	28:29	16.9	35%	50%	6	55.1	1.4	1.7	6.3	2.2	1	27.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HAW Offense	13	43%	49%	31.2	137.2	4.4	16	.14	3.4	78%	9%	0.91
NEV Defense	12	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	.19	3.46	90%	13%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HAW Defense	13	53%	48%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.51	73%	7%	0.96
NEV Offense	12	47%	37%	35.6	118.9	3.3	19	.01	2.89	73%	15%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HAW Offense	13	56%	34%	20.1	37.7	205.5	5.5	10.2	13	12	.06	1.5	32%	22%	.04	7%	2.1
NEV Defense	12	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.35	1.8	33%	30%	.44	6%	2.4

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HAW Defense	13	46%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.4	1.6	30%	39%	.44	5%	1.7
NEV Offense	12	52%	33%	18.1	33.2	185.6	5.6	10.3	7	8	.1	1.6	38%	27%	.19	8%	2.2

Hawai'i's Power Ratings
Hawai'i's Power Rating: -12.94 #127
Hawai'i's Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
Hawai'i's Defense Rating: 14.83 #118
2023 Talent Rating: 407.77 #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Hawai'i's 2023 Expected Record: 4.40 - 8.60
Hawai'i's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7 #123
Hawai'i's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #111
Hawai'i's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #121

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -12.94 Nevada: -16.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Hawai'i: -16.7 Nevada: -22.4

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -16.405 #131
Nevada's Offense Rating: 7.38 #128
Nevada's Defense Rating: 13.79 #110
2023 Talent Rating: 470.32 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Nevada's 2023 Expected Record: 2.90 - 9.10
Nevada's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #131
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #129
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Hawai'i Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Hawai'i's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Hawai'i 26
Nevada 25

Projected Total Points: 51

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.2

Nevada's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/26	Hawai'i	34	Nevada	13	Hawai'i -2.5	Hawai'i	42.0	Over
2023	11/04	Nevada	14	Hawai'i	27	Nevada -3.5	Hawai'i	50.5	Under
2022	10/15	Hawai'i	31	Nevada	16	Nevada -6.5	Hawai'i	51.5	Under
2021	10/16	Nevada	34	Hawai'i	17	Nevada -14	Nevada	61.5	Under
2020	11/28	Hawai'i	24	Nevada	21	Nevada -7	Hawai'i	61.5	Under
2019	09/28	Nevada	3	Hawai'i	54	Nevada -2	Hawai'i	64.0	Under
2018	10/20	Hawai'i	22	Nevada	40	Hawai'i -3	Nevada	67.0	Under
2017	10/07	Nevada	35	Hawai'i	21	Hawai'i -4.5	Nevada	62.5	Under
2016	10/01	Hawai'i	38	Nevada	17	Nevada -3.5	Hawai'i	55.5	Under
2015	10/24	Nevada	30	Hawai'i	20	Nevada -6.5	Nevada	54.0	Under
2014	10/26	Hawai'i	18	Nevada	26	Nevada -4	Nevada	0
2013	09/21	Nevada	31	Hawai'i	9	Nevada -14	Nevada	0
2012	09/22	Hawai'i	24	Nevada	69
2011	11/12	Nevada	42	Hawai'i	28
2010	10/16	Hawai'i	27	Nevada	21
2009	10/31	Nevada	31	Hawai'i	21
2008	10/26	Hawai'i	38	Nevada	31
2007	11/16	Nevada	26	Hawai'i	28
2006	10/07	Hawai'i	41	Nevada	34
2005	11/05	Nevada	38	Hawai'i	28
2004	10/10	Hawai'i	48	Nevada	26
2003	11/15	Nevada	24	Hawai'i	14
2002	10/12	Hawai'i	59	Nevada	34
2001	09/22	Nevada	28	Hawai'i	20
2000	11/10	Hawai'i	37	Nevada	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nevada	12	6	1 Overs
Hawai'i	13	6	9 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	19 - 6	8 - 4	4 - 3	4 - 1
Road Teams	6 - 19	4 - 8	1 - 4	3 - 4

(#127) HAW at (#131) NEV

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	HAW	NEV
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#127	#131
SP+SP+	#123	#131
Perf GradeGrade	#110	#136
OffenseOff	#76	#133
DefenseDef	#121	#132
Spec TeamsST	#118	#84
TalentTal	#110	#99
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Hawai'i Injury Report

Nevada Injury Report

Hawai'i on Offense


CategoryCat	HAW Off	NEV Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#76	#132
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#103	#110
SP+SP+	#111	#127
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Hawai'i Run Game


CategoryCat	HAW Off	NEV Def
Run GameRun	#108	#127
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#114	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#129

Hawai'i Pass Game


CategoryCat	HAW Off	NEV Def
Pass GamePass	#37	#123
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#30	#136
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Nevada on Offense


CategoryCat	NEV Off	HAW Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#133	#121
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#128	#118
SP+SP+	#129	#121
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nevada Run Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	HAW Def
Run GameRun	#115	#83
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#94	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#127

Nevada Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	HAW Def
Pass GamePass	#129	#122
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#122	#109
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Poor G5

HAW 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Nevada -3.5 (50.5)
Hawai'i won at Nevada this year (27-14)

Previous Matchups
Hawai'i beat Nevada in 2024 (34-13)
Hawai'i beat Nevada in 2023 (27-14)

HAW's OC Roman Sapolu (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brayden Schager	332	525	63%	3542	26	14	6.7
Jake Farrell	3	8	38%	14	0	1	1.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Landon Sims	63	255	1	4.0	22
Jordan Johnson	34	198	0	5.8	28
David Cordero	32	138	0	4.3	36
Tylan Hines	27	93	0	3.4	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Steven McBride (Tr)	63	1024	9	16.3	65
Pofele Ashlock	83	832	9	10.0	53
Koali Nishigaya	39	322	1	8.3	29
Alex Perry	24	277	3	11.5	38

View Hawai'i's Full Roster

HAW's DC Jacob Yoro (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Peter Manuma	88	6	0	0	1
Isaiah Tufaga	79	6	3	1	0
Jalen Smith	65	9	2	1	1
Meki Pei	43	3	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ezra Evaimalo	23	6	4	1	1
Elijah Robinson (Tr)	24	3	3	0	1
Andrew Choi	36	8	3	0	0
Isaiah Tufaga	79	6	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Virdel Edwards	37	1	9
Jojo Forest	12	1	8
Caleb Brown	17	1	7

NEV's OC Derek Sage (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendon Lewis (Tr)	131	236	56%	1313	2	6	5.6
AJ Bianco	45	82	55%	614	4	5	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sean Dollars	151	527	6	3.5	33
Brendon Lewis (Tr)	120	495	4	4.1	31
AJ Bianco	42	183	1	4.4	28
Jamaal Bell	32	114	1	3.6	31

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dalevon Campbell	31	594	2	19.2	53
Spencer Curtis	30	373	1	12.4	73
John Jackson III (Tr)	35	267	0	7.6	33
Jamaal Bell	32	262	1	8.2	77

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC Kwame Agyeman (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Emany Johnson	90	3	0	0	3
Richard Toney	62	4	1	0	1
Drue Watts	56	6	1	1	3
Tongiaki Mateialona	48	2	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcel Walker	43	7	4	1	1
Ike Nnakenyi	3	2	2	0	0
Dion Washington	12	5	1	2	0
Mackavelli Malotumau (Tr)	11	1	1	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KK Meier	25	1	0	0	5
Emany Johnson	90	3	0	0	3
Drue Watts	56	6	1	1	3