Tennessee at Missouri - 2023 Matchup Preview
Tennessee logo   Tennessee Volunteers at Missouri Tigers  Missouri logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Tennessee -1 (58.5) (-130)  Open: -1.0
Missouri 36 - Tennessee: 7  (SEC)

 
Volunteers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (20 - 9)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (37 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TENN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Missouri -6.5  (SP+ MIZ -5)
Projected Score: TENN: 27 - MIZ: 33 (60)
TENN Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
TENN Travel: 505 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (20 - 19)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (40 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Tennessee vs Virginia-27.556.0W 49 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Tennessee vs Austin Peay-48.065.5W 30 - 13UN
Sat 9/16 Tennessee at Florida-5.057.0L 16 - 29UN
Sat 9/23 Tennessee vs UTSA-24.059.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 9/30 Tennessee vs South Carolina-12.059.0W 41 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Tennessee vs Texas A&M-3.054.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/21 Tennessee at Alabama+8.547.5L 20 - 34ON
Sat 10/28 Tennessee at Kentucky-4.050.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Tennessee vs UConn-35.055.5W 59 - 3OY
Sat 11/11 Tennessee at Missouri-1.058.5L 7 - 36UN
Sat 11/18 Tennessee vs Georgia+9.059.0L 10 - 38UN
Sat 11/25 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-27.058.0W 48 - 24ON
Mon 1/1 Tennessee vs Iowa-4.537.0W 35 - 0UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Missouri's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Missouri vs South Dakota-27.044.5W 35 - 10ON
Sat 9/9 Missouri vs Middle Tennessee-21.047.5W 23 - 19UN
Sat 9/16 Missouri vs Kansas State+3.548.0W 30 - 27OY
Sat 9/23 Missouri vs Memphis-6.552.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/30 Missouri at Vanderbilt-14.053.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/7 Missouri vs LSU+6.063.5L 39 - 49ON
Sat 10/14 Missouri at Kentucky+1.550.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Missouri vs South Carolina-7.557.5W 34 - 12UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Missouri at Georgia+15.056.5L 21 - 30UY
Sat 11/11 Missouri vs Tennessee+1.058.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 11/18 Missouri vs Florida-12.556.5W 33 - 31ON
Fri 11/24 Missouri at Arkansas-9.553.5W 48 - 14OY
Fri 12/29 Missouri vs Ohio State+4.051.0W 14 - 3UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN.3751%39.851%3.319951%3264.81.1841%28.839%43%3.1669.50.81.8
MIZ.1641%30.241%2.8915641%2134.26.1538%18.937%39%3.863.71.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Offense1339.83751.1%4.810.825526199326550%50%51%51%10%.37
MIZ Defense1318.920.637.7%3.81.8 - - - - - 49%51%37%39%21%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Defense1328.82941.2%3.161.8 - - - - - 44%56%39%43%16%.18
MIZ Offense1330.239.540.6%4.261.5193701562134.151%48%41%41%17%.16

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tennessee1325:1425.441%68%8.169.50.81.872.4130.6
Missouri1331:0518.540%50%7.863.71.51.872.7328.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Offense1350%51%40.2199.5540.293.380%7%1.03
MIZ Defense1349%37% - - - - .12.7267%14%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Defense1344%39% - - - - .042.6570%11%0.98
MIZ Offense1351%41%37.9156.54.121.112.8970%13%1

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Offense1350%51%22.332.5326.110.114.6383.451.625%32%.43%2.2
MIZ Defense1351%39% - - - - - - 11.221.634%28%.228%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Defense1356%43% - - - - - - 11.291.632%32%.335%2
MIZ Offense1348%41%1930.1213.27.111.2139.251.634%33%.344%2

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 9.71  #24
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.15  #36
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 5.94  #31
2023 Talent Rating: 821.07  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 48%  #17
Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0  #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #28
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0  #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 9.71   Missouri: 17.615

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 13.0   Missouri: 17.8




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 17.615  #14
Missouri's Offense Rating: 24.36  #15
Missouri's Defense Rating: 7.05  #38
2023 Talent Rating: 755.40  #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 23  #30
Missouri's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Missouri's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8  #12
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1  #11
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9  #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 33
Tennessee 27

Projected Total Points: 60
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Missouri's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Missouri36Tennessee7Tennessee -1Missouri58.5Under
202211/12Tennessee66Missouri24Tennessee -18.5Tennessee57.5Over
202110/02Missouri24Tennessee62Missouri -2.5Tennessee66.5Over
202010/03Tennessee35Missouri12Tennessee -10Tennessee48.5Under
201911/23Missouri20Tennessee24Missouri -3Tennessee47.0Under
201811/17Tennessee17Missouri50Missouri -5.5Missouri58.0Over
201711/11Missouri50Tennessee17Missouri -13Missouri62.5Over
201611/19Tennessee63Missouri37Tennessee -14.5Tennessee69.5Over
201511/21Missouri8Tennessee19Tennessee -9Tennessee43.0Under
201411/22Tennessee21Missouri29Tennessee -3Missouri0
201311/02Missouri31Tennessee3Missouri -13Missouri0
201211/10Tennessee48Missouri51
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri655 Overs
Tennessee664 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 66 - 55 - 31 - 2
Road Teams6 - 65 - 62 - 13 - 5

(#24) TENN at (#14) MIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTENNMIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #24 #14
SP+SP+ #19 #12
Perf GradeGrade #37 #19
OffenseOff #59 #14
DefenseDef #33 #49
Spec TeamsST #13 #67
TalentTal #16 #24
Blue ChipsBC% #17 #30
Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
TENN OffMIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #59 #49
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #36 #38
SP+SP+ #28 #23
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffMIZ Def
Run GameRun #22 #78
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #86 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #72
Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePass #53 #56
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #73 #35
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Missouri on Offense
CategoryCatMIZ OffTENN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #14 #33
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #15 #31
SP+SP+ #11 #31
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Missouri Run Game
CategoryCat
MIZ OffTENN Def
Run GameRun #53 #68
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #5 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #44
Missouri Pass Game
CategoryCatMIZ OffTENN Def
Pass GamePass #18 #25
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #36 #11
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Tennessee 1.0 (58.5)
Missouri won vs Tennessee this year (36-7)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Tennessee in 2023 (36-7)

  
TENN's OC Joey Halzle (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joe Milton23035565%28142057.9
Nico Iamaleava284562%314207.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylen Wright137101347.482
Dylan Sampson10660375.744
Jabari Small9547525.040
Joe Milton7829973.881
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Squirrel White68804211.883
Ramel Keyton35642618.360
McCallan Castles (Tr)22283512.943
Dont'E Thornton13224117.247

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Herring795111
Aaron Beasley6912313
Jaylen McCollough583014
Wesley Walker534112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Pearce Jr.271410150
Tyler Baron2811652
Omarr Norman-Lott (Tr)266610
Aaron Beasley6912313
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamal Hadden190017
Tamarion McDonald404114
Jaylen McCollough583014

MIZ's OC Kirby Moore (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brady Cook24336766%33022169.0
Sam Horn3650%54119.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cody Schrader2761617145.952
Brady Cook11331982.825
Nathaniel Peat7631734.219
Luther Burden III83804.820
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luther Burden III851205914.256
Theo Wease48661613.877
Mookie Cooper36447012.441
Marquis Johnson13383329.576

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Blake Baker (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylon Carlies645224
Joseph Charleston601034
Ty'Ron Hopper556363
Charles Hicks5311221
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius Robinson4314960
Johnny Walker4311690
Nyles Gaddy (Tr)224430
Ty'Ron Hopper556363
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kris Abrams-Draine5030112
Daylan Carnell516387
Jaylon Carlies645224