Tennessee at Missouri - 2023 Matchup Preview
Tennessee logo Tennessee Volunteers at Missouri TigersMissouri logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Tennessee -1 (58.5) (-130)  Open: -1.0
Missouri 36 - Tennessee: 7  (SEC)

 
Volunteers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (20 - 9)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (22 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TENN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Missouri -6.5   (SP+ MIZ -5)
Projected Score: TENN: 24 - MIZ: 30 (51)
TENN Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
TENN Travel: 505 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (20 - 19)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (32 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Tennessee vs Virginia-27.556.0W 49 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Tennessee vs Austin Peay-48.065.5W 30 - 13UN
Sat 9/16 Tennessee at Florida-5.057.0L 16 - 29UN
Sat 9/23 Tennessee vs UTSA-24.059.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 9/30 Tennessee vs South Carolina-12.059.0W 41 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Tennessee vs Texas A&M-3.054.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/21 Tennessee at Alabama+8.547.5L 20 - 34ON
Sat 10/28 Tennessee at Kentucky-4.050.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Tennessee vs UConn-35.055.5W 59 - 3OY
Sat 11/11 Tennessee at Missouri-1.058.5L 7 - 36UN
Sat 11/18 Tennessee vs Georgia+9.059.0L 10 - 38UN
Sat 11/25 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-27.058.0W 48 - 24ON
Mon 1/1 Tennessee vs Iowa-4.537.0W 35 - 0UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Missouri's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Missouri vs South Dakota-27.044.5W 35 - 10ON
Sat 9/9 Missouri vs Middle Tennessee-21.047.5W 23 - 19UN
Sat 9/16 Missouri vs Kansas State+3.548.0W 30 - 27OY
Sat 9/23 Missouri vs Memphis-6.552.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/30 Missouri at Vanderbilt-14.053.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/7 Missouri vs LSU+6.063.5L 39 - 49ON
Sat 10/14 Missouri at Kentucky+1.550.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Missouri vs South Carolina-7.557.5W 34 - 12UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Missouri at Georgia+15.056.5L 21 - 30UY
Sat 11/11 Missouri vs Tennessee+1.058.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 11/18 Missouri vs Florida-12.556.5W 33 - 31ON
Fri 11/24 Missouri at Arkansas-9.553.5W 48 - 14OY
Fri 12/29 Missouri vs Ohio State+4.051.0W 14 - 3UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN.3751%35.751%3.319951%3264.81.1841%16.139%43%3.1669.50.81.8
MIZ.1641%28.941%2.8915641%2134.26.1538%20.437%39%3.863.71.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Offense1335.721.851.1%4.810.825526199326550%50%51%51%10%.37
MIZ Defense1320.415.637.7%3.81.8 - - - - - 49%51%37%39%21%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Defense1316.12641.2%3.161.8 - - - - - 44%56%39%43%16%.18
MIZ Offense1328.932.140.6%4.261.5193701562134.151%48%41%41%17%.16

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tennessee1325:1425.441%68%8.169.50.81.872.4130.6
Missouri1331:0518.540%50%7.863.71.51.872.7328.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Offense1350%51%40.2199.5540.293.380%7%1.03
MIZ Defense1349%37% - - - - .12.7267%14%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Defense1344%39% - - - - .042.6570%11%0.98
MIZ Offense1351%41%37.9156.54.121.112.8970%13%1

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Offense1350%51%22.332.5326.110.114.6383.451.625%32%.43%2.2
MIZ Defense1351%39% - - - - - - 11.221.634%28%.228%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Defense1356%43% - - - - - - 11.291.632%32%.335%2
MIZ Offense1348%41%1930.1213.27.111.2139.251.634%33%.344%2

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 9.71 #24
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.15 #36
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 5.94 #31
2023 Talent Rating: 1042.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 48% #17
Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 9.71   Missouri: 17.615

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 13.0   Missouri: 17.8




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 17.615 #14
Missouri's Offense Rating: 24.36 #15
Missouri's Defense Rating: 7.05 #38
2023 Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 23 #30
Missouri's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Missouri's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 30
Tennessee 24

Projected Total Points: 51
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.1
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Missouri's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Missouri36Tennessee7MissouriTennessee -1Missouri58.5Under
202211/12Tennessee66Missouri24TennesseeTennessee -18.5Tennessee57.5Over
202110/02Missouri24Tennessee62TennesseeMissouri -2.5Tennessee66.5Over
202010/03Tennessee35Missouri12TennesseeTennessee -10Tennessee48.5Under
201911/23Missouri20Tennessee24TennesseeMissouri -3Tennessee47.0Under
201811/17Tennessee17Missouri50MissouriMissouri -5.5Missouri58.0Over
201711/11Missouri50Tennessee17MissouriMissouri -13Missouri62.5Over
201611/19Tennessee63Missouri37TennesseeTennessee -14.5Tennessee69.5Over
201511/21Missouri8Tennessee19TennesseeTennessee -9Tennessee43.0Under
201411/22Tennessee21Missouri29MissouriTennessee -3Missouri0
201311/02Missouri31Tennessee3MissouriMissouri -13Missouri0
201211/10Tennessee48Missouri51Missouri
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri655 Overs
Tennessee664 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 66 - 55 - 31 - 2
Road Teams6 - 65 - 62 - 13 - 5

(#24) Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.71 #24
Offense Rating: 20.15 #36
Defense Rating: 5.94 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #19
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31
Talent Rating: 1042.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 48% #17
Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60

Team Profile






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Tennessee     Ratings Matchup     Missouri
Power #24
#14
Off #36
#15
Def #31
#38
Talent #12
#37
SP+ #19
#12
SP+ Off #28
#11
SP+ Def #31
#23

Rematch from Week 11
Tennessee 1.0 (58.5)
Missouri won vs Tennessee this year (36-7)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Tennessee in 2023 (36-7)
Tennessee beat Missouri in 2022 (66-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 54°

Team Information
Injuries: TENN | MIZ
Depth Chart: TENN | MIZ
Rosters: TENN | MIZ
(#14) Missouri Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 17.615 #14
Offense Rating: 24.36 #15
Defense Rating: 7.05 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23
Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 23 #30
Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60

Team Profile






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Tennessee's OC Joey Halzle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Navy Shuler1333%10003.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Sampson2581491225.856
Bru McCoy21507.59
Patrick Wilk31204.09
Navy Shuler2502.56
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dont'E Thornton26661625.486
Bru McCoy39472212.142
Dylan Sampson2014307.221

View Tennessee's Full Roster
Tennessee's DC Tim Banks
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Doneiko Slaughter783106
Elijah Herring598434
Will Brooks594115
Tamarion McDonald584201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Pearce Jr.38138101
Tyler Baron3811660
Omarr Norman-Lott (Tr)184430
Elijah Herring598434
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
De'Shawn Rucker412007
Doneiko Slaughter783106
Will Brooks594115

Missouri's OC Kirby Moore
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brady Cook20032063%25251127.9
Jake Garcia (Tr)10918160%14268127.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brady Cook8722352.631
Luther Burden III10125212.561
Gabarri Johnson2610614.123
Jake Garcia (Tr)404621.219
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Theo Wease60884414.770
Luther Burden III60666611.144
Mookie Cooper12235019.678
Dannis Jackson11210019.147

View Missouri's Full Roster
Missouri's DC Blake Baker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carmycah Glass754130
Joseph Charleston442004
Johnny Walker43131041
Charles Hicks335201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Walker43131041
Charles Hicks335201
Serigne Tounkara52220
Kristian Williams302141
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Charleston442004
Dameon Wilson253012
Sidney Williams (Tr)301002